2010 mlb capping & betting #102 - daily key info plus q&a

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a 3pt move in utah's favor seems a bit excessive for a game 6...i don't know anything about the nba but if its stays at 6.5 i'll be on den
 

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sat is going to be a while. source xml put up wrong rotations. having to fat finger now from sports options with the pitching changes as well

maybe another hour max
 

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Saturday May 1st

today's pdws plus updated master with sharing data below

almost everything in the pdws is a fat finger so double check b4 you bet. looks ok to me.

no ol for cubs (check weather) and no lines on atlanta yet

what a ball buster this morning. going to be a very very busy day


 
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Chc/Ari - Holbrook
Det/Laa - Cederstrom
Bos/Bal - Miller
Min/Cle - Bell
Chw/Nyy - Wegner
Nym/Phi - Kulpa
Oak/Tor - Barry
Kc/Tb - Crawford
Was/Fla - Barrett
Hou/Atl - McClelland
Cin/Stl - Emmel
Mil/Sd - Drake
Pit/Lad - Eddings
Tex/Sea - Cousins
Col/Sf - Timmons

By luoldeng on another forum.
 

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Chc/Ari - Holbrook
Det/Laa - Cederstrom
Bos/Bal - Miller
Min/Cle - Bell
Chw/Nyy - Wegner
Nym/Phi - Kulpa
Oak/Tor - Barry
Kc/Tb - Crawford
Was/Fla - Barrett
Hou/Atl - McClelland
Cin/Stl - Emmel
Mil/Sd - Drake
Pit/Lad - Eddings
Tex/Sea - Cousins
Col/Sf - Timmons

By luoldeng on another forum.

after 1st game of a series you can always get that from the link below plus other key ump data

http://www.statfox.com/mlb/umpiremain.asp
 

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Thanks for the link. I'm still collecting info and trying to learn as much as I can.
 

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run for the roses facts

The one-hole has not produced a Kentucky Derby winner since 1986, when Ferdinand triumphed. Lookin At Lucky is 2-for-2 when breaking from the inner-most position.
Baffert also trains No. 12 Conveyance (12/1), who has won four of his five starts. Conveyance’s only second-place finish occurred in the Sunland Derby last month, when he lost to Endorsement.
No. 20 Sidney’s Candy (5/1) is the morning-line second choice. The Santa Anita Derby’s victor has visited the winner’s circle in three straight starts, which all took place on the California track’s synthetic surface.
John Sadler, who trains Sidney’s Candy, also has No. 5 Line of David (30/1) in his arsenal. Line of David has won his last three outings, and took Oaklawn Park’s Arkansas Derby by a neck three weeks ago.
No. 11 Devil May Care (10/1) is the only filly among Saturday’s contestants. Jockey John Velazquez rode her to victory in Gulfstream Park’s Bonnie Miss Stakes six weeks ago, and stays aboard for trainer Todd Pletcher.
Pletcher also trains No. 4 Super Saver (15/1), No. 14 Mission Impazible (20/1), and No. 15 Discreetly Mine (30/1). The four-time Eclipse Award winner is 0-for-24 with Kentucky Derby starters.
No. 18 Backtalk (50/1) is the field’s only horse who is 2-for-2 on wet dirt, which could be Saturday’s race condition with thunderstorms expected. The son of 2004 Kentucky Derby winner Smarty Jones is 2-for-2 at Churchill Downs.
No. 2 Ice Box (10/1) and No. 13 Jackson Bend (15/1) are a twosome for trainer Nick Zito, who has won the Kentucky Derby on two occasions. Ice Box won Gulfstream Park’s Florida Derby by a nose six weeks ago, while Jackson Bend has not won since an Oct. 17 victory at Calder.
Dublin (12/1) competes Saturday for four-time Kentucky Derby winning trainer D. Wayne Lukas. The son of Afleet Alex finished third in the Arkansas Derby with career-high speed and will break from the No. 17 post..
No. 3 Noble’s Promise (12/1) has jockey Willie Martinez returning aboard after a three-start hiatus. Martinez was mounted for the colt’s most recent victory in October’s Breeders’ Futurity at Keeneland.
No. 6 Stately Victor (30/1) hit career-high speed in a 4-1/4 length win at Keeneland’s Blue Grass Stakes three weeks ago. The long shot had his only other win since breaking maiden last September at Saratoga.
American Lion (30/1) won Hawthorne’s Illinois Derby four weeks ago by 2-3/4 lengths. Jockey David Flores, who went gate-to-wire for the victory, is 0-for-9 in the Kentucky Derby. Lion will run from the No. 7 post.
No. 8 Dean’s Kitten (50/1) improved to 3-for-11 lifetime after winning Turfway Park’s Lanes End Stakes five weeks ago. The underdog will carry jockey Robby Albarado, who has not ridden the colt before.
No. 9 Make Music for Me (50/1) loses jockey Mike Smith, who was aboard for a March 6 victory in Santa Anita’s Pasadena Stakes. Alexis Barba’s contender will now have Joel Rosario on board in his first Kentucky Derby.
Paddy O’Prado (20/1), which will start from the middle of the gate at No. 10, was the Blue Grass’ runner-up to Stately Victor. The colt’s only race at Churchill Downs was a seventh-place finish in his July 5 career debut.
No. 16 Awesome Act (10/1) won Aqueduct’s Gotham Stakes with a 1-1/4 length victory in March. Jockey Julien Leparoux followed it up with a third-place finish four weeks ago in the Wood Memorial.
No. 19 Homeboykris (50/1) is 2-for-6 in his career with the most recent win last October in Belmont Park’s Champagne Stakes. The son of Roman Ruler has not raced for trainer Richard Dutrow since a Feb. 27 second-place allowance finish at Gulfstream Park.
Saturday’s showdown has a post time of 3:24 p.m. (PT), and is Race 11 on Churchill Downs’ card. NBC will provide television coverage.
 

