Willie

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15% is probably even too high...NE will be like 12-1 now.

Schedule is pretty weak rest of the year. Only games they will be favored by less than 8-9 are @ NYJ and @ Denver.

Hou, Tenn, Wash, NYG, Buff, Miami, Philly

Probably be like -16 next time they take the field. Washington at home
 
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Well he also said he has Tannehill so I would not count that 8-0 yet

Can't imagine he just rolls Tannehill out every week regardless of matchup. He probably had him vs Houston because they're bad and they were at home.

Probably mixes and matches QBs if I had to guess.
 

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It's rare that the Pats opponent is the public pick .
The books cleaned up tonight.

At least I had Edelman

I wish a could trade for him, but I'm not giving up one of my 3 RB's or Gronk, so I have nothing to offer
 

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I blew that pick on draft day, I should of taken him just before you did
 

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Edelman and McFadden for Gurley.

Mcfadden the full time starter behind one of the best o lines in the NFL.

That is a hell of an offer
 

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I'll revisit that offer after this weekend, since Edelman already played
 

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6-2 +384
 

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Patriot injuries are piling up, becoming concerning

1st the O-line gets decimated
then Lewis
now Edelman

suffice to say they can't absorb much more and remain favorites to win the SB
 

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If the Giants would have fumbled that lateral play and the pats recovered for a covering td I would not have known what to say
 

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Patriot injuries are piling up, becoming concerning

1st the O-line gets decimated
then Lewis
now Edelman

suffice to say they can't absorb much more and remain favorites to win the SB

you want injuries. Check out the saints defense
 

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If the Giants would have fumbled that lateral play and the pats recovered for a covering td I would not have known what to say

I don't even remember that play :)

must have been the tequila getting to me as we wished all the Giants fans a great remainder of the season

although I told them we don't want to see them in SF in February :)
 

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Since this game, which was week 10 against the Giants:

Push against Buffalo
Loss against Denver

Not sure what the closing juice was on Denver, but if we can't find it I guess we assume -110?

So I have you at 6-3-1 +274

Closing line today was NE -9 -123

Am I right on all this?
 

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Where are we getting these lines from
 

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That was a dumb idea . They shade the line to protect against teasers that's why that game earlier this year landed on 6.5 when it was 7 everywhere else.

Shades lines always favor the chalk team
 

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That was a dumb idea . They shade the line to protect against teasers that's why that game earlier this year landed on 6.5 when it was 7 everywhere else.

Shades lines always favor the chalk team

Willie thought I was trying to get over on him so I acquiesced to his demands. I don't really think it's a huge difference. Teaser protect lines maybe be more likely to cover against but the juice is often a lot higher, so I am not sure there is a MAJOR difference either way on the probability for him to win this wager.

Anyway, fuck the Patriots regardless.
 

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Well with today's game this bet goes from dead to life support
 

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