Wilder vs Fury Your pick?

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MGM sportsbooks director of trading Jeff Stoneback


“We need Fury in this fight. We opened at pick and we’re at Wilder -135 right now. It’s 3/2 money on Wilder, and the ticket count is about 30% more on Wilder.”

As mentioned in this thread, there are several low- to mid-five-figure bets on Wilder, and a win by the American would be a mid-six-figure loss for the book. That’s despite a $50,000 bet on Fury that landed Friday night, and a $40,000 play on the Brit over Super Bowl weekend.

Also mentioned earlier, the largest wager at MGM, $100,000 on the bout going less than 11 full rounds.

“That would be a six-figure loser for us if that happened,” Stoneback said. “But we have gotten some sharp money back on the other side. We were at +130 on that this morning, and now we’re at +115.”

Stoneback also noted bettors hitting props of Wilder by knockout at any point, which opened +140 and tightened to +120, and leaning toward an early Wilder KO.

“If Wilder knocks out Fury in the first or second round, then that would add to our woes,” he said. “We’ve got large liability in Round 2. If we can get through the first two rounds, we’re OK on the knockout props.”
 

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Paddy Power lead trader Gerard Fagan


At Paddy Power in Ireland and the UK, the odds are running quite tight – more so than stateside – but the money and tickets are tilted toward Fury.

“In terms of bets and stakes (money), we have been roughly double the amount on Fury as we have on Wilder. We opened up after the first fight at pick, which is pretty much where we are at the minute. These prices haven’t changed too much. Fury was backed into favoritism in the early days, but Wilder went favorite a few weeks back, until it settled at close to pick ‘em during fight week.”

But in more of that U.S. vs. UK divide, Paddy Power bettors see things going the other way, very much rooting for a Fury win by knockout.

“Fury Round 2 is by far the most popular selection, as he continues to predict that is when he is going to finish the job,” Fagan said. “Fury KO/TKO has also been very popular since the weigh-in, with the punters feeling the extra weight will help him force the stoppage. This has been backed from 11/2 in to 4/1.”
 

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Ladbrokes spokesman Alex Apati


Back in England at Ladbrokes, it’s a bit of a mixed bag between tickets and money. Wilder could be had at +125 for a while, but he’s now the modest favorite, while Fury moved from -150 chalk to even money.

“Fury is the most popular pick with punters in terms of number of bets placed, while it's actually Wilder who has seen the most amount of money staked on him to win. Boxing is a funny sport over here, especially when a Brit is involved, and this is a perfect example of the following: Everyone seems to want to get involved and back the Brit, but the serious money is in fact going on Wilder.

“So with that in mind, a Fury win wouldn't actually be a bad result for us.”


Ladbrokes offered several Method of Victory props, with 52% of tickets written to Fury winning by decision or technical decision – if the fight is stopped by cuts/head-butt/foul, etc., and Fury is deemed the winner.

Fury by knockout/technical knockout/disqualification was the distant second choice, at 17% of tickets.

Wilder by KO/TKO/DQ was third at 12%.
 

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If you are betting or watching the fight tonight, who are you betting or rooting for?

Not watching,
Betting on Wilder and Under 10x
Rooting for Fury
 

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PointsBet Sportsbook

Currently

Wilder -125
Fury +105

"Book really rooting for Fury. Heavy action on Wilder in all markets. Fury actually slight favorite a few weeks back, showing how much folks have liked Wilder leading up to fight night."

"Minimal sharp action at this point on a fight with so much liquidity, but did see a couple sharps get on Wilder at -110 before price started to drift out."
 

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Top Rank president Todd DuBoef says Wilder / Fury II has passed Lewis vs. Holyfield II for biggest gate for a HW fight in Vegas.

That fight's gate was $16,860,300 and was the 7th biggest gate for a boxing event in Nevada.
 

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Global market

Public has been heavy to Wilder all week and into tonight.

However, sharp money has been buying up Fury now at +115 and above.
 

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MGM Race & Sports

Latest update


"Nonstop 5-figure wagers on Wilder, and even with a $190,000 play on Fury, book still needs underdog."
 

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Circa Sports


Exact Result Ticket Breakdown


36% of tickets on Wilder KO

24% of tickets on Wilder Decision

20% of tickets on Draw

14% of tickets on Fury KO

6% of tickets on Fury Decision
 

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Handicapper
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Posts in MMA forum

This.

Now the other best fade, Shot Doc, has posted Wilder and Wilder by KO.

This is a no play for me fellas, gonna enjoy this one. Hit some doggies in MMA already...
 

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