Week 4

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kaboom do you trends on the wind
some games have 20 to 30 miles per hour
thank you great info
 

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Wind-gust snapshot for mid-afternoon tomorrow. A lot of 40-50mph winds. The most impacted college football games will be Miami @ Temple and TXA&M Commerce(?) @ Old Dominion.
 

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ATS:
29-0-0 (9.67, 100.0%)

DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Sep 23, 2023boxSaturday42023NOTDOHSThome3.055.5
Sep 23, 2023boxSaturday42023WASTORSThome3.058.5
Sep 22, 2023boxFriday42023VIRNCSThome9.547.5
won with Virginia 30-0 now
Thanks
 

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Quarterback Battles

The following are teams that have not announced starters for this week, or situations where the starter could be impacted by injury concerns. Where “OR” is shown it represents a co-starter situation on the team’s depth chart for this week.

  • Alabama – Jalen Milroe will start after Tyler Buchner started last week
  • Appalachian State – Joey Aguilar will start again with Ryan Burger still out (hand)
  • Arizona State – Drew Pyne (leg) is expected to start, Trenton Bourguet (ankle) is doubtful and Jaden Rashada (undisclosed) is out
  • Arkansas State – JT Shrout (ankle) or Jaxon Dailey
  • Ball State – Kadin Semonza is now listed as the starter over Layne Hatcher
  • Baylor – Sawyer Robertson will start again with Blake Shapen still out (knee)
  • Bowling Green – Connor Bazelak (leg) OR Camden Orth (undisclosed) again on the depth chart this week, Hayden Timosciek came in last week when both were unavailable
  • Cal – Sam Jackson OR Ben Finley
  • Central Florida – Timmy McClain will start with John Rhys Plumlee still out (leg)
  • Central Michigan – Bert Emanuel is expected back (illness) OR Jase Bauer, both may play
  • Charlotte – Jalon Jones OR Trexler Ivey
  • East Carolina – Alex Flinn started last week over Mason Garcia, both played
  • Florida Atlantic – Casey Thompson is out for the season (ACL), Daniel Richardson expected to start
  • Jacksonville State – Zion Webb OR Logan Smothers, a starter has not been named, both played last game
  • Kansas State – Will Howard (leg), if not then Avery Johnson
  • Louisiana – Ben Wooldridge is out (foot), Zeon Chriss is listed as the starter, then Chandler Fields
  • Louisiana Tech – Hank Bachmeier (shoulder), if not then Jack Turner
  • Missouri – Brady Cook (knee), if not then Sam Horn
  • Nebraska – Jeff Sims (ankle) OR Henrich Haarberg
  • Oklahoma State – Alan Bowman OR Gunnar Gundy OR Garret Rangel, Bowman started week 3 but all three played again.
  • Stanford – Ashton Daniels or Justin Lamson, Daniels started but both played last week
  • Tulane – Michael Pratt (knee) is expected back, if not then Kai Horton
  • Tulsa – Braylon Braxton (ankle), if not then Cardell Williams or Roman Fuller
  • UCLA – Ethan Garbers OR Dante Moore OR Collin Schlee, Moore started the last two weeks
  • UMass – Taisun Phommachanh (lower body), if not then Carlos Davis will start again
  • UNLV – Doug Brumfield (undisclosed), if not then Jayden Maiava
  • Utah – Cameron Rising (knee), if not then Nate Johnson again
  • Utah State – McCae Hillstead will start after replacing Cooper Legas midgame last week
  • UTSA – Frank Harris (toe), Eddie Lee Marburger is reportedly expected to start again
  • Virginia (Friday) – Tony Muskett (shoulder), if not then Anthony Colandrea
  • Virginia Tech – Grant Wells (ankle) OR Kyron Drones who started last week
  • West Virginia – Garrett Greene (ankle), if not then Nicco Marchiol
  • Western Michigan – Jack Salopek OR Treyson Bourguet, Bourguet started last but Salopek also played
  • Wyoming – Andrew Peasley (shoulder) OR Evan Svoboda

