That should be a good sign for you 14. Let me explain the system a little further to hopefully clear some things up. First, I cannot take any credit for it. It was something I stumbled upon and have been using for a few years now. I am trying something new this year to see if it could be any more profitable or not. The system was set up more to filter out plays you like rather than tell you what to play. For example, say you like 4 games this weekend doing your own research. You then look at this model and see if it agrees with the plays you have. If not, toss those games out and if it does agree, those are the games to play. I'm not saying you will win those games, but you will increase your chances of coming out ahead at the end of the year, which is the goal.
Now, to the games I have been playing. First off, this week (week 5) is where the numbers start to kick in. I only play games where the system has the underdog winning SU and where the difference between how many points the system has the dog winning by along with the amount of points the dog is getting is at least 6. It really shouldn't be used the first 4 weeks because it is still using last years data at that point, hence why the record is not too great so far. Another reason is because I have been playing the ML as well as ATS. Typically from Week 5 on ATS hits somewhere around 60%. Remember this does not include ML plays, I am just hoping to hit some ML dogs for a more profitable year. I probably should lower the ML bets to .25 unit but with the system ramping up I probably won't.
Minnesota will not be a play, barring a miracle line move. The system has Iowa winning by 10 and Iowa is -1.5 so the difference is 8.5.
GL everyone and feel free to ask any questions.