2016 season long dog picks

[Buckeyefan80]

1-3 Thursday
YTD 34-51 -3.05

Syracuse +6 -110 (1 unit)
Syracuse ML +175(.5 unit)

Texas +3.5 -120 (1 unit)
Texas ML +150 (.5 unit)

Miami OH +5 -110 (1 unit)
Miami OH ML +170 (.5 unit)

Adding:
UConn +4.5 -110 (1 unit)
Uconn ML (.5 unit)

 

[Buckeyefan80]

Memphis became a play now that they are dogs:

Memphis +1 -105 (1 unit)
Memphis ML +102 (1 unit)
Going with 1 unit on this ML instead of the usual .5 due to the fact Memphis was a road fave over a ranked team (until the line move), another tool I use favors Memphis, and because Lang released his biggest play of the season on Navy. Lang is an auto fade and even more so when he releases anything over 60 dimes.

 

[Buckeyefan80]

4-6 Saturday + .575 units
38-57 YTD -2.475 units
Lang has been on fire with his big plays so won't be fading him until he goes cold again. Shouldn't take long, usually doesn't.

 

[Buckeyefan80]

Plays for Oct. 27-29

Miami OH +7 -110
Miami ML +235

UConn +7 -120
UConn ML +225

North Texas +4.5 -110
North Texas ML +165

New Mexico +4 -110
New Mexico ML +160

May become plays if lines moves my way:

Kentucky

 

[Buckeyefan80]

All ATS are 1 unit and all ML are .5 unit unless specified.

 

[Buckeyefan80]

Adding

Kentucky +4 -110
Kentucky ML +160

 

[Buckeyefan80]

Looks like that is going to be all this weekend. GLTA

 

[Buckeyefan80]

Will be back later to update record but wanted to get the valid plays so far in. No MLs yet tho

Oklahoma St +2.5 -110

Looks like that is all until the rest of the lines come out.

 

[Buckeyefan80]

So my math is not good or I should just not update this while drinking. Lol. Anyway I went back through each week and here is my tally:

Week 1: 2-0 (+2.05 units)
Week 2: 3-5 (-1.025 units) 5-5 YTD (+102.5 units)
Week 3: 2-8 (-5.775 units) 7-13 YTD (-4.75 units)
Week 4: 3-11 (-5.125 units) 10-24 YTD (-9.875 units)
Week 5: 4-10 (-3.85 units) 14-34 YTD (-13.725 units)
Week 6: 10-10 (+1.325 units) 24-44 YTD (-12.4 units)
Week 7: 10-6 (+4.85 units) 34-50 (-7.55 units)
Week 8: 7-7 (+1.225 units) 41-57 YTD (-6.325 units)
Week 9: 6-4 (+2.5 units) 47-61 YTD (-3.825 units)

Pending for Week 10:

Oklahoma St +2.5 -110
Oklahoma St ML +125

Will add if anything else makes the card. GLTA

 

[Buckeyefan80]

Adding:

Pitt +5 -109 (1 unit)
Pitt ML +178 (.5 unit)

 

[Buckeyefan80]

Week 1: 2-0 (+2.05 units)
Week 2: 3-5 (-1.025 units) 5-5 YTD (+102.5 units)
Week 3: 2-8 (-5.775 units) 7-13 YTD (-4.75 units)
Week 4: 3-11 (-5.125 units) 10-24 YTD (-9.875 units)
Week 5: 4-10 (-3.85 units) 14-34 YTD (-13.725 units)
Week 6: 10-10 (+1.325 units) 24-44 YTD (-12.4 units)
Week 7: 10-6 (+4.85 units) 34-50 YTD (-7.55 units)
Week 8: 7-7 (+1.225 units) 41-57 YTD (-6.325 units)
Week 9: 6-4 (+2.5 units) 47-61 YTD (-3.825 units)
Week 10: 2-2 (+.035 units) 49-63 YTD (-3.79 units)


Week 11 plays:

Vanderbilt +3.5 -115 (1 unit)
Vanderbilt ML +150 (.5 unit)

 

[Buckeyefan80]

Adding:

New Mexico +2.5 -110 (1 unit)
New Mexico ML +115 (.5 unit)

I really don't like the Vanderbilt play with 92% bets on them and line moving from -1 to -3.5 but it is a system play so I gotta stick with it.

 

[Buckeyefan80]

1 more:

Colorado St +6 -110 (1 unit)
Colorado St ML +210 (.5 unit)

 

[Buckeyefan80]

Week 1: 2-0 (+2.05 units)
Week 2: 3-5 (-1.025 units) 5-5 YTD (+1.025 units)
Week 3: 2-8 (-5.775 units) 7-13 YTD (-4.75 units)
Week 4: 3-11 (-5.125 units) 10-24 YTD (-9.875 units)
Week 5: 4-10 (-3.85 units) 14-34 YTD (-13.725 units)
Week 6: 10-10 (+1.325 units) 24-44 YTD (-12.4 units)
Week 7: 10-6 (+4.85 units) 34-50 YTD (-7.55 units)
Week 8: 7-7 (+1.225 units) 41-57 YTD (-6.325 units)
Week 9: 6-4 (+2.5 units) 47-61 YTD (-3.825 units)
Week 10: 2-2 (+.035 units) 49-63 YTD (-3.79 units)
Week 11: 3-3 (+.425 units) 52-66 YTD (-3.365 units)

 

[Buckeyefan80]

If you take out the first 4 weeks which it is advised not to play this model, then it is 42-42 (+6.51 units). On to Week 12 plays:

Connecticut +7 -110 (1 unit)
Connecticut ML +235 (.5 unit)

Washington State +3.5 -110 (1 unit)
Washington State ML +155 (.5 unit)

Oklahoma State +4.5 -110 (1 unit)
Oklahoma State ML +168 (.5 unit)

Will add if any more become plays. Really like that WSU play as books should be over-correcting for Colorado since they are 9-1 ATS, which is also why it worries me to take WSU. Good Luck with whatever you play.

 

[Buckeyefan80]

Add:

Arkansas +1 (1 unit)
Arkansas ML -102 (.5 unit)

 

[Buckeyefan80]

Week 1: 2-0 (+2.05 units)
Week 2: 3-5 (-1.025 units) 5-5 YTD (+1.025 units)
Week 3: 2-8 (-5.775 units) 7-13 YTD (-4.75 units)
Week 4: 3-11 (-5.125 units) 10-24 YTD (-9.875 units)
Week 5: 4-10 (-3.85 units) 14-34 YTD (-13.725 units)
Week 6: 10-10 (+1.325 units) 24-44 YTD (-12.4 units)
Week 7: 10-6 (+4.85 units) 34-50 YTD (-7.55 units)
Week 8: 7-7 (+1.225 units) 41-57 YTD (-6.325 units)
Week 9: 6-4 (+2.5 units) 47-61 YTD (-3.825 units)
Week 10: 2-2 (+.035 units) 49-63 YTD (-3.79 units)
Week 11: 3-3 (+.425 units) 52-66 YTD (-3.365 units)
Week 12: 4-4 (+.14 units) 56-70 YTD (-3.225 units)

Not including first 4 weeks that it is not recommended to play 46-46 +6.65 units

 

[Buckeyefan80]

Doesn't look like there will be any Week 13 plays. Will update if anything changes.

 

[Buckeyefan80]

Nevada +9.5 -110 (1 unit)
Nevada ML +290 (.5 unit)

 

[MGMan]

On my way to Columbus now for tomorrow's game. Go Bucks.