Running Backs

  • CJ Baxter, Texas – Probable (undisclosed), had a good week of practice
  • Jalen Berger, Michigan State – Doubtful (foot), said to be still a week or so away.
  • DeCarlos Brooks, Arizona State – Doubtful (undisclosed), listed as injured on the depth chart.
  • Gabe Ervin, Nebraska – Out for the Season (hip)
  • Frank Gore, Southern Miss – Probable (foot)
  • George Holani, Boise State (Friday) – Questionable (undisclosed), was unavailable the past two games.
  • Jordan Houston, NC State (Friday) – Out, will redshirt the remainder of the season.
  • Kaleb Johnson, Iowa – Out (ankle)
  • LJ Johnson, SMU – Gametime Decision (ankle), dealing with nagging ankle injury.
  • Rahmir Johnson, Nebraska – Out for the Season (shoulder)
  • Jaylan Knighton, SMU – Missed last game due to class attendance issues, will be reinstated if/when it improves, which could be as early as this week.
  • Tony Mathis, Houston – Probable (ankle), expected back this weekend.
  • Larry McCammon, Florida Atlantic – Questionable (ankle), called day to day at the beginning of the week.
  • Alton McCaskill, Colorado – Probable (knee), was cleared for contact this week.
  • Jaydn Ott, Cal – Probable (upper body), expected back this week.
  • Dominic Richardson, Baylor – Doubtful (ankle)
  • Raheim Sanders, Arkansas – Questionable (knee), practiced but limited this week.
  • Dontae Smith, Georgia Tech – Questionable (undisclosed)
  • Dre’lyn Washington, Louisiana – Probable (ankle), expected back this week.
  • Treshaun Ward, Kansas State – Doubtful (undisclosed), called doubtful at the start of the week, then day-to-day later in the week but still needing to improve.
  • Nakia Watson, Washington State – Probable (ankle)
  • Jalen White, Georgia Southern – Questionable (ankle)
  • Ron Wiggins, Jacksonville State – Out (chest surgery), out 6-7 weeks.
  • Keith Willis, Louisiana Tech – Out (high ankle sprain)

Wide Receivers and Tight Ends

  • Ahmarean Brown, South Carolina – Probable (hamstring), not 100% but should be available.
  • Je’Quan Burton, Florida Atlantic – Questionable (concussion protocol), called day to day.
  • TE Jalin Conyers, Arizona State – Probable (undisclosed)
  • Zakhari Franklin, Ole Miss – Questionable (knee), practiced without a non-contact jersey this week.
  • Tre Harris, Ole Miss – Questionable (lower body), appeared limited in practice this week.
  • TE Cameron Hite, Wake Forest – Probable (head), expected back from concussion protocol.
  • TE Brady Hunt, Ball State – Questionable (ankle)
  • Travis Hunter, Colorado – Out (liver), expected to miss 3 weeks.
  • TE Brant Kuithe, Utah – Questionable (knee)
  • TE Luke Lachey, Iowa – Out for the Season (leg/ankle)
  • Chase Lane, Georgia Tech – Doubtful (lower body), only available in an emergency.
  • Jaylin Lane, Virginia Tech – GTD (hamstring), was seen practicing midweek.
  • Justin Lockhart, San Jose State (Friday) – Out for the season (arm/hand), will have season-ending surgery.
  • Ladd McConkey, Georgia – Doubtful (back), remains limited in practice.
  • Jalen McMillan, Washington – Probable (undisclosed), left early last week but is expected this week.
  • Jaylin Noel, Iowa State – Probable (illness)
  • TE Sam Olson, San Jose State (Friday) – Questionable (undisclosed), left the game last week and did not return.
  • Mekhi Shaw, San Diego State (Friday) – Probable (undisclosed), practicing and expected for this week.
  • Tyrin Smith, UTEP – Gametime Decision (Undisclosed), sat out practice at the start of the week.
  • Evan Stewart, Texas A&M – Gametime Decision (undisclosed), hopeful to be healthy this week, has practiced.
  • De’Zhaun Stribling, Oklahoma State – Probable (undisclosed), expected after leaving last game.
  • Harrison Wallace, Penn State – Gametime Decision (undisclosed), observed at practice and sounds like he may return.
  • Antwane Wells, South Carolina – Out (foot)
  • Eugene Wilson, Florida – Out (collarbone)
 