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today's data in post #924

below are the only links i use for mlb for data etc

weather
http://www.wunderground.com/sports/MLB/

pitching and ump stats
http://www.statfox.com/

sports options for everything else including public numbers line moves and 1st game of a series ump notifications and critical injuries and line up changes
 

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Pop, E. was at 1st yesterday so today he's at 2nd, right? So that means nothing right? Thanks
 

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forgot one

mlb.com for box scores and results from previous day (can also be used for 1st game of a series for umps but comes out very late and lines will already have moved on key under umps)
 

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Pop, E. was at 1st yesterday so today he's at 2nd, right? So that means nothing right? Thanks

no today he's at HP but 1st game of the series was thursday and they adjusted the OL for the o/u when the numbers came out yesterday
 

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CONSECUTIVE GAMES

Four seems to be the honey hole both home and away. Is there anything that could make 4 something magical.
 

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When "O/U vs ERA diff" is high, does it indicate that game should be given more attention?
 

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CONSECUTIVE GAMES

Four seems to be the honey hole both home and away. Is there anything that could make 4 something magical.

home sick and glad to get away from home or finally getting use to being at home or on the road or getting over their direria from the change of water
 

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When "O/U vs ERA diff" is high, does it indicate that game should be given more attention?

yes, but remember early on you get some very large and small era home and away because of limited games that they have started

so what's wtf up or down will go the other way

eg. 0.00 is only going to go up and 49.00 is going to come down or they are gone
 

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you have a horse today pops? did your connections recommend?
 

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ok pops- lets see if this works

<table x:str="" style="border-collapse: collapse; width: 264pt;" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="351"><col style="width: 94pt;" width="125"> <col style="width: 85pt;" width="113" span="2"> <tbody><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl77" style="height: 12.75pt; width: 94pt;" width="125" height="17">D or N</td> <td class="xl77" style="border-left: medium none; width: 85pt;" width="113">(All)</td> <td style="width: 85pt;" width="113">
</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl77" style="height: 12.75pt; border-top: medium none;" height="17">League</td> <td class="xl77" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;">(All)</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl77" style="height: 12.75pt; border-top: medium none;" height="17">Line Move</td> <td class="xl77" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;">(All)</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl77" style="height: 12.75pt; border-top: medium none;" height="17">month</td> <td class="xl77" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;">(All)</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl77" style="height: 12.75pt; border-top: medium none;" height="17">UMP</td> <td class="xl77" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;">Eddings, D</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl77" style="height: 12.75pt; border-top: medium none;" height="17">Year</td> <td class="xl77" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;">(All)</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl77" style="height: 12.75pt; border-top: medium none;" height="17">Open Ov/Un Line</td> <td class="xl77" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;">(All)</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl77" style="height: 12.75pt; border-top: medium none;" height="17">Total WHIP</td> <td class="xl77" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;">(Multiple Items)</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17">
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl72" style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17">Count of Over Under</td> <td class="xl72">Over Under</td> <td class="xl73"> </td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl72" style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17">seriesnumber</td> <td class="xl72">O</td> <td class="xl74">U</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl72" style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17">1</td> <td class="xl72" x:num="" align="right">20</td> <td class="xl74" x:num="" align="right">11</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl71" style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17">2</td> <td class="xl71" x:num="" align="right">15</td> <td x:num="" align="right">18</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl71" style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17">3</td> <td class="xl71" x:num="" align="right">11</td> <td x:num="" align="right">20</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl71" style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17">4</td> <td class="xl71" x:num="" align="right">1</td> <td x:num="" align="right">2</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl75" style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17">Grand Total</td> <td class="xl75" x:num="" align="right">47</td> <td class="xl76" x:num="" align="right">51</td> </tr> </tbody></table>
 

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i'll never get the formatting right...

the point of my pivot is to say for the waldo umps it seems to matter much more who the pitching match up is and less about the series of game number. I agree that you get a better number for a given pitching matchup if you catch a waldo on the first game of a series, but it may not matter much. Obviously if you plan to scalp back thats a whole different story
 

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fyi the pivot chart is a combo of the last 3 years of data. I know what you think about previous years, but in this instance I'm not sure its as irrelevant as other data points
 

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kinda looks like get away day is under day
 

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