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Wednesday May 31st - The Money Team Wins

Recap 2-1 +$4.29 Units
Last 26 Picks 20-6 +31.27 Units (76%)
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3* Arizona -1.5 +105 (Won 6-0)
Connor Seabold will meet the Diamondbacks for the second time this season. Back on April 29, he tossed 3.1 frames in relief in Colorado’s 11-4 defeat to Arizona, yielding a couple of earned runs on five hits while striking out three. I’m expecting Arizona to hit well against Seabold, but the D-backs are a risky pick because of their pitching situation. Still, Arizona’s bullpen has been outstanding over the last ten days, tallying a 2.06 ERA and 3.17 FIP. On the other side, the Rockies’ bullpen has gone 4-0 with three saves in that span, but it has also registered a disastrous 6.91 ERA and 5.94 WHIP.

2* Toronto -1.5 +100 (Lost 2-4)
This game may come down to the offenses. Alek Manoah has been ineffective most of the year, so the Brewers may find some rare offense. Meanwhile, Julio Teheran has only thrown 10.0 MLB innings since 2021, so who knows what kind of pitcher he is. What is known is that Toronto's offense can give anyone fits, especially at home. If this comes down to which offense performs better, the Blue Jays have a clear edge. Take them to win at home.

2* Cincinnati +157 (Won 5-4)
The Reds keep beating lefties, winning four straight because they hit them so well. Even without considering Paxton's handedness, the Reds' offense has been hot, and he hasn't been pitching well. The Red Sox offense shouldn't have issues scoring on Luke Weaver, but they also ended their road trip a bit cold. Cincinnati is playing better right now and has a favorable matchup, so that's the side I'm taking in this one.

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Thursday June 1st - The Money Team Wins

MLB Recap 2-0 +4 Units

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2* Toronto -1.5 -103 (W)

Toronto has the better starting pitcher in this game and a much more reliable offense. The Blue Jays are also on their home turf, where they’ve found more success this season. Considering they clobbered the Brewers on Tuesday, and that the Brewers struggle to put up runs, Kevin Gausman should get a nice lead early and cruise to a win. Take Toronto in this series finale.

2* Boston -147 (BIG W)

The Reds have recorded a stellar 167 wRC+ and .407 BABIP against the left-handed pitchers in the last couple of weeks, but I’m still expecting them to struggle against Chris Sale. Only two guys from this Cincinnati team have seen Sale before, and Boston’s lefty has pitched at a high level of late. Sale has only allowed three runs over his previous three starts at home (20.1 innings pitched). The Red Sox have posted a poor 66 wRC+ and .614 OPS against the right-handed pitchers over the last two weeks, and I’m looking for some improvement in the upcoming days. Boston has gone 4-1 in Sale’s last five starts.

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Friday June 2nd - The Money Team Wins

MLB Recap 1-1 +0.2 Units

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2* Arizona +110 (W)

I give the slight edge to Merrill Kelly over Charlie Morton in the starting pitching matchup. When it comes to the bullpens, the Diamondbacks have been the much hotter team posting a 2.23 ERA over their last 10 games, compared to the 4.99 ERA of the Atlanta Braves. The Braves are a true NL Pennant contender but have still lost seven of their last 10 games against winning clubs. Value is definitely on the side of the Diamondbacks, who have won 14 of their last 20 games against winning ball clubs.

2* San Diego -1.5 +120 (L)

After slumping for most of May, the Padres have had a few strong displays in the last ten days despite missing Manny Machado (hand), who’ll probably remain on the IL for the upcoming series against the Cubs. San Diego has scored 18 runs in a three-game set against the Nats, 14 in three outings at Yankee Stadium, and 20 through a three-game set at the Marlins. On the other side, the Cubs just won a three-game series over the best team in baseball, the Tampa Bay Rays. But with Jameson Taillon on the bump, I cannot back the Cubs to pull off an upset here. Chicago is 0-8 with Taillon on the mound this season. He can only pitch better than he did in May, and his awful streak will eventually come to an end, but until that happens, I’m fading the Cubs’ righty.

