Where The Election Stands One Week Away

[neverbend]

I explained this yesterday, here goes:

Based on this: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/art...cenarios.html#!
My today figures:
White: Trump 63, Clinton 37
Black: Trump 5, Clinton 95
Latino: Trump 35, Clinton 65
Others: Trump 55, Clinton 45

Percentage of voters compared to 2012 my estimate, W +3, Black -3, Latino +2, Others +2

Popular vote: Trump 48, clinton 48, Johnson 3, Stein 1

Wild card is black vote, LATIMES has Trump at 5%, for every 4 black % vote over 5 give Trump 1%.
I think Trump will garner 8 or 9% of black vote- Therefore a secondary prediction is Trump 49, Clinton 48

 

[SheriffJoe]

he's partially right about the issues, Loser Nation doesn't care at all about the issues and they understand the issues even less

he's acknowledging what we complain about, although I doubt he realizes it, it's the FUCKING IDIOTS that put the democrats over the top

if they start saying too much, they start tripping up on all their lies / idiocy, but they don't know it

kind of amusing to watch

Never buy into the worn liberal lie that "conservatives can never win"

Reality check: voters across the political spectrum HATE Big Government:

ANY candidate who was prepared to run against the Washington's arrogance, corruption, endless lies, disgusting waste and abuse, was going to resonate with this electorate.

As I and others pointed out from the beginning, Trump recognized and tapped into the anger very early in the campaign and played it perfectly:

"Low energy Jeb"
"Little Marco"
"Lying Ted Cruz"
"Crooked Hillary"

Each one of those representing a slice of what's wrong with the system.

It's Ronald Reagan's "Government IS the problem" all over again...

 

[Willie99]

Joe, I totally disagree with the simpleton idiocy conservatives can never win, that stuffed is debunked every time it's ever been raised. Just look at the House and Senate, and baddafuckingbing that's proved wrong. We will always have cycles

What I agree with is that "issues don't matter". And that's not something the fucking idiots that reside in Loser Nation should be proud of

 

[vitterd]

Conservatives can never win the White House again but it's funny to watch conservatives here now latch onto trump.

Be sure not to quote my post. Willie has put you on warning.

Youre a real alpha maleointer:

 

[SheriffJoe]

"Conservatives can never win the White House again but it's funny to watch conservatives here now latch onto trump."

Yes, I will be sure to quote your post and bump this thread when President Donald J. Trump nominates his first SC judge.

Trying to pin down a politician on ideology is just another childish game liberals play in order to scare uninformed voters. I'm not a conservative or liberal, but ask me a question on a specific policy and I'll tell you what's wrong with the status-quo and how to fix it.

"I ran several campaigns!" ointer:

Idiot.

 

[vitterd]

"Conservatives can never win the White House again but it's funny to watch conservatives here now latch onto trump."

Yes, I will be sure to quote your post and bump this thread when President Donald J. Trump nominates his first SC judge.

Trying to pin down a politician on ideology is just another childish game liberals play in order to scare uninformed voters. I'm not a conservative or liberal, but ask me a question on a specific policy and I'll tell you what's wrong with the status-quo and how to fix it.

"I ran several campaigns!" ointer:

Idiot.

Lmao. Youre a far right conservative anarchist. And it's hysterical to see all your "alpha male" tough talk but back down like a little girl when threatened by a 5'2 130 pound fake CPA. Real tough move joe!!!

trump is not a conservative but it is funny to watch conservatives say "he's my guy" now. What a bunch of frauds. This is why you were only allowed to be a door hanger.

dont quote post....Willie gives one warning!!ointer:

 

[archer3base]

I explained this yesterday, here goes:

Based on this: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/art...cenarios.html#!
My today figures:
White: Trump 63, Clinton 37
Black: Trump 5, Clinton 95
Latino: Trump 35, Clinton 65
Others: Trump 55, Clinton 45

Percentage of voters compared to 2012 my estimate, W +3, Black -3, Latino +2, Others +2

Popular vote: Trump 48, clinton 48, Johnson 3, Stein 1

Wild card is black vote, LATIMES has Trump at 5%, for every 4 black % vote over 5 give Trump 1%.
I think Trump will garner 8 or 9% of black vote- Therefore a secondary prediction is Trump 49, Clinton 48

Millennial voters are also down significantly...

 

[SheriffJoe]

Lmao. Youre a far right conservative anarchist. And it's hysterical to see all your "alpha male" tough talk but back down like a little girl when threatened by a 5'2 130 pound fake CPA. Real tough move joe!!!

trump is not a conservative but it is funny to watch conservatives say "he's my guy" now. What a bunch of frauds. This is why you were only allowed to be a door hanger.

dont quote post....Willie gives one warning!!ointer:

Nobody threatened me and nobody is backing down.

Time for your delusional degenerate base to look itself in the mirror and realize "The Sheriff Joe way" = peace, prosperity and a dignified life.

 

[SheriffJoe]

Millennial voters are also down significantly...

Millennials need to come to grips with the fact government is not the solution to their problems...

 

[vitterd]

Millennials need to come to grips with the fact government is not the solution to their problems...

Youre not grasping anything. This is a clinton issue not some great Trump campaign. If Obama could run for a third term.....he would prob win every state.

You don't understand the electorate.

 

[GasMan]

This election( as I have said since the beginning) is close. Some of us smart people understood this for a while.

Trump path to victory is still very narrow and he is still behind right now. The FBI has saved him and given him a life raft. Trump best attribute is that he is not a republican and not a conservative. Never again will a conservative serve in the White House and everybody should be happy about that.

