SO FAR TONIGHT (1-0) / TOP PLAYS (1-0)
Not a pretty start to the game..... glad the first half under hit!!!
Regular: Arizona -10
Top: Arizona Under 46.5
Top: Arizona (1st Half) Under 23 (Nice Winner 20 Points)
XS
Not a pretty start to the game..... glad the first half under hit!!!
Regular: Arizona -10
Top: Arizona Under 46.5
Top: Arizona (1st Half) Under 23 (Nice Winner 20 Points)
XS
THURSDAY (2-1) / TOP PLAYS (2-0) / REGULAR (0-1)
Here are my results from tonight......
Regular: Arizona -10 (Lost)
Top: Arizona Under 46.5 (Winner 43 Points)
Top: Arizona (1st Half) Under 23 (Nice Winner 20 Points)
XS
Here are my results from tonight......
Regular: Arizona -10 (Lost)
Top: Arizona Under 46.5 (Winner 43 Points)
Top: Arizona (1st Half) Under 23 (Nice Winner 20 Points)
XS
| [h=1]NFL Football Consensus: Public Picks[/h] | |||||||
| Time | Teams | ATS | Moneyline | Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (ET) | Picks | Percentage | Picks | Percentage | Picks | Percentage | |
| Sunday, December 13, 2015 | |||||||
| 1:00pm odds | (105) Pittsburgh Steelers (106) Cincinnati Bengals | 2719 2918 |
| 1001 497 |
| O 2064 U 827 |
|
| 1:00pm odds | (107) Buffalo Bills (108) Philadelphia Eagles | 3243 1684 |
| 959 496 |
| O 2052 U 1145 |
|
| 1:00pm odds | (109) Atlanta Falcons (110) Carolina Panthers | 2166 4596 |
| 1073 860 |
| O 2327 U 1474 |
|
| 1:00pm odds | (111) San Francisco 49ers (112) Cleveland Browns | 2894 1346 |
| 1034 226 |
| O 1682 U 1213 |
|
| 1:00pm odds | (113) Washington Redskins (114) Chicago Bears | 1148 1788 |
| 339 267 |
| O 760 U 1069 |
|
| 1:00pm odds | (115) Detroit Lions (116) St. Louis Rams | 3807 1210 |
| 891 370 |
| O 2093 U 894 |
|
| 1:00pm odds | (117) San Diego Chargers (118) Kansas City Chiefs | 1656 2384 |
| 446 781 |
| O 1205 U 1472 |
|
| 1:00pm odds | (119) New Orleans Saints (120) Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1229 1581 |
| 617 227 |
| O 1228 U 1098 |
|
| 1:00pm odds | (121) Indianapolis Colts (122) Jacksonville Jaguars | 77 82 |
| O 63 U 54 |
| ||
| 1:00pm odds | (123) Tennessee Titans (124) New York Jets | 1895 2102 |
| 581 315 |
| O 1542 U 731 |
|
| 1:00pm odds | (131) Seattle Seahawks (132) Baltimore Ravens | 1406 326 |
| 181 267 |
| O 458 U 232 |
|
| 4:05pm odds | (127) Oakland Raiders (128) Denver Broncos | 1346 2068 |
| 505 570 |
| O 1715 U 787 |
|
| 4:25pm odds | (129) Dallas Cowboys (130) Green Bay Packers | 1151 3772 |
| 413 743 |
| O 998 U 1603 |
|
| 8:30pm odds | (125) New England Patriots (126) Houston Texans | 5812 1347 |
| 1602 459 |
| O 2585 U 1545 |
|
Thank you Cash.....
NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 14
Buffalo Bills at Philadelphia Eagles (+1.5, 47)
Bills’ penalty problems vs. Eagles’ up-tempo offense
Nothing breeds chaos quick like speed. And no team is as chaotic – on and off the field – as the Eagles. Chip Kelly’s up-tempo offense is second in the NFL in plays per game, taking an average of just under 69 offensive snaps. With different looks and some creative sets, Philadelphia keeps opposing defenses on their toes.
This will be an issue for the Bills. Buffalo enters Week 14 as the second-most penalized team in football, with a total of 109 accepted infractions, according to NFLpenalties.com. Those flags have equaled up to 985 free yards for the Bills’ opponents. Forty of those penalties have been on the defense and 10 of those have been defensive pass interference along with six for defensive holding.
On the flip of this, the Eagles have benefited from 97 penalties on their foes – fourth most in the NFL. Philadelphia has forced opponents to break the rules for 858 extra gains including nine pass interference calls that have handed Kelly & Co. 139 yards. Things get even more out of hand when the Bills are on the road, with 68 of their penalties coming as visitors. Lincoln Financial will be rocking for LeSean McCoy’s homecoming Sunday.
Tennessee Titans at New York Jets (-7.5, 43)
Titans’ fourth-quarter defense vs. Jets’ fourth-quarter offense
When you're dealing with that half-point hook on the touchdown, like Jets bettors are with this Week 14 home game, you always lose a little sleep dreading the backdoor cover. You can see it happening: New York up by 14 points in the fourth quarter when Tennessee sneaks one into the end zone in the dying minutes.
However, look at the makeup of these two teams, Jets bettors should be resting a little easier – despite the 7.5-point spread. New York has turned it on in the final frame of their games, averaging eight points per fourth quarter on the season and turning that up to 11.3 over the last three games. Last week, the Jets forced overtime against the Giants with a 10-point push in the closing 15 minutes. And the week before they hit the Dolphins for 17 fourth-quarter points to absorb a 13-point push from Miami in the final act, holding on to the ATS win.
