WEEK 3 PLAYS << 151 >>

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well my totals last week were horrible 0-4 and I am not going to change my mind this week, when I do my capping and put out a write up I am going to play those games, like I said I would have had a great week if I had just played the games I talked about,, going to stay away from totals...last week Arkansas, Ga Southern, Duke, all came through 2 of my bigger plays Army and Texas st won, and Texas st was my 1st play and my biggest, and man did they win easy, and they are at home thursday night vs Ariz st, another team I liked last week, a long with Illinois, wash st, over 24 Texas, Nebraska, over in the Tennessee game 5 plays I wrote about and that should have been played my bad there going over things right now will be posting
 

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Arizona st at Texas st this should be a good game, Arizona st has played well but they also have been at home for both games, the win vs Wyoming was too easy, Wyoming fell behind right away , and I think they just gave up, I mean the 1st play was a pick 6 and then Wyoming could do nothing and they were down big early, but their last game at home they did get up early on Miss st 10-0 and then it was 10-3 then 13-3 and then Miss st fumbled and Ariz st ran it back for a TD, which put them up 20-3 in the 2nd qtr and were up 27-3 at half, but Miss st really did control the 2nd half, and they ended up winning 30-23 after scoring on the 1st poss of the 2nd half to go up 30-3 they did not score again and Miss st scored 20 STR points to lose 30-23, and so you could say the fumble that was returned for a TD was the diff, Ariz st only threw for 69 yards in the game but did run the ball well, and that may be harder for them when they go on the road at Texas st , Texas st held UTSA to 82 yards on 30 carries and UTSA is not a bad team they are picked to win their division this year, Texas st is a better balanced team I think too as they ran for over 200 yds and threw for over 300 yards in their win over UTSA a game where they dominated,
this is only the 2nd time a power 4 conf team has went to Texas st, the 1st was in 21 when Baylor went there as a 14 pt fav and won by 9 29-20, and last year Texas st went to Baylor where they were +27 and Texas st won the game outright 42-31 Texas st is no slouch they are a very good football team and have been getting better each year, they return 18 starters from last year, and I am going to go with them again this week at home +2, as long as Texas st does not help Ariz st out, I think they win this game, I think this line should be Texas st -2 but Arizona st is from the bigger conf and they do have 2 decent wins and so they have been made the fav in this game, line are based on public perception, bigger conf and even though on the road is why they are favored, and I don't like how Ariz st was shut down at home in the 2nd half, I think Miss st maybe will have shown some weaknesses that Texas st can use, Arizona st will have to throw the football much better, I do not see them getting 250 yards rushing, I would be surprised if they get 140 unless they run it 40 times , I am hoping Texas st can get a lead and maybe force them too, Arizona st has had 2 games where they have gotten out to big leads and have not had to play from behind, this might be the 1st game where they find their self trailing, this line has dropped a half pt from the opening line of 2.5 right now Arizona st is -2 -109 and Texas st is +2 -101 I would like 3 and maybe this will go to 3 even though I do not think it should but I am going to wait and see if it goes up if not I'll grab the 2 right now I could get 3 but it will be at -136 so I am going to wait a few hours to see if anything moves but they are a play for sure

