2014 Kempom System

[wub1098]

Wub,,
this system takes time to fully understand

Can a Moderator please delete my previous two posts.
Yea, Morri I realized that myself lol. I went back and re-read the criteria after I posted and I have scrubbed the list for what I now believe are correct. Please comment, confirm, or correct. Thanks.

#282 Central Mich +9 vs #201 Kent St

#289 Montana St +9 vs #204 Northern Colorado

(Does a 200+ ranked team have to be playing a team that's 200+ in ranking for it be a play or do they just have to be ranked 140+? If the latter these are not a plays, but may be considered "borderline" perhaps. Can someone verify this?)

#287 Ill Chicago +9.5 vs #185 Youngstown St

#302 Samford +10.5 vs #197 Elon

#305 Eastern Illinois +12.5 vs #171 Murray St

 

[Willie99]

I used the rankings from Kenpom.com (I'm assuming that is the right one). These are all the games I found that fit into the system. Couldn't sleep and thought I'd contribute a little this forum has given so much to me. All lines are current as of this post and come from Scores&Odds bc that's what my local uses. Hope this helps...Lets crush the books today BOL on your action. Can anyone else verify these are the plays? Thanks.

#140-199
Depaul +12
Houston+16
Loyola Marymount+17.5

#200-Southern Utah
Fordham +12
TCU +23.5
Northern Ill +11
Miss St +10
Marshall +7.5
Florida Int +11.5
Troy +9
Air Force +17
CS Northridge +13
S. Alabama +9
Cal Riverside +13.5
Central Mich +9
Tulane +11.5
Ill Chicago +9.5
Montana St. +9
San Jose St +9.5
Samford +10.5
E Illinois +12.5
Rice +19.5

1) I thought it was small conference?
2) I don't think PC -12 and Cinn -16 are rated 140-199 (I thought it's based upon the favorites rating)

am I missing something?

 

[wub1098]

1) I thought it was small conference?
2) I don't think PC -12 and Cinn -16 are rated 140-199 (I thought it's based upon the favorites rating)

am I missing something?

Willie, disregard that post it is incorrect. I believe the one above it I posted is correct. Waiting for someone to verify.

I'm looking forward to seeing your card for Saturday. Stay on fire!! BOL with your action.

 

[Willie99]

Willie, disregard that post it is incorrect. I believe the one above it I posted is correct. Waiting for someone to verify.

I'm looking forward to seeing your card for Saturday. Stay on fire!! BOL with your action.

thank you, I'll try my best

 

[Willie99]

Can a Moderator please delete my previous two posts.
Yea, Morri I realized that myself lol. I went back and re-read the criteria after I posted and I have scrubbed the list for what I now believe are correct. Please comment, confirm, or correct. Thanks.

#282 Central Mich +9 vs #201 Kent St

#289 Montana St +9 vs #204 Northern Colorado

(Does a 200+ ranked team have to be playing a team that's 200+ in ranking for it be a play or do they just have to be ranked 140+? If the latter these are not a plays, but may be considered "borderline" perhaps. Can someone verify this?)

#287 Ill Chicago +9.5 vs #185 Youngstown St

#302 Samford +10.5 vs #197 Elon

#305 Eastern Illinois +12.5 vs #171 Murray St

OK, this makes more sense

thanks for looking this stuff up

 

[Betallsports]

Can a Moderator please delete my previous two posts.
Yea, Morri I realized that myself lol. I went back and re-read the criteria after I posted and I have scrubbed the list for what I now believe are correct. Please comment, confirm, or correct. Thanks.

#282 Central Mich +9 vs #201 Kent St

#289 Montana St +9 vs #204 Northern Colorado

(Does a 200+ ranked team have to be playing a team that's 200+ in ranking for it be a play or do they just have to be ranked 140+? If the latter these are not a plays, but may be considered "borderline" perhaps. Can someone verify this?)

#287 Ill Chicago +9.5 vs #185 Youngstown St

#302 Samford +10.5 vs #197 Elon

#305 Eastern Illinois +12.5 vs #171 Murray St

It has been deleted.

 

[deryckp]

still confused. so are the reds- todays plays?

 

[wub1098]

still confused. so are the reds- todays plays?

Correct

 

[deryckp]

thanks

 

[Salsantorre]

Ill Chi. Is not a play

 

[morri1962]

View Space | Friends | Playbook |

Rookie Joined: Dec 2006 Posts: 974 Location: Massachusetts

#1509 Posted: 2/15/2014 9:12:41 AM ok guys good morning and good luck today! system record: 3-0 I see 4 system plays with a few that are border line. ill post the 4 and we also can discuss maybe plays.again...any angle we can get with these lines we will take, central Michigan +9 samford +10.5 eastern Illinois +12 Montana st +9 good luck today. couple plays are close,,(Illinois Chicago,tulane )and lets see the lines and movement and possible 'play on' ryno

 

[XSPower]

Good luck today!!!!

