Material Girls was in 1500 theatres. You telling me this is gonna be in 3500 theatres? Wow where do you get such stellar info?
Idlewild got slammed beyond belief on the over last weekend according to your rhyme and reasoning it should have done 10 Million.
Best advice is to fade Voice. Domer you agree?
-Brendan
Idlewild got slammed beyond belief on the over last weekend according to your rhyme and reasoning it should have done 10 Million.
Best advice is to fade Voice. Domer you agree?
-Brendan
Well I'm seeing a screen bleed (loss of screens due to bad WOM) and the tracking number is a scary $4 million for the 3-day.
I expect this to do similar business to the movie Domino, R movie which opened in 2200 screens. Somewhere in the neighborhood of a 2000 Per Theater Average (PTA). At 2000 screens, that is a $4 million weekend. If the screen bleeds I'm hearing about are exagerrated or untrue, then at 2500 screens I'd expect it to do about $5 million.
$6-7 is the "absolute max" for this type of movie, especially a rated R fare with a bad marketing campaign.
I expect this to do similar business to the movie Domino, R movie which opened in 2200 screens. Somewhere in the neighborhood of a 2000 Per Theater Average (PTA). At 2000 screens, that is a $4 million weekend. If the screen bleeds I'm hearing about are exagerrated or untrue, then at 2500 screens I'd expect it to do about $5 million.
$6-7 is the "absolute max" for this type of movie, especially a rated R fare with a bad marketing campaign.
Domer said:
I disagree with you completely...this movie cant be compared to Domino....this movie should be compared to Jason Statham two previous films:
Transporter: 9.1 Million opening weekend in 2002
Transporter 2: 16 million opening weekend in 2005
This movie should make no less than 9 million...
I think it will average 3 million each day min.
Anyone who doesnt get on this movie now is losing out...
Voice you are a square if this is your logic. You can't compare this to Transporter 1 and 2 fool. Do you understand how movie ratings work in this line of business? Ignorance is bliss. Comparing a PG-13 movie to a R movie is worse than apples and oranges. All I can say is keep hitting that over and Domer and I will keep hitting that under.
-Brendan
-Brendan
VoR you can't compare an R movie to a PG13 movie. Its night and day in terms of demographics.
Look the point of this forum is to help people make the right plays. You aren't doing anything other than guessing. I've given a reasoned analysis and hopefully new people reading this thread won't get sucked into your Over play, because it will not be a winner.
And luck has nothing to do with it.
Look the point of this forum is to help people make the right plays. You aren't doing anything other than guessing. I've given a reasoned analysis and hopefully new people reading this thread won't get sucked into your Over play, because it will not be a winner.
And luck has nothing to do with it.
brendan you should just shut the fu-ck up b/c all you do is sh-it on people....AND BRING NOTHING TO THE FORUM...again you've yet to post ANY winner on ANY sportsforum and come in after the fact and say cheers to under idlewild +240 winner...fuc-king past poster....this would be your 1st winner if it goes under...wow...
VOR...R ratings do hurt a film especially one like this b/c its an action type movie that people in their early teens might be drawn into seeing...they now cannot see the film...ive read how YES the distributor has basically "given up on the film"....it has lost screenings in theatres and their are rumors its total theatre count will be cut as well...lastly dont think this guy actor is a big draw or a guarentee to bring in the hordes to see his films b/c he isnt...anything can happen but i think you either play this UNDER or pass...
the tracking is VERY LOW for this movie...at around 4million for the 3days...
if there is anythign ive noticed the last few weeks this august month has seen many movies continue to go UNDER UNDER UNDER...i did hit this one at wwts pretty good UNDER 8.25Million -125 (its now 7.8million) i woulda bet a lot more on it knowing i could hedge down the road but i have so much money tied up in futures and different books i just couldnt bring myself to send more money...my neteller is currently tapped...and now the value of the wwts line is gone so have to be happy with what i bet...these movies arent my #1 priority right now as baseball is winding down and im following a lot of the pennant races very closely....(i only have florida marlins futures at 2000-1 and 750-1 respectively)
VOR...R ratings do hurt a film especially one like this b/c its an action type movie that people in their early teens might be drawn into seeing...they now cannot see the film...ive read how YES the distributor has basically "given up on the film"....it has lost screenings in theatres and their are rumors its total theatre count will be cut as well...lastly dont think this guy actor is a big draw or a guarentee to bring in the hordes to see his films b/c he isnt...anything can happen but i think you either play this UNDER or pass...
the tracking is VERY LOW for this movie...at around 4million for the 3days...
if there is anythign ive noticed the last few weeks this august month has seen many movies continue to go UNDER UNDER UNDER...i did hit this one at wwts pretty good UNDER 8.25Million -125 (its now 7.8million) i woulda bet a lot more on it knowing i could hedge down the road but i have so much money tied up in futures and different books i just couldnt bring myself to send more money...my neteller is currently tapped...and now the value of the wwts line is gone so have to be happy with what i bet...these movies arent my #1 priority right now as baseball is winding down and im following a lot of the pennant races very closely....(i only have florida marlins futures at 2000-1 and 750-1 respectively)
oh since i dont past post...like my friend brendan...(my total wagers $6 to win 12K and $6 to win 5k)
i know im a square...loler...
http://www.majorwager.com/fusetalk/forum/messageview.cfm?catid=22&threadid=162153&highlight_key=y
i know im a square...loler...
http://www.majorwager.com/fusetalk/forum/messageview.cfm?catid=22&threadid=162153&highlight_key=y
HuskerFan1 said:
at least we agree on the fish and their talent...ive read something concerning the lost of screens...but guys dont forget i got this movie at +242...i could now hit the under hard....which i might just do...what site are you getting the tracking...i dont see it anywhere....email it to me if you dont want to put it up here.....
Voice and Husky I don't need to post my picks, I could give a damn if you see my winning picks or not, this isn't about pride this is about making my Neteller account nicely padded.
Unlike you 2 when I find something that seems to be a fairly loose line I don't go around to every site posting about it, I would prefer to keep it quiet and make as much money off of it week after week. Instead you 2 want to educate the masses on these picks and on key info so that these loose lines are now pretty tight and spot on because so many squares are following each other around.
Keep it up with the blind leading the blind.
-Brendan
Unlike you 2 when I find something that seems to be a fairly loose line I don't go around to every site posting about it, I would prefer to keep it quiet and make as much money off of it week after week. Instead you 2 want to educate the masses on these picks and on key info so that these loose lines are now pretty tight and spot on because so many squares are following each other around.
Keep it up with the blind leading the blind.
-Brendan
Domer is like bill oreily, because hes looking out for you. voice of reason is in the top three most terrible worthless donkey square posters who suck really bad on therx. his "lock of the year" (hha hah a hha ha) is my lock of the year fade.
(the other two poster in the top three are tyrone and beating.vegas)
(the other two poster in the top three are tyrone and beating.vegas)
We were supposed to get Crank at my theatre (buddy works there) here in Florida, but they have dropped it.
So you guys are saying they are giving up on this film? I bet a few times over 8 at like +140 roughly. I am considering betting the other way now. I don't have big money down, just a few hundred, but this film looks like it may be dead? I really liked Transporters 2, but I guess that R rating does matter as previous posters have said.
So you guys are saying they are giving up on this film? I bet a few times over 8 at like +140 roughly. I am considering betting the other way now. I don't have big money down, just a few hundred, but this film looks like it may be dead? I really liked Transporters 2, but I guess that R rating does matter as previous posters have said.
