2016 wnba thread news notes picks !

[CNOTES]

WNBA
Dunkel


Sunday, July 3




New York @ Los Angeles


Game 651-652
July 3, 2016 @ 5:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
New York
111.271
Los Angeles
115.099
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 4
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 8 1/2
161
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+8 1/2); Under


Phoenix @ Atlanta


Game 653-654
July 3, 2016 @ 6:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
108.233
Atlanta
110.334
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 2
177
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 2
172 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+2); Over








WNBA
Long Sheet


Sunday, July 3


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (12 - 5) at LOS ANGELES (15 - 1) - 7/3/2016, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games this season.
NEW YORK is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games in May, June, or July games this season.
NEW YORK is 78-50 ATS (+23.0 Units) in road games against Western conference opponents since 1997.
NEW YORK is 78-50 ATS (+23.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
NEW YORK is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 60-37 ATS (+19.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games since 1997.
NEW YORK is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in July games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games against Eastern conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 158-201 ATS (-63.1 Units) after scoring 75 points or more since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 3-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 3-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (7 - 10) at ATLANTA (8 - 8) - 7/3/2016, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-0 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------








WNBA


Sunday, July 3


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


5:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. LOS ANGELES
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New York's last 15 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New York's last 11 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Los Angeles's last 11 games when playing New York
Los Angeles is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games when playing New York


6:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games

 

[CNOTES]

WNBA


Sunday, July 3




Road underdogs are covering at a rate of 64.6% (41-23) thus far this season. Overs are hitting at 60% (60-40)

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Liberty (12-5) at Sparks (15-1)
Date: July 03, 2016 5:00 PM EDT

The New York Liberty are one of the best and hottest teams in the WNBA, but they have not beaten the Los Angeles Sparks this season.


The Liberty, 12-5 and winners of eight of their past nine games, get their final regular-season shot at the Sparks on Sunday afternoon at Staples Center.


Los Angeles (15-1) sits atop the league, having already pocketed a pair of victories against New York. They won 79-72 in overtime in Madison Square Garden on May 21 and 100-77 in Los Angeles on June 7.


"I'm really proud of what we're doing," Sparks forward Nneka Ogwumike told SBNation.com.


"We're doing an awesome job of just narrowing the focus. We have a microscope on every game, and we're not looking too far into our telescope. We're just doing a great job of focusing on what we know we need to do today."


Ogwumike, who turned 26 Saturday, is having an MVP-like season, averaging 18.4 points and 8.4 rebounds while shooting an astounding 70.4 percent from the field to lead the WNBA. She is coming off a career-high 38-point game, making 13 of 14 shots, in Friday's home win over the Atlanta Dream.


In two games against the Liberty, she has 43 points and 25 rebounds.


The Sparks have two other prime offensive weapons in center Candace Parker (16.3 points per game, team-best 4.6 assists) and guard Kristi Tolliver (14.3 points per game, third in the league at 48.4 percent on 3-point shots).


New York will feature an MVP candidate, too, in Sunday's showdown. Forward Tina Charles is averaging a WNBA-best 22.8 points per game.


She has been playing with a face mask to protect a broken nose; after missing one game, she returned Friday to post 31 points and 10 rebounds in a 99-88 win at Phoenix. Charles was held to seven points when she played in Los Angeles last month.


Liberty guard Sugar Rodgers averages 16.4 points and has scored at least 22 points in three consecutive games. She has made a league-high 50 3-pointers.



WNBA HEAD TO HEAD


Jun 7, 2016 Score ATS Results
NEW 77 Over: 177
LOS « 100 Cover: 15.5
Tools: Recaps


May 21, 2016 Score ATS Results
LOS « 79 Cover: 5.5
NEW 72 Under: 151
Tools: Recaps


Jul 22, 2015 Score ATS Results
NEW « 59 Cover: 7.5
LOS 53 Under: 112
Tools: Recaps


Jun 28, 2015 Score ATS Results
LOS 70 Over: 149
NEW « 79 Cover: 5.5
Tools: Recaps

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Mercury (7-10) at Dream (8-8)
Date: July 03, 2016 6:00 PM EDT

The Phoenix Mercury have played well on the road recently, and they just hope to get a full game out of their stars when they play at the slumping Atlanta Dream on Sunday.


Guard Diana Taurasi and center Brittney Griner were ejected in the third quarter of Friday night's home loss to the New York Liberty, ending a three-game winning streak for the Mercury.


