Im just saying the texans D is significantly better than atlanta's and tom didn't struggle with them too much. Atlanta offensively is a great team, but this is a team that gave up 24+ points 10 times this year, and to many bad teams, why are so many confident they're gonna be able to hold the patriots, on turf, indoors, to less than 30?
The Patriots & Falcons have played 5 common opponents (AZ, Sea, SF, Rams, & Denver), a total of 11 games. New England has gone 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS, while Atlanta has gone 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS. In those games, the Patriots had edges of 7.4 ppg SU, & 1.7 ppg ATS, while the Falcons had edges of 16.0 ppg SU, & 12.8 ppg ATS
The Falcons have been installed as underdogs 5 times this year (none since 10/16), winning 4 outright, covering all 5, by a total of 62 pts (12.4 ppg)
SB Team Favored between 0-3: 6-6 ATS
New England (Brady-Belichick era): Margin of victory in Super Bowls: 3, 3, 3, 3, 4, 4 pts, with Pats' going 2-4 ATS
Underdogs have covered 6 of the last 8 and the underdog has covered 11 of the past 15 winning 8 of them outright.
The underdog has gone 13-5-3 ATS in the last 21 Super Bowls
Those are some of the reasons why.
-NE & Atlanta offense are equal (NE: 4 games without Brady) but NE defense (#8 yards) is much better than Atlanta (#25)
-Atlanta allowed 28 pts or more 8 times in the regular season, NE did one time
-NE & Brady are proven winners, been to many Super Bowls, Atlanta and Ryan are good but this is the big stage experience matters
-BOTH teams want to control the ball to keep the other off the field but NE will win that battle, they are a top notch running team and can stop the run whereas Atlanta is a top running team but cannot stop the run, huge advantage to NE... to boot, Brady will get first downs all day with quick strikes to quick possession receivers Edlemann, Hogan, Amendelo, et al
-Belicheat is the best game preparation head coach in the NFL, bar none
-all the NE stats: remember Brady missed 4 games, take those out and NE is even better
-NE front 7 is built to stop the run, NE will stop the run and their DB's are well organized to stop big plays
-Atlanta front 7 is bottom 1/4 of the NFL
-Brady in a dome will be even better than usual, we have seen Ryan in a dome and that is it
-Alex Mack is trying to play with a fractured fibula, that may not work out (HUGE)
-Julio Jones is playing with a bad toe, that may not work out (though he tends to gut it out and play well)
-Atlanta already missing key defenders CB Trufant, S Ishmael, and DE Clayborn, their D is green, a few DB's will be exposed
-When NE stops the run they will be back in coverage and not allow over the top passes, make Atlanta earn it with long drives or make mistakes
-AFC Denver covered handily last year against a high falutin' offense (Carolina), and NE outplayed Denver in Denver in the AFC game, NE's two costly turnovers killed them
-Atlanta beat a very banged up GB team, DB's, WR's and OL... and during the game 4-5 more GB players were taken off the field
-NE dominated top notch Pittsburg, late TD by Pitts made it look better than it was, Ben is a top 5-6 QB in the NFL, NE took out Antonio Brown
-Atlanta has blitzed significantly more in the two playoff games than the regular season, that will not work vs NE and Brady, Atlanta was able to rush up the middle against GB, NE is built to stop that and allow DE's to get by Brady, he steps up and fires
-Atlanta allowed 28 pts or more 8 times in the regular season, NE did one time
-NE & Brady are proven winners, been to many Super Bowls, Atlanta and Ryan are good but this is the big stage experience matters
-BOTH teams want to control the ball to keep the other off the field but NE will win that battle, they are a top notch running team and can stop the run whereas Atlanta is a top running team but cannot stop the run, huge advantage to NE... to boot, Brady will get first downs all day with quick strikes to quick possession receivers Edlemann, Hogan, Amendelo, et al
-Belicheat is the best game preparation head coach in the NFL, bar none
-all the NE stats: remember Brady missed 4 games, take those out and NE is even better
-NE front 7 is built to stop the run, NE will stop the run and their DB's are well organized to stop big plays
-Atlanta front 7 is bottom 1/4 of the NFL
-Brady in a dome will be even better than usual, we have seen Ryan in a dome and that is it
-Alex Mack is trying to play with a fractured fibula, that may not work out (HUGE)
-Julio Jones is playing with a bad toe, that may not work out (though he tends to gut it out and play well)
-Atlanta already missing key defenders CB Trufant, S Ishmael, and DE Clayborn, their D is green, a few DB's will be exposed
-When NE stops the run they will be back in coverage and not allow over the top passes, make Atlanta earn it with long drives or make mistakes
-AFC Denver covered handily last year against a high falutin' offense (Carolina), and NE outplayed Denver in Denver in the AFC game, NE's two costly turnovers killed them
-Atlanta beat a very banged up GB team, DB's, WR's and OL... and during the game 4-5 more GB players were taken off the field
-NE dominated top notch Pittsburg, late TD by Pitts made it look better than it was, Ben is a top 5-6 QB in the NFL, NE took out Antonio Brown
-Atlanta has blitzed significantly more in the two playoff games than the regular season, that will not work vs NE and Brady, Atlanta was able to rush up the middle against GB, NE is built to stop that and allow DE's to get by Brady, he steps up and fires