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Saturday June 3rd - The Money Team Wins

MLB Recap 1-2 (-3.35 Units)

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1* Houston -1.5 +115 (W)

Sandoval got away with a subpar pitching performance against the Astros last time, but that won’t happen again. Especially against Christian Javier, who has been superb lately. Houston also has the luxury of a shutdown bullpen behind him. The Angels have had the better offense, but good pitching usually beats good hitting. Roll with the top pitching staff to earn a victory at home.

2* Minnesota -125 (L)

For as good as Logan Allen has been through his first 10 career starts, he’s not touching Sonny Gray right now. Cleveland has a phenomenal bullpen, but Minnesota can compete with it. When it comes to the offenses, neither is great, but Cleveland’s is borderline incompetent considering they’re keeping the Oakland Athletics company. Minnesota continues to win at home with their Cy Young candidate on the mound mowing down an awful offense.

2* LA Dodgers +120 (L)

Both Yankees and Dodgers have hit the righties well in the last couple of weeks (New York 110 wRC+, Los Angeles 116 wRC+). On paper, the Yankees have a huge advantage on the mound, but I’m backing the Dodgers to come out on top and eventually hand Gerrit Cole his first loss in 2023. Some of the Dodgers own a strong record against Cole. Mookie Betts is 7-for-14, Freddie Freeman is 6-for-17 with three doubles, and David Peralta is 5-for-12 with three doubles. JD Martinez is only 8-for-40 but has slugged three doubles and a couple of home runs off Cole, who struggled a lot in his last two outings.

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Sunday June 4th - The Money Team Wins

MLB Recap 0-3 (-5.17 Units)

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2* St Louis -1.5 -102 (L)

St. Louis’ Miles Mikolas has been consistently leading the team to victory lately, thanks to a superb month of pitching in May. With how effective the Cardinals’ offense usually is, even amid a current slump, this should be a game they take easily. Especially since they hit lefties better and Rich Hill has been awful lately. The Cardinals should jump out to another lead in this game, they just need to hold on this time.

2 Mets -125 (L)
1 Mets -1.5 +160 (L)
With Kodai Senga starting at home, this game is the Mets’ to lose. They are 4-1 in his five home starts, and the one loss came because they only mustered one run. Senga should shut Toronto down, and Yusei Kikuchi has been rocked on the road multiple times this season. New York’s bullpen hasn’t been the best, but David Robertson in the back end has been reliable at shutting the door. The Mets just need to get him the ball with a lead, and they will probably race out to an early one.

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Monday June 5th - The Money Team Wins

Recap 4-0 +8.04 Units

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2* Texas -135 (W)
St. Louis has struggled of late after seemingly righting the ship during the early part of May. The Cardinals stand 10 games under the .500 mark and one has to seriously wonder if John Mozeliak will be a seller at the trade deadline. Wainwright has sputtered in his limited action this season, posting an ERA north of six while averaging just over five innings a start. Texas is a dangerous team as they can win low-scoring games, as we saw in Friday’s opener with the Mariners, and slugfests. Perez has played with fire at times this season, giving up 74 hits in his 61 innings of work, but with the Rangers sporting a run differential of +143 entering Sunday, it’s clear that the bats can make up for any shortcomings on the mound. Give Texas the upper hand here as they prevail at home.

2 Houston ML +102 (BIG W)
2 Houston (F5) ML +100 (BIG W)

Alek Manoah is not a man that can be trusted on the mound right now. He hasn’t just regressed in 2023, he’s been one of MLB’s most ineffective pitchers. If he doesn’t perform well in this game, it’ll be on Toronto’s offense to hang a bunch of runs on the top pitching staff in the majors. The Astros giving up a ton of runs seems unlikely on most nights. Barring a throwback performance from Alek Manoah, this is Houston’s game to lose.