TEXAS ST +2
 

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Arizona st at Texas st this should be a good game, Arizona st has played well but they also have been at home for both games, the win vs Wyoming was too easy, Wyoming fell behind right away , and I think they just gave up, I mean the 1st play was a pick 6 and then Wyoming could do nothing and they were down big early, but their last game at home they did get up early on Miss st 10-0 and then it was 10-3 then 13-3 and then Miss st fumbled and Ariz st ran it back for a TD, which put them up 20-3 in the 2nd qtr and were up 27-3 at half, but Miss st really did control the 2nd half, and they ended up winning 30-23 after scoring on the 1st poss of the 2nd half to go up 30-3 they did not score again and Miss st scored 20 STR points to lose 30-23, and so you could say the fumble that was returned for a TD was the diff, Ariz st only threw for 69 yards in the game but did run the ball well, and that may be harder for them when they go on the road at Texas st , Texas st held UTSA to 82 yards on 30 carries and UTSA is not a bad team they are picked to win their division this year, Texas st is a better balanced team I think too as they ran for over 200 yds and threw for over 300 yards in their win over UTSA a game where they dominated,
this is only the 2nd time a power 4 conf team has went to Texas st, the 1st was in 21 when Baylor went there as a 14 pt fav and won by 9 29-20, and last year Texas st went to Baylor where they were +27 and Texas st won the game outright 42-31 Texas st is no slouch they are a very good football team and have been getting better each year, they return 18 starters from last year, and I am going to go with them again this week at home +2, as long as Texas st does not help Ariz st out, I think they win this game, I think this line should be Texas st -2 but Arizona st is from the bigger conf and they do have 2 decent wins and so they have been made the fav in this game, line are based on public perception, bigger conf and even though on the road is why they are favored, and I don't like how Ariz st was shut down at home in the 2nd half, I think Miss st maybe will have shown some weaknesses that Texas st can use, Arizona st will have to throw the football much better, I do not see them getting 250 yards rushing, I would be surprised if they get 140 unless they run it 40 times , I am hoping Texas st can get a lead and maybe force them too, Arizona st has had 2 games where they have gotten out to big leads and have not had to play from behind, this might be the 1st game where they find their self trailing, this line has dropped a half pt from the opening line of 2.5 right now Arizona st is -2 -109 and Texas st is +2 -101 I would like 3 and maybe this will go to 3 even though I do not think it should but I am going to wait and see if it goes up if not I'll grab the 2 right now I could get 3 but it will be at -136 so I am going to wait a few hours to see if anything moves but they are a play for sure

TEXAS ST +2
Rum ... BOL bro ... hell of a write -up
 

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The UNLV at Kansas game could be a good one too, last year these 2 played in a bowl game where Beam for Kansas had 6 TD passes, it was a high scoring game 49-36 both teams had turnovers, Unlv took the lead early but trailed at half 28-10, they then cut it to 28-24 and then got a INT at the Kansas 36, big turning point was the next play when UNLV was sacked all the way back to the 47, they had a big chance with the INT to score and take the lead and that could have really swung the game diff, I think UNLV is a good team this year too, and I am sure they can learn from the film of what Illinois did last week to beat Kansas, I think 7 is a good number, Illinois held Kansas to just 17 points, Unlv held Houston to just 7 points, I do not see this line going up, but I am going to wait and see what the moves are here, UNLV can score, and we know Kansas should be able to, 57 is the total here,
 
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That Texas st line jumped out to me as well. Line seems awfully low considering how dominate Arizona St has looked the first 2 games. I’ll be on Texas st with you. Hopefully closer to kickoff we can secure a better number but it looks like the number has moved to +1.5.
 

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That Texas st line jumped out to me as well. Line seems awfully low considering how dominate Arizona St has looked the first 2 games. I’ll be on Texas st with you. Hopefully closer to kickoff we can secure a better number but it looks like the number has moved to +1.5.
I was more impressed with Texas states win over UTSA, like I said Wyoming fell apart in the 1st Qtr, they just gave up way too many mistakes, and arizona st did jump out on Miss st but again Miss st fumbled and it was returned, I grabbed 2 because the line had already dropped from 2.5 and I am good at reading the public and knowing where money will go always have been, I do well when I do write ups usually nothing is for sure, but last week Texas st, Army, and Ga southern , I was real proud of the Ga southern play, both teams played well, good defense on both sides , but Nevada made 1 turnover when they were driving at the 31 yds line, Nevada had played well their 1st 2 games and Ga southern had lost 5 STR going back to last year I just felt they were going to give a good game and they did , most were on Nevada I think hopefully things are settling in, and can get a read on teams now, we will see