Hillary is still a solid fav in the betting markets(-300) although I would say it should be more like (-175)

Dems still outnumber repubs on the ground by almost 5-1 in swing states and will be crucial in getting out the vote.....and that will be the downfall for trump in the end.

I have 279-253 for Hillary. Let's hear some republicans electoral predictions .....if you dare.....the last few elections have been embarrassing for you guys. But step up and make a call

Yes...the R's are at work...the Dems out promoting Hillary.

 

[vitterd]

Yes...the R's are at work...the Dems out promoting Hillary.

Huh?

 

[vitterd]

Yes...the R's are at work...the Dems out promoting Hillary.

Who woulda thunk it gas.....the US FBI and Russian govt working to influence the election. And repubs skipping along and buying it. Reagan rolling over in his grave.

 

[SheriffJoe]

Youre not grasping anything. This is a clinton issue not some great Trump campaign. If Obama could run for a third term.....he would prob win every state.

You don't understand the electorate.

Obama plays this likable 'cool' 'hip' character aligned with our celeb-rotten culture, endearing himself to many uninformed voters, but his policies have a been a total disaster. He's more popular now than he was when Republicans crushed him in 2010 and 2014, mostly because he's been a lame duck since his second inauguration. "He would probably win every state" is more "I ran several campaigns" vitturd nonsense Rx Nation will be happy to be rid of seven days from now.

Someone who is about to be banned two years because of his own ignorance and hubris really shouldn't lecture other posters about "not understanding the electorate." face)(*^%

 

[vitterd]

Obama plays this likable 'cool' 'hip' character aligned with our celeb-rotten culture, endearing himself to many uninformed voters, but his policies have a been a total disaster. He's more popular now than he was when Republicans crushed him in 2010 and 2014 mostly because he's been a lame duck since his second inauguration. "He would probably win every state" is more "I ran several campaigns" vitturd nonsense Rx Nation will be happy to be rid of seven days from now.

Someone who is about to be banned two years because of his own ignorance and hubris really shouldn't lecture other posters about "not understanding the electorate."

Your last decade here has been nothing but wrong predictions.....primary, general.....it doesn't matter which. I can lecture about the electorate because I've been right.....and you haven't just been wrong....you miss by a mile. Only wrong at Willie is in your league of wrong.


Ps....I can't think of one state that trump beats Obama. Maybe the Dakotas. That's about it.

Repubs crushed him in 2010 and 2014.....bwaaaaaaahhhh. He wasn't on the ballot. That's the repub talking point though.

 

[SheriffJoe]

Your last decade here has been nothing but wrong predictions.....primary, general.....it doesn't matter which. I can lecture about the electorate because I've been right.....and you haven't just been wrong....you miss by a mile. Only wrong at Willie is in your league of wrong.


Ps....I can't think of one state that trump beats Obama. Maybe the Dakotas. That's about it.

Repubs crushed him in 2010 and 2014.....bwaaaaaaahhhh. He wasn't on the ballot. That's the repub talking point though.

You've only been 'right' for 8 years (2 lousy presidential elections with HORRIBLE GOP candidates) because you happen to be here for a Democrat cycle. Nothing more, nothing less. As Right Way Willie says, politics is cyclical. Only our resident libtards believed Democrats would be in the White House forever - "Landslide for Hillary!" face)(*^%

Like I said, Obama is loved because of his 'cool' 'hip' personality, not his policies. So, our Republican nominee would have to craft a strategy to defeat his policies AND personality.

Different dynamics means different strategies... door hangers and coffee fetchers wouldn't understand.

 

[vitterd]

You've only been 'right' for 8 years (2 lousy presidential elections with HORRIBLE GOP candidates) because you happen to be here for a Democrat cycle. Nothing more, nothing less. As Right Way Willie says, politics is cyclical. Only our resident libtards believed Democrats would be in the White House...well, forever - "Landslide for Hillary!" face)(*^%

Like I said, Obama is loved because of his personality, not his policies. So, our Republican nominee would have to craft a strategy to defeat BOTH his policies and personality.

Different dynamics means different strategies... door hangers and coffee fetchers wouldn't understand.

Uh, I never said landslide......I said it's always been close but Hillary is leading and will win. People that have run campaigns and been involved in campaign strategy.....know this. People who stuffed envelopes like you....always get it wrong

speaking of landslide.....if trump wins, can BFL show his face here finally

 

[SheriffJoe]

Uh, I never said landslide......I said it's always been close but Hillary is leading and will win. People that have run campaigns and been involved in campaign strategy.....know this. People who stuffed envelopes like you....always get it wrong

speaking of landslide.....if trump wins, can BFL show his face here finally

BFL will be one of MANY posters who return to the forum once your putrid stench fades away.

"I ran several campaigns!" ointer:

 

[vitterd]

BFL will be one of MANY posters who return to the forum once your putrid stench fades away.

"I ran several campaigns!" ointer:

He is the most gutless poster ever. After his landslide bullshit.....he ran like you did from Willie's threat. All you alpha males crawl into a hole when confronted

more than several. I used to hire door hangers like you but guys like you were never included in real decisions.

 

[Dave007inVegas]

Are you too stupid to recognize the contradiction?

rump best attribute is that he is not a republican and not a conservative. Never again will a conservative serve in the White House and everybody should be happy about that.

If only a small fraction of the electorate vote on ideology, why does it matter if a candidate is liberal or conservative?

Seriously Joe, why do you bother? I don't get it.