2010 mlb capping & betting #102 - daily key info plus q&a

[presscoverage]

Looks like a pitching change in BOS. I'm guessing that nullifies the BOS play?

 

[nsight]

Pitching Change Game 2 Mariners @ Red Sox Lester out Wakefield in.

The waldo's went 4-0 yesterday all game 2's of series Bucknor went over in the 10-3 Rays victory, Reynolds went over in the 9-1 Tigers win, Wolf went under in the 4-3 Twins/Rangers game and Gibson was behind the dish in the 4-2 under of the PC road dog win.

Cheers!

 

[jacksonjohn]

If I'm reading the data correctly from line 50 of the pdws, I don't see any great advantage for the picks in Columns CB-CG, especially not knowing what the average lay price is. What am I missing?

The dog plays are great, fading JJ vis has been golden, and the zens and waldos are sweet, but someone educate me on those columns mentioned above.

 

[jacksonjohn]

Public % gets 13 right on totals (13-3). If it was that easy to just fade the public, everyone would be doing it. Just another coin-flip unless you pick your spots.

 

[pops69]

Looks like a pitching change in BOS. I'm guessing that nullifies the BOS play?

any pitching changes kills what was in the original pdws. in fact a day to night change would as well. each zen is based on specific criteria so when those change they need to be but in the numbers generator, along with the line changes to see if anything comes out

 

[pops69]

If I'm reading the data correctly from line 50 of the pdws, I don't see any great advantage for the picks in Columns CB-CG, especially not knowing what the average lay price is. What am I missing?

The dog plays are great, fading JJ vis has been golden, and the zens and waldos are sweet, but someone educate me on those columns mentioned above.

i totally agree with u on those ML fav. that's why i put that data up so everyone can pick and choose

 

[pops69]

hey pops is that opener of 8 milw what it was tuesday night?

8.5

 

[pops69]

the one thing i hate about the pc dogs doing so well is that i have not had a chance in the past few weeks to change from a to win bet to a risk bet. i was looking for a 0-5 run to get a window of opportunity but not been much more than 2 at any given point. the diff would been a ton of money

 

[jacksonjohn]

8.5

That's a great question. How can we get the "real" opening numbers you are looking at instead of the CRIS openers so we can tell if they have been adjusted?

 

[jacksonjohn]

the one thing i hate about the pc dogs doing so well is that i have not had a chance in the past few weeks to change from a to win bet to a risk bet. i was looking for a 0-5 run to get a window of opportunity but not been much more than 2 at any given point. the diff would been a ton of money

Please explain. It would seem when betting dogs it would always be to risk.

 

[pops69]

there are two 1st game of a series today

was
tor

u know the drill, but i guess i better tell u anyway. keep your cell phone notifications turned on

 

[pops69]

remember that there's a specific calc in the pdws that determines if the game get's Road Dog Status, so dont just bet blindly on large road dogs and expect the results that PC is getting from his plays

 

[pops69]

i just put the pitching changes numbers into the generator and it was a NP, for those that dont understand the code in the thread it means No Play

 

[pops69]

fuck no pc road dog, vis jj plays today

NAS updated

 

[pops69]

thursday august 26th

todays pdws below

 

[cigar]

is anyone actually using that twjd addition (the 2nd part) i'm modifying it everyday

column labels to O/U Era cats on top of over/under
row labels open over/under
sum of values over/under

this makes a twjd for totals, and i'm thnking good to look at when they can get a solid number out there like the 3rd game of the series and the adjustment to fletch yesterday that you'd have to be watching for the day before.

you can put the close over/under underneath the the open over/under in the row labels to get an eye for the line moves

doubt pops would suggest go on public % alone for totals. external factors

 

[pops69]

is anyone actually using that twjd addition (the 2nd part) i'm modifying it everyday

column labels to O/U Era cats on top of over/under
row labels open over/under
sum of values over/under

this makes a twjd for totals, and i'm thnking good to look at when they can get a solid number out there like the 3rd game of the series and the adjustment to fletch yesterday that you'd have to be watching for the day before.

you can put the close over/under underneath the the open over/under in the row labels to get an eye for the line moves

doubt pops would suggest go on public % alone for totals. external factors

no way on pub % i use them them for projecting line moves for catching scalps early not for picking winners based on that. if you can coordinate with tw i'll adjust those pivots so that you dont need to modify every time i upload a new master.

 

[cigar]

thanks pops, he might be using it the way it is, but if he likes, he'll reply

 

[pops69]

rev a

it's sink or swim time now office 2010

 

[mason456]

rev a

it's sink or swim time now office 2010

swim