what happens when the whole world becomes sharp?

[Moon88]

wantitall4moi -
Excellent, thoughtful post. Who let you in?

As for the unlimited growth of sharps from squares, it ain't going to happen.
1) Their IQ's aren't going up.

2) Recreational players don't have the time (or interest) to invest to become sharp.

3) At small betting amounts (budgets of most non-pros), the investment of effort would not be worth the return.

4) Some people will always play their home team (or Notre Dame) no matter what the spread and still think they can hit 8-team parlays and teasers.

5) New squares are always coming in. So even with a former square becoming sharp after a few years, there will still be new squares and even inexperienced sharps entering the ranks.

6) But most of all, the industry is filled with a bunch of sick, greedy, degenerate bastards (and they're damn proud of it).

1,2, and 4 are the main reasons why this will never happen.

 

[Moon88]

Squares always looking at popular teams/players/Favourite/over......win a couple..."I'm sharp....I read the forum" always looking at the Fave....Eag-10, Vikes-4...NE-4....they rarely ever consider the dog...then they give it back on games like tonight Rams -6. We all live and learn retaining info is key.

 

[RobFunk]

honestly moon, did you have to think about this for 1 month and 2 days before giving a reply? or did you have a bad sunday, and you felt guilty of the proceeding?

personally, I think you just wanted to bump this to pick on robfunk's thread subject.

you dont get a coconut covered donut pal, you get that wierd one in the box no one else wanted. plenty of coffee left though.

 

[Moon88]

went 1-1 loss vig thought it was a good topic...guess I was bored :biglaugh:

 

[RobFunk]

thats allright moon were gunna kill them this week. the books will really be thinking the whole world is sharp after this week.

 

[Moon88]

Robbie to Hottie where the ladies at? :manwh:

 

[RobFunk]

moon, the supermarket. go there on a week day around 11 or early after noon. you can scout a suspect chic or two shopping for herself becuase shes lonely. you glance into her cart or basket you see shes just getting enough for her, shes prey. if shes wearing jeans with no pockets on the ass its automatic.

talk to her and use the corny oh ya you live here too? corny bs routine how long have you lived here wow im im suprised i havent seen you before bull crap. then after you got the feeling your lame conversation actually had substance to her, exchange the digits. wait 3 days and call her, have her over with something trendy on the tube but it sucks then say this sucks and make your move.

chics are dope

 

[blueedwards]

here were my sharp plays this week:

miami +5.5

oakland +2

new orleans +4.5

i wish i was a square because i'd rather have the money than be on the "right side".:neenee:

 

[Moon88]

Rob great advice

Blue I'm staying away form tonights's game, but if I had a gun to my head I'd take the Bucs +7 if available. You'll probably see a better # 1/2 hr before gametime. My #'s are showing line is slighty inflated at the moment...plently of action on the rams.....plenlty of squares on the rams...# sitting close to the opener indicates books feel # is solid.

By the way with so much info avail over the net squares still tend not to search, but rather chose to watch sportsdesk on the tube to get info.

 

[charleslanger]

Very good question-- and very good point you make, FunkMeister....

I think we've reached tha saturation point(of diminishing returns) as far as the "usefulness" of the plethora of info-- even though even more info is possible/ on the way.

For one, there's significant mis-information among the plethora of information-- such as the Kelly Criterion: through that and individual bettor reasons such as betting winnings in other sports / games where they don't have an advantage-- except for a few pros, most end up giving much of the winnings back.

I don't think all the extra info helps everyone--as few are adept at sifting and obtaining the relevant info, for there are too many irrelevant stats bandied about: the Hurricanes are 14-9 vs the spread in the past 10 years, when facing on the road an SEC team that is coming off a bye week, etc.

One advantage of the extra info, though-- it's created more hedgers, parlayers, & other investor types... which adds liquidity and extra betting choices, i believe.... strictly-stats players may miss how a team will physically match up with its opponent.....

And how will the extra info help anyone in say, football: more than half the games are decided by less than a td, that's one play, one mistake, one blown call. Ditto for the spread: significantly more than half the games can be teased either way successfully. I sometimes wonder why i don't just flip a coin instead of spending all that time handicapping.....

Take injury reports as an example-- largely irrelevant imho, except in extreme cases.... The days of teams having only one good player at key positions is gone-- very few "names" start every game of the season... If i was qb, i wouldn't get bent out of shape if not made number 1 at the start of the season-- i know that likely i'll get my chance later......

Peace......

 

[Concorde]

All Sportsbooks go bankrupt!

 

[Moon88]

All Sportsbooks go bankrupt!

huh?