Week 14.... Two early

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Congrats on the great run, Billbeater! It's been great following your picks... Don't listen to the losers who like to hate and keep posting and winning!
 

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Congrats on the great run, Billbeater! It's been great following your picks... Don't listen to the losers who like to hate and keep posting and winning!


So u lost this past weekend following then? Not saying ol BB hasn't had good weekends , you just lost this weekend
 

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crazy with this XP mishaps going on,, Ive actually bought off of 6 before as a safe measure!! Just looked bad sitting at 6.. ie. tenn. last week or two ago.
Funny...I did the same thing on that Tenn/Bears game... had a weird feeling it might land on 6 and i bought to -5.5 -115...which i never do off of 6... best move there!! it paid...
 

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Congrats on the great run, Billbeater! It's been great following your picks... Don't listen to the losers who like to hate and keep posting and winning!
Thanks RJ!
I don't let the hate or doubters affect me!
That's why I am Who I am today, Cash full, Happy, and not working for the Man!!!
Peace Brother!

:toast:
 

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I wonder what the stats are for the number of games landing on 4, 5 or 6?
Aren't 4 & 6 key numbers, though not as key as 3, of course?

Best of luck with week 14 & another winning card. I think you'll succeed.
Thanks X, what i mean with points 4 to 6 on this game not meaning much is:
Cause its already above the 3 point close game mark, but not 7 or 7.5, which I think may very well be needed to get Browns action....
But this is a REAL State Rivalry, I have cashed the Browns here many times.
This year tho, I want more points with Cleveland, and I think most people do.
So I don't see it the same as a game with two decent teams, its a whole different situation in my mind.
GL

:toast:
 

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But say for a normal dog like Detroit or KC last week, YES, 4 to 6 matters, and for a game like that You have to make sure to SHOP for the Best Number.
This just moved quik since the Browns suck, but not enough for +7, thus not much meaning at all.....
A NO WIN team must be treated differently in capping.
They can be in the tank, or very very desperate!
:toast:
 

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Oh man Bill, that's going against that trend Ive been following for a few years, lose next game after losing to seattle.
They gave up on the year and baby Cam is quitting, every time they get behind in points!!! he surely quit last game, thats why the o21.5 had no chance, He could of really tried to score, there was like 3+ minutes left.. pretty sad , him acting like a little baby
Wish you the best but I'll be riding SD most likely..
Get em on the rest of your plays, Ill be riding a few !!!! :toast:
Pred, they didn't even play the second half!!!!!!
CAR played 1 half. The after Seattle thing is very small, Hell, Tampa beat them and then won at SD.....
I can't let that angle limit my plays.
NFL is matchups more than Anything!
I expect a Great Effort from CAR.
AT Seattle ANY team can have things get out of hand at that place!!!
So that don't shock me at all. I just wudda took the points.
That was no POTY or anything. INDY was IT!!!!
That was just screwing with the haterhead boss...
My plays were posted and exactly how to play them.
Period.
 

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Anyhow, Thanks Pred, I always appreciate Ya!
I wish there was some decent weather here to wax.
A Beemer would just rust out here... lol
All the best my bud! Do you know if ARZ has Medical Marijuana there??
That would help!
Matchup-wise on defense, SD can be had.
I will monitor it closely, especially the sit-down clothing story.
Something more was building up tho between Camm & Coach.....
Winning cures everything tho.
:toast:
 

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Still can't find one good reason people bet the Jets last night.....
Home dog? of 1 point.... really
The sharps i know would not comment so far...
But then again sharps aren't doing well lately.
 

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Hey BB, we gonna have to have an in game thread on pansies/chargers game, so we (I) can jab at ya the whole game !!
The pansies are gonna have to play the WHOLE game sunday to have a chance.. lol


^
 

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You do have the straight out embarrassing beat down on your side for this game. no one and specially the pros absolutely hate to be embarrassed...
but I'mm telling you they are deflated and that cam sideline thing, isnt just a dress code thing.. must have been testing the coaches authority..
 

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Bill Beater Home Sweet Home Play of The Year!!!
(BBHSHPOTY)

Sweet Carolina -1

:chest:

BB, you know what you're doing, so I'm definitely not trying to change your mind. Just throwing this out there. Last Sunday, San Diego was driving for the tie score, late in the fourth quarter when Phillip Rivers threw an interception at the Tampa Bay 2 yd. line. I'm sure that didn't sit well with Rivers and he, probably, put the blame for the loss on himself. I'm sure that will give him enough incentive to be fired up for this game with the Panthers. Besides, Phillip Rivers always plays with a lot of heart. On the other side, you have pouty boy, who has no heart. This Panthers team gave it their all in that valiant second half comeback in Oakland, but came up short. The following week, they came with nothing in Seattle. This is a team that went to the Super Bowl last year and this season has to be a huge disappointment. Cam may have, already quit on his team. If I was thinking of betting the Panthers, I would definitely check to see if Luke Kuechly is playing. That defense is a different team with him in there. He's another guy, like Phillip Rivers, who always plays with a lot of heart and gets his team inspired. Good luck BB. I always look forward to your posts.
 