The Titans, while having an understated defense, have been trash in the fourth quarter. Tennessee has allowed opponents to score an average of 9.4 points in the fourth and things have gotten out of hand in the last three games. The Titans watched Jacksonville put 10 points on the board in the closing quarter in Week 11, then allowed just a touchdown in the fourth versus the Raiders (be it a game-winning score with 1:21 remaining) in Week 12. Last Sunday, Tennessee was torched for 20 points in the last 15 minutes against the Jaguars, forcing their bettors to settle for a push.
Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers (-7.5, 42.5)
Cowboys’ budding blitz vs. Packers’ injured o-line
The Cowboys were one of the most passive defenses in the entire NFL, in fact the most passive with defensive coordinator Rod Marinelli dialing up the blitz once every blue moon and relying on a four-man rush. But in the win over Washington Monday, Marinelli unleashed hell on a young and hobbled Redskins offensive line and constantly closed the pocket on QB Kirk Cousins. Dallas, which has only 23 sacks on the season, recorded three sacks – two coming from hybrid LB/DE DeMarcus Lawrence.
The big question on everyone’s mind this week is if the Cowboys will stick to this aggressive rush or go back to playing it safe against the Packers? Normally, Aaron Rodgers would make opponents pay for bringing extras but the Green Bay passing attack just isn’t the same and is lacking that deep-threat option (save for an occasional miracle Hail Mary). The Packers actually rank as the seventh weakest passing offense over the past three weeks, averaging only 210 yards through the air in that span.
Two other things would indicate that Dallas may keep the blitz coming in Week 12. 1. Green Bay, much like Washington, has a patchwork offensive line, with injuries up and down the depth chart. The Packers are an injury or two away from bringing in long snappers and defenders to protect. They’ve given up 29 sacks this season after allowing 30 last season. And 2. Cowboys owner Jerry Jones was very vocal with his praise of this new aggressive style. And, as we know, what Jerry wants, Jerry gets.
New England Patriots at Houston Texans (+3, 45)
Patriots kick coverage vs. Texan’s sucking starting field position
One of the unsung strengths of this Patriots teams has been its ability to pin opponents deep in their own end, giving the defense a head start each drive. New England tops the NFL in opponents’ starting field position, forcing foes to open drives at an average of their own 23-yard line. On the flip of this, the Pats are fourth in offensive starting field position, according to FootballOutsiders.com, beginning their drives at an average beyond the 30-yard line.
Houston is at the bottom of that stats table, sitting 28th in average starting field position. The Texans open their drives at an average of just over the 25-yard line, which has helped slow down an already one-dimensional playbook producing just over 21 points per game. Houston has record 40 three-and-out drives this season, third most in the NFL, and bad field position doesn’t help move the chains.
The Texans’ special teams aren’t doing much to remedy that either. Houston averages 24.2 yards per kickoff return and only 7.3 yards on punt run backs. They go up against a Patriots coverage unit that is allowing a mere 18.6 yards on kickoffs –second lowest in the league - and 8.3 yards on punt returns. New England averages 4.2 touch backs per game, which is also second in the NFL.
Buffalo Bills at Philadelphia Eagles (+1.5, 47)
Bills’ penalty problems vs. Eagles’ up-tempo offense
Nothing breeds chaos quick like speed. And no team is as chaotic – on and off the field – as the Eagles. Chip Kelly’s up-tempo offense is second in the NFL in plays per game, taking an average of just under 69 offensive snaps. With different looks and some creative sets, Philadelphia keeps opposing defenses on their toes.
This will be an issue for the Bills. Buffalo enters Week 14 as the second-most penalized team in football, with a total of 109 accepted infractions, according to NFLpenalties.com. Those flags have equaled up to 985 free yards for the Bills’ opponents. Forty of those penalties have been on the defense and 10 of those have been defensive pass interference along with six for defensive holding.
On the flip of this, the Eagles have benefited from 97 penalties on their foes – fourth most in the NFL. Philadelphia has forced opponents to break the rules for 858 extra gains including nine pass interference calls that have handed Kelly & Co. 139 yards. Things get even more out of hand when the Bills are on the road, with 68 of their penalties coming as visitors. Lincoln Financial will be rocking for LeSean McCoy’s homecoming Sunday.
Tennessee Titans at New York Jets (-7.5, 43)
Titans’ fourth-quarter defense vs. Jets’ fourth-quarter offense
When you're dealing with that half-point hook on the touchdown, like Jets bettors are with this Week 14 home game, you always lose a little sleep dreading the backdoor cover. You can see it happening: New York up by 14 points in the fourth quarter when Tennessee sneaks one into the end zone in the dying minutes.
However, look at the makeup of these two teams, Jets bettors should be resting a little easier – despite the 7.5-point spread. New York has turned it on in the final frame of their games, averaging eight points per fourth quarter on the season and turning that up to 11.3 over the last three games. Last week, the Jets forced overtime against the Giants with a 10-point push in the closing 15 minutes. And the week before they hit the Dolphins for 17 fourth-quarter points to absorb a 13-point push from Miami in the final act, holding on to the ATS win.
