Week 11 Sharpest Plays (YTD: 133-83-6 +$5,695.89)

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I can handicap circles around your ass!!
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I dropped iowa from my list. I am really concerned that they won't move the ball on the ground and i don't like their passing attack at all. If the line goes under 7, I'm taking Penn State.

I was looking at the stats from last year's game, and Penn State really clobbered these guys. iowa is a lot better this year, but the Lions are an improved team too. This is a really tough game to call the more i look at it.
 
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I dropped iowa from my list. I am really concerned that they won't move the ball on the ground and i don't like their passing attack at all. If the line goes under 7, I'm taking Penn State.

I was looking at the stats from last year's game, and Penn State really clobbered these guys. iowa is a lot better this year, but the Lions are an improved team too. This is a really tough game to call the more i look at it.


I understand your concerns.
 

Noob, but not really
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I've been wrong 83 times so this could always be number 84 :drink:


Thanks for the reply...That line is about the funnest thing I've read TY:lol:. Do you think by game time this number could climb to 9? I see it is already going up at several books. I took PSU at -6.5 -120 when it came out...I may wait until just before kickoff and get +9 for a shot at a middle.


Your having a great year...Keep it up!
 

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Just verifying from page 1

Your line shopping is to be commended. GL this week.

Line History:
BookMaker

Game:
Oklahoma State
vs
Texas Tech
POINTSPREADS11/02 06:56PM: +5 -110 / -5 -11011/02 06:57PM: +4 -110 / -4 -11011/02 06:59PM: +3½ -110 / -3½ -11011/02 07:02PM: +3 -110 / -3 -11011/02 07:10PM: +3½ -110 / -3½ -11011/02 08:17PM: +4 -110 / -4 -11011/02 09:06PM: +3½ -110 / -3½ -11011/03 11:22AM: +3 -110 / -3 -110
 
Joined
May 16, 2006
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Thanks for the reply...That line is about the funnest thing I've read TY:lol:. Do you think by game time this number could climb to 9? I see it is already going up at several books. I took PSU at -6.5 -120 when it came out...I may wait until just before kickoff and get +9 for a shot at a middle.


Your having a great year...Keep it up!

Good Luck in whatever you decide on doing. Glad I was able to bring a laughter :toast:
 
Joined
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Your line shopping is to be commended. GL this week.

Line History:
BookMaker

Game:
Oklahoma State
vs
Texas Tech
POINTSPREADS11/02 06:56PM: +5 -110 / -5 -11011/02 06:57PM: +4 -110 / -4 -11011/02 06:59PM: +3½ -110 / -3½ -11011/02 07:02PM: +3 -110 / -3 -11011/02 07:10PM: +3½ -110 / -3½ -11011/02 08:17PM: +4 -110 / -4 -11011/02 09:06PM: +3½ -110 / -3½ -11011/03 11:22AM: +3 -110 / -3 -110


thank you for clarifying this for me....much appreciated :103631605
 
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2* Okie St. +5 (2* above +3, 1.25* at 3, .50* below 3)
2* FSU -6 (1* at -7, .5* above -7)
2* Nebraska +3 (1.5* below +3)
1.5* Iowa +8 (.75* at 7, no play below 7)
1* N.C. St +5.5 (.75* at +4/+4.5, .50* +3.5, no play at +3)
1* Cinci +8.5 (no play under 7, .5* at +7)
.5* TCU -1 (would play up to -2.5)
.5* Oregon -12 (no play at 14 or higher)
.5* UNC -2.5 (no play above 3)
.25* Louisville +7 -120 (Stall or no Stall)
.25* Louisville +7
.20* OKL -27 (play continues to grow on me every minute)
.15* OKL -25
.25* Notre Dame +3.5
.15* UCLA +7 (might add)
 
Last edited:
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How does TCU not cover...no. 1 ranked rushing d - they are just awesome, and we saw what they did to BYU who scored 45 on Utah - and won.

I know it is on the road, but TCU wins this game and they only have to beat Air Force - who ONLY runs the ball and was shut down by ARMY on the road - to be BCS bound. It's gonna be my biggest play unless I'm missing something.
 