Two of those victories had come on the road -- at the hot Washington Mystics and at Eastern Conference-leading New York.


Because of those ejections, Phoenix (7-10) might have a chip on its shoulder against Atlanta, which has lost five consecutive games to drop to 8-8.


Griner was tossed from Friday night's game after arguing her fourth foul. WNBA scoring leading Tina Charles had been her main defensive assignment.


"Brittney, she gets hacked all the time," Mercury coach Sandy Brondello said after the game.


"Tina Charles, I mean she's a great player, but she's getting calls I don't think she should. Brittney Griner never gets those calls. I get frustrated, too. ... Brittney usually doesn't complain too much. I mean, she just lost her cool, which is understandable."


Taurasi had some words for the officials before picking up her second technical, although Brondello said her star guard didn't swear.


Taurasi is fourth in the league in scoring at 19.1 points per game. Griner averages 13.6 points and 6.5 rebounds. Phoenix has lots of other firepower, including forward DeWanna Bonner (15.2 points per game) and guard Penny Taylor (13.3).


Atlanta guard Tiffany Hayes, who missed Tuesday's loss at Seattle because of a hamstring injury, returned with a career-high 32 points in Thursday night's loss to the Los Angeles Sparks. Forward Sancho Lyttle, who also missed the game in Seattle because of a hamstring, only played two minutes at Los Angeles.


Forward Angel McCoughtry leads Atlanta with 19.4 points per game. Hayes averages 15.4. Center Elizabeth Williams averages 13.1 points and 7.3 rebounds.


Atlanta is the worst 3-point shooting team in the WNBA at 24.9 percent.


This is the first of three meetings between the teams in the regular season.




WNBA HEAD TO HEAD


Aug 2, 2015 Score ATS Results
PHO « 71 Under: 139
ATL 68 Cover: 3
Tools: Recaps


Jul 14, 2015 Score ATS Results
ATL 71 Cover: 1
PHO « 80 Under: 151
Tools: Recaps

 

[CNOTES]

Standings

EASTERN CONFERENCE


Team Win Loss Percent GB Home Away Conf. Last 10 Streak


New York Liberty 12 5 0.706 0 4-4 8-1 6-1 8-2 W-2


Washington Mystics 9 9 0.500 3 4-6 5-3 5-4 7-3 L-1


Atlanta Dream 8 8 0.500 3 4-3 4-5 6-4 3-7 L-5


Chicago Sky 7 9 0.438 4 4-3 3-6 5-4 5-5 W-1


Indiana Fever 7 10 0.412 5 3-5 4-5 3-5 4-6 L-1


Connecticut Sun 4 13 0.235 8 2-6 2-7 0-7 3-7 W-1



WESTERN CONFERENCE


Team Win Loss Percent GB Home Away Conf. Last 10 Streak


Los Angeles Sparks 15 1 0.938 0 8-1 7-0 7-1 9-1 W-4


Minnesota Lynx 14 3 0.824 1 6-2 8-1 8-1 7-3 W-1


Dallas Wings 8 10 0.444 8 4-6 4-4 6-3 5-5 L-1


Phoenix Mercury 7 10 0.412 8 5-4 2-6 1-8 5-5 L-1


Seattle Storm 6 10 0.375 9 4-5 2-5 2-6 4-6 L-1


San Antonio Stars 4 13 0.235 11 3-5 1-8 1-6 3-7 L-1



Updated Sun Jul 3 11:38 AM EDT

 

[CNOTES]

7/2 - Yesterday's Results: 2 - 2


July's Total: 5 - 5


Overall : WLT PCT UNITS RANK


ATS Picks 42-42-3 50.00% -2100


O/U Picks 47-40-0 54.02% +1500


SUNDAY, JULY 3


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


NY at LA 05:00 PM

LA -8.0


O 161.0




PHO at ATL 06:00 PM


PHO -2.0


U 174.0

 

[CNOTES]

7/3 - Yesterday's Results: 2 - 2


July's Total: 7 - 7


Overall : WLT PCT UNITS RANK

ATS Picks 44-42-3 51.16% -1100


O/U Picks 47-42-0 52.81% +400

 

[CNOTES]

WNBA Betting Recap - 6/27-7/3
July 3, 2016


League Betting Notes (Monday, June 27 through Sunday, July 3)


-- Favorites went 10-5 straight up (SU)
-- Underdogs went 10-5 against the spread (ATS)
-- Home teams posted a 8-7 SU record
-- Road teams posted a 12-3 ATS record
-- The 'over' went 8-6-1


Team Betting Notes


-- Dallas (8-9) was on a 12-1 'over' run heading into last week, but the 'under cashed in each of their games. The Wings also failed to cover in their third straight game at home.


