XSPower XNFL & NFL 2015 Football Side & Total Power Winners

[XSPower]

SUNDAY NFL POWER FOOTBALL . SATURDAY (2-2) . THURSDAY (1-2) . THIS WEEK TOP PLAYS (2-1) . THIS WEEK REGULAR (1-3)

Here we go my friends....

Top: Houston -3.5

Top: Buffalo -6.5

Top: Buffalo Over 42

Top: Carolina Under 46.5

Regular: Tampa Bay -3

Regular: Indianapolis +3

Regular: Kansas City -11.5

Regular: Pittsburgh Under 47.5

XS

 

[fahimusman]

Gud luck my friend... Thank you for your contribution Thankyou)(&

 

[bennyblanco]

Good luck XS cheersgif

 

[boss415]

Bol buddy! Glad to see that pit/bal under from a local pittsburg guy. That one really stood out to me.

 

[XSPower]

Gud luck my friend... Thank you for your contribution Thankyou)(&

Good luck XS cheersgif

Bol buddy! Glad to see that pit/bal under from a local pittsburg guy. That one really stood out to me.

Good luck today my friends!!!

 

[XSPower]

ADDING

Top: Seattle -11

Top: Green Bay +6

XS

 

[TheGiems2k]

Any thoughts viking vs giants

 

[XSPower]

Sunday Night Football betting preview: Giants at Vikings

New York Giants at Minnesota Vikings (-6.5, 44.5)

Eli Manning will be without top wideout Odell Beckham Jr. on Sunday when the New York Giants continue their pursuit of the NFC East title with a road tilt versus the Minnesota Vikings. Manning found Beckham with his career-high 32nd touchdown pass last week, but the Giants' spirited rally came up short in a 38-35 setback to undefeated Carolina.

The testy matchup led to the one-game suspension of Beckham, who was flagged three times for unnecessary roughness against Panthers cornerback Josh Norman - with one altercation coming after a helmet-to-helmet hit where neither competitor was involved in the play. Replacing Beckham will be a tall task for the Giants, as the second-year star leads the team in receptions (91), yards (1,396) and touchdowns (13). "Outside of Eli Manning, (Beckham's) their best player," said Minnesota's Adrian Peterson, who told reporters that he texted his support for the wideout and didn't think his actions warranted a suspension. Peterson sprained his left ankle in last week's 38-17 victory over NFC North rival Chicago, but the NFL's leading rusher said he expects to play Sunday as Minnesota bids for a playoff berth.

LINE HISTORY: The Vikings opened as 6.5-point favorites, but it was the Giants who got the early support, moving the line to Vikings -5. Since then however, the line has come back to the Vikes and is back at the opening number. The total has been bet down a point-and-a-half from 46 to 44.5

INJURY REPORT:

Giants - DE G. Selvie (probable Sunday, concussion), RB O. Darkwa (probable Sunday, illness), T E. FLowers (probable Sunday, illness), WR D. Harris (questionable Sunday, knee), CB J. Hosley (questionable Sunday, undisclosed), LB D. Kennard (out Sunday, hamstring), S C. Taylor (out Sunday, concussion), WR O. Beckham (out Sunday, suspension), DT M. Kuhn (I-R, knee), LB J. Morris (I-R, quadricep), FB N. Whitlock (I-R, knee).

Vikings - WR C. Johnson (probable Sunday, ankle), RB J. McKinnon (probable Sunday, concussion), CB J. Robinson (probable Sunday, concussion), TE R. Ellison (probable Sunday, ankle), DE E. Griffen (probable Sunday, shoulder), DT L. Joseph (probable Sunday, foot), S H. Smith (probable Sunday, hamstring), LB A. Barr (probable Sunday, groin), RB A. Peterson (probable Sunday, ankle), C J. Sullivan (questionable Sunday, back), DE S. Crichton (I-R, concussion).

WEATHER REPORT: It will be a clear but chilly night for football in Minnesota. Temperatures will hover around a fridgid 20 degrees for the game, with a six-to-eight mile per hour wind blowing across the field from north to south.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Giants (0) - Vikings (-1.5) + home field (-3) = Vikings -4.5

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Adrian Peterson, talking about the recent improvement of QB Teddy Bridgewater: ?These last two weeks, I've seen a different look in his eyes. I really don't have to say much to him. Meanwhile, the betting markets moved against the Giants two full points when Odell Beckham Jr?s one game suspension was announced."- Covers Expert Teddy Covers.