gl 151
 

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another good game I like is N.Texas +10 at Texas Tech, TT has struggled to say the least, last week I put out a small write up where I said Wash st should be a play, and yet never played it and it was a very easy win for WSU, Texas Tech gave up 51 pts at home to Abilene Christian, when they won 52-51 and they gave up 37 at Wash st, and N.Texas has a very good offense, I see this game being a higher scoring game if weather is good, N.Texas scored 52 pts on the road in their 1st game vs S.Alabama, winning 52-38 in a game I was on N.Texas, and last week they scored 35 against SF Austin but N.Texas had 4 turnovers in that game 3 int's and 1 fumble, SFA should not even have been in the game, N Texas on their 1st poss threw a int, and gave SFA a fg, then NT scored td's on their next 2 drives like they should, then on their next they threw a pick-6 , so they gave away the 1st 10 points to Austin, then up 14-10 Austin does score a td on a 48 yd drive , to go up 17-14 then N Texas scores 2 more drives and were up 28-20 and driving and again at the SFA 27 yd line, and turned it over and then scored on another drive for a 35-20 final, that game should have been maybe 42-10 tops, N.Texas is a high potent offense and when things are clicking they are hard to stop, if they do not turn it over more than once they cover this game for sure, and Texas Tech has had issues also so that's why I feel this could be a very high scoring game , the total is 69 and may go up...lol but I will take the 10 pts here seeing how TT has been struggling, and if Abilene can score 51 pts I think NT can score in the mid 40's ...
also the head coach Morris for NT , this is his return to where he played ball from 04-08 and he was also the offensive Coordinator from 14-17...N.Texas is 9-4 ats vs power 5 opponents since 2012 including a win at Arkansas in 18 44-17....I do not see this line going up, I think it has even dropped since opening this may go to 8 8.5 9

Confirmation: 5832701​

Date Placed: 09/10/24 15:51:18
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 120.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:
  1. 113 North Texas +10 Buy ½ (-120) risk 120.00 win 100.00 (NCAA FB)
 

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also I am going to go with South Carolina at home getting 7 from LSU, this S.Carolina team has been very impressive, their defense is really good, this is one team that I did bet to win over 5.5 games this year and they have 2 now, now they were a little Shakey in their 1st game vs ODU, and i'll put that to just being their 1st game, and ODU is not a bad team, they have lost 2 games but both very close ones also, but the way S.Carolina played at KY was impressive, and now they come home to face LSU, who have lost to USC, and now have to go to S.Carolina, and I think S.Carolina will be fired up for this game, for one this is the 1st time they get to play LSU at home since 2008, and before last year S.Car had lost 9 STR SEC home openers, then they beat Miss st last year to turn things around, S.Carolina I think gets to a bowl game again for sure, and another reason I like them so much is because they play Akron next so there is no looking past this game , total focus will be on LSU, meanwhile LSU plays UCLA next at home , the way they played on the road knowing they had LSU next at home is what I really liked, they seem to be focused on the game this day, I will take 7 points here for sure, I am hoping for an upset, if they can keep LSU under 21-23 I think they could win this game BIG PLAY will be watching this one ...just my opinion ...I do not think this line goes up

Confirmation: 5832968​

Date Placed: 09/10/24 16:19:14
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 220.00 win 200.00
Bet Details:
  1. 126 South Carolina +7 (-110) risk 220.00 win 200.00 (NCAA FB)
 

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am looking at Tulane +14 would have loved the 15.5 it opened at but I do think 14 is ok , very good offense at Tulane, they put up over 500 yds on a good Kansas st team regular play at +14 at hardRock have to leave may put a write up on this it is a play


Tulane+14 just a half unit line has dropped too much but do like it just how I do things sometimes , should have been on this game yesterday

also I did play UNLV+7 1 unit
 

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also I am going to go with South Carolina at home getting 7 from LSU, this S.Carolina team has been very impressive, their defense is really good, this is one team that I did bet to win over 5.5 games this year and they have 2 now, now they were a little Shakey in their 1st game vs ODU, and i'll put that to just being their 1st game, and ODU is not a bad team, they have lost 2 games but both very close ones also, but the way S.Carolina played at KY was impressive, and now they come home to face LSU, who have lost to USC, and now have to go to S.Carolina, and I think S.Carolina will be fired up for this game, for one this is the 1st time they get to play LSU at home since 2008, and before last year S.Car had lost 9 STR SEC home openers, then they beat Miss st last year to turn things around, S.Carolina I think gets to a bowl game again for sure, and another reason I like them so much is because they play Akron next so there is no looking past this game , total focus will be on LSU, meanwhile LSU plays UCLA next at home , the way they played on the road knowing they had LSU next at home is what I really liked, they seem to be focused on the game this day, I will take 7 points here for sure, I am hoping for an upset, if they can keep LSU under 21-23 I think they could win this game BIG PLAY will be watching this one ...just my opinion ...I do not think this line goes up