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Pred, they didn't even play the second half!!!!!!
CAR played 1 half. The after Seattle thing is very small, Hell, Tampa beat them and then won at SD.....
I can't let that angle limit my plays.
NFL is matchups more than Anything!
I expect a Great Effort from CAR.
AT Seattle ANY team can have things get out of hand at that place!!!
So that don't shock me at all. I just wudda took the points.
That was no POTY or anything. INDY was IT!!!!
That was just screwing with the haterhead boss...
My plays were posted and exactly how to play them.
Period.

Hey BB, just reread your post, and Tampa won the game against Seattle, the trend is when the opp loses to Seattle..
Man, this game is setting up to be a go to on SD, joe blow gonna be on Panthers all week I think, and line will swing my way..
Gonna be entertaining for sure !!!! :toast:^
 

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Another game I'm looking into is Ravens on monday. Ravens getting points, and I believe they can pull off the upset...
Deff. will be looking into this game closer to gametime.
BOL to us.
 

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Oh man Bill, that's going against that trend Ive been following for a few years, lose next game after losing to seattle.
They gave up on the year and baby Cam is quitting, every time they get behind in points!!! he surely quit last game, thats why the o21.5 had no chance, He could of really tried to score, there was like 3+ minutes left.. pretty sad , him acting like a little baby
Wish you the best but I'll be riding SD most likely..
Get em on the rest of your plays, Ill be riding a few !!!! :toast:

Another way to look at it, and I follow this trend, is in the NFL, when a team is totally embarrassed one week, bet them the following week. This has worked well over the years. Jets may qualify next week, but they scare the hell out of me, lol. Good luck in whatever you play.
 

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Another way to look at it, and I follow this trend, is in the NFL, when a team is totally embarrassed one week, bet them the following week. This has worked well over the years. Jets may qualify next week, but they scare the hell out of me, lol. Good luck in whatever you play.

You do have the straight out embarrassing beat down on your side for this game. no one and specially the pros absolutely hate to be embarrassed...
but I'mm telling you they are deflated and that cam sideline thing, isnt just a dress code thing.. must have been testing the coaches authority..

Yes exactly, but then I remembered that the week before seattle, Panthers threw everything at Oakland and still came up short, then getting embarrassed the following week, I"m just a firm believer than they are too deflated to be competitive with SD right now.and with Kuechly out really hurting them !!
 

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Why are you so convinced panthers will have success with their run game? Chargers have actually been really stout vs the run this year, top 6 in opponents yards per carry at 3.8, allowing less than 90 a game only Ravens and cowboys allow fewer. Seems like I always hear one dumbass fantasy "expert" or another saying sd a favorable matchup for rbs but in reality chargers run defense has improved dramatically this season and are actually one of the tougher teams to run on.. then we have the garbage panthers back from reality after Scams fluky never happen again MVP season, they struggling to avg 4 ypc on the season and last 2 games at home vs kc and saints far more generous run defenses couldn't even muster 3ypc.. Even if you get these cowards best effort i have my doubts that equals much unless chargers simply don't show up cause their run d is far superior to panthers weak rushing attack.
 

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Thanks Fballgenie, Duckhunter, and Pred!
:toast:

SNF Cowboys -3 is the BB-Sunday Night Footbal Play of the Year!
No JPP for the Giants, that helps Dallas run even better, but the Cows are a machine!
Dallas is rested and the SNF move keeps them on their toes.
Revenge is there a little since Giants won game #1 of the year.
Only the Cows can beat themselves. NY has no run game and the clock should be taken away from them.
The Romo angle actually keeps positive pressure on Dak.
But that kind of run game opens up sooo many easy throws that Dallas should handle this game for 60 minutes.
Laying 3 here is POTY !!!
:toast:
95% of sides are on the Steelers, just makes me Love Buffalo more and more, a +3 would be GREAT!!!!
:103631605
I will keep a close eye on the Carlolina Pootangers... Luke did practice today, not sure if he can play.
SD should be able to throw on Car and score to some level.
Embarrassed theory no doubt, added with the early start and travel for SD.
Panthers work like this, they have to be able to run to set up the pass.
They just faced maybe the Best O-line with Oakland, then the Best total Defense at home with Seattle.
Now against SD I believe they will be able to run, then I think their offense will work well.
It is a pass happy league, and this game could be a shootout and an over, but they still can win that.
Not afraid to cancel this play, just not yet. Let's see how the line moves and a few things.
So far 80% on Panthers, that may change some.
:howdy:
More thought says to me that Sea. may not really be worth the 2.5 -120... GreenBay is kinda hot or
just say playing better, there will be snow accumulation, the teams know each other well,
NO Earl Thomas, and that weather helps receivers as well as the run game.
Sea. a different team at home and away, running game is better the last 3 games.
Gotta hold off on Seattle for now.
:hammerit
Jets were a thought for embarrassment theory, but don't like the backup QB playing with our money, or Fitz for that matter.
:think2:
 

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The MNF game looks like the right spread with Pats -7.
Nice thing with the Ravens is that they are rather comfortable playing the Pats anywhere.
I don't think the Ravens score much in this game, but they need a low scoring game to win.
With Gronk Out, Pats seem due not to cover.
 

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