The Titans, while having an understated defense, have been trash in the fourth quarter. Tennessee has allowed opponents to score an average of 9.4 points in the fourth and things have gotten out of hand in the last three games. The Titans watched Jacksonville put 10 points on the board in the closing quarter in Week 11, then allowed just a touchdown in the fourth versus the Raiders (be it a game-winning score with 1:21 remaining) in Week 12. Last Sunday, Tennessee was torched for 20 points in the last 15 minutes against the Jaguars, forcing their bettors to settle for a push.
Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers (-7.5, 42.5)
Cowboys’ budding blitz vs. Packers’ injured o-line
The Cowboys were one of the most passive defenses in the entire NFL, in fact the most passive with defensive coordinator Rod Marinelli dialing up the blitz once every blue moon and relying on a four-man rush. But in the win over Washington Monday, Marinelli unleashed hell on a young and hobbled Redskins offensive line and constantly closed the pocket on QB Kirk Cousins. Dallas, which has only 23 sacks on the season, recorded three sacks – two coming from hybrid LB/DE DeMarcus Lawrence.
The big question on everyone’s mind this week is if the Cowboys will stick to this aggressive rush or go back to playing it safe against the Packers? Normally, Aaron Rodgers would make opponents pay for bringing extras but the Green Bay passing attack just isn’t the same and is lacking that deep-threat option (save for an occasional miracle Hail Mary). The Packers actually rank as the seventh weakest passing offense over the past three weeks, averaging only 210 yards through the air in that span.
Two other things would indicate that Dallas may keep the blitz coming in Week 12. 1. Green Bay, much like Washington, has a patchwork offensive line, with injuries up and down the depth chart. The Packers are an injury or two away from bringing in long snappers and defenders to protect. They’ve given up 29 sacks this season after allowing 30 last season. And 2. Cowboys owner Jerry Jones was very vocal with his praise of this new aggressive style. And, as we know, what Jerry wants, Jerry gets.
New England Patriots at Houston Texans (+3, 45)
Patriots kick coverage vs. Texan’s sucking starting field position
One of the unsung strengths of this Patriots teams has been its ability to pin opponents deep in their own end, giving the defense a head start each drive. New England tops the NFL in opponents’ starting field position, forcing foes to open drives at an average of their own 23-yard line. On the flip of this, the Pats are fourth in offensive starting field position, according to FootballOutsiders.com, beginning their drives at an average beyond the 30-yard line.
Houston is at the bottom of that stats table, sitting 28th in average starting field position. The Texans open their drives at an average of just over the 25-yard line, which has helped slow down an already one-dimensional playbook producing just over 21 points per game. Houston has record 40 three-and-out drives this season, third most in the NFL, and bad field position doesn’t help move the chains.
The Texans’ special teams aren’t doing much to remedy that either. Houston averages 24.2 yards per kickoff return and only 7.3 yards on punt run backs. They go up against a Patriots coverage unit that is allowing a mere 18.6 yards on kickoffs –second lowest in the league - and 8.3 yards on punt returns. New England averages 4.2 touch backs per game, which is also second in the NFL.
Essential Week 14 betting notes for NFL Sunday
Buffalo Bills at Philadelphia Eagles (-1, 47)
* "From our perspective, we couldn't be happier with (the trade)," Buffalo coach Rex Ryan said of LeSean McCoy, who makes his return to Philadelphia since being acquired in March for linebacker Kiko Alonso. "I mean, obviously LeSean is a great player, great talent and we love him in the building. He's got that great energy about him and (is a) good teammate."
* A disgruntled DeMarco Murray rushed for just 24 yards last week, but Philadelphia posted a 35-28 victory over New England to move into a three-way tie atop the woeful NFC East. Last season's rushing leader, Murray reportedly talked to Eagles owner Jeffrey Lurie over his reduced use but his workload likely won't get any better with the expected return of Ryan Mathews (concussion).
San Francisco 49ers at Cleveland Browns (-1.5, 41.5)
* Running back Carlos Hyde is expected to miss his sixth consecutive game with a stress fracture in his foot, which is disappointing news as Cleveland ranks 31st against the run with an average of 136.3 yards allowed. Meanwhile, San Francisco has yielded at least 170 yards on the ground in four of its last six contests.
* Sine getting out of the gate as a decent bet (4-2 ATS), the Brown have failed to cover the spread in six consecutive games. They were favored in just one of those six games (-6 vs. Baltimore) and are currently 1.5-point favorites for Sunday's contest.
Detroit Lions at St. Louis Rams (+3.5, 41)
* Detroit began the season 1-7 before winning three in a row to perk up expectations, but the Week 13 final-second loss to the Packers likely ended any slim hope of a wild-card run. The Lions’ turnaround began shortly after the team made a change at offensive coordinator, elevating Jim Bob Cooter to the position. Since the change quarterback Matthew Stafford has nine touchdown passes and one interception in his last four games.
* St. Louis ranks last in the NFL in passing with an average of 178 yards but is ready to make a change at quarterback, with Case Keenum cleared to return after passing the concussion protocol. “To have the opportunity like this, obviously it’s a tough part of the season, but honestly, I’m not looking at what’s happened,” he told reporters. “I’m not looking ahead, I’m looking at today and how did practice today go.”
New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4.5, 50.5)
* Running back Mark Ingram was placed on injured reserve with a season-ending shoulder injury and questions abound over wideout Brandin Cooks, who is missed Thursday's practice with a concussion. The second-year star has pieced it together as the season has gone on, reeling in 41 receptions for 625 yards and seven touchdowns during the last eight games.
