Week 16 thoughts

[pizza 2,335]

im with you on the JAX pick
line is low because Bortles is nicked
like this play a lot
going to hit this one hard

 

[pizza 2,335]

RG3 looked good at times last week. They really outplayed the Giants most of the game. They had no answer for Beckham. That bizarre play at the end of the half really turned the game around. I think if they called that a TD I think the Skins win. I think the Skins are a live dog here vs. Philly. Hard to believe Sanchez is over a TD favorite on the road in a divisional game. Think the Skins can keep this close. Skins lost in Philly week 3 by a FG and remember that Foles was the QB in that one. Cousins threw for over 400 vs. that secondary too.

im an EAGLES fan and i agree too many points

 

[TheComputerGroup 2,000]

Let's talk 49ers vs Chargers........line opened at -2.5, got bet down to -1.5, then back up to -2.5 (-115)........then I get up.this morning & look, it got pounded down to -1 or -1.5, depends on your book.

Now it seems the public percentages (which I believe aren't real anyway) is moving the line, but we all know the public doesn't move the line this early.......

I think the 49ers collapsed & will finish with 5 str losses & 6 str ATS.......a farewell party for Harbaugh & a screw you very much.

I still gotta look into it much more, but my lean now is Chargers ML

 

[ryanphan 2,540]

chargers still alive to wild card , GB just need to win

 

[TheComputerGroup 2,000]

chargers still alive to wild card , GB just need to win

I'm.scared of division double digit road favs, but Gbay isnt in s divisional game & is in a perfect spot to bounce back & destroy Tampa........

If anyone seen the Packers game last week, it was a lay down job clearly, receivers dropping easy passes, Rodgers over throwing his players.........they will gel & go nuts in Tampa.......

 

[sdf 1,925]

I'm.scared of division double digit road favs,

since 1990. DD division road faves are 28-29 ATS
since 1990, DD non-division road faves are 29-47 ATS...and as show above it gets worse as you get late into the season.

While this has the look of a bounce back, I totally agree on that point, I still havent seen anything from GB that shows me that can win big on the road and TB hasnt shown me they have quit this year...only 3 losses this year by > 10 points. they arent a good team, but they have been competitive.

the GB bounce back is the worry for betting TB. but with the certain look ahead to Detroit next week and the b2b travel, GB may not be 100% focused here to win by DD.

 

[ryanphan 2,540]

well said on GB game

since 1990. DD division road faves are 28-29 ATS
since 1990, DD non-division road faves are 29-47 ATS...and as show above it gets worse as you get late into the season.

While this has the look of a bounce back, I totally agree on that point, I still havent seen anything from GB that shows me that can win big on the road and TB hasnt shown me they have quit this year...only 3 losses this year by > 10 points. they arent a good team, but they have been competitive.

the GB bounce back is the worry for betting TB. but with the certain look ahead to Detroit next week and the b2b travel, GB may not be 100% focused here to win by DD.

 

[TheComputerGroup 2,000]

Gbay is now -12.......this is NOT public money.