-- Indiana (7-10) split a pair of games in the past week, and they also went 1-1 ATS. One constant for the Fever lately has been the totals -- as the 'over' has hit in three straight outings, tying a season high.


-- San Antonio (4-13) continues to struggle, going 1-2 SU/ATS this week. They had entered on a 4-0 ATS run. A loss against Minnesota (14-3) in the game Saturday was their first non-cover as double-digit 'dog in the past three. As a 10-point underdog or more, the Stars are a solid 4-3 ATS.


-- The Lynx opener with a WNBA record 13-game win streak to start the season, but then they went on to lose three in a row. They stemmed the tide with a win and cover against the lowly Stars, but they're just 5-6 ATS as a favorite 7 1/2 points or more.


-- Atlanta (8-9) have inexplicably dropped six in a row after an 8-3 SU start to the season as they fell to Phoenix (8-10) in Sunday's contest. The Mercury have come alive after an 0-4 SU/ATS start, going 8-6 SU/ATS over the past 14 outings.


-- The 'over' has been the play lately for the Mercury, going 6-1 over their past seven games, and 11-3 over the past 14 outings.


-- Washington (9-9) have been the play lately against the number, going 9-1 ATS over the past 10 games. After opening the season with 12 straight 'over' plays, the 'under has hit in four of their past six heading into their game Wednesday in San Antonio.


-- Connecticut (4-13) picked up a win against Dallas Saturday, snapping a three-game losing streak. The Sun picked up their third consecutive cover, a season-high, and the 'under' is also 3-0 during the span.

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack


-- Kevin Durant banks $54M for two years from the Warriors; Durant can opt out after next season. $1.6M day for his agent, at 3%.


-- Mark Cuban was one of two owners to vote against the NBA stealing the Sonics from Seattle and moving them to Oklahoma City.


-- Rajon Rondo got $28M for two years from Chicago, Pau Gasol $30M from the Spurs for two years, Harrison Barnes $94M for four years from Dallas.


-- In non-NBA financial news, I found 83 cents under the cushions in my couch.


-- Milwaukee Brewers won 1-0 in Washington, but also batted out of order.


-- Joey Chestnut downed 70 weiners to win the Nathan's hot dog eating contest in Brooklyn yesterday. They need to bring Kobiyashi back for some competition.


**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Looking at ACC football teams.....


Boston College-- Went 0-8 in ACC LY; last time they were better than 7-6 was '09. Lost last five bowl games, after winning eight in row before that. Completed 44.6% of their passes LY-- grad transfer QB Patrick Towles started 22 games at Kentucky, and he should help the BC offense a great deal.


Clemson-- 56-12 last five years, with a +11 turnover margin, surprisingly low; scored 39.3 ppg in last four bowl/playoff games. 5-10 vs spread in true road games last three years. 29-4 in ACC games last four years, with three losses to Florida State and one at Georgia Tech in 2014.


Duke-- Played in bowls last four years, with average total of 83.5- last three of those were decided by 5 or less points. Are 13-7 as home favorites last four years, 5-1-1 as road favorites the last decade, 12-3 in non-ACC games last three seasons.


Florida State-- Fisher is 68-14 at FSU, 32-3 in ACC games last four years. Lost last two bowls, allowing 97 points; they're 26-16-2 all-time in bowls. Have all 11 starters back on offense this year. FSU is 23-16-1 as a home favorite under Fisher.


Georgia Tech-- Slipped to 3-9 LY, first losing year since 2010- went 1-9 in last ten games, but win was over Florida State. Johnson is 107-73 as I-A coach, just 4-7 in bowl games; triple option is easier to defend when you have full month to prep for it.


Louisville-- Petrino has 17 starters back, including top six rushers, top 10 WRs, so expect them to score a lot- they went 8-5 with freshman QB LY. Cards are 9-15 as home favorites last four years, Won last five games (3-1-1 vs spread) with Kentucky.


Miami-- Alum Mark Richt (145-51 at Georgia, 9-5 in bowls) is new coach. Lost last five bowl games, scoring just 15 ppg- they were favored in three of them. Canes are 16-9-1 vs spread at home last four years. Have junior QB Kaaya back-- he's started 25 games the last two years.