* Doug Martin is the NFL's second-leading rusher with 1,133 yards and faces a juicy matchup against the Saints' 32nd-ranked defense. Although he was limited to just 78 yards on 21 carries in the first meeting, Martin has run roughshod over the last three weeks (427 yards, one touchdown).
Tennessee Titans at New York Jet (-7.5, 43)
* Marcus Mariota's rushing total from last week was certainly boosted by an 87-yard scramble for a score but also a conscious effort on the Titans' part to make him more of the dual threat he was at Oregon. The ground game has been a major concern as David Cobb and Antonio Andrews combined for 98 yards while splitting carries last week. The Titans offense is ranked 28th in the league.
* The New York Jets pulled off a dramatic come-from-behind win against their co-tenants of MetLife Stadium last week to stay in the thick of the AFC wild-card race. With no room for error, New York hosts the Tennessee Titans on Sunday in another must-win. Cornerback Darrelle Revis remains uncertain after missing the past two games with a concussion, but he returned to practice on Wednesday.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5, 50)
* If there is a team that steps up their game in crunch time it is the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers are 8-0 ATS in their last games in the month of December, including beating up on the Indianapolis Colts 45-10, easily covering the 10-point chalk.
* The Bengals just continue to cover spreads, thumping the Cleveland Browns 37-3 as 7.5-point chalk last week. That win improved their record against the spread to 10-1-1 for the season, making them the best bet in football.
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars (-1.5, 46)
* According to coach Chuck Pagano, Hasselbeck "took the lion's share of the snaps in practice" and is listed as probable but he gave way to journeyman Charlie Whitehurst after struggling badly in Sunday's 45-10 loss to the Steelers filled in. The Colts, with Hasselbeck under center, beat the Jaguars 16-13 in overtime in their first meeting of the season.
* The Jaguars dropped their second straight game last week despite a franchise-record five touchdown passes from Blake Bortles. Bortles has thrown at least one scoring pass in every game this season but Jacksonville's defense continues to be its downfall, ranking 30th in the league by allowing 28.4 points a game.
San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (-11, 44.5)
* San Diego has lost seven of its last eight, though three of those defeats have come by four points or fewer. The biggest issue on offense is an inability to run the ball effectively, as the Chargers rank 30th in the league in rushing and have not topped 100 yards on the ground since Week 2.
* They may not be the best overall bet in football, but there is no team hotter on the field and at the betting window than the Chiefs. After getting off to a dreadful 1-5 SU and ATS start, the Chiefs have rattled off six consecutive victories, covering the spread in each.
Washington at Chicago Bears (-3.5, 43)
* Washington has yet to win on the road this season, going 0-5 straight up away from FedEx Field. They are just 1-4 against the spread in those contests.
* Meanwhile, the Bears are almost as bad at home as Washington is on the road. The Bears have just one win in six tries at home this season, going 2-4 ATS in the process.
Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers (-8, 46)
* The undefeated Panthers keep finding ways to win – after three straight lopsided victories, they rallied from a 14-0 deficit to beat New Orleans 41-38 last week on Cam Newton’s 15-yard touchdown pass to Jerricho Cotchery with 1:05 left. With five wins by seven points or fewer, though, they’ve seemed far from invincible.
* The Falcons are as cold a bet as a team can be heading into Week 14. They haven't covered a spread in eight consecutive games, going all the way back to Week 4. To make matters worse, this is the biggest pups the Falcons have been this all season.
Seattle Seahawks at Baltimore Ravens (+11.5, 40.5)
* The Seattle Seahawks have snapped out of their midseason malaise and will go for their fourth consecutive victory when they visit the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday. After blowing fourth-quarter leads in five of their first nine games, the two-time reigning NFC champions have come alive and outscored the opposition 106-50 during their three-game winning streak.
* Playing at M&T Bank Stadium hasn't done Ravens backers any favors over the past couple of seasons, with the Ravens going 0-7-1 against the spread in their last eight games at home.
Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos (-6.5, 43.5)
* The Raiders' postseason hopes have taken a major hit as the club has dropped four of its last five contests. The latest defeat, a 34-20 setback against Kansas City in Week 13, marked the third time in five games - and fifth overall this season - Oakland has allowed at least 30 points. The Raiders have lost eight consecutive meetings with the Broncos, including a 16-10 defeat at home in Week 5.
* The team from the Mile-High City has an injury list nearly a mile long, beginning with Peyton Manning, who is expected to miss his fourth straight game with a torn plantar fascia. Also ailing are running backs C.J. Anderson (ankle) and Ronnie Hillman (foot), tight end Vernon Davis (concussion), defensive end DeMarcus Ware (back), nose tackle Sylvester Williams (ankle), guard Louis Vasquez (groin), linebacker Danny Trevathan (concussion) and safeties T.J. Ward (ankle), David Bruton Jr. (knee) and Omar Bolden (hamstring).
Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers (-6.5, 42.5)
* The Cowboys finally emerged victorious without Tony Romo under center on Monday with a 19-16 triumph over NFC East rival Washington, but Dez Bryant continues to be held in check - the superstar had three catches versus the Redskins and just 21 in six weeks since returning from a foot injury.
* Eddie Lacy's topsy-turvy season continued as he was limited to just five carries after missing curfew last week. Coach Mike McCarthy seemed to note that Lacy's punishment is up after telling reporters that "everything Eddie wants to accomplish is right there in front of him." Fellow running back James Starks is mustering just 2.9 yards per carry in his last six games while undrafted rookie John Crockett ignited the offense with 22 yards on five carries versus the Lions.
