Since you're unfamiliar I'll run through it one more time to clear it up..
"Power ratings" is a rediculous cliche, honestly I don't even know what that's supposed to be in relation to a teams anything...what I have is a set of #'s for each team that's based on that teams history of play over the last # of decades in football.
Over a long period of time I have found that the basic premise of football is in fact, on any given Sunday, anyone can beat anyone else, it doesn't matter where, who, who's coaching or playing or what the weather is...everybody in pads is a paid professional equally as good as everyone else or they wouldn't be out there.
Parity and familiarity rule the game..and history repeats itself again and again so I basically charted it over time and found out if I could adjust each teams #'s every week the same way for every team, given their particular situation, I could turn the NFL into a board game sort of...once I achieved the correct type of adjustment chart it just worked.
So like I said, its really more of a mathematical board game than anything based on some kind of, "power"...all it is..is just me getting lucky one day a bunch of years ago and stumbling on a mathematical adjustment system, that for some reason, works.
More simple than anything....nothing complicated in any way once you understand how to read and use the chart.
I hope this clears it up a bit...pay no attention to the man behind the curtain...it's just child's play for us who love the NFL and wagering who will cover a point spread...
GAME.
Technically, yes but 2-1 I look at like there's not enough history, I take teams like balt and ariz this week, even though there is only a single play...1-0, for instance, because they havent lost (undefeated), and they're both big fav, 13 and 11 respectively, which has won a lot more than lost..all favs of 11+pts on the year so far have went 13-3 ATS overall, so it has some merit.
The pick games could be looked at too..no home team pick of less than 7pts has won, and no home team pick of 7+pts has lost...it's all how you look at it.
It's ultimately your decision, as the season goes on you begin to have a feel on what works for you.
