What is the safest bet to make, if one exists?

[quantumleap]

Looks like Pinnacle took the weather bets off their site. I missed the news that there was a lot of snow in Boston, otherwise I would have bet on that place having 1" of snow on Christmas Day.

I had the maximum on Cleveland, Chicago, Buffalo and Newark (they have 6" of snow on the ground). I also had quite a bit on Mt. Washington.

There's a little more than 2 weeks left until Christmas. I suppose there can be some warm days ahead that will melt all that snow. On the other hand, there could be some more storms that add to it.

I'll report back here what the results are. I hope I have about $500 extra in my Pinnacle account the day after Christmas.

Just an update. All of the locations mentioned currently have snow on the ground with 5 days left except for Newark. They had a rain storm on Friday that melted all the snow. There is a system coming in from the west that may give them snow by Christmas. I hope it's not a warm-weather system that melts the snow in the other cities.

 

[quantumleap]

If you're willing to bet -800 how about -880 for the next thing to a sure bet. Pinnacle has Weather bets, whether there will be at least 1" of snow at a particular place. One of the bets is -880 for YES at Mount Washington, NH. Here's a map of snow cover in the US. Look at the state of NH. See that bright pink spot? That's Mount Washington.

http://www.intellicast.com/IcastPage/LoadPage.aspx?loc=usa&seg=Ski&prodgrp=CurrentWeather&product=SnowCover&prodnav=none

It has over 10" of snow. It's at the top of a mountain so don't worry about all that snow melting between now and Christmas. Oh yeah, I forgot to add that a snow storm is headed for the area.

Good luck.

Well, sure enough, Mt. Washington had at least 1" of snow on Christmas Day. I bet $550 to make $75.

Here is the result of my bets-

<TABLE borderColor=blue width=680 border=0><TBODY><TR class=tableText height=30><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap>51694840-1
16

</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>1:52pm
30-Nov-05</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>26-Dec-05</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>Future</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom align=left>Weather - Will there be snow on Xmas Day? ...</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>-720</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>150.00</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right> 20.83</TD></TR><TR class="" id=pitcher15><TD class=accountText colSpan=4></TD><TD class=accountText align=left colSpan=4>Will there be snow on Xmas Day? (US)
Will there be 1" snow in Mnt Wash, Xmas Day 2005?
Yes </TD></TR><TR bgColor=black height=1 width="100"><TD colSpan=8></TD></TR><TR class=tableText height=30><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap>52208200-1
17

</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>5:12pm
6-Dec-05</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>26-Dec-05</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>Future</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom align=left>Weather - Will there be snow on Xmas Day? ...</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>+105</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>112.05</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>-112.05</TD></TR><TR class="" id=pitcher16><TD class=accountText colSpan=4></TD><TD class=accountText align=left colSpan=4>Will there be snow on Xmas Day? (US)
Will there be 1" snow in Cleveland, Xmas Day 2005?
Yes </TD></TR><TR bgColor=black height=1 width="100"><TD colSpan=8></TD></TR><TR class=tableText height=30><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap>52208200-2
18

</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>5:12pm
6-Dec-05</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>26-Dec-05</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>Future</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom align=left>Weather - Will there be snow on Xmas Day? ...</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>+165</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>71.30</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right> 117.65</TD></TR><TR class="" id=pitcher17><TD class=accountText colSpan=4></TD><TD class=accountText align=left colSpan=4>Will there be snow on Xmas Day? (US)
Will there be 1" snow in Buffalo, Xmas Day 2005?
Yes </TD></TR><TR bgColor=black height=1 width="100"><TD colSpan=8></TD></TR><TR class=tableText height=30><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap>52209531-1
19

</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>5:27pm
6-Dec-05</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>26-Dec-05</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>Future</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom align=left>Weather - Will there be snow on Xmas Day? ...</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>+225</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>52.29</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>-52.29</TD></TR><TR class="" id=pitcher18><TD class=accountText colSpan=4></TD><TD class=accountText align=left colSpan=4>Will there be snow on Xmas Day? (US)
Will there be 1" snow in Newark, Xmas Day 2005?
Yes </TD></TR><TR bgColor=black height=1 width="100"><TD colSpan=8></TD></TR><TR class=tableText height=30><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap>52348976-1
20

</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>6:58pm
8-Dec-05</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>26-Dec-05</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>Future</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom align=left>Weather - Will there be snow on Xmas Day? ...</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>+129</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>91.20</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>-91.20</TD></TR><TR class="" id=pitcher19><TD class=accountText colSpan=4></TD><TD class=accountText align=left colSpan=4>Will there be snow on Xmas Day? (US)
Will there be 1" snow in Chicago, Xmas Day 2005?
Yes </TD></TR><TR bgColor=black height=1 width="100"><TD colSpan=8></TD></TR><TR class=tableText height=30><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap>52349011-1
21

</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>6:59pm
8-Dec-05</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>26-Dec-05</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>Future</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom align=left>Weather - Will there be snow on Xmas Day? ...</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>-720</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>400.00</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right> 55.56</TD></TR><TR class="" id=pitcher20><TD class=accountText colSpan=4></TD><TD class=accountText align=left colSpan=4>Will there be snow on Xmas Day? (US)
Will there be 1" snow in Mnt Wash, Xmas Day 2005?
Yes </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[_allstar]

$550 to make $75?

cmon now