New England Patriots at Houston Texans (+3.5, 45)
* Star tight end Rob Gronkowski, who suffered a knee injury in an overtime loss at Denver on Nov. 29, practiced on a limited basis Thursday for the first time since he was hurt but his status is unclear for the Texans. Without Gronkowski and slot receiver Julian Edelman unavailable, Brady completed only 51.8 percent of his passes and had his first multiple-interception game of the season, including a 99-yard return for a touchdown in the loss to the Eagles.
* After surrendering a total of 35 points during a perfect 4-0 November, including six on three occasions, Houston was unable to slow Buffalo last week in permitting 187 yards rushing. J.J. Watt has an NFL-best 13.5 sacks for the Texans, who rank third in the league by allowing an average of 218.3 yards passing per game.
Buffalo Bills at Philadelphia Eagles (-1, 47)
* "From our perspective, we couldn't be happier with (the trade)," Buffalo coach Rex Ryan said of LeSean McCoy, who makes his return to Philadelphia since being acquired in March for linebacker Kiko Alonso. "I mean, obviously LeSean is a great player, great talent and we love him in the building. He's got that great energy about him and (is a) good teammate."
* A disgruntled DeMarco Murray rushed for just 24 yards last week, but Philadelphia posted a 35-28 victory over New England to move into a three-way tie atop the woeful NFC East. Last season's rushing leader, Murray reportedly talked to Eagles owner Jeffrey Lurie over his reduced use but his workload likely won't get any better with the expected return of Ryan Mathews (concussion).
San Francisco 49ers at Cleveland Browns (-1.5, 41.5)
* Running back Carlos Hyde is expected to miss his sixth consecutive game with a stress fracture in his foot, which is disappointing news as Cleveland ranks 31st against the run with an average of 136.3 yards allowed. Meanwhile, San Francisco has yielded at least 170 yards on the ground in four of its last six contests.
* Sine getting out of the gate as a decent bet (4-2 ATS), the Brown have failed to cover the spread in six consecutive games. They were favored in just one of those six games (-6 vs. Baltimore) and are currently 1.5-point favorites for Sunday's contest.
Detroit Lions at St. Louis Rams (+3.5, 41)
* Detroit began the season 1-7 before winning three in a row to perk up expectations, but the Week 13 final-second loss to the Packers likely ended any slim hope of a wild-card run. The Lions’ turnaround began shortly after the team made a change at offensive coordinator, elevating Jim Bob Cooter to the position. Since the change quarterback Matthew Stafford has nine touchdown passes and one interception in his last four games.
* St. Louis ranks last in the NFL in passing with an average of 178 yards but is ready to make a change at quarterback, with Case Keenum cleared to return after passing the concussion protocol. “To have the opportunity like this, obviously it’s a tough part of the season, but honestly, I’m not looking at what’s happened,” he told reporters. “I’m not looking ahead, I’m looking at today and how did practice today go.”
New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4.5, 50.5)
* Running back Mark Ingram was placed on injured reserve with a season-ending shoulder injury and questions abound over wideout Brandin Cooks, who is missed Thursday's practice with a concussion. The second-year star has pieced it together as the season has gone on, reeling in 41 receptions for 625 yards and seven touchdowns during the last eight games.
* Doug Martin is the NFL's second-leading rusher with 1,133 yards and faces a juicy matchup against the Saints' 32nd-ranked defense. Although he was limited to just 78 yards on 21 carries in the first meeting, Martin has run roughshod over the last three weeks (427 yards, one touchdown).
Tennessee Titans at New York Jet (-7.5, 43)
* Marcus Mariota's rushing total from last week was certainly boosted by an 87-yard scramble for a score but also a conscious effort on the Titans' part to make him more of the dual threat he was at Oregon. The ground game has been a major concern as David Cobb and Antonio Andrews combined for 98 yards while splitting carries last week. The Titans offense is ranked 28th in the league.
* The New York Jets pulled off a dramatic come-from-behind win against their co-tenants of MetLife Stadium last week to stay in the thick of the AFC wild-card race. With no room for error, New York hosts the Tennessee Titans on Sunday in another must-win. Cornerback Darrelle Revis remains uncertain after missing the past two games with a concussion, but he returned to practice on Wednesday.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5, 50)
* If there is a team that steps up their game in crunch time it is the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers are 8-0 ATS in their last games in the month of December, including beating up on the Indianapolis Colts 45-10, easily covering the 10-point chalk.
* The Bengals just continue to cover spreads, thumping the Cleveland Browns 37-3 as 7.5-point chalk last week. That win improved their record against the spread to 10-1-1 for the season, making them the best bet in football.
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars (-1.5, 46)
* According to coach Chuck Pagano, Hasselbeck "took the lion's share of the snaps in practice" and is listed as probable but he gave way to journeyman Charlie Whitehurst after struggling badly in Sunday's 45-10 loss to the Steelers filled in. The Colts, with Hasselbeck under center, beat the Jaguars 16-13 in overtime in their first meeting of the season.
* The Jaguars dropped their second straight game last week despite a franchise-record five touchdown passes from Blake Bortles. Bortles has thrown at least one scoring pass in every game this season but Jacksonville's defense continues to be its downfall, ranking 30th in the league by allowing 28.4 points a game.