 

[Ketch]

View Space | Friends | Playbook |

Rookie Joined: Dec 2006 Posts: 974 Location: Massachusetts

#1509 Posted: 2/15/2014 9:12:41 AM ok guys good morning and good luck today! system record: 3-0 I see 4 system plays with a few that are border line. ill post the 4 and we also can discuss maybe plays.again...any angle we can get with these lines we will take, central Michigan +9 samford +10.5 eastern Illinois +12 Montana st +9 good luck today. couple plays are close,,(Illinois Chicago,tulane )and lets see the lines and movement and possible 'play on' ryno

These are the plays today!!

 

[morri1962]

good luck to all !!!!!!!! thanks to Blak_Mamba for starting it here !!!!!!cheersgif

 

[wub1098]

Ill Chi. Is not a play

Yea, Morri I realized that myself lol. I went back and re-read the criteria after I posted and I have scrubbed the list for what I now believe are correct. Please comment, confirm, or correct. Thanks.

#282 Central Mich +9 vs #201 Kent St

#289 Montana St +9 vs #204 Northern Colorado

(Does a 200+ ranked team have to be playing a team that's 200+ in ranking for it be a play or do they just have to be ranked 140+? If the latter these are not a plays, but may be considered "borderline" perhaps. Can someone verify this?)

#287 Ill Chicago +9.5 vs #185 Youngstown St

#302 Samford +10.5 vs #197 Elon

#305 Eastern Illinois +12.5 vs #171 Murray St

Is Ill-Chicago eliminated because for a 200+ ranked team playing a team ranked between 140-199 needs to be a DD dog?

 

[BLAK_MAMBA]

JWP do you kiss your MOTHER with that mouth???? as for the system I too have been following for a few years !!!!You are correct I did jump on your post did not read the first post#1. As for learning to read I think you said penn st, which was penn at +9. we all have a lil reading problems. I can't cap for shit I try to find good cappers and learn from them.....

It just shows u what kind of character u have. You've got a lot to learn in this business kid, im rooting for u i really do. But im afraid you're gonna lose a lot more than u win.

 

[BLAK_MAMBA]

HE UPDATED ON 1/18

View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |

Veteran Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 4614 Location: Texas

#1241 Posted: 1/18/2014 2:13:06 AM Ryno: I contacted you with some inside information for your eyes only System Update (for those that are interested): 1. System should start Feb 13th (some would argue Feb 20th and they would have a point) and run to the end of the season and not include conference tourney games (although you could certainly use some of the principles to narrow down cards and look more closely at games). 2. System should use a sliding scale and begin around Kenpom 140, understand that for teams ranked by Kenpom between #140-200, lines should be DD before it qualifies as a play. For teams #200-Southern Utah, lines of 7.5 or higher to constitute a play (of course you are still welcome to use your own brain and consider games that just miss the criteria as games that you should possibly look at more closely and consider playing). 3. Games played on Thursday (or Friday) should be weighed more heavily than Saturday (or Sunday) aka the infamous two-game in three night small conference road trips. So what I am saying is that I am more likely to play a borderline game on a Thursday (or Friday) and more likely to layoff a borderline game on Saturday (or Sunday). Lastly, there are just guidelines to help you dwindle down big cards and give you are things to consider besides the normal capping BS that you read on this forum (and many other including the 140-character site, hope you see how those "cappers" are doing - ouch). The fact is that most gamblers are still doing the same things that they were doing when the system blew up a number of years ago. They still bet big teams that are televised (and who, of course, have the tightest lines imaginable). They still bet favorites and they still feel completely stupid when they bet on small conference team that gets destroyed. Listen, we still need some of these game to lose (and if they are going to lose, we want it to be a spectacular trainwreck) because those cappers would rather lose their money watching an OSU game then tracking a Samford or Appy St game online. Remember, keep it simple, don't overthink it, have fun and we are all in this together. I wont be around much or answering question but if Ryno wants to keep this thread alive and track the updated system plays (and he, as well as you guys, are welcome to tweak it as well) that is fine.

Hahahaha, i thought u read the first post? Guess u did not, lmfao.

 

[fadetheaction]

Enjoy the strategy and capping much more than the bickering. Good stuff. Thanks much.

 

[LexingtonBrass]

Either way I still like the ILL Chicago play

 

[BLAK_MAMBA]

Couple of points by KineProfessor.

1. If you miss the best line, but the line still makes it a "play" feel free to not play it as you have missed some value - if you take a worse line, except the consequences.

2. Here are the games that the system perimeters also suggest we look at as they are close: UNCW, Ark Lil Rock, Miami OH, NE, Marshall, South Alabama, Loyola Chi, Citadel, Sac St and Edwardsville and yes I am on numerous of these as well.

3. Also games like Omaha (getting too many points based on their body of work) and Northern Illnois (I'm 5-1-1 betting on them since Jan 22nd) deserve your consideration as well.

KP plays today:

3-0 ytd


Central Michigan +9
Samford +10.5
eastern Illinois +12
Montana st +9