Blue, I think you'd be better off just betting against the Cubs each and every game if you think they'll do worse than that. Their game odds will surely be either high and higher. They could win 95 and still have a net unit loss on the odds because they'll be mid -200's quite a lot with that rotation. Just based on the odds, I'd avoid the temptation to bet against Prior and just fade Wood, Maddux, Clement, Zambrano. I think 92.5 win total and it'll be the high # for the NL. I'll say:
Cubs 92.5
Philly 91
Hou 90.5
ATL 89
SF 88.5
AZ 87
SD 86.5
LA 86
STL 85
Cubs 92.5
Philly 91
Hou 90.5
ATL 89
SF 88.5
AZ 87
SD 86.5
LA 86
STL 85
d2...i'll likely do both. and, i agree with you...prior is the real deal. kerry wood is the weak link from a betting perspective.
he is nolan ryan. he is a .500 pitcher who throws a ton of pitches and has back problems...yet he is always -160 to -250. i'll take +150 to +220 against him every time.
but, i'll never go against prior.
he is nolan ryan. he is a .500 pitcher who throws a ton of pitches and has back problems...yet he is always -160 to -250. i'll take +150 to +220 against him every time.
but, i'll never go against prior.
