Live Handicapping Saturday 5/4/24 (Derby Day)

[Kev]

Ken Strong's Derby preview and picks..

Fierceness Looks Solid in 150th Kentucky Derby, but Longshots Enticing

Expert handicapper Kenneth Strong breaks down the 150th Kentucky Derby and gives out his advice on who to bet the race and how.

www.predictem.com

I'm betting longshot Dornoch

 

[Michelangelo]

GP
9th
$2.00 ex box
#4 with #s 3, 5, 8
($12.00)
7 long minutes

 

[Michelangelo]

BAQ
9th
$2.00 ex box
#7 with #s 2, 4, 5, 6
($16.00)
circling

 

[Michelangelo]

GP
9th
$2.00 ex box
#4 with #s 3, 5, 8
($12.00)
7 long minutes

BAQ
9th
$2.00 ex box
#7 with #s 2, 4, 5, 6
($16.00)
circling

No and no.

-96.00 -12.00 -16.00 = -124.00
+71.10

 

[beach529]

I have six grands from 22 to 1 year old. So I have kids here all the time.Four are here in my neighborhood my 22 year old is in dental school and my 19 year old is attending USC.

 

[Michelangelo]

Wbn
9th
$112.00 Win
#1 Owen's Tour Guide
2 minutes

 

[Michelangelo]

Wbn
9th
$112.00 Win
#1 Owen's Tour Guide
2 minutes

CD
11th
$4.00 exatas
#6 over #s 1, 4, 5, 11
$2.00 exactas
#s 1, 4, 5, 11 over #6
($24.00)
2 minutes

No and no.

-124.00 -12.00 -24.00 = -160.00
+71.10

 

[Michelangelo]

I have six grands from 22 to 1 year old. So I have kids here all the time.Four are here in my neighborhood my 22 year old is in dental school and my 19 year old is attending USC.

Whew. Lotsa kiddos. They must keep you young, beach.

 

[cujgiz]

My Sportsbook didn’t tell us they have a 200 cap payout on horses hit the race 8 superfecta ouch.

 

[Michelangelo]

Wbn
10th
$12.00 Win
#3 My Assistant
5 minutes

 

[Michelangelo]

My Sportsbook didn’t tell us they have a 200 cap payout on horses hit the race 8 superfecta ouch.

Wow. Chopped from 919.00 to 200.00! That sucks big time.

 

[cujgiz]

Wow. Chopped from 919.00 to 200.00! That sucks big time.

Wow. Chopped from 919.00 to 200.00! That sucks big time.

1840 it was a 2 dollar

 

[Michelangelo]

GP
11th
$8.00 Win
$4.00 Place
#10 Brawn
12 minutes

 

[Michelangelo]

1840 it was a 2 dollar

Double jeesh!

 

[beach529]

Yea 72 is the the new 50 because of all the kids. That and politics will keep you young I have been in politics for 44 years .Legislator and now lobbying here in SC

 

[Michelangelo]

Yea 72 is the the new 50 because of all the kids. That and politics will keep you young I have been in politics for 44 years .Legislator and now lobbying here in SC

beach, I'm gonna ask which party but we need to remain friends even if we support different parties. Cool?

 

[Michelangelo]

Wbn
10th
$12.00 Win
#3 My Assistant
5 minutes

GP
11th
$8.00 Win
$4.00 Place
#10 Brawn
12 minutes

Not in the rhythm today. Lose and lose.

-160.00 -12.00 -12.00 = -184.00
+71.10

 

[beach529]

I got you covered ran as a democrat forty years ago now a Republican although I have to work with both parties.

 

[Michelangelo]

OK here's my Derby bet. Going for a big return. Unfortunately it won't be real big because I'm using the favorite (Fierceness) on top.

CD
12th
Kentucky Derby
$1.00 tri key
#17 over #s 2, 4, 6, 7, 8, 12, 14
($42.00)
34 minutes

So for the uninitiated I am betting that I can pick the first, second, and third horses in finishing order. If I do I hit what's called a trifecta. For my ticket to cash I need the #17 (Fierceness) to win and any of the other seven horses I listed to come in second or third.

On paper the #17 is clearly the best horse. But he's never run as far as he has to run today (1mile and a quarter). The added distance of today's race is the most important x factor for these young (all 3 year old) horses. We'll soon know if he can get that far on top.

Good luck.

 

[beach529]

What do you think about the Derby ,I’m having a party and I want to look smart with a winner Around my guest.