North Carolina-- Went 11-3 LY, their best year since '97. Are 15-9 as home favorite under Fedora, 4-7 as road underdog. Lost three of last four bowls, allowing 40+ points in the losses. Play Florida State-Va Tech-Miami on consecutive Saturdays early on.


NC State-- Wolfpack is 6-18 in ACC games under Doeren, 8-15-1 vs spread- LY they were 0-7 vs bowl eligible teams. Favorites are 10-4-1 vs spread in their road games last three years. New OC, new QB are both transfers from Boise State.


Pittsburgh-- Had four coaches the last six years; have 8 starters back on both sides of ball this year, so some welcomed continuity. Lost three of last three bowls, allowing average of 36 ppg. 4-9 vs spread at home last two years. Last three years, Pitt is 5-13 vs spread coming off a win.


Syracuse-- Babers is third coach in five years- they have top five rushers, seven of top eight WRs back. Orange is 7-14 vs spread as road dog the last five years. Syracuse won last three bowls- they weren't favored in any of them. Are playing I-AA team for sixth year in a row.


Virginia-- Last bowl was 2011, last bowl win was in '05. Mendenhall was 99-43 at BYU, 6-5 in bowls. Cavs are 6-11-3 as home favorites since 2011- they're 8-24 SU in ACC games last four years. Have senior QB who has started 27 games. .


Virginia Tech-- Fuente went 19-7 last two years at Memphis; replaces legendary VT coach Beamer here. Tech is 8-17-1 as home favorite last five years, 3-9 as road favorite last four years. Tech won three of last four bowls- they've been to a bowl the last 23 years in a row. Not an easy task replacing a legend.


Wake Forest-- Their stadium seats 31,500, #94 out of 128 in I-A football. Last bowl was in 2011, last bowl win in '09. Since '07, Wake is 14-24 as road underdog- over last decade, they're 19-11-1 as home dogs. Their QBs have been sacked 88 times the last two seasons, during which time Wake has sacked opposing QBs 48 times.

 

[CNOTES]

WNBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, July 5


Chicago @ Minnesota

Game 603-604
July 5, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
111.511
Minnesota
119.102
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 7 1/2
161
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 10
166 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+10); Under

Phoenix @ Dallas

Game 605-606
July 5, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
109.611
Dallas
112.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 3
184
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 1
179
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-1); Over

Seattle @ Atlanta

Game 601-602
July 5, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
106.391
Atlanta
107.922
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1 1/2
174
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 4
169
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+4); Over




WNBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, July 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (6 - 10) at ATLANTA (8 - 9) - 7/5/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 125-159 ATS (-49.9 Units) in road games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) in road games after a division game since 1997.
ATLANTA is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (7 - 9) at MINNESOTA (14 - 3) - 7/5/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (8 - 10) at DALLAS (8 - 10) - 7/5/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in home games this season.
DALLAS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games this season.
DALLAS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 8-5 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 8-5 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




WNBA

Tuesday, July 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. ATLANTA
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Seattle is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. MINNESOTA
Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Chicago

8:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. DALLAS
Phoenix is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Dallas is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Phoenix

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Storm (6-10) at Dream (8-9)
Date: July 05, 2016 7:00 PM EDT

Atlanta, the early surprise in the WNBA, has stumbled, losing six straight games to fall below .500, after maintaining first place in the Eastern Conference for over a month.


The Dream will try to take advantage of a rebounding edge to turn things around Tuesday, when the up-and-down Seattle Storm visit Philips Arena.


The Dream (8-9) haven't won since an overtime victory against Chicago on June 17. They're averaging just 76.0 point during the losing streak. Their ball movement has slowed, and they're now last in the WNBA in assists.


Atlanta squandered a seven-point fourth-quarter lead in a home loss to Phoenix on Sunday. The Mercury, led by a triple-double from Brittney Griner, closed out the Dream with a 23-6 run in the final seven minutes of the game.


"We have to play more disciplined in the end," Dream forward Tiffany Hayes told reporters after the loss to Phoenix. "I think in the third quarter we lost our focus. We just have to put together four complete quarters."


The Dream have remained among the league's top rebounding teams, though, and are second in the WNBA at 36.6 boards per game, something that could pay dividends against the Storm.