San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (-11, 44.5)
* San Diego has lost seven of its last eight, though three of those defeats have come by four points or fewer. The biggest issue on offense is an inability to run the ball effectively, as the Chargers rank 30th in the league in rushing and have not topped 100 yards on the ground since Week 2.
* They may not be the best overall bet in football, but there is no team hotter on the field and at the betting window than the Chiefs. After getting off to a dreadful 1-5 SU and ATS start, the Chiefs have rattled off six consecutive victories, covering the spread in each.
Washington at Chicago Bears (-3.5, 43)
* Washington has yet to win on the road this season, going 0-5 straight up away from FedEx Field. They are just 1-4 against the spread in those contests.
* Meanwhile, the Bears are almost as bad at home as Washington is on the road. The Bears have just one win in six tries at home this season, going 2-4 ATS in the process.
Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers (-8, 46)
* The undefeated Panthers keep finding ways to win – after three straight lopsided victories, they rallied from a 14-0 deficit to beat New Orleans 41-38 last week on Cam Newton’s 15-yard touchdown pass to Jerricho Cotchery with 1:05 left. With five wins by seven points or fewer, though, they’ve seemed far from invincible.
* The Falcons are as cold a bet as a team can be heading into Week 14. They haven't covered a spread in eight consecutive games, going all the way back to Week 4. To make matters worse, this is the biggest pups the Falcons have been this all season.
Seattle Seahawks at Baltimore Ravens (+11.5, 40.5)
* The Seattle Seahawks have snapped out of their midseason malaise and will go for their fourth consecutive victory when they visit the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday. After blowing fourth-quarter leads in five of their first nine games, the two-time reigning NFC champions have come alive and outscored the opposition 106-50 during their three-game winning streak.
* Playing at M&T Bank Stadium hasn't done Ravens backers any favors over the past couple of seasons, with the Ravens going 0-7-1 against the spread in their last eight games at home.
Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos (-6.5, 43.5)
* The Raiders' postseason hopes have taken a major hit as the club has dropped four of its last five contests. The latest defeat, a 34-20 setback against Kansas City in Week 13, marked the third time in five games - and fifth overall this season - Oakland has allowed at least 30 points. The Raiders have lost eight consecutive meetings with the Broncos, including a 16-10 defeat at home in Week 5.
* The team from the Mile-High City has an injury list nearly a mile long, beginning with Peyton Manning, who is expected to miss his fourth straight game with a torn plantar fascia. Also ailing are running backs C.J. Anderson (ankle) and Ronnie Hillman (foot), tight end Vernon Davis (concussion), defensive end DeMarcus Ware (back), nose tackle Sylvester Williams (ankle), guard Louis Vasquez (groin), linebacker Danny Trevathan (concussion) and safeties T.J. Ward (ankle), David Bruton Jr. (knee) and Omar Bolden (hamstring).
Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers (-6.5, 42.5)
* The Cowboys finally emerged victorious without Tony Romo under center on Monday with a 19-16 triumph over NFC East rival Washington, but Dez Bryant continues to be held in check - the superstar had three catches versus the Redskins and just 21 in six weeks since returning from a foot injury.
* Eddie Lacy's topsy-turvy season continued as he was limited to just five carries after missing curfew last week. Coach Mike McCarthy seemed to note that Lacy's punishment is up after telling reporters that "everything Eddie wants to accomplish is right there in front of him." Fellow running back James Starks is mustering just 2.9 yards per carry in his last six games while undrafted rookie John Crockett ignited the offense with 22 yards on five carries versus the Lions.
New England Patriots at Houston Texans (+3.5, 45)
* Star tight end Rob Gronkowski, who suffered a knee injury in an overtime loss at Denver on Nov. 29, practiced on a limited basis Thursday for the first time since he was hurt but his status is unclear for the Texans. Without Gronkowski and slot receiver Julian Edelman unavailable, Brady completed only 51.8 percent of his passes and had his first multiple-interception game of the season, including a 99-yard return for a touchdown in the loss to the Eagles.
* After surrendering a total of 35 points during a perfect 4-0 November, including six on three occasions, Houston was unable to slow Buffalo last week in permitting 187 yards rushing. J.J. Watt has an NFL-best 13.5 sacks for the Texans, who rank third in the league by allowing an average of 218.3 yards passing per game.
Sunday Night Football betting preview: Patriots at Texans
New England Patriots at Houston Texans (+3.5, 45)
With their bid for a perfect season now ancient history, the New England Patriots will attempt to avoid their first three-game losing streak in 13 years when they visit the resurgent Houston Texans on Sunday night. A rash of injuries finally appeared to catch up to the Patriots in a 35-28 home loss to Philadelphia last week, marking their first back-to-back defeats since September 2012.
"We'd love to have everybody healthy," New England quarterback Tom Brady said. "I think everybody would love that. It's just not the reality at this point." The two-game skid has dropped the Patriots to the No. 3 seed in the AFC behind Cincinnati and Denver. Meanwhile, the Texans have fought back from a 1-4 start to move into a tie with Indianapolis atop the AFC South despite last week's 30-21 loss at Buffalo. Standout defensive end J.J. Watt broke his hand in practice Wednesday but said he will play Sunday.
LINE HISTORY: The Patriots opened as 3.5-point road favorites, were bet down to -3, before getting back up to the opening number. The total has bounced back and forth between the current number of 44.5 and the opening number of 45.
