Wimbledon picks, thoughts, etc.

[GreenDoberman]

6-27-07

Like lots of juicy dogs again today. Hopefully, the tide will turn that way.

Qureshi +380
Muller +170
Roddick -5500 .5 units
F. Lopez +143
Damm/Paes -750
Suk/Vik +110 .5 units
Dechy +160 2 units
Govortsova +475
Morita +295
Dell'acqua +125
Benesova +105
Yan -140
Vinci +155

Ferrero should be exhausted and he's very mediocre on grass. Henman overrated and Lopez underrated.
Dementieva in horrible form as is Schnyder. Neither is a green demon as well.
Govortsova, Morita, Dell'acqua been tearing up qualifiers and challengers on grass,very comfortable on surface.
Benesova has wrist, but Castano non-existent on turf.

 

[GreenDoberman]

Throwing in a heavy chalk parlay to win 1 unit as well.

Federer -7000
Roddick -6000
Santoro/Zimonjic -2000
Damm/Paes -750
Henin -6000
Ivanovic -6000

 

[Railbird]

Pretty brave laying the wood with Andy there.:think2: like the Morita and F Lopez plays.

 

[GreenDoberman]

Liked Gajdosova again, but no game line. Would have definitely taken a 5 there.
Udomchoke is dead money. No fan of Andy, but will take that shot.

 

[terps1313]

Thanks GD... looks like hingis should be getting underway around 10 my time. I also took lopez over henman for the reason you gave.

 

[Railbird]

you had a wrist on Benesova? tour website mentions a right lumbar dysfuction on June 17.

 

[chengkeke]

only the chinese women who always screw me by losing as favorites.
especially na li. so i'm happy she's injured, and i hope she misses the rest of the year. uppy:

hey hey, give the chinese a break. I have got screwed by more western women in tennis as fav way over than the chinese!!!:youmad:

uppy: I think your winning units todate should be more than compensate 1 little chinese girl wouldn't you say.

 

[chengkeke]

hey hey, give the chinese a break. I have got screwed by more western women in tennis as fav way over than the chinese!!!:youmad:

uppy: I think your winning units todate should be more than compensate 1 little chinese girl wouldn't you say.

I just got screwed badly by Perry -220 and bammer is being hammered -440. :WTF:

 

[GreenDoberman]

Wrong injury on Benesova, tried to remember off top of my head. Right lumbar disfunction didn't sound too good.
Perry has an injury too. Was gonna take her, but laid off as it didn't sound great.

Ugly start so far as Yan couldn't pull through and Dechy gave up 3 set points in tiebreaker.

 

[GreenDoberman]

Vinci should be 2 units as well.

Finally got one winner as Castano gave her typical grass "performance".

 

[red007]

I just got screwed badly by Perry -220 and bammer is being hammered -440. :WTF:

yeah bammer killed my 4teamer that would have paid over 2/1.

 

[derlis]

1. MULLER, Gilles --- FERRERO, Juan Carlos 9.28 % - 90.72 %
Pick: FERRERO
Odds: 1.50 paddy power

2. MIRNYI, Max --- CANAS, Guillermo 28.14 % - 71.86 %
Pick: CANAS
Odds: 1.73 betchances

3. VINCI, Roberta --- SCHNYDER, Patty 81.02 % - 18.98 %
Pick: VINCI
Odds: 2.40 pinnacle

4. RUANO PASCUAL, Virginia --- PEREBIYNIS, Tatiana 23.10 % - 76.90 %
Pick: PEREBIYNIS
Odds: 1.80 william hill

5. HENMAN, Tim --- LOPEZ, Feliciano 71.66 % - 28.34 %
Pick: HENMAN
Odds: 1.63 10bet

All Probability Predictions from www.nntennis.eu

 

[GreenDoberman]

Thursday, 6-28-07:

C. Guccione +134 N. Davydenko
M. Mirnyi +130 G. Canas
W. Arthurs +265 T. Robredo
G. Simon +345 M. Youzhny
E. Likhovtseva +4.5/+110 D. Hantuchova
A. Szavay +295 A. Bondarenko 2 units
V. Azarenka -165 T. Garbin 4 units

 

[Railbird]

Bammer screwed up my 2-1 parlay too:discuss:

 

[rhinooooo]

Liking the picks GreenDoberman. It's been a good tournament for the faves so far, hopefully the dogs start biting today. I'm with you on the Gooch, Old Man Arthurs, and Mirnyi. Good luck.

 

[GreenDoberman]

Thx Rhino.
I've felt good about my selections, but haven't been able to get enough dogs to bark. Hopefully, they will eventually.

 

[Hope1]

something is up with that Azarenka/Garbin line ......Azarenka opens as the dog and exits as a -220 fav?:think2: .....Garbin is goign to tank another match? this is a Grand Slam, does this woman have a soul? Interesting to see how that match plays out

gl with the play, GD

 

[derlis]

1. LOPEZ, Feliciano --- TSONGA, Jo-Wilfried 3.60 % - 96.40 %
Pick: TSONGA
Odds: 1.73 betchance

2. MATHIEU, Paul-Henri --- LJUBICIC, Ivan 21.79 % - 78.21 %
Pick: LJUBICIC
Odds: 1.66 pinnacle

All Probability Predictions from www.nntennis.eu

 

[GreenDoberman]

Wednesday's picks:
4-9 (-5.52 units)
ugh, the bleeding continues.

 

[GreenDoberman]

Tournament through 6-27-07:
15-20 (-5.32 units)