If you remember back in the Summer I put this down as a "play on" game on SJSU for this season. I want to bet them as well, but my hold back is that they seem to depend on their defense way too much to win games for them. Their offense is not that good.
That being said, this is a bad spot for Boise and SJSU always seems to play better at home. I'm still considering this game and I am seriously considering going with the UNDER on the total.
Good luck, Conan . . . .
SBS,
SJ's offensive stats are a little skewed. Kyle Reed has been their starting at QB for just a few weeks thus far. He stole the starting position in practice then came back from an injury in week 4 or 5 and has been improving every week. He's as good a running QB as you will see and his accuracy is also decent. It's only a matter of learning the system and making good decisions that stands between him and a great career at SJSU.
Reed bolted from Cal about the time Riley had secured the back-up job in summer '07. Can't blame him. He wanted to play and he's got the chance where he is. He sat out a season and now his eligibility is fine. He's good for 3 years. He's as athletic and as talented a running QB as they come. Tomey has a pretty good reputation for developing QB's throughout his career. It's not just his defenses that have excelled.
The Spartans also lucked out when Yonus Davis received an extra year of eligibility. He is their rushing game and he's proficient to say the least. This year he has some pretty good help from a new kid named Brandon Rutley. I've no recollection of the last time the Spartans had a decent 1-2 punch in the backfield. With Kyle Reed, they are formidable. They have been putting up their share of points better than anytime I can remember too scoring more than 30 points 3 times so far this year.
Here you are looking at a game where the winner will need to score about 24 points to get the job done. Other than that shootout at Oregon a few weeks ago, the only time Boise has scored more than 27 points was vs teams with very weak defenses. The rest of the time they've been held in the 20's. In a normal year that's not usual for them but it seems to be the case this season. SJSU's defense will cause problems for Boise's young QB. Count on Tomey to be the defensive tactician here. Moore may be a rising star but SJ's defense is likely the best D he's encountered so far this season.
Core42 mentioned a few posts back that the public would hammer Boise as SJSU is relatively unknown and Boise St. has had plenty of exposure. I can wait before I hit this one again. All the better for a little ML action too.
No guarantees that they will win it SU but they've
got a shot and the game will definitely be a good one.
It looks like about 90% of this forum likes SJ. That would worry me but it seems like public money is all on Boise.
Could someone check on that and see where the action on this game is going? I lost my links and gotta get out of here at the moment so I got no time to deal with it.
It sounds like something that would be good to know.
Could someone check on that and see where the action on this game is going? I lost my links and gotta get out of here at the moment so I got no time to deal with it.
It sounds like something that would be good to know.
I usually don't bother to read this stuff but I was bored so here it is...
<table *cellpadding="1" width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td colspan="2" height="15"><table width="100%" bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td class="matchupBorder"><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN JOSE ST is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN JOSE ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN JOSE ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN JOSE ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN JOSE ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN JOSE ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN JOSE ST is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN JOSE ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN JOSE ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.</td></tr>
<tr><td class="matchupCells">BOISE ST is 74-45 ATS (+24.5 Units) in all games since 1992.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">BOISE ST is 48-25 ATS (+20.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">BOISE ST is 50-27 ATS (+20.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">BOISE ST is 50-20 ATS (+28.0 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">BOISE ST is 45-18 ATS (+25.2 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">BOISE ST is 50-27 ATS (+20.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">BOISE ST is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">BOISE ST is 74-45 ATS (+24.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">BOISE ST is 57-35 ATS (+18.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
</td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr><tr><td class="matchupHeader" colspan="2">Head-to-Head Series History</td></tr><tr><td colspan="2" height="15"><table width="100%" bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td class="matchupBorder"><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td class="matchupCells Text">SAN JOSE ST is 1-1 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons </td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells Text">BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons </td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells Text">2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons </td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table>
<table *cellpadding="1" width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td colspan="2" height="15"><table width="100%" bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td class="matchupBorder"><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN JOSE ST is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN JOSE ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN JOSE ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN JOSE ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN JOSE ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN JOSE ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN JOSE ST is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN JOSE ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">SAN JOSE ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.</td></tr>
<tr><td class="matchupCells">BOISE ST is 74-45 ATS (+24.5 Units) in all games since 1992.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">BOISE ST is 48-25 ATS (+20.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">BOISE ST is 50-27 ATS (+20.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">BOISE ST is 50-20 ATS (+28.0 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">BOISE ST is 45-18 ATS (+25.2 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">BOISE ST is 50-27 ATS (+20.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">BOISE ST is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">BOISE ST is 74-45 ATS (+24.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells">BOISE ST is 57-35 ATS (+18.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
</td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr><tr><td class="matchupHeader" colspan="2">Head-to-Head Series History</td></tr><tr><td colspan="2" height="15"><table width="100%" bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td class="matchupBorder"><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td class="matchupCells Text">SAN JOSE ST is 1-1 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons </td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells Text">BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons </td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells Text">2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons </td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table>
Adding:
UCLA/CAL U 51*
SJSU/Boise St. ML (1/2 unit)
Also upgrading:
CSU-7/SDSU to ** (I found 7 but buy it down 1/2 pt. if you wish, though I doubt that you'll need it.)
