Wimbledon
Outright
A Murray to win Wimbledon 2009 @ 4.00 @ Expekt (1 unit)
Rafa withdrawing means he has one of the easiest draws in history to get to the final. Even if I lose this bet, I'll laugh, because he'll have gone out unexpectedly and it'd be good for tennis to see an upset.
Day 1
A Mannarino o M Gicquel @ WillHill (1 unit)
Mannarino has looked solid in qualies. Comes into this match in good form, and adjusted to conditions. 1-1 H2H between the two on fast indoor surfaces.
E Korolev o I Andreev @ WillHill (1 unit)
Couple of grass mugs. Taking the big hitting dog in Korolev, whose made more of an effort in the build-up to this match.
P Capdeville o V Spadea @ 2.20 @ BoyleSports (1 unit)
Capdeville is another grass mug, in poor form. However, Spadea has had big injury and form problems over the last year, so willing to fade him.
M Gonzalez o I Minar @ 3.00 @ Bet365 (1 unit)
Maximo is another grass mug. You're probably noticing a pattern here. Minar is the only clown on tour to have lost on fast non-clay surfaces to dirtballers Hernandez and Vassallo, which is an incredible achievement of crapness. He's a fat guy who has a big game that's too erratic. Hopefully Maximo will be too solid for him.
L Lacko o I Karlovic @ 7.65 @ Pinnacle (1 unit)
Ivo is a grandslam mug. Lacko has had to qualify and done so pretty convincingly. Always willing to take a shot fading a one-dimensional player like Ivo at such big odds.
F Serra o P Kohlschreiber @ 5.04 @ Pinnacle (1 unit)
Kohli is the more talented but he's not performed well at Wimbledon and also had a loss to Serra two years ago here. I hate Serra as he's an erratic choking mug, but his 2-0 h2h over Kohli highlights a possible matchup problem, and this price is too big.
L Gregorc o T Robredo @ 7.00 @ BoyleSports (0.5 unit)
Gregorc has qualified and gotten used to the conditions. May have some confidence, and Robredo is not a fan of grass at all. Worth a shot.
Day 2
B Reynolds o G Simon @ 5.58 @ Expekt (1 unit)
Simon with supposed knee problems, in some of the worst form of his life apparently. Reynolds is also in shit form, has a pretty average game, but willing to fade Gilles as a big fave when the pressure is on him.
A Falla o R Stepanek @ 3.75 @ Eurobet (1 unit)
Bet this at a 1 ball book, so retirements pay out. Steps has had no preparation due to an ankle injury. Will fade him and hope he retires or loses.
R Ram o P Petzschner @ 2.75 @ Eurobet (1 unit)
Ram in good form this year, and come through qualifying impressively. His big serve/volley game is suited to the surface.
M Zverev o D Tursunov @ 2.75 @ Ladbrokes (1 unit)
Zverev retired last week with a groin problem but notes that it's recovered. Tursunov is returning from ankle surgery, and has just won Eastbourne. He took a medical timeout late in the match today and his movement looked awkward. Worth a shot fading him and hoping for a retirement. Played at a one ball book.
F Gil o PHM @ 3.00 @ Ladbrokes (1 unit)
PHM not in great form this year. Poor performance against Tipsy last week where he faced 17 bp's on a grasscourt. He complained that he's still having trouble with a recurrent hip problem, and didn't take his anti-inflammatories before the match. Hopefully, he forgets to take them again. Ordinarily he'd have too much firepower, but Gil has the ability to be solid, smart and fight. Played at a one-ball book.
Outright
A Murray to win Wimbledon 2009 @ 4.00 @ Expekt (1 unit)
Rafa withdrawing means he has one of the easiest draws in history to get to the final. Even if I lose this bet, I'll laugh, because he'll have gone out unexpectedly and it'd be good for tennis to see an upset.
Day 1
A Mannarino o M Gicquel @ WillHill (1 unit)
Mannarino has looked solid in qualies. Comes into this match in good form, and adjusted to conditions. 1-1 H2H between the two on fast indoor surfaces.
E Korolev o I Andreev @ WillHill (1 unit)
Couple of grass mugs. Taking the big hitting dog in Korolev, whose made more of an effort in the build-up to this match.
P Capdeville o V Spadea @ 2.20 @ BoyleSports (1 unit)
Capdeville is another grass mug, in poor form. However, Spadea has had big injury and form problems over the last year, so willing to fade him.
M Gonzalez o I Minar @ 3.00 @ Bet365 (1 unit)
Maximo is another grass mug. You're probably noticing a pattern here. Minar is the only clown on tour to have lost on fast non-clay surfaces to dirtballers Hernandez and Vassallo, which is an incredible achievement of crapness. He's a fat guy who has a big game that's too erratic. Hopefully Maximo will be too solid for him.
L Lacko o I Karlovic @ 7.65 @ Pinnacle (1 unit)
Ivo is a grandslam mug. Lacko has had to qualify and done so pretty convincingly. Always willing to take a shot fading a one-dimensional player like Ivo at such big odds.
F Serra o P Kohlschreiber @ 5.04 @ Pinnacle (1 unit)
Kohli is the more talented but he's not performed well at Wimbledon and also had a loss to Serra two years ago here. I hate Serra as he's an erratic choking mug, but his 2-0 h2h over Kohli highlights a possible matchup problem, and this price is too big.
L Gregorc o T Robredo @ 7.00 @ BoyleSports (0.5 unit)
Gregorc has qualified and gotten used to the conditions. May have some confidence, and Robredo is not a fan of grass at all. Worth a shot.
Day 2
B Reynolds o G Simon @ 5.58 @ Expekt (1 unit)
Simon with supposed knee problems, in some of the worst form of his life apparently. Reynolds is also in shit form, has a pretty average game, but willing to fade Gilles as a big fave when the pressure is on him.
A Falla o R Stepanek @ 3.75 @ Eurobet (1 unit)
Bet this at a 1 ball book, so retirements pay out. Steps has had no preparation due to an ankle injury. Will fade him and hope he retires or loses.
R Ram o P Petzschner @ 2.75 @ Eurobet (1 unit)
Ram in good form this year, and come through qualifying impressively. His big serve/volley game is suited to the surface.
M Zverev o D Tursunov @ 2.75 @ Ladbrokes (1 unit)
Zverev retired last week with a groin problem but notes that it's recovered. Tursunov is returning from ankle surgery, and has just won Eastbourne. He took a medical timeout late in the match today and his movement looked awkward. Worth a shot fading him and hoping for a retirement. Played at a one ball book.
F Gil o PHM @ 3.00 @ Ladbrokes (1 unit)
PHM not in great form this year. Poor performance against Tipsy last week where he faced 17 bp's on a grasscourt. He complained that he's still having trouble with a recurrent hip problem, and didn't take his anti-inflammatories before the match. Hopefully, he forgets to take them again. Ordinarily he'd have too much firepower, but Gil has the ability to be solid, smart and fight. Played at a one-ball book.
Wimbledon 0-8 (-7.5)
Tennis Record: 129-214-8 (+17.22)
In-Play Record: 4-3 (+0.87)
:lol: What a beatdown. Hope for better tomorrow. Korolev match was fixed. Serra choked big time, the rest were pretty much useless.
Day 2
B Reynolds o G Simon @ 5.58 @ Expekt (1 unit)
A Falla o R Stepanek @ 3.75 @ Eurobet (1 unit)
R Ram o P Petzschner @ 2.75 @ Eurobet (1 unit)
M Zverev o D Tursunov @ 2.75 @ Ladbrokes (1 unit)
F Gil o PHM @ 3.00 @ Ladbrokes (1 unit)
