Portland vs San Jose
- San Jose finally getting healthier with the expected return of their excellent mf Chavez and perhaps the best RFB in MLS, Beitashour, along with Lenhart and Gordon up front. Still missing a few but in the next few weeks will be a real "play on" team. Even during this injury crisis they've been creating chances that Wondo isn't finishing. In total they're avg 15 shots/game which is near the top in MLS although only 21 of them (28%) have found the frame. They're also in top couple in open play crosses/game and corners/game so are playing more offensive than their 5 goals would prove. Last week's 2-0 loss in Houston was their first road game in 8 they didn't score and this has happened in just 2 trips in last 26 away. Similarly Portland's home shutout of Houston was first home game in 7 without conceding and just 2nd time in 15 so they almost always concede. Timbers lead the league with nearly 2 goals/game and are tied for league lead with Toronto at 2 home goals/game. I always seek out overs when both clubs have long history of both scoring and conceding which is true tonight. Portland have had BTS in 5 of last 6, 9 of last 12 overall and in 12 of L15 at home. SJ had a streak of 14 in a row and 18/20 last year of BTS and in 13 of 15 road games leading into the playoffs. One negative is that Portland mf Valeri is out and some chance of rain during match on the turf so perhaps a smaller bet than I originally planned. Seven matches so far in MLS this weekend with just 10 total goals...
SJ/Por o2.25 2.5u to win 2u