2023 NFL Post-Season

[Loves2kickass]

Divisional Round Westgate Opening lines

Chiefs -8.5; Over/Under 51.5
Time: 4:30 p.m. ET Saturday (NBC)

Bills -5; Over/Under 49.5
Time: 3 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)

Eagles -7; Over/Under 46.5
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Saturday (FOX)

TBD; Over/Under TBD
Time: 6:30 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)

 

[Loves2kickass]

One of the sides for the Divional round has my full attention. No opinion yet on SF/DALL-TB until after the game tonight and the line is posted.

 

[Loves2kickass]

WILD CARD ROUND 2-0
DIVISIONAL ROUND

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills​

Westgate Opening line: Bills -5; Over/Under 49.5
Time: 3 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)

Of the three games on the board thus far this is one that I have locked in already. Buffalo opened online (Betonline) at -3 and moved to -4 1/2 in short order. Buffalo opened at -5 (Westgate) and quickly moved to -4 1/2 as soon as the line hit the board. An online book and a Vegas book opened a couple points apart and both moved towards a common number of -4/-4 1/2. That's where I think the line will settle for the most part all week.

The key for me, as was for the 2 Wild Card games, is the respected money which immediately hit the +5 at the Superbook open knocking the line down to +4 1/2. That number is still widely available online and at in person joints.

I won't have any opinion on the SF/TB-DALL side or total until that line is on the board and the wagering commences.

*Cincinnati +4 1/2, -110*

 

[Loves2kickass]

I made this comment in another thread this morning. I don't trust Josh Allen. He makes too many mistakes and that will cost you when the talent level is some what even in a single game matchup.

This season he leads the league in turnovers by a QB. Some of you may not know this but most interceptions & Fumbles by a QB, including playoffs is owned by Josh Allen this season, 32. 2nd is Matt Ryan at 28 and Justin Fields at 27. Even the respected money doesn't back him as a 4 - 5 point fav this week against a evenly matched team in Cincinnati.

I walked to to the window and gladly took 4 1/2 with Cincinnati with a smile.

 

[Loves2kickass]

+5 is now available online with a solid +4 1/2 at several Vegas books (Ceasars, MGM, Westgate)

 

[Loves2kickass]

Cincinnati now +5 1/2 at MGM. I'll add if it gets off the dead numbers to +6.

 

[XENO]

So that game last nite don’t scare you I guess and they were outplayed vs ravens

 

[Loves2kickass]

So that game last nite don’t scare you I guess and they were outplayed vs ravens

What happened last night. I already forgot lol. Are you talking about the 7 point win by the Bengals or the 3 point win by the Bills.

To answer your question, NO.

 

[XENO]

I meant cinncy

 

[Loves2kickass]

I meant cinncy

I know what u meant I was being a smart ass ? No I have no reason to be concerned about the +4 - +5 this week vs the Bills.

 

[Loves2kickass]

Added on my Cincinnati play @ +5 1/2, -110

 

[Loves2kickass]

WILD CARD ROUND 2-0
DIVISIONAL ROUND

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills​

Westgate Opening line: Bills -5; Over/Under 49.5
Time: 3 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)

*Cincinnati +4 1/2, +5, +5 1/2*

All lines listed were/are widely available

 

[Loves2kickass]

With the SF/Dall line out now I have no wager on that game based on the early betting. As of now just 1 wager for me this week as already posted, Cincinnati +4 1/2/+5 1/2. GL this weekend.

 

[exploited17]

If early betting is key isn't Buffalo the play?
Or is that based on something else?

 

[Loves2kickass]

If early betting is key isn't Buffalo the play?
Or is that based on something else?

Why would Buffalo be a play for me. No, I'm already locked in with Cin +4 1/2 & +5 1/2.

 

[exploited17]

Why would Buffalo be a play for me. No, I'm already locked in with Cin +4 1/2 & +5 1/2.

Well line went up just a guess Bills are the early money
Just trying to understand how this works

 

[Loves2kickass]

Well line went up just a guess Bills are the early money
Just trying to understand how this works

Oh ok, gotcha.

I don't play online and don't have access to any online book info. I just made reference to Betonline because they are usually the first online book to post opening lines. Any info I get is from the Superbook.

The line went up right after open with the online book i think you use. Buffalo opened online (Betonline) at -3 and moved to -4 1/2 in short order. Buffalo opened at -5 (Westgate) and quickly moved to -4 1/2 as soon as the line hit the board. An online book and a Vegas book opened a couple points a part and both moved towards a common number of -4/-4 1/2.

I use the Superbook in Vegas for any info that I provide. The "Respected" money immediately hit the +5 after open with the Bengals. I really don't care what happens after that unless the line moves in my favor to allow me to add to my original wager.

In my case the line went down, not up.

 

[Loves2kickass]

@exploited17

I've posted many plays this season, all in different formats. I posted in this thread a list of wagers I've played larger than my normal amounts (7-0-1 including the 2 Wild Card wagers). Those are all I'm playing and posting in the playoffs.

Wild Card round i only played 2 out of the 6 games and this week 1 out if the 4 games for the Divisional round. Early, very early, respected money wagers at Westgate is all I care about. I could care less about any other book or online book.

Of course past success doesn't guarentee future success. I may never win another game i ever bet on lol.

 

[Loves2kickass]

Nobody needs to tail. Just sharing what I play. GL to all.

 

[Loves2kickass]

7-0-1 on a few of my larger wagers this season. Those are early, very early respected cash tickets at the Gate on the West side lol (Superbook).

CINCINNATI back up to +5 1/2 today at in person joints and online. A gift from up high. I'm in at +4 1/2 Sunday morning and added +5 1/2 couple days ago. If this gift gets larger and it reaches +6 at any time I'll add again.

I'll add my tickets to this post at some point to silence a few trolls and to show you I do put my money where my mouth is.