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CFB Rec 19-10

Changes can happen here up until Kickoff

Goal ... to be above .500

My wagers are very light ....but I enjoy action

$7 Rice ML - 135

$7 Rutgers + 26

$7 Oregon Over 45.5 TT

$7 Ok St / Iowa St U 19 - 140 1st H

$7 Sam Hou St / Hou U 20.5 - 145 1st H

$7 EM + 7 .... 5-1 Ats as away dog last 6

$7 ND + 3 ... just playing the trend until it loses ... 30-0 Ats Trend

$10 Sam Hou St + 13.5

$10 Iowa / Penn St Under 23 -145 1st H

$10 Ore - 16.5

$10 U Mass ML - 160

$10 Ole Miss + 8 - 136...... sprinkle that ML

$10 Mia Fla / Tem U 26.5 - 135 1st H

$15 SC - 5 - 140

$15 Smu Over 28.5 TT

$15 Iowa St ML - 157... Iowa St 9-0 Ats off SU Loss vs <.900 opp off Su Loss

$15 K ST ML - 200

$15 Smu + 8.5 - 136 ... sprinkle that ML

$15 Wash St + 3 ......Ore St Coach Smith is 1-5 as a conference road favorite, and Wash St Jake Dickert who is 4-1 as a home dog in conference........... 30-0 Ats Trend too .... but eventually all trends do lose .. even though Virginia was under same trend last night as a home dog

Leans

Utah St + 6 ... brutal spot for JM ...imo

Mid Tenn St ML ... another bad spot for road team .... Colo St off huge game vs Colorado


I will add some Under's in a bit ... one Totals become available from the storm out east
 

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Pitt at home, not favored by 16.5+ are 12-0 SUATS when on a 2 game losing streak including 8-0 as a dog

team = PIT and streak = -2 and H and line > -16.5 and season > 1995
SU:12-0-0 (14.50, 100.0%)Teaser Records
ATS:12-0-0 (17.54, 100.0%) avg line: 3.0+6: 12-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 11-1-0 (91.7%) +10: 12-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 9-2-1 (81.8%)
O/U:4-4-0 (0.69, 50.0%) avg total: 48.9+6: 4-4-0 (50.0%) -6: 5-3-0 (62.5%) +10: 2-6-0 (25.0%) -10: 5-3-0 (62.5%)
RushesRush YdsPassesPass YdsCompTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team44.4188.531.4238.519.91.26.99.48.26.631.5
Opp29.9101.234.4208.416.01.83.94.56.42.917.0

DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Sep 23, 2023boxSaturday42023PITNCARhome7.550.0
 

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weird how much stuff i have against SYR today including this one

game #4 and home team, not dog of 5+, won and covered all 3 games this season and won at least 5 games last year are 0-15-1 since 2016 season as a winless subset of a long-standing spot to oppose 3-0 home teams....

0-15-1 (vs SYR, ND, State Penn) https://killersports.com/ncaafb/query?_qt=games&sdql=H+and+line+<+4.5+and+rest+<+13+and+PRSW+>+4+and+game+number+=+4+and+wins+=+3+and+p:ats+margin+>+0+and+pp:ats+margin+>+0+and+ppp:ats+margin+>+0+and+season+>2016&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++

since 2006:

H and line < 5 and o:division != 1A A and rest < 13 and PRSW > 4 and game number = 4 and wins = 3 and p:ATSW and pp:ATSW and ppp:ATSW and season > 2006
SU:31-8-0 (13.28, 79.5%)Teaser Records
ATS:6-32-1 (-7.13, 15.8%) avg line: -20.4+6: 16-22-1 (42.1%) -6: 5-34-0 (12.8%) +10: 24-15-0 (61.5%) -10: 3-36-0 (7.7%)
O/U:18-19-0 (1.08, 48.6%) avg total: 54.6+6: 12-25-0 (32.4%) -6: 23-13-1 (63.9%) +10: 8-29-0 (21.6%) -10: 27-10-0 (73.0%)
RushesRush YdsPassesPass YdsCompTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team38.8193.131.4265.719.61.67.911.18.17.935.0
Opp36.0119.632.6211.818.31.63.76.55.55.721.7
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Sep 23, 2023boxSaturday42023PNSTIOWAhome-14.038.5
Sep 23, 2023boxSaturday42023ORECOLOhome-21.070.0
Sep 23, 2023boxSaturday42023SYRARMYhome-13.050.5
 