Confirmation: 5832968​

Date Placed: 09/10/24 16:19:14
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 220.00 win 200.00
Bet Details:
  1. 126 South Carolina +7 (-110) risk 220.00 win 200.00 (NCAA FB)
Rummer I love your comments on my Gamecocks .We do have a good defense and hoping our offense will get better each game.I personally know Sellers he played ball here in Florence and one hell of a good athlete.Thanks
 

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also looking at E.Mich at home vs Jax st -2 E Mich has done something that most do not do in their 1st 2 games they have went from coast to coast...lol they were a dog at U Mass and won outright, then went to Washington, and only lost by 21 30-9 , Jax st has struggled, they got beat up by Coastal Car, who I was on, very easy play, then they got WAXED by Louisville 49-14 not covering the 28.5 pt spread, I know the MAC well, or use to living in Toledo for 52 years,Since 2016 EMU is 5-1 STR up at home vs non conf teams but just 3-3 ats, last year they lost at Jax st 21-0 but they only had 4 starters back last year after a very good 2022 where they won a bowl game, this year they have 11 back I think the win at U Mass was big for them and not being beat by 40+ at Washington maybe helps, I think they get this game by 6+ may go ML on this but this line has dropped from 2.5 to 1.5 and so I am waiting here to see if it goes down even more, it should , not a big play, just a hunch kind of how I felt about Ga Southern last week

also Tulane is a play but I am going with the hook at 14.5 -120 at HardRock
 

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also tonight I am looking into Old Dominion +14.5 or 15 vs Virg Tech , VT did not cover at home vs Marshall last week, and ODU has played well in 2 close games, just think VT on the road laying over 2 td's could be worth the play gl 151
 

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also tonight I am looking into Old Dominion +14.5 or 15 vs Virg Tech , VT did not cover at home vs Marshall last week, and ODU has played well in 2 close games, just think VT on the road laying over 2 td's could be worth the play gl 151
my mistake I made it sound like VT was the play NO ODU getting over 2 td's at home could be worth the play sorry!
 

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Something is up with this UNLV/Kansas game, I am wondering if there is an injury here, this line opened at 7.5 and was bet down and now since yesterday it is up to 8.5 or 9...if this is just action I will add money to the UNLV play, I never let action fluster a play if handicapped, Unlv has a good defense, 7 starters back, and a good transfer from Texas in the secondary who has 2 int's already, just do not understand the line move, seems more like a possible player out need info???
 

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Something is up with this UNLV/Kansas game, I am wondering if there is an injury here, this line opened at 7.5 and was bet down and now since yesterday it is up to 8.5 or 9...if this is just action I will add money to the UNLV play, I never let action fluster a play if handicapped, Unlv has a good defense, 7 starters back, and a good transfer from Texas in the secondary who has 2 int's already, just do not understand the line move, seems more like a possible player out need info???
and about the INT's UNLV is avg 1.5 a game and Daniels has 4 already in the 1st 2 games, could be important, and UNLV is avg 3.5 sacks a game
 

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Damn at Betnow UNLV is +9.5 I cannot find any injuries anyone find something out please post
 

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am going to play EMU ML -125 their defense has played well, even vs Washington they did ok, and Jax st has had a lot of injuries on their offense, which has kept their scoring down, but their defense has been horrible so far, and I just think EMU can keep them under 17 pts maybe and win this game like 23-17, Jax st is giving up over 260 yds rushing a game and maybe EMU can exploit that which will open the passing game, just something here tells me they win and cover ...Jax st QB is ? and they are missing Wiggins their RB, and WR's Spector, and Wright are both out

Confirmation: 5852846​

Date Placed: 09/12/24 15:10:15
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 125.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:
  1. 172 Eastern Michigan (-125) risk 125.00 win 100.00 (NCAA FB)
 

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