Seattle (6-10) is last in the WNBA in rebounding, but was able to overcome a disadvantage on the boards in an 84-81 win over the Dream last week. Seattle star Sue Bird scored a career-high 38 points, including a clutch off-balance jumper with 8.2 seconds in the win.


The Storm were unable to build off that win, though, and followed it up with a 83-78 home loss to Dallas on June 30. Seattle didn't score in the final 2:15 in the loss to the Wings.


Atlanta's Angel McCoughtry is third in the WNBA in scoring, averaging 19.6 points per game. Seattle rookie Breanna Stewart leads the Storm, averaging 18.8 points per game.


The trip to Atlanta tips off a three-game road trip for Seattle. The Storm are 2-5 on the road this season.


The two teams split last season's meetings, each winning on their home floor.




WNBA HEAD TO HEAD


Jun 28, 2016 Score ATS Results
ATL 81 Cover: 2.5
SEA « 84 Push: 165
Tools:


Jul 18, 2015 Score ATS Results
ATL 74 Over: 160
SEA « 86 Cover: 14.5
Tools: Recaps


Jul 5, 2015 Score ATS Results
SEA 64 Under: 136
ATL « 72 Cover: 1.5
Tools: Recaps

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Sky (7-9) at Lynx (14-3)
Date: July 05, 2016 8:00 PM EDT

After a record start to the season, the Minnesota Lynx have cooled off and enter Tuesday's home game against the up-and-down Chicago Sky having lost three of four.


The Lynx (14-3) got off to the best start in WNBA history, winning their first 13 games, including a convincing 97-80 win over the Sky in their second game of the season. But Minnesota dropped three straight games following their record start, including a back-to-back blowout defeats to the Los Angeles Sparks and Washington Mystics.


They recovered with 91-68 rout of San Antonio on Saturday, but have fallen two games behind the first-place Sparks in the race for the best record in the league.


The Lynx got a big lift from their bench in the win over San Antonio. Reserve forward Natasha Howard came off the bench to score a game-high 21 points, and backup guard Jia Perkins added 14 points. Minnesota shot 52.3 percent from the floor and made 21 of 24 free throws.


The Sky (7-9) have lost four of six, but are coming off an overtime win over the Mystics on Friday.


Reigning MVP Elena Delle Donne had 28 points and 11 rebounds, and Courtney Vandersloot hit a shot with 4.6 seconds left in overtime to help Chicago end a two-game slide.


Minnesota forward Sylvia Fowles dominated the first meeting against the Sky, scoring 24 points and grabbing 13 rebounds in her first game against her former team. Fowles spent seven seasons in Chicago, before signing with Lynx late last season. She went on to be named WNBA Finals MVP, as the Lynx defeated the Indiana Fever to earn last season's championship.


Tuesday's game will feature a battle of two of the premier players in the league in Minnesota's Maya Moore and Delle Donne, who has scored 20-plus points in five straight outings. She is second in the league in scoring, averaging 20.3 points per game. Moore is averaging 18.5 points. 5.0 rebounds and 4.5 assists for the Lynx.


Chicago is 1-5 in its last six meetings with Minnesota. The Sky's lone win came last July, 90-83, at home.



WNBA HEAD TO HEAD


May 18, 2016 Score ATS Results
MIN « 97 Cover: 13.5
CHI 80 Over: 177
Tools: Recaps


Jul 17, 2015 Score ATS Results
CHI 66 Under: 150
MIN « 84 Cover: 13
Tools: Recaps


Jul 10, 2015 Score ATS Results
MIN 83 Over: 175
CHI « 92 Cover: 13
Tools: Recaps

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Mercury (8-10) at Wings (8-10)
Date: July 05, 2016 8:30 PM EDT

Coming off her triple-double in a win at Atlanta, Phoenix's Brittney Griner leads the Mercury into Dallas to take on the Wings on Tuesday in a battle of the two highest-scoring teams in the WNBA at College Park Arena.


Griner poured 27 points, grabbed 10 rebounds and blocked 10 shots against Atlanta, leading the Mercury to their third win in their last four games. It was only the sixth triple-double in WNBA history and first since the 2014 season. Phoenix (8-10) outscored Atlanta 23-6 in the final seven minutes of Sunday's win.


Led by Griner and Diana Taurasi, the Mercury are averaging 88.2 points, tops in the league. Taurasi is fourth in the league in scoring at 19.0 per game. Griner is averaging 14.3 points and leads the league in blocks at 2.7 per game.