ABOUT THE GIANTS (6-8, 8-5-1 ATS, 9-5 O/U): Rashad Jennings became the first New York running back to rush for a triple-digit yardage total this season when he rolled up 107 versus the Panthers. The 30-year-old, who found the end zone for the first time since Week 4, has rushed 38 times for 188 yards in the last two contests after mustering just 28 yards total in the previous two. Wide receiver Rueben Randle, who should see an uptick in targets with Beckham suspended, has scored in back-to-back contests and four of his last six.

ABOUT THE VIKINGS (9-5, 11-3 ATS, 3-10-1 O/U): Should Green Bay falter against Arizona earlier in the day, Minnesota's contest on Sunday night would be rendered somewhat meaningless ahead of a pivotal Week 17 showdown with the Packers for the NFC North title. While Mike Zimmer admitted he would like to "be smart" in his approach, the coach expressed more of a desire to protect his players that are dealing with slight injuries. Teddy Bridgewater has been heating up of late, throwing for 335 yards against Arizona in Week 14 before recording a career-best five touchdowns (four passing, one rushing) versus the Bears.

TRENDS:

* Giants are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in December.
* Vikings are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in December.
* Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 vs. NFC.
* Under is 11-3-1 in Vikings last 15 games overall.

 

[XSPower]

SUNDAY NIGHT NFL POWER FOOTBALL

Played these both @ Bovada.... took a hit from the bad call on the Packers & Seahawks.....

Top: NY Giants +7

Top: NY Giants Under 45.5

XS

 

[rekt]

wow. mind reader. im actually leaning this!

 

[XSPower]

wow. mind reader. im actually leaning this!

Thanks and good luck tonight my friend!!!

 

[rekt]

hno:

 

[XSPower]

SUNDAY (5-7) . SUNDAY TOP PLAYS (3-5) . SUNDAY REGULAR PLAYS (2-2)

THIS WEEK TOP PLAYS (5-6) . THIS WEEK REGULAR (3-5)

I must say that I have been more dedicated capping the "College Bowls" and not enough with my NFL plays and it shows.... Here are my results from Sunday.....

Top: Seattle -11 (Lost)

Top: Green Bay +6 (Lost)

Top: NY Giants +7 (Lost)

Top: Buffalo Over 42 (Lost)

Top: NY Giants Under 45.5 (Lost)

Regular: Tampa Bay -3 (Lost)

Regular: Kansas City -11.5 (Lost)

Top: Buffalo -6.5 (Winner 16-6)

Top: Houston -3.5 (Mega Blowout Winner 34-6)

Top: Carolina Under 46.5 (Blowout Winner 33 Points)

Regular: Indianapolis +3 (Su Winner 18-12)

Regular: Pittsburgh Under 47.5 (Blowout Winner 37 Points)

XS

 

[XSPower]

Monday Night Football Betting Preview: Bengals at Broncos

Cincinnati Bengals at Denver Broncos (-3.5, 39)

Both starting quarterbacks have been lost to injury, but the stakes are still high in Monday night's clash between the visiting Cincinnati Bengals and the Denver Broncos. Despite losing starter Andy Dalton to a fractured right thumb two weeks ago, the Bengals can wrap up the No. 2 seed and a first-round bye in the postseason with a victory.

Cincinnati, which holds a one-game edge over Denver and is one game behind New England for the best record in the AFC, can also wrap up the AFC North with a win. "It will be fun, it's a great opportunity," Bengals coach Marvin Lewis said. "Both teams have earned it, and we've got to have at it." Brock Osweiler will make his sixth consecutive start in place of Peyton Manning for Denver, which blew a 17-point halftime lead in a 34-27 defeat at Pittsburgh last weekend. The Broncos still have a chance at the No. 2 seed but also had their lead cut to one game over Kansas City in the AFC West.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: The Broncos opened as 3.5-point home favorites and were bet down to -3, but have come back up to the opening number. The total opened at 41 and has since come down 2-points to now sit at 39.

INJURY REPORT:

Bengals - WR A. Green (probable Monday, back), T J. Fisher (questionable Monday, concussion), S G. Iloka (questionable Monday, knee), WR M. Alford (questionable Monday, personal), TE T. Eifert (out Monday, concussion), QB A. Dalton (out indefinitely, thumb).

Broncos - RB C. Anderson (probable Monday, back), QB B. Osweiler (probable Monday, shoulder), S T. Ward (questionable Monday, ankle), S O. Bolden (questionable Monday, groin), S D. Stewart (questionable Monday, hamstring), LB L. McCray (questionable Monday, hamstring), QB P. Manning (out Monday, foot).

