Yeah.. Way + EV spot there.. I didn't bet straight sets but it was possible.. First set was nerves, 2nd set he won, 3rd set he had the first game Love 40, if he won any of the next 3 points he had that set, up 2-1, basically over, but ran terrible, then netted a set point in tie break that he makes about 84% of the time.. Basically Murray had to run extremely under EV and he did. Very unlucky...
I'd still bet Murray all day every day against Roddick with no hestitation.. Far superior player.
I'd still bet Murray all day every day against Roddick with no hestitation.. Far superior player.
Very far superior I guess that's why Murray will be watching the finals on TV... Oh yea Murray is 22 how many majors does he have? I'm pretty sure Roddick won his first major when he was 20. Like you said though Murray is the superior player....:lol:<<
He is and its not even close...
What does he have other than serve (Even though Murray out aced him 4 of the last 5 matches)?
Please tell me.. You're the tennis genius here, you just cashed a +220 dog. You're a HERO!
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
Soooo funny man HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
Yeah, like I said, I like the razzing, had never done it before, but have seen a lotta people blow up a play then have all the assholes come out of the woodwork to rip it up n act like they're actually smart n make money, ripping up the loser just to cover their own major losses and feel better about themselves..
But yeah, then I guess you have no response to that.. Makes sense, because Roddick isn't half as talented as Murray.. Thanks..
wait, i want to say something to this clown. you cant whine about expectation and what a great play you made by citing every possible situation that went against murray, like when he couldnt break despite being up 0-40 in the first game of the third. so it wasnt running above expectation for him to get to 0-40? and the missed opportunities and bad breaks that went against roddick (missed breaks, net cords), those dont count against expectation?
since youre obviously a poker player, whining about EV and saying you were like AA v 77, i will say that you are like the clown who wins like 6 flips in a row to get to the final table, busts out 9th when your AK loses to AJ, and then you tell everyone that had you won the hand you would have been chip leader, so 75% of the time you would have been chip leader in that spot and probably would have won--how unlucky.
youre a joke if you think that laying even -250 (despite most places having it as -300+) was a good play with how well roddick has been playing.
nice lock, clown.
since youre obviously a poker player, whining about EV and saying you were like AA v 77, i will say that you are like the clown who wins like 6 flips in a row to get to the final table, busts out 9th when your AK loses to AJ, and then you tell everyone that had you won the hand you would have been chip leader, so 75% of the time you would have been chip leader in that spot and probably would have won--how unlucky.
youre a joke if you think that laying even -250 (despite most places having it as -300+) was a good play with how well roddick has been playing.
nice lock, clown.
You think you've got it pinned but you're not even close..
I don't even play tournament poker and the EV of unforced errors are way higher for Roddick than Murray, and Murray getting to 0-40 is a lot more likely than Roddick..
For guys like Boxer who bet Murray to win the tournament, feel special while you can, but you don't get a penny for second place.
Keep rippin stuff up to make yourself feel better about one spot where you think you look good..
Enjoy life man, this must be the high point.
Dbags itt in a nutshell..
http://globalnerdy.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2007/02/internet-tough-guy-magazine.gif
http://globalnerdy.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2007/02/internet-tough-guy-magazine.gif
although you meant to say Roddick there, you couldnt be MORE wrong.....being locked in with a big dog like this in the final match, is a SURE winning proposition...you can lay off as much as you want for protection.....I remember when Venus won back in 2005, i played her early in the tourney at +2500....everyone thought she was done back then (how wrong they were)....but anyway, by the time u get to the final and you have a +2500 dog in there, there was no way i was losing.....she ended up winning, but at that point, i was winning either way.....just depended on how much with who won...and the right side won for me (the bigger win)
LOL $20 are you serious?
I have $500 on Roddick at 21-1 so if he wins I win $10,500
Earlier I put $6500 to win $1000 on Federer.... So either im winning $500 or I am winning $4000.
I'll take a win win situation like this everyday for the rest of my life.... So to answer your question no my hedge does not make me 20 bucks. It makes me a minimum if $500.
