<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by The MD Kid:
I can't believe I've been doing this calculation wrong all this time. Holy Jeez, what a maroooon I am.
By the way fella's, here's a great study done on the topic of buying points in the NFL http://www.thelogicalapproach.com/key_numbers.htm<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
GOOD TO HEAR MD KID...finally making progress!!!!!
Your link is good and am very familar with it.............
Two observations I want you to make here!!!
The data compliled is from 1982-1998.
This is FIVE years of not taking into account what the 2-point conversion has meant to these statistics.
Looking at these statistics, look at what happens when you buy from 6.5 to 7!!!!!
It was almost worth it to pay 10 cents for the 7 but not quite..........BUT MY NUMBERS PROVE THAT IT IS NOW WORTH buying the +6.5 to +7 and also quite possibly even the +9.5 to +10 which is real borderline since the inception of the 2 -point conversion.
This is what I have been saying for quite some time in this forum.
BUY THE +6.5 TO +7.0 in the NFL.........only if you cannot find the +7 by shopping.
If you can buy +6.5 to +7 for 10 cents, YOU SHOULD NEVER TAKE +6.5 in the NFL ever again.
I can't believe I've been doing this calculation wrong all this time. Holy Jeez, what a maroooon I am.
By the way fella's, here's a great study done on the topic of buying points in the NFL http://www.thelogicalapproach.com/key_numbers.htm<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
GOOD TO HEAR MD KID...finally making progress!!!!!
Your link is good and am very familar with it.............
Two observations I want you to make here!!!
The data compliled is from 1982-1998.
This is FIVE years of not taking into account what the 2-point conversion has meant to these statistics.
Looking at these statistics, look at what happens when you buy from 6.5 to 7!!!!!
It was almost worth it to pay 10 cents for the 7 but not quite..........BUT MY NUMBERS PROVE THAT IT IS NOW WORTH buying the +6.5 to +7 and also quite possibly even the +9.5 to +10 which is real borderline since the inception of the 2 -point conversion.
This is what I have been saying for quite some time in this forum.
BUY THE +6.5 TO +7.0 in the NFL.........only if you cannot find the +7 by shopping.
If you can buy +6.5 to +7 for 10 cents, YOU SHOULD NEVER TAKE +6.5 in the NFL ever again.