WEATHER REPORT: It will be a chilly night in Denver. It will be a clear night, but temperatures will be in the low 20's to high teens for the game.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Bengals (-3) - Broncos (-3) + home field (-3) = Broncos -3

CAPPERS SAY: "Despite the fact that TE Tyler Eifert didn?t play and AJ Green limped off the field early, backup QB AJ McCarron looked solid even with a VERY conservative gameplan at San Francisco. As for Denver, after going 8-8 on third downs while racking up 27 first half points against the Steelers, Brock Osweiler?s second half was ugly: 7-26 for 82 yards, with only one third down conversion."

ABOUT THE BENGALS (11-3, 11-2-1 ATS, 7-7 O/U): A.J. McCarron threw for two touchdowns and two interceptions in relief of Dalton in a loss to Pittsburgh, but was solid in a 24-14 win at San Francisco with 192 yards on 15-of-21 despite the absence of star tight end Tyler Eifert and limited nature of top wideout A.J. Green. With Eifert set to miss a second straight game due to a concussion and Cincinnati's ground game struggling the past two weeks, McCarron will have his hands full with the league's top-ranked defense. The Bengals are no slouches on the other side of the ball, allowing a league-low 17.4 points per game.

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (10-4, 8-6 ATS, 5-8-1 O/U): Osweiler threw for three touchdowns and ran for another in the first half alone against Pittsburgh, but for the third straight week he was unable to put any points on the scoreboard in the second half as Denver lost its second in a row. The running game has not been much of a factor all season, but Emmanuel Sanders came alive with 10 catches for 181 yards and a touchdown and fellow wideout Demaryius Thomas had a pair of scoring receptions. The Broncos were torched by Pittsburgh's passing game, but they are tied for the league lead with 47 sacks and feature the No. 1 run defense.

TRENDS:

* Bengals are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games.
* Broncos are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.
* Under is 4-1 in Bengals last 5 vs. AFC.
* Under is 5-1-1 in Broncos last 7 home games.

 

[XSPower]

MONDAY NFL POWER FOOTBALL . THIS WEEK TOP PLAYS (5-6) . THIS WEEK REGULAR (3-5)

Here we go my friends....

Top Play - Denver -4

Top Play - FH Denver -3

Top Play - FH Denver Under 20

Regular - 1Q Denver -.5

Regular - Denver Under 40

XS

 

[XSPower]

SO FAR TONIGHT (1-2) . THIS WEEK TOP PLAYS (6-7) . THIS WEEK REGULAR (3-6)

Slow start for Denver tonight.....

Top Play - FH Denver -3 (Lost)

Regular - 1Q Denver -.5 (Lost)

Top Play -FH Denver Under 20 (Winner 17 Points)

XS

 

[XSPower]

MONDAY RESULTS (2-3) . THIS WEEK TOP PLAYS (6-8) . THIS WEEK REGULAR (4-6)

One week to go before the fun begins my friends!!! Hope you all had a great night as well!!!

Top Play - Denver -4 (Lost 20-17)

Regular - Denver Under 40 (Winner 37 Points)

XS

 

[XSPower]