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Dabo is 10-0 ATS with 9 SU wins when a home/neutral dog against a team that scored between 15-62 points the previous week

coach = Dabo Swinney and D and date > 20111101 and site != away and 14 < op:points < 63
SU:9-1-0 (15.20, 90.0%)Teaser Records
ATS:10-0-0 (19.50, 100.0%) avg line: 4.3+6: 10-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 8-1-1 (88.9%) +10: 10-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 6-4-0 (60.0%)
O/U:5-5-0 (1.50, 50.0%) avg total: 57.7+6: 3-7-0 (30.0%) -6: 7-3-0 (70.0%) +10: 3-7-0 (30.0%) -10: 9-1-0 (90.0%)
RushesRush YdsPassesPass YdsCompTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team39.6167.136.6301.823.81.48.69.79.99.037.2
Opp38.6145.536.8247.521.52.45.76.05.05.322.0
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Sep 23, 2023boxSaturday42023CLEMFLSThome2.055.0
 

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dropping quickly ...

Football College Extra - (Old Dominion / Texas A&M Comme) Under 44½ -115 for Game... at BetUs

your call
 

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I wasn't going to post this one ... but I got it early

$10 GT + 6 - 150


CFB Rec 19-10

Changes can happen here up until Kickoff

Goal ... to be above .500

My wagers are very light ....but I enjoy action

$7 Rice ML - 135

$7 Rutgers + 26

$7 Oregon Over 45.5 TT

$7 Ok St / Iowa St U 19 - 140 1st H

$7 Sam Hou St / Hou U 20.5 - 145 1st H

$7 EM + 7 .... 5-1 Ats as away dog last 6

$7 ND + 3 ... just playing the trend until it loses ... 30-0 Ats Trend

$10 Sam Hou St + 13.5

$10 Iowa / Penn St Under 23 -145 1st H

$10 Ore - 16.5

$10 U Mass ML - 160

$10 Ole Miss + 8 - 136...... sprinkle that ML

$10 Mia Fla / Tem U 26.5 - 135 1st H

$10 Gt + 6 -150

$15 SC - 5 - 140

$15 Smu Over 28.5 TT

$15 Iowa St ML - 157... Iowa St 9-0 Ats off SU Loss vs <.900 opp off Su Loss

$15 K ST ML - 200

$15 Smu + 8.5 - 136 ... sprinkle that ML

$15 Wash St + 3 ......Ore St Coach Smith is 1-5 as a conference road favorite, and Wash St Jake Dickert who is 4-1 as a home dog in conference........... 30-0 Ats Trend too .... but eventually all trends do lose .. even though Virginia was under same trend last night as a home dog

 

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dropping quickly ...

Football College Extra - (Old Dominion / Texas A&M Comme) Under 44½ -115 for Game... at BetUs

your call
that's a very low number. is 49.5 at DK, 50.5 at heritage
 

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Clemson WR Antonio Williams: Listed as out...... Clem played Collins Over 60.5 rec yds.... Clem Shipley Over 19.5 Rec Yds

Syracuse WR Isaiah Jones: Not dressed in pregame... 8 Rec 157 yds 2 Td'S
 

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0-16 ou

home fav 1.5+ that held last opponent <9 points, total 46+, and playing opponent that just scored 57+ points. Avg under by 11.67 ppg and home team won all 18 games. suggests it will be a long night for UCLA offense as away teams avg 13ppg and none of these away teams have ever scored more than 24 points which is UCLA's team total tonight
18-0-0 (18.83, 100.0%)
9-9-0 (-1.61, 50.0%)avg line: -20.4+6: 13-5-0 (72.2%)-6: 4-13-1 (23.5%)+10: 14-4-0 (77.8%)-10: 3-15-0 (16.7%)
0-16-2 (-11.67, 0.0%)avg total: 56.7+6: 0-18-0 (0.0%)-6: 8-9-1 (47.1%)+10: 0-18-0 (0.0%)-10: 10-8-0 (55.6%)
38.9191.726.6202.817.41.46.111.37.76.931.9
30.490.234.4197.319.52.23.33.91.84.113.1
Sep 23, 2023boxSaturday42023UTAHUCLAhome-3.051.0
 

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