Which teams should be bet against weekly?

[tsm123]

if a team / program has more problems than anyone ever expected, won't the books simply take it off the board?

 

[statman03]

what about Florida State...........0/4 ats and haven't been that close in most........Wake may not be that good but they have covered 3 st.......gimmee wake this week

 

[sdf]

SMU
Conn
Idaho
Kansas
Meeshegan
EMU

Oregon - a very good team but continue to be overpriced and Chip Kelly isnt there to RUTS and cover

 

[geauxhome]

vandy...just not a good team

 

[rivercitybirdie]

i concur that this is great thread....

I'm not sure though that we shouldn't go against this thinking somewhat

.... as background, I'm one of many who uses offseason phil steele type info to do quite well early on (not this year 50%is, but many years).... then I go into 50% or worse funk midseason (marginal win rate of 50% so year is often win)

I notice more and more over time that fade teams often start doing well ATS..... I guess it depends which type (SMU, Michigan and EMU are all different animals to me).... I like the higher profile (Oregon, FSU etc.) and long-term horrible (UNLV, EMU) fades a lot.