2* Miami (F5) -0.5 -103 (BIG W)
The Marlins have been playing excellent baseball as of late, particularly at home. They are 17-13 at home this season and hitting .264 in Miami. The Royals, meanwhile, have lost seven of ten games heading into Sunday’s series finale against the Rockies. In addition, they have won just nine games on the road this season and are hitting a paltry .224 on the road this season. They face Garrett who has been red-hot over his last four starts. Garrett has allowed just four runs over the course of his last four starts and struck out 26 batters while walking just six. He should have his way against the light-hitting Royals in this matchup.

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Tuesday June 6th - The Money Team Wins

MLB Recap 2-1 +1.40 Units

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3k Texas -130 (W)

St. Louis had one good stretch of play in the first half of May but has regressed to the dismal play that plagued them over the first month of the season. The Cardinals find themselves in the cellar of the NL Central and 11 games under .500. Liberatore doesn’t have much in the way of a major league resume to lean on, which may work in his favor for the first time through the order. The problem for him and the Cardinals is that’s the same blueprint the Mariners tried with Bryan Woo and Bryce Miller over the weekend. As we saw, the Rangers pummeled Seattle pitching to the tune of 28 runs in the final two games of that series. Dunning has been nothing short of terrific filling in for the injured Jacob deGrom in the rotation. He does another solid job here and the Rangers’ bats get the better of the Redbirds in this one.

2* Pittsburgh -1.5 -130 (L)

Keller hasn't been his best in his last two starts but there's no better team to face to get back on track. Oakland is slashing .205 BA/.288 OBP/.330 SLG/.618 OPS against right-handed pitchers this year. It's striking out in 29.8 percent of its at-bats against righties, as well. The A's sport a 10-20 run line record on the road and a 22-38 run line record as underdogs, the two worst records in MLB. Kaprielian is hardly the ace the Yankees envisioned when they selected him in the top 20 of the 2016 MLB Draft. He'll be challenged by a Pirates offense that's off to a strong start in June (.296/.343/.449/.792) and is raring to go after a lackluster month of May.

1* Toronto (F5) ML -140 (W)

The Blue Jays have won seven of their last nine games and two of their last three home games. They are playing well offensively and scored 12 runs in their last three home games. Expect them to play well offensively in this game because they’ve hit the ball well against right-handers and Brown has struggled on the mound in recent starts, giving up nine runs in his last three starts. He also gave up nine runs in his last three road starts and will have a hard time slowing down the Blue Jays in this game. The Astros have won three of their last four games. They have also played well offensively scoring 24 runs in their last four games. But, they will struggle offensively in this game because Gausman has done a good j0b on the mound for the Blue Jays, giving up only six runs in his last five starts. He gave up five runs in his last four home starts, and with Toronto’s bullpen playing well at the moment, they will keep Houston’s offense in check. Go with Toronto to cover the money line.

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Wednesday June 7th - The Money Team Wins

MLB Recap 2-0 +4.78 Units

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3k Miami -1.5 +110 (BIG WIN)

Should this start with how frequently the Royals lose (in uncompetitive fashion) this season, or with how hot the Marlins have been lately? Either way, this game has a high chance of ending in one way. With the Marlins winning easily. As if Kansas City's general issues weren't enough, both on the mound and at the plate, they have Jordan Lyles starting this game. He has been an automatic loss in 2023, and that won't change in Miami with the way the Marlins are playing.

1k Cincinnati +148 (WON)

The Reds have won six of their last 10 games. They are playing well offensively, scoring 11 runs in their last three games. Expect them to play well offensively in this game because they have hit the ball well against right-handers and Syndergaard hasn’t been effective on the mound this season, giving up 14 runs in his last three starts. He gave up nine runs in his last two road starts, and with Los Angeles’ bullpen being one of the worst in the league, they will have a hard time slowing down the Reds in this game. The Dodgers have lost three of their last four games and five of their last eight road games. Despite their slump, they continue to play well offensively, scoring 19 runs in their last three road games. Even though Williamson has struggled on the mound, he has done a better job at home where he gave up five earned runs in two starts. With the Dodgers struggling against left-handers this season, they will have a hard time keeping up with the Reds in this game.

