Who's who in the bottom half of a wide open men's draw.
One man’s loss is another man’s gain. And for one of the eight players remaining in the bottom half of the men’s draw, a spot in the final of the US Open awaits.
While the top half of the draw features world 19-time Grand Slam men’s singles champion Roger and world No. 1 and 15-time champion Rafael Nadal, the bottom half of the draw is wide, wide open.
Those eight players – Sam Querrey, Mischa Zverev, Paolo Lorenzi, Kevin Anderson, Denis Shapovalov, Pablo Carreno Busta, Lucas Pouille and Diego Schwartzman – have just one career Grand Slam semifinal appearance and seven quarterfinal appearances combined. Federer has 50.
Only Anderson has ever been ranked inside the Top 10 – he peaked at No. 10 in October 2015 – and three of the eight are already in uncharted territory, having never reached the fourth round of a Grand Slam before.
Here’s a closer look at the eight players left in the bottom half of the draw, none of who are ranked higher than 19th in the world. One of them is guaranteed to make their first major final.
SAM QUERREY
Ranking: 21
Best Grand Slam Performance: Wimbledon semifinal (2017)
The 29-year-old American is coming off the best Grand Slam run of his career, and he’s hoping to replicate his trip to the final four of Wimbledon here in New York. He’s already matched his best US Open performance by making the fourth round – achieved twice, most recently in 2010 – and he’s primed to go even further. The No. 17 seed was originally in the top half of the draw, but he was repositioned in the bottom half when second-seeded Andy Murray’s withdrawal caused a shuffle in the draw two days before play began. He hasn’t reached the quarterfinal of an ATP World Tour Masters 1000 event, the level directly below the four majors, in five years, but he is one win away from getting to the last eight of a Grand Slam for the third time in 14 months.
“It's kind of an irrelevant stat. I made one semifinal. Yeah, I mean, the bottom half of the draw has opened up. There's no way to not see that. There's a chance for everyone there. It will be weird to have a guy in a final that has never been there before. Outside of that, that's really it. It's just a good opportunity for everyone.” – Querrey on being the only player left in the bottom half of the draw who has played a Grand Slam semifinal
MISCHA ZVEREV
Ranking: 27
Best Grand Slam Performance: Australian Open quarterfinal (2017)
Entering 2017, Zverev had won a total of one Grand Slam men’s singles main draw match in seven years. He’d lost in qualifying at 12 consecutive majors and had one Masters 1000 win – in Shanghai in 2016 – since 2010. The 30-year-old brother of world No. 6 Alexander Zverev has had a career renaissance as of late, shocking Andy Murray in the fourth round in Melbourne in January and beating Kei Nishikori to reach the final of the Geneva Open in May. Zverev had a 21-24 singles record for the year but is now one victory away from earning a guaranteed $470,000 as a US Open quarterfinalist.
“I try to not worry too much about my next opponent until I face him. But, you know what, someone that's going to be now in the quarters or semis at the US Open this year might be the next Top 5 player 14 months from now or something. Draw is one thing, but facing the next opponent can be something different.” – Zverev on his preference to not look at the draw
PAOLO LORENZI
Ranking: 40
Best Grand Slam Performance: US Open third round (2016)
The 35-year-old clay-courter has never been ranked inside the Top 32 in the world in his 10-year professional career, but he’s now in the final 16 of a major with the chance of advancing even further. Lorenzi came to New York having won seven Grand Slam main-draw matches in the past decade, with five of those coming in the past 12 months. Lorenzi has spent most of 2017 playing ATP World Tour 250 events, the fourth tier of tour events, and won his only title of the year at a clay-court Challenger-level event in Caltanissetta, Italy, in June, where he earned 125 points, €18,290 and did not play another player ranked inside the Top 100. Lorenzi has never beaten a Top 10 player and has just one win over a player ranked inside the Top 20 in the past three-and-a-half years.
KEVIN ANDERSON
Ranking: 32
Best Grand Slam Performance: US Open quarterfinal (2015)
Anderson is arguably playing the best tennis of any of the eight men left in the bottom half of the draw. The No. 28 seed has yet to drop a set in three matches in New York this year, and he’s only lost four games in two of the nine sets he’s contested. The South African made the fourth round of both Roland Garros and Wimbledon earlier this year, and he advanced to the quarterfinals at the Rogers Cup for the third time in the past four years. Two years ago, Anderson, then the No. 15 seed, beat Dominic Thiem and Andy Murray in reaching the final eight before falling to Stan Wawrinka. He faces the unseeded Lorenzi in Round 4 and could get to final without facing a single player ranked higher that 19th.
DENIS SHAPOVALOV
Ranking: 69
Best Grand Slam Performance: Wimbledon first round (2017)
The 18-year-old Canadian is one of the biggest surprises of both the US Open and the 2017 tennis season as a whole. Before the French Open in May, he had never even played in the qualifying of a Grand Slam tournament. After losing in the first qualifying round in Paris and losing in the first round of Wimbledon as a wild card, Shapovalov came through three qualifying matches to make the main draw in Flushing Meadows. The teenager shined at the Masters 1000 event in Montreal last month, announcing himself to the tennis world with a win over Rafael Nadal. He started 2017 ranked No. 250 in the world and climbed from No. 143 to No. 67 based purely on his run in Canada. This time 12 months ago, Shapovalov was playing exclusively Challenger-level matches. On Sunday, he’ll play for a spot in the quarterfinals. Win or lose, he will earn more prize money this week than he has in the rest of his career combined.
“I think five out of the Top 10 guys were missing. It's pretty significant. I mean, it's happening for a reason. I feel like you don't just have five guys injured. It's got to be something with the scheduling, something I think the tour, the calendar might be a little bit too long. I don't know. I haven't played enough to say anything, but when you have so many guys hurt, it's not a coincidence.” – Shapovalov on one possible reason for so many top players pulling out of the US Open
PABLO CARRENO BUSTA
Ranking: 19
Best Grand Slam Performance: French Open quarterfinals (2017)
Last September, Carreno Busta and partner Guillermo Garcia-Lopez made it to the final of the US Open men’s doubles. Now he’s on the cusp of his best-ever run in singles play. The 26-year-old Spaniard has reached six singles finals over the past two years, picking up wins at a trio of lower-level 250 Series wins at the Winston-Salem Open, the Kremlin Cup and the Estoril Open. In addition to this year’s French Open, where he beat Milos Raonic and Grigor Dimitrov before retiring against Rafael Nadal, Carreno Busta also made the semifinals in Indian Wells, his first-ever Masters 1000 appearance later than the third round.
LUCAS POUILLE
Ranking: 20
Best Grand Slam Performance: Wimbledon and US Open quarterfinals (2016)
At 23 years old, Pouille is the second-youngest of the eight players left in the bottom half of the draw. He has lost his first match in seven of 17 tournaments this year and largely failed to back up his impressive second half of 2016 where he made back-to-back major quarterfinals. He did reach the semifinals of the Monte Carlo Masters, a clay-court event in spring in the build up to the French Open, but he has already been pushed twice in three matches in New York. He came within five points of losing to American Jared Donaldson in a three-and-a-half-hour five-set thriller on Wednesday, and he needed to rally back after dropping the first set to Mikhail Kukushkin in Round 3. Pouille has not won a hard-court match against a player ranked inside the top 14 in 2017. The highest-ranked player he could now face on his path to the final is No. 19 Carreno Busta, whom he would meet in the qaurters.
DIEGO SCHWARTZMAN
Ranking: 33
Best Grand Slam Performance: French Open third round (2017)
The 5-foot-7 right-hander had two first-round exits and one second-round loss on his US Open resume coming into New York, and he had never won three consecutive singles matches in any of the 13 Grand Slam main draws in which he competed. Now in the fourth round for the first time, he is looking to build on his performance at the Rogers Cup last month where he reached the quarterfinals, just his second-ever appearance in the final eight of a Masters 1000 competition. He backed up his win over Thiem in Canada with an impressive four-set victory over 2014 US Open champion Marin Cilic here in the third round. He will play Pouille on Sunday, the first meeting between the pair, for a place in the final eight of the championship.
“Sometimes if you [are] lucky in the draw and you can take the chances, it's always good for the new guys or for the guys who are out from the Top 10. Many players are injured this week. I think we are trying to take the chances and try to go forward in the tournament.” – Schwartzman on the opportunity for a deep run at the US Open
One man’s loss is another man’s gain. And for one of the eight players remaining in the bottom half of the men’s draw, a spot in the final of the US Open awaits.
While the top half of the draw features world 19-time Grand Slam men’s singles champion Roger and world No. 1 and 15-time champion Rafael Nadal, the bottom half of the draw is wide, wide open.
Those eight players – Sam Querrey, Mischa Zverev, Paolo Lorenzi, Kevin Anderson, Denis Shapovalov, Pablo Carreno Busta, Lucas Pouille and Diego Schwartzman – have just one career Grand Slam semifinal appearance and seven quarterfinal appearances combined. Federer has 50.
Only Anderson has ever been ranked inside the Top 10 – he peaked at No. 10 in October 2015 – and three of the eight are already in uncharted territory, having never reached the fourth round of a Grand Slam before.
Here’s a closer look at the eight players left in the bottom half of the draw, none of who are ranked higher than 19th in the world. One of them is guaranteed to make their first major final.
SAM QUERREY
Ranking: 21
Best Grand Slam Performance: Wimbledon semifinal (2017)
The 29-year-old American is coming off the best Grand Slam run of his career, and he’s hoping to replicate his trip to the final four of Wimbledon here in New York. He’s already matched his best US Open performance by making the fourth round – achieved twice, most recently in 2010 – and he’s primed to go even further. The No. 17 seed was originally in the top half of the draw, but he was repositioned in the bottom half when second-seeded Andy Murray’s withdrawal caused a shuffle in the draw two days before play began. He hasn’t reached the quarterfinal of an ATP World Tour Masters 1000 event, the level directly below the four majors, in five years, but he is one win away from getting to the last eight of a Grand Slam for the third time in 14 months.
“It's kind of an irrelevant stat. I made one semifinal. Yeah, I mean, the bottom half of the draw has opened up. There's no way to not see that. There's a chance for everyone there. It will be weird to have a guy in a final that has never been there before. Outside of that, that's really it. It's just a good opportunity for everyone.” – Querrey on being the only player left in the bottom half of the draw who has played a Grand Slam semifinal
MISCHA ZVEREV
Ranking: 27
Best Grand Slam Performance: Australian Open quarterfinal (2017)
Entering 2017, Zverev had won a total of one Grand Slam men’s singles main draw match in seven years. He’d lost in qualifying at 12 consecutive majors and had one Masters 1000 win – in Shanghai in 2016 – since 2010. The 30-year-old brother of world No. 6 Alexander Zverev has had a career renaissance as of late, shocking Andy Murray in the fourth round in Melbourne in January and beating Kei Nishikori to reach the final of the Geneva Open in May. Zverev had a 21-24 singles record for the year but is now one victory away from earning a guaranteed $470,000 as a US Open quarterfinalist.
“I try to not worry too much about my next opponent until I face him. But, you know what, someone that's going to be now in the quarters or semis at the US Open this year might be the next Top 5 player 14 months from now or something. Draw is one thing, but facing the next opponent can be something different.” – Zverev on his preference to not look at the draw
PAOLO LORENZI
Ranking: 40
Best Grand Slam Performance: US Open third round (2016)
The 35-year-old clay-courter has never been ranked inside the Top 32 in the world in his 10-year professional career, but he’s now in the final 16 of a major with the chance of advancing even further. Lorenzi came to New York having won seven Grand Slam main-draw matches in the past decade, with five of those coming in the past 12 months. Lorenzi has spent most of 2017 playing ATP World Tour 250 events, the fourth tier of tour events, and won his only title of the year at a clay-court Challenger-level event in Caltanissetta, Italy, in June, where he earned 125 points, €18,290 and did not play another player ranked inside the Top 100. Lorenzi has never beaten a Top 10 player and has just one win over a player ranked inside the Top 20 in the past three-and-a-half years.
KEVIN ANDERSON
Ranking: 32
Best Grand Slam Performance: US Open quarterfinal (2015)
Anderson is arguably playing the best tennis of any of the eight men left in the bottom half of the draw. The No. 28 seed has yet to drop a set in three matches in New York this year, and he’s only lost four games in two of the nine sets he’s contested. The South African made the fourth round of both Roland Garros and Wimbledon earlier this year, and he advanced to the quarterfinals at the Rogers Cup for the third time in the past four years. Two years ago, Anderson, then the No. 15 seed, beat Dominic Thiem and Andy Murray in reaching the final eight before falling to Stan Wawrinka. He faces the unseeded Lorenzi in Round 4 and could get to final without facing a single player ranked higher that 19th.
DENIS SHAPOVALOV
Ranking: 69
Best Grand Slam Performance: Wimbledon first round (2017)
The 18-year-old Canadian is one of the biggest surprises of both the US Open and the 2017 tennis season as a whole. Before the French Open in May, he had never even played in the qualifying of a Grand Slam tournament. After losing in the first qualifying round in Paris and losing in the first round of Wimbledon as a wild card, Shapovalov came through three qualifying matches to make the main draw in Flushing Meadows. The teenager shined at the Masters 1000 event in Montreal last month, announcing himself to the tennis world with a win over Rafael Nadal. He started 2017 ranked No. 250 in the world and climbed from No. 143 to No. 67 based purely on his run in Canada. This time 12 months ago, Shapovalov was playing exclusively Challenger-level matches. On Sunday, he’ll play for a spot in the quarterfinals. Win or lose, he will earn more prize money this week than he has in the rest of his career combined.
“I think five out of the Top 10 guys were missing. It's pretty significant. I mean, it's happening for a reason. I feel like you don't just have five guys injured. It's got to be something with the scheduling, something I think the tour, the calendar might be a little bit too long. I don't know. I haven't played enough to say anything, but when you have so many guys hurt, it's not a coincidence.” – Shapovalov on one possible reason for so many top players pulling out of the US Open
PABLO CARRENO BUSTA
Ranking: 19
Best Grand Slam Performance: French Open quarterfinals (2017)
Last September, Carreno Busta and partner Guillermo Garcia-Lopez made it to the final of the US Open men’s doubles. Now he’s on the cusp of his best-ever run in singles play. The 26-year-old Spaniard has reached six singles finals over the past two years, picking up wins at a trio of lower-level 250 Series wins at the Winston-Salem Open, the Kremlin Cup and the Estoril Open. In addition to this year’s French Open, where he beat Milos Raonic and Grigor Dimitrov before retiring against Rafael Nadal, Carreno Busta also made the semifinals in Indian Wells, his first-ever Masters 1000 appearance later than the third round.
LUCAS POUILLE
Ranking: 20
Best Grand Slam Performance: Wimbledon and US Open quarterfinals (2016)
At 23 years old, Pouille is the second-youngest of the eight players left in the bottom half of the draw. He has lost his first match in seven of 17 tournaments this year and largely failed to back up his impressive second half of 2016 where he made back-to-back major quarterfinals. He did reach the semifinals of the Monte Carlo Masters, a clay-court event in spring in the build up to the French Open, but he has already been pushed twice in three matches in New York. He came within five points of losing to American Jared Donaldson in a three-and-a-half-hour five-set thriller on Wednesday, and he needed to rally back after dropping the first set to Mikhail Kukushkin in Round 3. Pouille has not won a hard-court match against a player ranked inside the top 14 in 2017. The highest-ranked player he could now face on his path to the final is No. 19 Carreno Busta, whom he would meet in the qaurters.
DIEGO SCHWARTZMAN
Ranking: 33
Best Grand Slam Performance: French Open third round (2017)
The 5-foot-7 right-hander had two first-round exits and one second-round loss on his US Open resume coming into New York, and he had never won three consecutive singles matches in any of the 13 Grand Slam main draws in which he competed. Now in the fourth round for the first time, he is looking to build on his performance at the Rogers Cup last month where he reached the quarterfinals, just his second-ever appearance in the final eight of a Masters 1000 competition. He backed up his win over Thiem in Canada with an impressive four-set victory over 2014 US Open champion Marin Cilic here in the third round. He will play Pouille on Sunday, the first meeting between the pair, for a place in the final eight of the championship.
“Sometimes if you [are] lucky in the draw and you can take the chances, it's always good for the new guys or for the guys who are out from the Top 10. Many players are injured this week. I think we are trying to take the chances and try to go forward in the tournament.” – Schwartzman on the opportunity for a deep run at the US Open