Week 4

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Can anyone confirm this…
Since 2015, teams coming off an outright win as a dog and are dogs in TNF are 0-12 SU and 1-11 ATS. If you add that they are on the road…0-8 straight up and against the spread.

Thanks for all you do Kaboom and Rolltide. Love this thread!!!
Maybe Rolltide can help there bro ...

Thx for the kudos on the thread ...and thanks to Rolltide for his help ...
 

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i got 41.5 with BAL and would play to 38.5. not touching the DEN game
Hey roll. Appreciate all the info from you and kaboom. Thank you guys. Wondering why are you staying away from the Denver game. It falls into the trend no ?
 

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Shared this one with my twitter group

Last Night Included ...Det has been 1st …in race to 10 pts 13/14 games .. Anyone cash in ?
 

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Hey roll. Appreciate all the info from you and kaboom. Thank you guys. Wondering why are you staying away from the Denver game. It falls into the trend no ?
I have several systems on over as well including the 32-1 (now 34-1) i posted in this thread last week.

I prefer the under but it's only Friday and haven't made my mind up on bets yet. Got the ravens under 1h and game is all and not supported by system, just the standout total imo. Likely be on wash cover, chargers over.

I have 11 systems that ping Denver total, 7 for the under ...

CHI/DEN under 2-29 25-75 7-42 8-40 59-121 24-69 7-49 vs over 34-1 76-18 46-17 128-60
 

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Can anyone confirm this…
Since 2015, teams coming off an outright win as a dog and are dogs in TNF are 0-12 SU and 1-11 ATS. If you add that they are on the road…0-8 straight up and against the spread.

Thanks for all you do Kaboom and Rolltide. Love this thread!!!
was 3-3 ATS in L6 going into last night but failed to cover in previous 9. so is now 3-13 ATS since 2015

p:DW and D and day = Thursday and season > 2014
SU:1-15-0 (-9.62, 6.2%)
ATS:3-13-0 (-4.66, 18.8%) avg line: 5.0
 

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Roll with that post in last weeks thread would that point to Houston and under? Thxs for the hard work
 

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With Tomlin being out of his time zone and that crap against the spread record?
 

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Roll with that post in last weeks thread would that point to Houston and under? Thxs for the hard work
yeah he blows as a road fav out of EST and those games go under. i don't bet against PIT but certainly considering the under. HOU played one competent defense and scored 9, expecting an ugly game and hopefully close road win. I sit out most Steelers games unless i bet on them live and will sit this out too. Has all the makings of a classic Steelers letdown so just hoping for a 16-15 win :)
 

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Phin Fans .... who knows what will happen in Buffalo on Sunday ......................Phins are the 12th team in the last 20 years to be 3-0 SU and ATS but be listed as an underdog in their 4th game. The previous 11 teams went 2-9 SU and 3-8 ATS as a dog
 

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From my closet ....LOL !!

NFL Trends / Only in Week # 4
Home Favorite
Over/Under Total Closes 35 to 56
Facing a team with win % below .666
Over is amazing 11-1 or 92 % Over Total
Dallas -7 … Play Over if tailing trend …unsure I'm playing it ?
 

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Who wants more from the closet ????

Unsure what will happen Sunday ? .... Your call ????

Balt has lost their last 9 games SU vs teams with a winning record
Cleve has won SU last 6 vs NFC North
 

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Love the closet stuff Kaboo.lm
 

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just want to get out of this week with a W...

Tomlin away fav non-div vs team under .500 in first half of season. with avg of 7-pt fav Steelers haven't even won 50% of time and opponent covered the +6 teaser line 21 of 23 times. Two of the three covers were in JAX

SU:11-12-0 (0.61, 47.8%)Teaser Records
ATS:3-20-0 (-6.26, 13.0%) avg line: -6.9+6: 9-14-0 (39.1%) -6: 2-21-0 (8.7%) +10: 16-6-1 (72.7%) -10: 1-22-0 (4.3%)
O/U:9-14-0 (-2.22, 39.1%) avg total: 43.3+6: 4-19-0 (17.4%) -6: 13-9-1 (59.1%) +10: 3-20-0 (13.0%) -10: 18-5-0 (78.3%)
RushesRush YdsPassesPass YdsCompTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team24.692.138.6272.025.41.94.25.73.47.320.9
Opp26.1112.231.3188.718.31.44.66.54.04.620.3
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Oct 01, 2023viewSunday42023SteelersTexansaway-3.042.0
 

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You like stats Kaboom heard this one today not 100 % is this true but

Lamar Jackson is 11-1 ATS as a DOG
 

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K. Boom....closet or living room....all good buddy...
thank you for all the updated info....
BOL with your Sun. action....indy
 

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Copied some trends last year and saved them but I don’t remember where I got them from. ??‍♂️
Anyways….

Teams that lose on the point spread by 30 points or more have been nearly automatic when playing as road favorites in the next game, winning their last 13 tries outright while going 11-1-1 ATS (91.7%)!

Play Denver. ??‍♂️
 

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The last seven games that NFL teams have played in Wembley Stadium, all seven have gone under the total.

Your Call
 

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With veteran quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo out due to a concussion, Las Vegas has decided to start rookie fourth-round pick Aidan O’Connell
 

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