INJURY REPORT:
Patriots - OL M. Cannon (probable Sunday, toe), DE C. Jones (probable Sunday, abdominal), DB D. McCourty (probable Sunday, shoulder), TE M. WIlliams (Probable Sunday, knee), TE R. Gronkowski (questionable Sunday, knee), OL J. Kline (questionable Sunday, shoulder), S P. Chung (questionable Sunday, foot), TE S. Chandler (questionable Sunday, knee), WR D. Amendola (questionable Sunday, knee), DB J. Coleman (questionable Sunday, hand), LB D. Hightower (questionable Sunday, knee), DL D. Easley (questionable Sunday, ankle), WR M. Slater (questionable Sunday, stinger), J. Edelman (out indefinitely, foot).
Texans - B. Brooks (probable Sunday, Illness), WR C. Shorts (probable Sunday, hamsting), RB A. Blue (probable Sunday, back), T D. Brown (probable Sunday, knee), LB M. Bullough (probable Sunday, shoulder), LB J. Clowney (probable Sunday, hamstring), DT C. Covington (probable Sunday, knee), DB K. Jackson (probable Sunday, ankle), DB C. James (probable Sunday, calf), C B. Jones (probable Sunday, hip), J. Joseph (probable Sunday, knee), LB, W. Mercilus (probable Sunday, back), T D. Newton (probable Sunday, elbow), RB C. Polk (probable Sunday, knee), WR D. Hopkins (probable Sunday, hamstring), DE J. Watt (probable Sunday, hand).
WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Split decision here as the public like the Pats and the smart bettors are backing the Texans. Both sides of the spectrum like the over as we have around 70 percent of our take on that side, forcing an adjustment up to 45.5. We haven’t moved off the spread open of New England -3 but I expect the juice to cascade and it may mean a move to -3.5." - John Lester of BookMaker.
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Pats are in pointspread freefall right now, notching only two ATS covers since their post-bye Week 5 blowout win at Dallas, including four straight spread losses. Meanwhile, the Texans have used 18 different offensive line combinations this season, and starting guard Brandon Brooks might not be able to suit up this Sunday, sidelined by a mysterious illness." - Covers Expert Teddy Covers.
ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (10-2, 5-5-2 ATS, 7-5 O/U): Star tight end Rob Gronkowski, who suffered a knee injury in an overtime loss at Denver on Nov. 29, practiced on a limited basis Thursday for the first time since he was hurt but his status is unclear for the Texans. Without Gronkowski and slot receiver Julian Edelman unavailable, Brady completed only 51.8 percent of his passes and had his first multiple-interception game of the season, including a 99-yard return for a touchdown in the loss to the Eagles. New England has blown 14-0 leads in consecutive weeks, although Philadelphia scored three TDs via defense and special teams.
ABOUT THE TEXANS (6-6, 6-6 ATS, 7-4-1 O/U): After surrendering a total of 35 points during a perfect 4-0 November, including six on three occasions, Houston was unable to slow Buffalo last week in permitting 187 yards rushing. Quarterback Brian Hoyer tossed three scoring passes last week - the sixth time in seven games he has multiple touchdown passes - and has an emerging superstar in DeAndre Hopkins, who has 10 touchdown receptions and is third in the league with 1,169 yards. Watt has an NFL-best 13.5 sacks for the Texans, who rank third in the league by allowing an average of 218.3 yards passing per game.
TRENDS:
* Over is 6-0 in the last six meetings.
* Home team is 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Over is 5-1 in the Patriots last six road games.
* Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
New England Patriots at Houston Texans (+3.5, 45)
With their bid for a perfect season now ancient history, the New England Patriots will attempt to avoid their first three-game losing streak in 13 years when they visit the resurgent Houston Texans on Sunday night. A rash of injuries finally appeared to catch up to the Patriots in a 35-28 home loss to Philadelphia last week, marking their first back-to-back defeats since September 2012.
"We'd love to have everybody healthy," New England quarterback Tom Brady said. "I think everybody would love that. It's just not the reality at this point." The two-game skid has dropped the Patriots to the No. 3 seed in the AFC behind Cincinnati and Denver. Meanwhile, the Texans have fought back from a 1-4 start to move into a tie with Indianapolis atop the AFC South despite last week's 30-21 loss at Buffalo. Standout defensive end J.J. Watt broke his hand in practice Wednesday but said he will play Sunday.
LINE HISTORY: The Patriots opened as 3.5-point road favorites, were bet down to -3, before getting back up to the opening number. The total has bounced back and forth between the current number of 44.5 and the opening number of 45.
INJURY REPORT:
Patriots - OL M. Cannon (probable Sunday, toe), DE C. Jones (probable Sunday, abdominal), DB D. McCourty (probable Sunday, shoulder), TE M. WIlliams (Probable Sunday, knee), TE R. Gronkowski (questionable Sunday, knee), OL J. Kline (questionable Sunday, shoulder), S P. Chung (questionable Sunday, foot), TE S. Chandler (questionable Sunday, knee), WR D. Amendola (questionable Sunday, knee), DB J. Coleman (questionable Sunday, hand), LB D. Hightower (questionable Sunday, knee), DL D. Easley (questionable Sunday, ankle), WR M. Slater (questionable Sunday, stinger), J. Edelman (out indefinitely, foot).