But while the Mercury are putting up big offensive numbers, they're struggling on the defensive end of the floor. Phoenix is last in points allowed, surrendering 88.6 points per game, and is 10th in rebounding at 31.8 per game.


The Wings (8-10) hung 117 points on the Mercury, albeit in a triple-overtime road win June 18. Dallas followed that win up two days later with a 100-90 home victory over the Mercury.


The Wings are averaging 86.2 points per game, but, like Phoenix, have struggled defensively. They're allowing 87.6 points per game, the second most in the league, behind the Mercury.


Odyssey Sims paces six Dallas players averaging in double figures. Sims is averaging 15.1 points per game, followed by Karima Christmas (14.1), Skylar Diggins (13.3), Glory Johnson (12.1) and Plenette Pierson (10.4) and Aerial Powers (10.0).


The Mercury and Stars are in a group of Western Conference teams trying to narrow the gap on league powers Minnesota and Los Angeles. The top eight teams, regardless of conference, make the playoffs this season. Phoenix and Dallas are in a tie for seventh in the overall league standings.


The two teams met seven times last season, including in the Western Conference playoffs, with the Mercury winning five of seven meetings.



WNBA HEAD TO HEAD


Jun 21, 2016 Score ATS Results
PHO 90 Over: 190
DAL « 100 Cover: 13
Tools: Recaps


Jun 18, 2016 Score ATS Results
DAL 103 Cover: 7.5
PHO « 103 Over: 206
Tools: Recaps

 

[CNOTES]

7/3 - Sunday's Results: 2 - 2


July's Total: 7 - 7


Overall : WLT PCT UNITS RANK


ATS Picks 44-42-3 51.16% -1100


O/U Picks 47-42-0 52.81% +400

 

[CNOTES]

Standings

EASTERN CONFERENCE


Team Win Loss Percent GB Home Away Conf. Last 10 Streak


New York Liberty 12 6 0.667 0 4-4 8-2 6-1 8-2 L-1


Washington Mystics 9 9 0.500 3 4-6 5-3 5-4 7-3 L-1


Atlanta Dream 8 9 0.471 3 4-4 4-5 6-4 2-8 L-6


Chicago Sky 7 9 0.438 4 4-3 3-6 5-4 5-5 W-1


Indiana Fever 7 10 0.412 4 3-5 4-5 3-5 4-6 L-1


Connecticut Sun 4 13 0.235 7 2-6 2-7 0-7 3-7 W-1





WESTERN CONFERENCE


Team Win Loss Percent GB Home Away Conf. Last 10 Streak


Los Angeles Sparks 16 1 0.941 0 9-1 7-0 7-1 9-1 W-5


Minnesota Lynx 14 3 0.824 2 6-2 8-1 8-1 7-3 W-1


Dallas Wings 8 10 0.444 8 4-6 4-4 6-3 5-5 L-1


Phoenix Mercury 8 10 0.444 8 5-4 3-6 1-8 6-4 W-1


Seattle Storm 6 10 0.375 9 4-5 2-5 2-6 4-6 L-1


San Antonio Stars 4 13 0.235 12 3-5 1-8 1-6 3-7 L-1





Updated Tue Jul 5 11:38 AM EDT

 

[CNOTES]

TUESDAY, JULY 5


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


SEA at ATL 07:00 PM

ATL -5.5


U 168.5




CHI at MIN 08:00 PM


MIN -11.0


U 166.5




PHO at DAL 08:30 PM


PHO +1.5


O 179.5

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack


-- Because of Brexit, looks like the winner of this year's British Open could make as much as $300,000 less than last year's winner made.


-- Ben Zobrist beat Daniel Murphy by 88 votes in NL All-Star voting at 2B.


-- The entire starting infield for the National League are Cubs.


-- Cleveland is 11-0 against the Tigers this season.


-- Mets had been very hot; they activate Jose Reyes and lose 5-2 to the Marlins.


-- Ben Simmons (leg cramps) left Monday's summer league game early, then didn't play in Tuesday's game. He had 10 points, eight rebounds, five assists Monday in his Sixers' debut, out in the Utah summer league.


**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings.......


13) Kevin Durant made sportswriting a very easy job this week, other than the fact that he also made lot of writers work on July 4th.


My take is this: Durant can do as he pleases; its a free country. You want to play for the Warriors, knock yourself out, but it gives the perception that he is not a leader and people will root against him because of it. Does that matter to him?


