not sure if everyone is throwing shit up for shit's and giggles but thread is almost 2-1 on gt, vs public 75% on mia and line move of almost 2 points
The reason I believe in Georgia Tech is I use a spreadsheet that uses a variety of stats and formulas that calculate projected scores in 8 different ways. 2 of which are not usable until at least week 4. Problem with stat spreadsheets are they require several weeks of stats to calculate. But, even early on , they beat the hell of flipping a coin.
So based on my formulas here is what I see: (line is Miami -5.5)
Formula 1: Miami by 2.5
Formula 2: Georgia Tech by 3
Formula 3: Georgia Tech by 3
Formula 4: Miami by 3.5
Formula 5: Georgia Tech by .5
Formula 6: Miami by 4
Also considering a head-to-head match up between the these 2, Georgia Tech is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings.
<LI class=morehot>Yellow Jackets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. <LI class=morehot>Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. <LI class=morehot>Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. <LI class=morehot>Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September. <LI class=morehot>Yellow Jackets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
<LI class=more>Hurricanes are 20-43-1 ATS in their last 64 games as a favorite. <LI class=more>Hurricanes are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a S.U. win. <LI class=more>Hurricanes are 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 conference games. <LI class=more>Hurricanes are 13-32-1 ATS in their last 46 home games. <LI class=more>Hurricanes are 8-23 ATS in their last 31 games following a ATS win. <LI class=more>Hurricanes are 10-31-1 ATS in their last 42 games as a home favorite.
:cripwalk:
The reason I believe in Georgia Tech is I use a spreadsheet that uses a variety of stats and formulas that calculate projected scores in 8 different ways. 2 of which are not usable until at least week 4. Problem with stat spreadsheets are they require several weeks of stats to calculate. But, even early on , they beat the hell of flipping a coin.
So based on my formulas here is what I see: (line is Miami -5.5)
Formula 1: Miami by 2.5
Formula 2: Georgia Tech by 3
Formula 3: Georgia Tech by 3
Formula 4: Miami by 3.5
Formula 5: Georgia Tech by .5
Formula 6: Miami by 4
Also considering a head-to-head match up between the these 2, Georgia Tech is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings.
<LI class=morehot>Yellow Jackets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. <LI class=morehot>Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. <LI class=morehot>Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. <LI class=morehot>Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September. <LI class=morehot>Yellow Jackets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
<LI class=more>Hurricanes are 20-43-1 ATS in their last 64 games as a favorite. <LI class=more>Hurricanes are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a S.U. win. <LI class=more>Hurricanes are 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 conference games. <LI class=more>Hurricanes are 13-32-1 ATS in their last 46 home games. <LI class=more>Hurricanes are 8-23 ATS in their last 31 games following a ATS win. <LI class=more>Hurricanes are 10-31-1 ATS in their last 42 games as a home favorite.
:cripwalk:
<LI class=more>Sounds as if I need to clear the air early on. First and foremost, I am not a tout, never have been, never will be. I took an interest in betting on football many moons back. In those days, I like many other males, though by being born male I could automatically choose the correct winners. After a few years, and my bookie now driving a new Cadillac, I tried to learn how to do it making my decision based upon something other than pulling it out of my ass.
I started researching every web site I could find, read several books on the subject and asked as many people as I could for help. Only a very very small number of people were willing to help. One being from this site several years ago, "The Shrink". He gave me alot of helpful information and help guide me while getting starting.
Through the next several years I tried this formula and I tried that formula until I found something that seemed to work reasonably consistent. Problem being, now with the information, what do I do with it? I like to think that the stat worksheet is worth about 60-65% of my decisions. Where trends are about 5-10%, injury reports 5-10% and weather reports are 5-10%. Then their is always some part that comes by pulling it out of may ass.
Last year 2 individuals asked me for copies of my spreadsheet program, for which I gave them and explained how I used it. Later, one of them emailed me and said that it was far to much work and he could get rich using "win-picks" software. At the end of the season he emailed my and stated that he lost alot of money with "win-picks".
The other individual emailed me a couple of times to tell me that he didn't like the way I used my program and that he had learned how to use my program mixed in with someone else much better. At the end of the season he had the balls to blame me because he lost alot of money. I decided that from now on, I would list my picks and people could do with them as they please.
I hope the removes all doubt about me being a tout. To me "ALL" information helps a little bit.
You asked a question and I gave you an answer as to why "I" chose Georgia Tech.
didnt say you were, only saying that touts use those type of ats examples when they promote their pick. mark lawrence does it all the time. everyone caps games differently. i strongly believe that everyone does it the way that works best and easiest for them. i doubt very much that the rx guys posting gt as there pow are way more informed than the 73% of the money that's causing the line to move on mia tomorrow, but maybe i'm wrong. i think also that in the long run u run with a home fav with the line moving up your dead and will wind up broke
p.s. did you see the cfb spreadsheets i used for cfb capping that i posted a few times?