Texans - B. Brooks (probable Sunday, Illness), WR C. Shorts (probable Sunday, hamsting), RB A. Blue (probable Sunday, back), T D. Brown (probable Sunday, knee), LB M. Bullough (probable Sunday, shoulder), LB J. Clowney (probable Sunday, hamstring), DT C. Covington (probable Sunday, knee), DB K. Jackson (probable Sunday, ankle), DB C. James (probable Sunday, calf), C B. Jones (probable Sunday, hip), J. Joseph (probable Sunday, knee), LB, W. Mercilus (probable Sunday, back), T D. Newton (probable Sunday, elbow), RB C. Polk (probable Sunday, knee), WR D. Hopkins (probable Sunday, hamstring), DE J. Watt (probable Sunday, hand).
WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Split decision here as the public like the Pats and the smart bettors are backing the Texans. Both sides of the spectrum like the over as we have around 70 percent of our take on that side, forcing an adjustment up to 45.5. We haven’t moved off the spread open of New England -3 but I expect the juice to cascade and it may mean a move to -3.5." - John Lester of BookMaker.
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Pats are in pointspread freefall right now, notching only two ATS covers since their post-bye Week 5 blowout win at Dallas, including four straight spread losses. Meanwhile, the Texans have used 18 different offensive line combinations this season, and starting guard Brandon Brooks might not be able to suit up this Sunday, sidelined by a mysterious illness." - Covers Expert Teddy Covers.
ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (10-2, 5-5-2 ATS, 7-5 O/U): Star tight end Rob Gronkowski, who suffered a knee injury in an overtime loss at Denver on Nov. 29, practiced on a limited basis Thursday for the first time since he was hurt but his status is unclear for the Texans. Without Gronkowski and slot receiver Julian Edelman unavailable, Brady completed only 51.8 percent of his passes and had his first multiple-interception game of the season, including a 99-yard return for a touchdown in the loss to the Eagles. New England has blown 14-0 leads in consecutive weeks, although Philadelphia scored three TDs via defense and special teams.
ABOUT THE TEXANS (6-6, 6-6 ATS, 7-4-1 O/U): After surrendering a total of 35 points during a perfect 4-0 November, including six on three occasions, Houston was unable to slow Buffalo last week in permitting 187 yards rushing. Quarterback Brian Hoyer tossed three scoring passes last week - the sixth time in seven games he has multiple touchdown passes - and has an emerging superstar in DeAndre Hopkins, who has 10 touchdown receptions and is third in the league with 1,169 yards. Watt has an NFL-best 13.5 sacks for the Texans, who rank third in the league by allowing an average of 218.3 yards passing per game.
TRENDS:
* Over is 6-0 in the last six meetings.
* Home team is 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Over is 5-1 in the Patriots last six road games.
* Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
SUNDAY NFL POWER FOOTBALL WEEK 14 . THURSDAY (2-1) . MONDAY (1-1)
Here we go my friends....
Top: NY Jets -8
Top: Washington +4
Top: Tampa Bay -5.5
Top: Kansas City -11
Regular: Jacksonville -1
Regular: Philadelphia -2
Regular: San Francisco +2.5
Regular: Philadelphia Under 48
Regular: Jacksonville Under 46
XS
Here we go my friends....
Top: NY Jets -8
Top: Washington +4
Top: Tampa Bay -5.5
Top: Kansas City -11
Regular: Jacksonville -1
Regular: Philadelphia -2
Regular: San Francisco +2.5
Regular: Philadelphia Under 48
Regular: Jacksonville Under 46
XS
SO FAR TODAY (5-4) 56% . TOP PLAYS (2-2) . REGULAR PLAYS (3-2)
Here are my early results so far.....
Top: Tampa Bay -5.5 (Lost)
Top: Kansas City -11 (Lost)
Top: NY Jets -8 (Mega Blowout Winner 30-8)
Top: Washington +4 (Su Easy Winner 24-21)
Regular: San Francisco +2.5 (Lost)
Regular: Jacksonville Under 46 (Lost)
Regular: Philadelphia -2 (Nice Winner 23-20)
Regular: Philadelphia Under 48 (Nice Winner 43 Points)
Regular: Jacksonville -1 (Super Mega Blowout Winner 51-16)
Later,
XS
Here are my early results so far.....
Top: Tampa Bay -5.5 (Lost)
Top: Kansas City -11 (Lost)
Top: NY Jets -8 (Mega Blowout Winner 30-8)
Top: Washington +4 (Su Easy Winner 24-21)
Regular: San Francisco +2.5 (Lost)
Regular: Jacksonville Under 46 (Lost)
Regular: Philadelphia -2 (Nice Winner 23-20)
Regular: Philadelphia Under 48 (Nice Winner 43 Points)
Regular: Jacksonville -1 (Super Mega Blowout Winner 51-16)
Later,
XS
Thank you sir
Thanks my friend..... hope "Russ Fools Gold" doesn't jinks the total tonight!!!! Seems every time he lays and egg he ends up on my party train lol.... Good luck tonight my friend!!!
XS
SUNDAY (9-5) 64% . TOP PLAYS (6-3) 67% . REGULAR PLAYS (3-2) 60%
No surprises today..... more net winners my friends!!!
Top: New England -4.5 (Mega Blowout Winner 27-6)
Top: New England Under 46 (Easy Blowout Winner 33 Points)
Top: New England (1st Half) Under 22.5 (Lost 23 Points)
XS
No surprises today..... more net winners my friends!!!
Top: New England -4.5 (Mega Blowout Winner 27-6)
Top: New England Under 46 (Easy Blowout Winner 33 Points)
Top: New England (1st Half) Under 22.5 (Lost 23 Points)
XS
