Woody's Feb-19th Winners

[thesandman1]

Woody Paige said

Washington has a real good chance at winning outright

What makes you think so. As good as Washington plays at home against UCLA, it's the opposite at Pauly. At home UCLA is 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS over Washington the past 11 years. Both UCLA and Washington are almost unbeatable at home, each 14-1 SU so far this year but both are only 5-5 SU away from home. I was even thinking of making UCLA a Special Play tonight, but 8.5 points seems a couple points to many to give Washington.

 

[woodypaige]

Woody Paige said What makes you think so. As good as Washington plays at home against UCLA, it's the opposite at Pauly. At home UCLA is 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS over Washington the past 11 years. Both UCLA and Washington are almost unbeatable at home, each 14-1 SU so far this year but both are only 5-5 SU away from home. I was even thinking of making UCLA a Special Play tonight, but 8.5 points seems a couple points to many to give Washington.

They beat them the first time, they can beat them again. UCLA is on a 13 game winning streak at home. They haven't been blowing anyone out.

Also Ariz St did just beat UCLA twice. Wash at +9 or +10 is solid.

 

[woodypaige]

added plays

4* Den-6
3* Michigan/Wiscy (moneyline parlay) +98
2* Washington +9

:toast:

 

[tlee4lizard]

Good luck woody keep it going might just follow you for awhile i have been getting beat bad in the last few minutes of games lately.tailing you on troy glad to see you like denver as well. DENVER BY AT LEAST 10 HERE

 

[woodypaige]

Woody Paige said What makes you think so. As good as Washington plays at home against UCLA, it's the opposite at Pauly. At home UCLA is 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS over Washington the past 11 years. Both UCLA and Washington are almost unbeatable at home, each 14-1 SU so far this year but both are only 5-5 SU away from home. I was even thinking of making UCLA a Special Play tonight, but 8.5 points seems a couple points to many to give Washington.

Sandy, here some stats that are also hard to go against


WASHINGTON (19 - 6) at UCLA (19 - 6) - 2/19/2009, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
WASHINGTON is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-1 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-2 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons

 

[thesandman1]

The only info I would look at is how these two schools did head to head. That's where the strong home history is. Below is where your 3-2 Wash SU and 4-1 ATS come from. You are correct but what I see is the Home Team winning every game, thus it's the schedule that determines if one of the schools can win two in a row. Your first statement was that Washington can win SU tonight and that is where I disagreed. Can Washington cover the big spread, sure they can, which is why I didn't play UCLA ATS. FWIW, I also like Troy. Good Luck with Washington.

<table class="data" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><td class="datahl2b" width="12%">Date</td> <td class="datahl2b" width="32%">Home/Away</td> <td class="datahl2b" width="12%">Line</td> <td class="datahl2b" width="12%">M/L</td> <td class="datahl2b" width="11%">Home FG </td> <td class="datahl2b" width="11%">Away FG </td> <td class="datahl2b" width="10%">Reb</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datahl2">01/24/09</td> <td class="datacell"> WGTON 86 - UCLA 75</td> <td class="datacell">WGTON -2</td> <td class="datacell">O 140.5</td> <td class="datacell">23/51</td> <td class="datacell">28/63</td> <td class="datacell">31-29</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datahl2">02/10/08</td> <td class="datacell"> WGTON 71 - UCLA 61</td> <td class="datacell">WGTON 9</td> <td class="datacell">U 138.5</td> <td class="datacell">26/59</td> <td class="datacell">21/61</td> <td class="datacell">40-28</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datahl2">01/10/08</td> <td class="datacell"> UCLA 69 - WGTON 55</td> <td class="datacell">WGTON 15.0</td> <td class="datacell">U 141</td> <td class="datacell">24/46</td> <td class="datacell">23/55</td> <td class="datacell">28-22</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datahl2">03/03/07</td> <td class="datacell"> WGTON 61 - UCLA 51</td> <td class="datacell">WGTON 3.5</td> <td class="datacell">U 144</td> <td class="datacell">22/54</td> <td class="datacell">20/64</td> <td class="datacell">42-28</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datahl2">12/31/06</td> <td class="datacell"> UCLA 96 - WGTON 74</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[mtomto]

And you can make an intangible case that UCLA is slightly overrated, UDUB under or at least overlooked nationally.

 

[mtomto]

The only info I would look at is how these two schools did head to head. That's where the strong home history is. Below is where your 3-2 Wash SU and 4-1 ATS come from. You are correct but what I see is the Home Team winning every game, thus it's the schedule that determines if one of the schools can win two in a row. Your first statement was that Washington can win SU tonight and that is where I disagreed. Can Washington cover the big spread, sure they can, which is why I didn't play UCLA ATS. FWIW, I also like Troy. Good Luck with Washington.