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Thursday June 8th - The Money Team Wins

MLB Recap 2-1 +2.10 Units
Last 7 Days 12-8 +8 Units
Last 30 Days 41-24 +33.41 Units

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2* Philadelphia -1.5 -120 (L)

These offenses aren't comparable at all, as the Phillies (who have underperformed) are miles ahead of the Tigers at the plate. Detroit's rookie pitcher, Reese Olson, had a great MLB debut, but pitching against this lineup will be more daunting than facing the White Sox. Zack Wheeler was brutal in his last outing but is better at home and facing one of baseball's worst batting orders. Philadelphia shouldn't face many issues winning this game.

2* San Francisco -1.5 -130 (W)

I’ve mentioned Alex Cobb’s poor ERA at Coors Field. On the other side, Chase Anderson has thrown 45 innings at Coors Field, posting a pedestrian 5.60 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. It’s hard to trust the starting duo, so I’m going with the Giants because of their bullpen, though this game could easily go either way. Both teams have hit the ball very well of late. The Giants have accounted for a 122 wRC+ against the right-handed pitchers in the last couple of weeks, and the Rockies have recorded a 101 wRC+ against the righties in that span.

2* Tampa Bay -1.5 +120 (W)

Taking the best team in the league is never a bad idea. Taking that same team at home, where they've been nearly unbeatable, is an excellent idea. Tampa is a juggernaut in Tropicana Field this season, and Minnesota has a losing record on the road. Tampa's pitching can stack up with the Twins', but the Rays' offense is way more reliable. Roll with the Rays again.

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Friday June 9th - The Money Team Wins

MLB Recap
Last 7 Days 12-8 +8 Units
Last 30 Days 41-24 +33.41 Units

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2* Arizonia -1.5 +115 (BIG W)

While Detroit's Michael Lorenzen has been an incredible pitcher at home, Arizona's Merrill Kelly can match him. Especially since Kelly is facing one of MLB's worst offenses. Lorenzen doesn't get that luxury, as the Diamondbacks put pressure on pitchers with every pitch. If Arizona's rested bullpen can hold on, there's no reason they shouldn't easily outscore the Tigers in this one. The first-place Snakes keep the pressure on their California rivals with another win.

1* LA Dodgers -104 (L)

It's hard to pass up on the Dodgers at this price. Although both starting pitchers are hard to trust, the Los Angeles offense has been much more consistent and should be able to out-slug the Phillies in this one. Los Angeles has won six of their last seven games against the Phillies and despite the bullpen woes, are still the better team overall. Back the Dodgers here.

2* Miami +125 (L)

I'm not about to pick against the hottest team in the league. Miami's glaring issue all season has been the offense, and it has finally arrived. Dylan Cease is usually a bad matchup, but with how he's been pitching in 2023, Miami can probably get a few runs off of him right now. Behind Cease, the White Sox have a weak bullpen, even with Liam Hendriks back. Eury Perez has been stellar in his young career and should turn in another strong outing. Stick with the Marlins while their bats are hot since their pitching has been fine all season.

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The Money Team Wins ???

Last 7 Days 12-8 +8 Units
Last 30 Days 41-24 +33.41 Units

1* Cleveland -124
3* NY Yankees -113

 

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Saturday June 10th - The Money Team Wins

MLB Recap 1-1 +1.76 Units
Last 7 Days 13-10 +8.82 Units
Last 30 Days 43-27 +34.43 Units

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1* Cleveland -124 (L)

Houston's offense entered this series cold, with five runs scored in the three preceding games. They also lost their biggest and most dangerous bat, Yordan Alvarez. Cleveland's offense has been one of the worst all season, but they're showing signs of life lately. The Guardians also have Triston McKenzie back, and his first start was everything they dreamed of. McKenzie has succeeded against the Astros in the past, and Cleveland has an elite group of relievers behind him. Pitching leads the way in a Cleveland home win.