[h=1]NFL Football Consensus: Public Picks[/h]
Time	Teams	ATS	Moneyline	Total
(ET)		Picks	Percentage	Picks	Percentage	Picks	Percentage
Sunday, January 3, 2016
1:00pm odds	(301) New York Jets (302) Buffalo Bills	8888 3608	71% 29%	2291 1178	66% 34%	O 3229 U 2400	57% 43%
1:00pm odds	(305) New England Patriots (306) Miami Dolphins	7034 2132	77% 23%	1666 829	67% 33%	O 1674 U 2154	44% 56%
1:00pm odds	(307) Baltimore Ravens (308) Cincinnati Bengals	2254 4066	36% 64%	783 802	49% 51%	O 1506 U 1227	55% 45%
1:00pm odds	(309) New Orleans Saints (310) Atlanta Falcons	2333 2478	48% 52%	719 433	62% 38%	O 1574 U 901	64% 36%
1:00pm odds	(311) Jacksonville Jaguars (312) Houston Texans	1726 5071	25% 75%	750 951	44% 56%	O 1846 U 1088	63% 37%
1:00pm odds	(313) Pittsburgh Steelers (314) Cleveland Browns	6892 1976	78% 22%	1928 636	75% 25%	O 2257 U 1586	59% 41%
1:00pm odds	(319) Washington Redskins (320) Dallas Cowboys	3187 1974	62% 38%	1040 229	82% 18%	O 1324 U 1027	56% 44%
1:00pm odds	(321) Detroit Lions (322) Chicago Bears	2339 1303	64% 36%	329 394	46% 54%	O 1119 U 754	60% 40%
1:00pm odds	(323) Philadelphia Eagles (324) New York Giants	1705 4296	28% 72%	593 848	41% 59%	O 1805 U 847	68% 32%
4:25pm odds	(303) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (304) Carolina Panthers	3264 5792	36% 64%	1044 1351	44% 56%	O 1942 U 2009	49% 51%
4:25pm odds	(315) Oakland Raiders (316) Kansas City Chiefs	3618 4010	47% 53%	809 1045	44% 56%	O 2211 U 1093	67% 33%
4:25pm odds	(327) San Diego Chargers (328) Denver Broncos	3096 3796	45% 55%	650 1108	37% 63%	O 2111 U 1009	68% 32%
4:25pm odds	(329) St. Louis Rams (330) San Francisco 49ers	4064 2103	66% 34%	820 511	62% 38%	O 1808 U 929	66% 34%
4:25pm odds	(331) Seattle Seahawks (332) Arizona Cardinals	4221 5158	45% 55%	1798 677	73% 27%	O 2063 U 1894	52% 48%
8:30pm odds	(325) Minnesota Vikings (326) Green Bay Packers	4331 4740	48% 52%	1045 1064	50% 50%	O 1456 U 2298	39% 61%

 

[XSPower]

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 17

New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons (-4, 53)

Saints’ explosive starts vs. Falcons’ flat first-quarters

New Orleans has no trouble getting out of the gate, averaging an NFL-best 7.6 points per first quarter this season. It’s just everything after that first 15 minutes that’s burned the Saints. They’ve averaged more than a touchdown per opening frame and have turned that up in recent contests, averaging eight points over the last three first quarters, including 14 first-quarter points versus Jacksonville last week.

The Falcons have been flat in first quarters in recent weeks and may be especially deflated with a possible letdown spot following their perfect-season spoiling win over Carolina in Week 16. Atlanta has given up an average of more than nine points in the opening frame over the last three weeks – handing over a total of 28 points early. When these NFC South rivals met back in Week 6, Atlanta was down 14-0 in the first quarter and eventually lost to New Orleans 31-21 as a 3-point road favorite.

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (Pick, 45.5)

Lions’ sneaky run game vs. Bears’ bad rush defense

Only one team in the NFL runs the ball less than the Lions. Detroit hands it off just over 34 percent of the time but is starting to spread the football around the playbook in recent weeks. After picking up only 84.5 yards per game – another second-rank statistic – the Lions have averaged 116 yards on the ground in their last three games, running the ball almost 38 percent of the time in that span, including 28 attempts in the win over San Francisco last week. Detroit is rushing for nearly five yards per carry in that span, but you wouldn’t know it by the way QB Matt Stafford is slinging the rock, with 14 touchdowns and only one INT in his last five games.

Chicago sits 27th in rushing defense, allowing opponents plow their way to 124.5 yards per game. The Bears did a good job against Bucs rusher Doug Martin in the win over Tampa Bay last week, but after giving up more than 400 yards and four touchdowns to Stafford last time out, Chicago could get roughed up on the ground if they drop linebackers into coverage. The Bears have allowed 4.5 yards per carry and have watched foes pick up nearly 35 percent of their first downs on the ground. Against the Lions in Week 6, Da Bears were steamrolled for 155 yards on 32 runs.

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (-7, 47.5)

Seahawks QB Russell Wilson vs. Cardinals’ trouble with dual threats

We looked at this exact mismatch back in Week 10, when Wilson added a team-high 52 rushing yards on to his 240 yards through the air in a 39-32 loss to Arizona. The Cardinals have had issues with dual-threat quarterbacks, giving up 255 yards (fourth most in the NFL) on 50 rush attempts to QBs this season, even though it’s been a while since they’ve seen one. It’s not a trend reserved to this season either, with Arizona allowing 350 yards on the ground to QBs in 2014 (third most). The Cardinals are a quick and aggressive team, but that means leaving themselves open to some big gains if the quarterback can find clean air to run in.