<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR><TD class=datahl2b width="12%">Date</TD><TD class=datahl2b width="32%">Home/Away</TD><TD class=datahl2b width="12%">Line</TD><TD class=datahl2b width="12%">M/L</TD><TD class=datahl2b width="11%">Home FG </TD><TD class=datahl2b width="11%">Away FG </TD><TD class=datahl2b width="10%">Reb</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>01/24/09</TD><TD class=datacell>WGTON 86 - UCLA 75</TD><TD class=datacell>WGTON -2</TD><TD class=datacell>O 140.5</TD><TD class=datacell>23/51</TD><TD class=datacell>28/63</TD><TD class=datacell>31-29</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>02/10/08</TD><TD class=datacell>WGTON 71 - UCLA 61</TD><TD class=datacell>WGTON 9</TD><TD class=datacell>U 138.5</TD><TD class=datacell>26/59</TD><TD class=datacell>21/61</TD><TD class=datacell>40-28</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>01/10/08</TD><TD class=datacell>UCLA 69 - WGTON 55</TD><TD class=datacell>WGTON 15.0</TD><TD class=datacell>U 141</TD><TD class=datacell>24/46</TD><TD class=datacell>23/55</TD><TD class=datacell>28-22</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>03/03/07</TD><TD class=datacell>WGTON 61 - UCLA 51</TD><TD class=datacell>WGTON 3.5</TD><TD class=datacell>U 144</TD><TD class=datacell>22/54</TD><TD class=datacell>20/64</TD><TD class=datacell>42-28</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>12/31/06</TD><TD class=datacell>UCLA 96 - WGTON 74</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Agree HTH is where its at.

Sorry to hijack Woodys thread. Sand why do you think they hung that 153 total on tonights game ??? Or WP, any thoughts?

 

[woodypaige]

The only info I would look at is how these two schools did head to head. That's where the strong home history is. Below is where your 3-2 Wash SU and 4-1 ATS come from. You are correct but what I see is the Home Team winning every game, thus it's the schedule that determines if one of the schools can win two in a row. Your first statement was that Washington can win SU tonight and that is where I disagreed. Can Washington cover the big spread, sure they can, which is why I didn't play UCLA ATS. FWIW, I also like Troy. Good Luck with Washington.

<table class="data" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><td class="datahl2b" width="12%">Date</td> <td class="datahl2b" width="32%">Home/Away</td> <td class="datahl2b" width="12%">Line</td> <td class="datahl2b" width="12%">M/L</td> <td class="datahl2b" width="11%">Home FG </td> <td class="datahl2b" width="11%">Away FG </td> <td class="datahl2b" width="10%">Reb</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datahl2">01/24/09</td> <td class="datacell"> WGTON 86 - UCLA 75</td> <td class="datacell">WGTON -2</td> <td class="datacell">O 140.5</td> <td class="datacell">23/51</td> <td class="datacell">28/63</td> <td class="datacell">31-29</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datahl2">02/10/08</td> <td class="datacell"> WGTON 71 - UCLA 61</td> <td class="datacell">WGTON 9</td> <td class="datacell">U 138.5</td> <td class="datacell">26/59</td> <td class="datacell">21/61</td> <td class="datacell">40-28</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datahl2">01/10/08</td> <td class="datacell"> UCLA 69 - WGTON 55</td> <td class="datacell">WGTON 15.0</td> <td class="datacell">U 141</td> <td class="datacell">24/46</td> <td class="datacell">23/55</td> <td class="datacell">28-22</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datahl2">03/03/07</td> <td class="datacell"> WGTON 61 - UCLA 51</td> <td class="datacell">WGTON 3.5</td> <td class="datacell">U 144</td> <td class="datacell">22/54</td> <td class="datacell">20/64</td> <td class="datacell">42-28</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datahl2">12/31/06</td> <td class="datacell"> UCLA 96 - WGTON 74</td></tr></tbody></table>

2 things that really stick out to me is that

#1......Senior center Alfred Aboya, the Bruins' leader with 5.6 rebounds per game, has missed practice this week while dealing with flu-like symptoms but is probable for Thursday's game. UCLA will likely need him against Brockman, who ranks in the top 10 nationally with 11.1 rebounds per game.
#2........Washington averages 41.3 rebounds to rank among the national leaders. UCLA's 28.8 average in conference play is second-worst in the Pac-10. Like Pitt the other night vs UCon, they out rebounded the Huskies and won.

 

[woodypaige]

Tough night as I had a chance to win every game but Montana St in the last few seconds, but it was not meant to be.

Last night 1-4-1, -15.26 units
33-16-2, +69.74 units YTD