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How does TCU not cover...no. 1 ranked rushing d - they are just awesome, and we saw what they did to BYU who scored 45 on Utah - and won.

I know it is on the road, but TCU wins this game and they only have to beat Air Force - who ONLY runs the ball and was shut down by ARMY on the road - to be BCS bound. It's gonna be my biggest play unless I'm missing something.


Utah has a strong home field and they have the superior QB in this game. While I think TCU has advantages in all categories including coaching, this game will be close for many reasons. Utah has been pretty stout against the run and that's what TCU likes to do.

Here's what Utah has done against decent rushing attacks this year:

AF 42 R-53 YDS
Oregon State 32 R-92 YDS
New Mexico 36 R-114 YDS


Fact is their unbeaten and playing at home so maybe the officiating can become a factor.

Trust me I have all the angles covered (another thing is covering haha) :drink:
 
Last edited:
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Utah has a strong home field and they have the superior QB in this game. While I think TCU has advantages in all categories including coaching, this game will be close for many reasons. Utah has been pretty stout against the run and that's what TCU likes to do.

Here's what Utah has done against decent rushing attacks this year:

AF 42 R-53 YDS
Oregon State 32 R-92 YDS
New Mexico 36 R-114 YDS


Fact is their unbeaten and playing at home so maybe the officiating can become a factor.

Trust me I have all the angles covered (another thing is covering haha) :drink:


One more point Oregon State was able to throw on Utah. In order to score on Utah you need balance on offense. Does TCU posses that?

Play TCU as I have but don't fall in love with playing TCU as this play is not one of the better ones on the board.

Makes sense?

:drink:
 
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2* Okie St. +5 (2* above +3, 1.25* at 3, .50* below 3)
2* FSU -6 (1* at -7, .5* above -7)
2* Nebraska +3 (1.5* below +3)
1.5* Iowa +8 (.75* at 7, no play below 7)
1* N.C. St +5.5 (.75* at +4/+4.5, .50* +3.5, no play at +3)
1* Cinci +8.5 (no play under 7, .5* at +7)
.5* TCU -1 (essentially a .3* play)
.2* Utah ML +107
.5* Oregon -12 (no play at 14 or higher)
.5* UNC -2.5 (no play above 3)
.25* Louisville +7 -120 (Stall or no Stall)
.25* Louisville +7
.20* OKL -27 (play continues to grow on me every minute)
.15* OKL -25
.25* Notre Dame +3.5
.15* UCLA +7 (might add)
.10* Vtech -3 -105 (5dimes)
 

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GL VOR we agree on a couple, not convinced about UNC though, a penny for your thoughts?
 
Joined
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GL VOR we agree on a couple, not convinced about UNC though, a penny for your thoughts?


First off -2.5 was just too much value to pass up. I also think UNC has argubably more overall talent and is at home. Lastly Davis is one of the few football coaches bright enough to figure out Johnson's scheme.


Note: Won't play it above -3

:drink:
 

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VOR, OK st and Florida St. are my top plays too. Could you tell me the reason why you like Nebraska? The only thing I saw is public are all over Kansas. Thanks in advance.
 

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This is all very true, can't imagine a let down from either team, both are too well coached to come out flat. I think the line is tight and the game will be right the field goal. If I can get more than 4 again I will probably be against you but UNC by 3 would not surprise me in the slightest.

Would probably take Johnson as ACC COY, followed by Davis and Cutcliffe. Obviously alot to be decided.

BOL tonight to our hokies

First off -2.5 was just too much value to pass up. I also think UNC has argubably more overall talent and is at home. Lastly Davis is one of the few football coaches bright enough to figure out Johnson's scheme.


Note: Won't play it above -3

:drink:
 
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VOR, OK st and Florida St. are my top plays too. Could you tell me the reason why you like Nebraska? The only thing I saw is public are all over Kansas. Thanks in advance.


I have KU on my fade list since the beginning of the season. After watching them the past few weeks I'm completely convinced that this game is a toss up on a neutral field but I'm getting points plus home field to boot. Lets not forget this same Nebraska team almost won a shoot out against Tech while KU got trounced by the same red raiders (I'm not big on comparing like opponents I'm just in a good mood I guess).

Bottom line: value, home field, and my fade KU mission
 

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