Mississippi at Louisiana State (+3)
Unbeaten Mississippi is ranked No. 3 in the country heading into Week 9 of the college football season, with a 7-0 SU record. More important for bettors backing the Rebels, though, is that they are ranked No. 2 against the spread, having yet to lose to the oddsmakers, with a 6-0-1 ATS record.
Keeping both those streaks intact won’t come easy in a Southeastern Conference that’s been eating its own all season. Ole Miss hopes to keep its championship hopes alive when it travels to the bayou this week to face Louisiana State (6-2 SU and ATS).
The Rebels rolled Tennessee 34-3 to easily cash as a 16-point home chalk Saturday, while LSU is coming off a 41-3 home trouncing of Kentucky laying 11.5 points.
“Tennessee was a very real overlook spot for the Rebs, and they played a complete game,” said John Lester, senior lines manager for bookmaker.eu. “I’d say this is the best team in the country, but I still don’t trust their quarterback (Bo Wallace).
“And just when everyone was ready to write off LSU, they come back with a big win. They could make a major statement here.”
Oregon Ducks at California Golden Bears (+18.5)
These Pac-12 rivals square off in a Friday night game, with No. 7 Oregon (6-1 SU, 3-4 ATS) continuing its quest to try to get back into the four-team playoff picture. Since their stunning 31-24 home loss to Arizona, the Ducks rolled over UCLA 42-30 giving 1.5 points on the road, then thumped Washington 45-20 as a 21-point home fave.
After going 4-1 SU and ATS in its first five games, California (4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS) has dropped two in a row, but the Golden Bears gave UCLA all it could handle Saturday before losing 36-34 as a 6.5-point home underdog.
“We’ve seen a massive uptick from the Ducks' offense since their left tackle (Jake Fisher) returned. Marcus Mariota remained relatively clean against a pretty good pass-rushing team Saturday,” Lester said. “Cal is so one-dimensional offensively and bad defensively, I don’t know if they can keep up.
Southern California Trojans at Utah Utes (+1)
No. 19 Utah (5-1 SU and ATS) is just a few minutes away from a perfect record this season, with its only loss coming on a late TD in a 28-27 setback at Washington State. The Utes have been a big surprise, beating Michigan at the Big House – though the Wolverines are awful – and following their lone loss with a 30-28 upset at UCLA and a 29-23 overtime win at Oregon State last Thursday giving 1.5 points.
No. 21 Southern Cal (5-2 SU and ATS) has also won its last two SU and ATS, pummeling visiting Colorado 56-28 on Saturday as a 19.5-point fave.
“We expect to see a lot of groundwork between these two teams,” Lester said. “The Utes have been fantastic for their backers this year, but USC is a very public team, so we had to be wary of those factors when setting the line.”
Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans(-17)
You can’t say much good about Michigan (3-4 SU and ATS), but Michigan State (6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS) is another story. The fifth-ranked Spartans’ lone loss came at Oregon in a game they were in through three quarters before getting flattened late 46-27 as a 14-point road pup in Week 2.
Since then, they’ve won five in a row SU (3-2 ATS), including a 56-17 road beatdown of Indiana on Saturday as an 11.5-point favorite. Michigan is coming off a bye, after fending off Penn State 18-13 as a 2.5-point chalk to end a three-game SU slide.
“I’m not so sure Mark Dantonio doesn’t have one of the top four teams in the nation. The Spartans are impressive, and they finished a game decisively this week (at Indiana),” Lester said. “I don’t have much to say about this one. Michigan is garbage, and in a rivalry situation, this could get ugly.”