2009 Tennis Picks

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S Querrey o S Wawrinka @ 2.20 @ Ladbrokes (1.5 unit)
N Kiefer o A Roddick @ 6.20 @ Pinnacle (1 unit)
 

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INDIAN WELLS:
S Querrey o S Wawrinka @ 2.20 @ Ladbrokes (1.5 unit) L -1.5
N Kiefer o A Roddick @ 6.20 @ Pinnacle (1 unit) L -1
J Isner o M Safin @ 2.10 @ Pinnacle (1 unit) W +1.1

1-2 (-1.4)
Tennis Record: 75-110-5 (+18.55)

Wawrinka was too good in the last two sets, though Querrey had his chances. Roddick is a lucky **** as always. Safin was horrendous and Isner took advantage.
 

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D Ferrer o A Roddick @ 2.75 @ Bet365 (1 unit)

VAMOSSSS FERRU!

Tempted by Isner but not comfortable yet. Isner did not play anything special yesterday, and his serving wasn't good. Safin just played a horrendous as fuck match. Del Potro is very consistent off the ground, and Melzer outplayed him because he's got more variety, and aggressive returns. Don't know if Isner can hang in the rallies. Potro won't offer the same errors that Safin did.
 

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J Isner o JM Del Potro @ 3.50 @ Pinnacle (1 unit)

Fortune favours the brave... (Or I'm just a fucking dumb loser)

Del Potro used to struggle against serve/volleyers and big servers. He's alot more consistent though. My hope is that with Isner's confidence, and Del Potro not playing as well, this'll be a match decided in the breakers, where anything can happen.
 

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D Nalbandian o R Nadal @ 6.32 @ Pinnacle (1 unit) L -1
D Ferrer o A Roddick @ 2.75 @ Bet365 (1 unit) L -1
J Isner o JM Del Potro @ 3.50 @ Pinnacle (1 unit) L -1

0-3 (-3)
YTD: 75-113-5 (+15.55)


Isner took Pony to two tiebreaks but wasn't good enough. Ferru is a mug to lose to Roddick. Nalbandian dominated the match, a break up in the 2nd set, missed 4 mp's on Rafa's serve. Then choked trying to serve it out himself. Collapsed from there on. Bad luck, really.
 

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N Djokovic o A Roddick @ 1.74 @ Pinnacle (2 units) L -2

YTD: 75-114-5 (+13.55)


I'm still looking at the result, hoping this is just a cruel joke or a fix.
 

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R Nadal vs. A Roddick - UNDER 23 GAMES @ 1.83 @ SportingBet (2 units)
R Federer / R Nadal @ 2.16 @ Skybet (1.5 unit)
 

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R Nadal vs. A Roddick - UNDER 23 GAMES @ 1.83 @ SportingBet (2 units) L -2
R Federer / R Nadal @ 2.16 @ Skybet (1.5 unit) L -1.5

0-2 (-3.5)
Tennis Record: 75-116-5 (+10.05)

Just horrendous luck with that Rafa Under. Some betting in-play made things slightly better, but very frustrating last few days.
 

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MIAMI QUALIES:
M Russell o E Korolev @ 2.25 @ PaddyPower (1 unit)
F Gil o M Berrer @ 2.62 @ PaddyPower (1 unit)
F Dancevic o D Sela @ 2.65 @ Pinnacle (1 unit)
F Cipolla o T Dent @ 3.41 @ Pinnacle (1 unit)
 

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miami qualies:
m russell o e korolev @ 2.25 @ paddypower (1 unit) w +1.25
f gil o m berrer @ 2.62 @ paddypower (1 unit) w +1.62
f dancevic o d sela @ 2.65 @ pinnacle (1 unit) w +1.65
f cipolla o t dent @ 3.41 @ pinnacle (1 unit) l -1

3-1 (+3.52)
ytd: 78-117-5 (+13.57)
 

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ATP Miami:
A Calleri o C Rochus @ 2.25 @ Stan James (1 unit)

Risky play. Calleri has not been in good form for a long time. His last singles match was on the clay in Buenos Aires. He's had a recurring right shoulder problem that forced him to withdraw from Indian Wells. Taken this at Stan James as they void retirements.

Assuming he's ready to play, the conditions and matchup are more suitable to him. He's posted some good results in these slow hardcourt conditions. Generally alot of South American support as well. Christophe has not had good results in his last couple of matches, and tends to struggle against the aggressive shotmakers as they overpower him.

An early one for the day after tomorrow:
G Canas o I Kunitsyn @ 2.62 @ Skybet (1 unit)

Another risky play considering Canas' lack of confidence and great form. Nonetheless, he's been competitive in his last couple of matches, and lost to Querrey twice which isn't too bad. He's been putting in the practice, and will enjoy these conditions. Kunitsyn generally doesn't do well outside of Russia. He also prefers the faster surfaces. He's got a bad record against grinders, as they can expose his movement and draw the errors from his flashy/erratic game. Hopefully Willy can get his first victory in a while.
 

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R Mello o T Dent @ 3.35 @ Pinnacle (1 unit)

Possible play on Dancevic over Kohli, and a prop on the Ljubicic/Hernandez match.
 

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Setting myself up for a horrendous fail here. Adding another 2 units here.

I Ljubicic vs. O Hernandez - UNDER 20.5 GAMES @ 1.83 @ Will Hill (2 units)

So 5 units on the Under. 8o
 

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One more:
F Serra o J Benneteau @ 2.60 @ Betfair (1 unit)

This is a 50/50 mugs match. I'm wary of Serra being such a big price here, but I can't find any info of an injury etc. This one will be interesting for sure.
 

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