Wilson has amassed 541 yards rushing with surprisingly only one rushing score in 2015, making him the second-best running QB in the NFL behind Cam Newton. He’s been doing the heavy lifting with his arm the past month or so, but with a questionable offensive line, Wilson has found himself running for his life more often. He was sacked four times and hit an unlucky 13 times in the loss to St. Louis last week, turning out 39 bonus yards on the ground. He totaled 51 rushing yards versus Minnesota at the beginning of the month and 46 against the Browns in Week 15.

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-3, 46)

Vikings’ relentless run vs. Packers’ porous run defense

The less time Aaron Rodgers has with the football, the better chance the Vikings have of coming away with the NFC North crown. And in order to do so, Minnesota will have to ground-and-pound the Packers defense into submission. The Vikes run the ball more than 48 percent of the time, which has jumped to 53 percent in the past three weeks. That relentless smashing is an investment, with defenses crumbling in the second half. Minnesota averages 5.2 yards per carry in the final two frames – over a yard more than in the first half - according to SportingCharts.com.

Green Bay was able to jump out to a quick lead against the Vikings when they met in November, forcing Minnesota to pass the ball in a game of catch-up. The Vikes rushed only 18 times for 94 yards – a stark comparison to their 33 average attempts the last three games. However, when you break it down, that’s still more than five yards a carry. Green Bay has been beat up on the ground in recent weeks, allowing a NFL-worst 5.8 yards per run in the past three games while foes average more than 137 yards on the ground in that span.

 

[XSPower]

Does the playoff push equal NFL betting profits in Week 17?

Week 17 of the NFL season provides many interesting scenarios for bettors. For many teams, the season basically over. While for the lucky few the real fun is just beginning.

The teams in Week 17 can be broken down into two categories: teams with something left to play for and those with nothing left (either because they are already eliminated from the playoffs or because they have clinched a seed).

This year, in the NFC the Seahawks, Cardinals, Vikings, Packers and Panthers have something left to play for, while in the AFC the Patriots, Broncos, Bengals, Chiefs, Jets, Steelers, Texans, and Colts are assured of anything.

This means that quite a number of games this weekend will feature at least one team that’s still fighting for something, and a few will feature two teams that are still in the hunt. Therefor, for this week, we will take a look at how games that feature either or two teams with something to fight for turn out.

To do this, we gathered data for the past five years on which teams were still playing for something in Week 17. We relied upon NFL.com posts to identify these teams, and then Covers’ database to check how these games turned out both against the spread and Over/Under. We would have gone back further but because we were identifying these teams by hand it took a while, and we figured five years should be enough to give us some insight.

As mentioned before, there are really two types of games: games in which only one team has something to fight for and games in which both teams do. Therefore, when doing the analysis we will look at both categories. Since not all games are played at the same time, it is possible that the playoff hopes of each may have changed due to earlier games, but we won’t try to worry about that here - just keep it in mind.

There were 32 games in the past five years that featured only one team with something to play for. In those games, the playoff-hopeful team was 13-18 (41.9 percent) against the spread (with one push). Those games also went Under 16 times and Over 14 - or 53.3 percent of the time, with two pushes.

In the past five years, teams with something left to fight for have actually under performed expectations when playing a team that has nothing left to play for in Week 17.

This could be due to several reasons. Perhaps the lines assign a little bump to the playoff-hopeful teams as they expect them to be more motivated and play harder, when in reality they aren’t especially more motive. Or maybe they are more motivated, but their opponents, who in Week 17 are division rivals, are also motivated to keep them out of the playoffs. Or perhaps this is just random noise – it is no where close to being statistically significant, and there is no guarantee that this trend will continue in the future.

Moving onto the next category: games in which both teams have something to play for. These games are much rarer. In the past five years, there have been 13 such games, and true to form there are two this year: Minnesota at Green Bay and Seattle at Arizona.

In these games, the home team is 8-5 (61 percent) ATS, and nine of the 13 games (69 percent) have gone Under the total.

Because we have such a small sample size, these results are nowhere close to statistically significant. Still, it appears that in the case where two teams both have something to play for in Week 17, the home team has the advantage and the Under is the smart bet.

Intuitively this does make sense. Home crowds might give the home team a larger than usual home-field advantage. And although the Under may be a bit tougher to explain, I could see it being the case that coaches may play more cautiously at first, as they have proven to be very risk adverse (not going for it on fourth down when they should, stuff like that).

A final interesting tidbit: Seattle and Green Bay have each been involved in the hunt four out of the past five years. In their four attempts, Seattle is 3-1 ATS and has gone Under the total all four times, while Green Bay is 2-2 ATS and has gone Over three out of the four times. Something to think about this Sunday.