SUNDAY (3-6) -$18,170
NFL WEEK 10 SO FAR (3-7) -$25,660
NFL WEEK 9 (5-3) 63% +$15,600
NFL Vegas Source Plays (31-13) 70% +$100,820
NFL Football Record (92-74) 55% +$64,860
NFL Monday Night Results (13-6) 68% +$51,000
Finally had a bad Sunday and not looking to have another one!!! Some times the good information doesn't always go the way you planned and you can't cap bad QB discussions (SD, NO, GB, and CHI) for crying out loud!!! Here are my results from Sunday.....
7k (Vegas Source) Seattle +7.5 -109 (Easy Su Winner 31-24)
I know the Patriots have won and covered every week since Tom Brady came back, and by a large margin. Their average score has been 34-17 in those games and the average spread has been -7.5. But that's just too many points to pass up with a quality, well-coached team like Seattle. They won't say it, but they're insulted by the spread as if they're in the Bengals' class, and I think they'll take it on as a challenge with the defense coming up big. This is the largest spread against Seattle since 2012. Russell Wilson showed signs last week of being healthy and getting back to his usual self. Seattle can win this game, but I'm happy enough taking the points
7k (Vegas Source) Los Angeles -1 -105 (Winner 9-6)
The Rams will win this game because of their defense. Both teams have horrible offensives, but the Rams defense will carry the team into a victory formation. They stopped Cam Newton, Fitzpatrick won’t even be a problem.
7k (Vegas Source) New Orleans -3 -101 (Lost)
The Broncos are in a vulnerable position right now missing C.J. Anderson on offense and Aqib Talib on defense. The Saints own the the number two ranked offense and I expect them have success in the air especially with Talib out. The Broncos have really struggled to defend the running game, allowing 128 rushing yards per game, and Ingram is coming off a 158 yard performance and I expect him to be productive in this contest. The Seahawks were not able to slow down this Saints offense, and I don’t think the Broncos will be able to either.
7k (Vegas Source) San Diego -4.5 -105 (Lost)
The Dolphins have won and covered their last three games and have a very nice running game, but let's not go crazy and suggest they are in the Chargers' class. The spread being offered is basically saying the Chargers are a half-point better and that's not the case. The Chargers have won three of their last four and covered four of the last five, and they have quite a running game themselves. I elevated the Chargers' rating after Week 9, putting them on par with Denver and just under Oakland and Kansas City. I've got the spread Chargers -5.5, so I feel there's value at -4.5.
7k (Vegas Source) Seattle Under 49.5 -105 (Lost 55 Points)
Even at home, the Patriots won't score at will against this Seahawk's defense. The upward move in the total has given us added value on the Under. In my simulations, the Under is cashing 68 percent of the time.
5k Chicago -3 +105 (Lost)
The Bears are rolling into this game a lot healthier than they were before the bye, when they delivered one of their best all-around performances of the season in a win against the Vikings. With their two starting guards back, the running game should prove tough for Tampa Bay to stop. The Buccaneers have dealt with a ton of injuries and poor play from Jameis Winston on offense. Considering they don't have a great homefield advantage and are 0-4 at home this year, the Bears should pick up their first road win of the season.
5k Arizona -13 -108 (Lost)
Carson Palmer and the Cardinals are getting desperate. Their season has gone nowhere near the plan. A tough start was broken by a bye week, a defining factor in the Cardinals’ season. Their execution of getting back on track will be aided by a dire 49ers defense and the Cardinals will run away to a massive lead in the first half. I don’t think Palmer will need to even play the fourth quarter. Take the Cardinals covering the spread on this one.
5k Green Bay -3 +100 (Lost)
5k Green Bay Over 48.5 -102 (Super Blowout Winner 72 Points)
Expect the Packers to get back to what worked for them in the second half vs. Chicago and the entire game in Atlanta: Aaron Rodgers spreading the ball around in four and five wide receiver sets. Tennessee has played six straight Overs, Green Bay two straight. The Packers come in with key defensive injuries and I look for them to win a shootout.
Jason,
xspower1@hotmail.com