At the end of the day he will be really, really rich no matter what he chose; what does he care what we think? Will it effect his brand one way or the other? Only if he never wins an NBA title-- people are frontrunners and will always cheer a winner. .


12) Dallas Mavericks signed Seth Curry to a 2-year contract; Steph's little brother cashes in on the good season he had with Sacramento this year.


11) Cincinnati Reds fired their pitching coach this week, which won't help a thing. What they need are better pitchers, about five or six of them. Maybe seven.


10) I'm not a fan of the red-white-blue uniforms all the major league teams wear on holidays. I get it; we're Americans, we're patriotic and all that, but creating new stuff to sell online, whether it be for Mothers' Day, Fathers' Day, July 4, whatever-- just wear the normal uniforms-- hell, Arizona has eight sets of those. Enough.


9) Joey Chestnut credits playing the trumpet in high school with his being so good at stuffing hot dogs down his throat. I don't get the connection, but Mr Chestnut went to the same high school as CC Sabathia- they must have a good cafeteria there.


8) Was surprised to learn that San Jose and San Diego both have more people than San Francisco. Wouldn't have guessed that.


7) Marlins' catcher JT Realmuto has batted in every spot in the batting order this season, except for ninth.


6) Another Marlins note: if they make the playoffs, Dee Gordon can't play in them this year, because of his 80-game PED suspension.


5) Mets activated Jose Reyes and for some reason, Travis d'Arnaud gave him back uniform #7-- was surprised by that.


4) OK, you're an NBA GM: Would you rather give Timofey Mosgov $65M for four years or Bismack Biyombo $72M for four?


My choice would be Biyombo, but the guy has scored 4.6 ppg in his NBA career- he is a decent rebounder, shot blocker. In this market, that dictates $18M a year.


3) 76ers coach Brett Brown was telling a story on TV Monday about cutting Matthew Dellavedova from the Australian Olympic team in 2010;; was talking about how it was so painful for Dellavedova to get cut that Brown kind of knew at that point that Dellavedova was dedicated enough as a player to make a living at it. Dellavedova signed a $38M contract with the Bucks this week- go figure.


2) My new favorite word is "salty" as in: Getting asked for the 11th time about Tom Brady's suspension made the coach salty. Not mad, angry, annoyed, ticked off, pissed off, infuriated, ballistic-- salty. It has a certain ring to it.


1) Bob Stoops/Kirk Ferentz have both been in their current jobs for 18 years, making them the longest tenured I-A college football coaches in America. When was last time no I-A football coach has been in their job for 20+ years?

 

[CNOTES]

WNBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, July 6


Seattle @ New York

Game 651-652
July 6, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
104.329
New York
117.288
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 13
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 8 1/2
160
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(-8 1/2); Under

Washington @ San Antonio

Game 653-654
July 6, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
108.341
San Antonio
99.817
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 8 1/2
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 7
150
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-7); Over

Indiana @ Los Angeles

Game 655-656
July 6, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
109.641
Los Angeles
116.722
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 8
164
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 11
158 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+11); Over




WNBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, July 6

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (6 - 10) at NEW YORK (12 - 6) - 7/6/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 125-159 ATS (-49.9 Units) in road games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1997.
NEW YORK is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (9 - 9) at SAN ANTONIO (4 - 13) - 7/6/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 172-216 ATS (-65.6 Units) after a division game since 1997.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-1 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (7 - 10) at LOS ANGELES (16 - 1) - 7/6/2016, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games against Western conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 51-81 ATS (-38.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games against Eastern conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 159-201 ATS (-62.1 Units) after scoring 75 points or more since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 2-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 3-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




WNBA

Wednesday, July 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. NEW YORK
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
Seattle is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New York
New York is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle

8:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Washington's last 21 games
San Antonio is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

10:30 PM
INDIANA vs. LOS ANGELES
Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 7 games

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Storm (6-11) at Liberty (12-6)
Date: July 06, 2016 7:00 PM EDT

New York Liberty forward Tina Charles is having a better season than she did when she won the WNBA's MVP award in 2012.


Charles is averaging career bests for points (a league-leading 22.8) and assists (4.3). The seventh-year pro leads the league in rebounding (9.8 per game) and is shooting 46.5 percent from the field, her highest mark since making 49.9 percent in her MVP season.


"My teammates put me in the position to be successful," Charles said told SBNation.com after Sunday's 77-67 loss at the Los Angeles Sparks. "It gives me the confidence I need, knowing my team has confidence in me."