Recap:
SJSU+7/Boise*
CSU-7/SDSU** (best bet)
UCLA +18/Cal*
Oregon-3.5/ASU*
UCLA/CAL U51*
SJSU+280/Boise ML (1/2 unit)
I may hit it for another 1/2 unit if the price goes higher by Friday evening.
UCLA/CAL U 51*
SJSU/Boise St. ML (1/2 unit)
Also upgrading:
CSU-7/SDSU to ** (I found 7 but buy it down 1/2 pt. if you wish, though I doubt that you'll need it.)
Recap:
SJSU+7/Boise*
CSU-7/SDSU** (best bet)
UCLA +18/Cal*
Oregon-3.5/ASU*
UCLA/CAL U51*
SJSU+280/Boise ML (1/2 unit)
I may hit it for another 1/2 unit if the price goes higher by Friday evening.
Well just about everyone here agrees with SJSU being the right side. There's a lot of good reasons to bet them here for sure. But, it's often what you don't see that bites you in the ass so I'm not going to bet the farm here or even make this game a top play. But I'm definitely on the Spartans.
I hope that they play an error free game and show up good and loose without putting too much pressure on themselves. That's their biggest test in this game. I am sure that the Broncos will bring plenty of pressure with them as it is. They deserve everyone's respect because they have one hell of a good coach. There's no way they come in here unprepared.
The Spartans need a hero or 2 to make this work. Who will it be? Is Kyle Reed ready to lead this team vs their toughest opponent to date? A big play or two on defense would help greatly. Leading the Broncos during the game (as they have in recent years) or keeping them within striking distance going into the 4th quarter could lead to paydirt. They need to live up to their reputation of playing extra tough at home.
The only other game I think will be tightly contested is Oregon/ASU. It's wake-up time for the Sun Devils or their season is done. On the other side of the equation, the Ducks need a big win on the road to make a statement and solidify their team. There's no doubt in my mind which is the better team here, but will Oregon bring their A-game?
It looks like I'm set with my plays.
Best of luck to everyone this weekend.
I hope that they play an error free game and show up good and loose without putting too much pressure on themselves. That's their biggest test in this game. I am sure that the Broncos will bring plenty of pressure with them as it is. They deserve everyone's respect because they have one hell of a good coach. There's no way they come in here unprepared.
The Spartans need a hero or 2 to make this work. Who will it be? Is Kyle Reed ready to lead this team vs their toughest opponent to date? A big play or two on defense would help greatly. Leading the Broncos during the game (as they have in recent years) or keeping them within striking distance going into the 4th quarter could lead to paydirt. They need to live up to their reputation of playing extra tough at home.
The only other game I think will be tightly contested is Oregon/ASU. It's wake-up time for the Sun Devils or their season is done. On the other side of the equation, the Ducks need a big win on the road to make a statement and solidify their team. There's no doubt in my mind which is the better team here, but will Oregon bring their A-game?
It looks like I'm set with my plays.
Best of luck to everyone this weekend.
If the ducks do bring their A game it will be the first time this season. There is always hope. Biggest reason for optimism would be that this is Masoli's fourth start and he has improved in each outing. While ASU has been Oregon's bitch for the past few years I expect it to be close.
Good luck this week!
Here you go!!
Over the years I found this site to be consistent. I'ts showing Boise getting 71% of the bets (not the actual $$). It's a good indicator.
http://www.thespread.com/ncaa-college-football-public-betting-chart
Over the years I found this site to be consistent. I'ts showing Boise getting 71% of the bets (not the actual $$). It's a good indicator.
http://www.thespread.com/ncaa-college-football-public-betting-chart