3* NY Yankees -113 (W)

When this series began, the Red Sox were 2-13 in their last 15 trips to Yankee Stadium, dating back to July 17, 2021. With the pitching matchup in this game, that stretch of failure should extend into Sunday. German is pitching well lately, and New York's bullpen has been insane this season. Boston's Tanner Houck has had a rough year, and so has a healthy chunk of the Red Sox's relievers. The Yankees' offense may be missing the reigning AL MVP, again, but they'll gut out a win in this one.

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Sunday June 11th - The Money Team Wins

Yesterday Recap 2-1 +4.67 Units

Last 7 Days 14-6 +22.01 Units
Last 30 Days 45-28 +39.10 Units

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2* Oakland +184 (W 8-6)

The Athletics have won three of their last four road games. Even though they have one of the worst offenses in the league, they are playing very well at the moment, scoring 25 runs in their last three road games. Expect them to play well offensively in this game because they’ve had more success against right-handers and Peralta has struggled on the mound in recent starts, giving up 15 runs in his last three starts. He gave up 13 runs in his last three home starts and will have a hard time slowing down the Athletics in this game. The Brewers have lost three of their last five games and five of their last eight home games. Despite their slump, they have played well offensively, scoring 15 runs in their last three home games. But, they will struggle offensively in this game because they have struggled against left-handers and Sears has done a good job on the mound in recent starts, giving up five runs in his last four starts. He gave up four runs in his last three road starts and will keep Milwaukee’s offense in check. Go with Oakland to cover the money line.

2* Chicago WS -130 (L 5-6)

The Miami Marlins are playing well but have benefited from an easy schedule recently. Their last six games prior to this series have been against the two worst teams in baseball, the A’s and the Royals. Chicago has been solid, winning six of their last eight games. Furthermore, Marlins’ left-handed starter Braxton Garrett just allowed four runs last time out. He is a lefty and the White Sox have been more dangerous against lefties, posting a solid .744 OPS against left-handed starters compared to only a .666 OPS against righties. White Sox starter Lucas Giolito just tossed six shutout innings against the Yankees last time out and has a stellar 2.70 ERA and a 3-1 record at home this season.

2* Cincinnati +115 (W 4-3)

With Hunter Greene on the mound, the Reds are the better bet in this game. He's been money on the road and needs run support for it to translate to wins. Fortunately, the Reds get to bat against Adam Wainwright, who has been awful this season. Cincinnati tagged Wainwright for five runs once this season, so there's proof that they can get to him. Greene can keep St. Louis' offense down, and Cincinnati's surprisingly solid bullpen can lock it down. The Reds leave St. Louis with a win.

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Monday June 12th - The Money Team Wins

Yesterday VIP Recap 2-0 +6.08 Units

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4k Cincinnati +102 (W)

If Zack Greinke pitches well in this game, he probably won't get run support, and the bullpen will blow it. If Greinke does not pitch well, there's little chance that the Royals are out slugging the Reds for nine innings, especially with the state of both offenses. Kansas City stinks right now, and trusting this team to piece together a win isn't wise until further notice. Take the team playing well and with a functional offense and bullpen. Even if the starting pitcher battle isn't in their favor.

2k Seattle -133 (BIG W)

Jesus Luzardo was terrific last time out, tossing seven innings of a one-run, two-hit ball in a 6-1 home victory against the Kansas City Royals. He’ll have a much taller task this time around, as the Mariners have been way more dangerous against the lefties in recent weeks. On the other side, it’s hard to trust Bryce Miller, but the talented rookie can only pitch better than he did against the Yankees and Rangers. This is a tough spot for the Marlins, who had to take a trip from Chicago to Seattle, so I’m going with the Mariners to come out on top. Frankly, this game could easily go either way, and taking the under on the totals might be the best move.

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