The Liberty (12-6) lost all three regular-season meetings to WNBA-leading Los Angeles, but they will try to get back on the winning track Wednesday when they play host to the Seattle Storm in Madison Square Garden.


Seattle, which was 6-10 entering Tuesday night's game at Atlanta, will be playing on back-to-back nights for the only time this season.


Charles has scored at least 21 points in nine consecutive games, twice topping 30. She and Los Angeles center Candace Parker are the only players in the league to rank in the top 10 in scoring, rebounding and assists.


Seattle has emerging star power, thanks to having the top pick in each of the past two drafts. Guard Jewell Loyd, the No. 1 pick in 2015, is averaging 17.1 points per game. This year's top pick, forward Breanna Stewart, is averaging team highs with 18.8 points and 9.3 rebounds per game.


Veteran guard Sue Bird averages 13.5 points per game.


New York won the first meeting this season, 86-78 on June 5 in Seattle. The Liberty had a plus-nine edge on the glass and shot 49.3 percent from the field to Seattle's 40.3 percent. New York leads the WNBA in rebounding and Seattle is last.


Loyd missed all eight shots from the field and had a season-low three points in the first meeting. Stewart, like Loyd, missed all five of her 3-point attempts but did have a career-high 17 rebounds.


Charles had a double-double (19 points, 13 rebounds), while getting the usual scoring help from guard Sugar Rodgers, who scored 18. Rodgers is averaging 16.2 points per game and has made 43.5 percent of her 3-pointers.

WNBA HEAD TO HEAD


Jun 5, 2016 Score ATS Results
NEW « 86 Cover: 6
SEA 78 Over: 164
Tools: Recaps


Aug 2, 2015 Score ATS Results
SEA 62 Under: 140
NEW « 78 Cover: 7
Tools: Recaps


Jul 21, 2015 Score ATS Results
NEW « 81 Over: 158
SEA 77 Cover: 0.5
Tools: Recaps

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Mystics (9-9) at Stars (4-13)
Date: July 06, 2016 8:00 PM EDT

The Washington Mystics had an easy time beating the San Antonio Stars last week in Washington.


Perhaps things will be different when the teams meet Wednesday night in San Antonio -- but probably not, if the Stars are without their leading scorer.


Guard Kayla McBride, who leads the Stars at 17.1 points per game, was helped off the court in the third quarter of Saturday's game at Minnesota after suffering what was diagnosed as a sprained right foot, the team announced Tuesday afternoon. Her status was listed as day to day.


In last week's meeting, the Stars scored the first two points of the game, but the Mystics then went on an 18-0 run. Washington held San Antonio to a season low for points in a quarter (seven) and eventually pushed the lead to 30 in the second half before taking an 84-67 victory.


The energy level was especially pleasing to Washington coach Mike Thibault.


"That's been our biggest focus -- that we play harder than who we're playing against and that we play with high energy and try to get people on their heels," Thibault said after the win. "If you do that, you give yourself a chance every night."


Washington (9-9) started a five-game trip with an 86-84 loss at the Chicago Sky on Friday night. San Antonio (4-13) is coming off a 91-68 loss to Minnesota.


Generating offense has been San Antonio's foremost problem. The Stars average a league-low 74.2 points per game and are last in field goal shooting percentage (40.6).


None of their starters in last week's loss at Washington scored in double figures. Those five combined to make 8 of 28 shots from the field.


Rookie guard Moriah Jefferson is second on the team in scoring behind McBride, averaging 10.8 points to go with 4.1 assists per game.


For Washington, guard Tayler Hill averages a team-high 15.7 points, with forward Emma Meesseman posting averages of 14.9 points and 5.6 rebounds.


Despite the loss at Chicago, Washington has bounced back nicely from a 2-6 start.


"That was not looking very good at the start," Thibault said. "We maintained that once we got healthy and everyone got a chance to get a little rhythm together, we would get better."



WNBA HEAD TO HEAD


Jun 29, 2016 Score ATS Results
SA 67 Under: 151
WAS « 84 Cover: 7.5
Tools: Recaps


Aug 5, 2015 Score ATS Results
SA 63 Cover: 7
WAS « 66 Under: 129
Tools: Recaps


Jul 31, 2015 Score ATS Results
WAS « 88 Cover: 33.5
SA 53 Under: 141
Tools: