Wednesday 9/6/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Wednesday's Diamond Notes

Hottest team: Indians (13-0 last 13) at White Sox
The last time Cleveland lost a game, it came on August 23 at home to Boston. Since that defeat, the Indians have run off 13 straight wins, including sweeps over the Royals, Yankees, and Tigers. Cleveland is halfway to another sweep after capturing the first two games at Chicago, capped off by a 9-4 triumph over the White Sox on Tuesday. The Tribe extended its streak to 12 consecutive contests in which their pitching staff has allowed four runs or fewer, while picking up its fifth straight win on the run-line.

Cleveland will be another heavy favorite on Wednesday as Carlos Carrasco heads to the mound. Carrasco has struck out eight batters in each of his past two starts, while going seven innings each time. The Indians are 3-0 in Carrasco’s last three road appearances, while Cleveland owns a perfect 3-0 record in his three starts against Chicago this season.

Coldest team: Marlins (1-8 last nine) vs. Nationals
Miami’s playoff hopes are diminishing by the day as the Marlins have slipped to 67-71 following a 2-1 defeat to the Nationals on Tuesday. The offense has sunk recently by scoring two runs or fewer in seven of the past nine contests, while posting an 0-5 record in this span against Washington. Prior to this skid, Miami compiled a 66-63 record, while sitting 4 ½ games behind Colorado for the second Wild Card spot. Now, the Marlins are seven games behind the Rockies with 24 games remaining in the season.

The Fish look to avoid the sweep as left-hander Dillon Peters takes the hill in the series finale. Although Peters picked up a no-decision in his debut against the Phillies, he tossed seven scoreless innings and scattered three hits in a 2-1 defeat

Hottest pitcher: Kevin Gausman, Orioles (10-9, 4.79 ERA)
For the second time this season, Gausman has posted consecutive scoreless outings, as the Orioles blanked the Red Sox and Blue Jays in his past two starts. Gausman tossed six innings in a 1-0 win in 13 innings against Toronto his last time out, as Baltimore improved to 3-5 in his past eight starts at Camden Yards. The Orioles have won each of Gausman’s two home outings against the Yankees this season, including a 10-4 victory on May 31.

Coldest pitcher: Dinelson Lamet, Padres (7-6, 4.40 ERA)
Lamet has actually pitched recently, although he resides in this category due to San Diego’s 1-4 record in his past five starts. The right-hander is coming off a 10-strikeout performance opposite Clayton Kershaw in a 1-0 defeat to the Dodgers, while allowing one earned run in his second straight outing. The Padres have plated only two runs in his previous three starts, while going winless in Lamet’s past two outings at Petco Park.

Biggest OVER run: Mets (9-2 last 11)
Although New York scored only one run on Tuesday in a blowout loss to Philadelphia, the Mets cashed their third straight OVER. During this stretch, the results have been mixed as the offense has plated six runs or more four times, but the pitching staff has allowed seven runs or more in five of the past six contests.

Biggest UNDER run: Pirates (7-3 last 10)
Even though Pittsburgh isn’t headed to the postseason, its pitching has stepped up of late by allowing four runs during its current four-game winning streak. Following a 12-0 shutout of the Cubs on Monday, the Pirates edged the defending champions on Tuesday, 4-3 to record its fifth UNDER in the last seven games at PNC Park. Ace Gerrit Cole will look to keep Pittsburgh’s sharp pitching going in Game 3 of this series as the right-hander has hit the OVER in four of his past five starts. Cole has performed well against the Cubs this season by allowing three runs in 13 innings of work, while finishing UNDER the total in two starts.

Matchup to watch: Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers
Behind Cleveland’s 13-game hot streak is Arizona’s 12-game winning streak after the D-backs knocked off the Dodgers in extra innings on Tuesday, 3-1. Arizona is closing in on hosting the Wild Card game in early October following this tremendous run, but it will not be enough to catch Los Angeles. The D-backs trail the Dodgers by 11½ games in the NL West, even though Arizona has trimmed off nine games over the last 10 days.

The Dodgers are melting down at the wrong time by losing nine of their past 10 games, as Kenta Maeda heads to the mound. Maeda was racked by Arizona the last time he faced them on August 31, allowing seven earned runs in three innings of an 8-1 defeat. However, Maeda is a different pitcher at Chavez Ravine by owning an 8-1 record at home, while Los Angeles is 9-0 in his past nine starts at Dodger Stadium.

Taijuan Walker looks to keep this streak going for Arizona, coming off a 10-strikeout performance in a 9-5 victory at Colorado in his previous outing. The D-backs are 3-0 in Walker’s last three starts, while Arizona has beaten Los Angeles twice as an underdog this season when the right-hander takes the hill. The Snakes have won four of their past six road series finales, while running off nine straight wins in the underdog role.

Betcha didn’t know:
The Blue Jays couldn’t hold onto a 2-0 ninth inning lead over the Red Sox on Tuesday as Toronto basically needed to play an extra game – and lost. Boston rallied for two ninth inning runs and eventually beat Toronto, 3-2 in 19 innings as the Sox used 12 pitchers. Toronto hasn’t fared well in the final game of an away series recently by going 2-6 in the last eight opportunities.

Biggest public favorite: Indians (-280) at White Sox

Biggest public underdog: Padres (+100) vs. Cardinals

Biggest line move: Dodgers (-155 to -170) vs. Diamondbacks
 

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WNBA

Playoff Schedule (subject to change)

FIRST ROUND – Elimination games; hosted by Seeds 5 and 6
Wednesday, Sept. 6: Dallas @ Washington, 8 PM ET (ESPN2)
Wednesday, Sept. 6: Seattle @ Phoenix, 10 PM ET (ESPN2)

SECOND ROUND – Elimination games; hosted by Seeds 3 and 4
Sunday, Sept. 10: TBD @ Connecticut, 3 PM ET (ESPN2)
Sunday, Sept. 10, TBD @ New York, 5 PM ET (ESPN2)

SEMIFINALS – Hosted by Seeds 1 and 2 (2-2-1)

Minnesota vs. TBD

Game 1: Tuesday, Sept. 12 — TBD @ Minnesota, 8 PM ET (ESPN2)
Game 2: Thursday, Sept. 14 — TBD @ Minnesota, 8 PM ET (ESPN2)
Game 3: Sunday, Sept. 17
Game 4*: Tuesday, Sept. 19
Game 5*: Thursday, Sept. 21

Los Angeles vs. TBD
Game 1: Tuesday, Sept. 12 — TBD @ Los Angeles, 10 PM ET (ESPN2)
Game 2: Thursday, Sept. 14 — TBD @ Los Angeles, 10 PM ET (ESPN2)
Game 3: Sunday, Sept. 17
Game 4*: Tuesday, Sept. 19
Game 5*: Thursday, Sept. 21

FINALS – Hosted by top Seed (2-2-1)
Game 1: Sunday, Sept. 24
Game 2: Tuesday, Sept. 26
Game 3: Friday, Sept. 29
Game 4*: Sunday, Oct. 1
Game 5*: Wednesday, Oct. 4

*game if necessary

Tiebreakers
Phoenix holds the tiebreaker over Washington on the basis of their head-to-head record.

Playoff Format
Effective with the 2016 season, the WNBA implemented changes to playoff seeding and qualification procedures as well as the postseason format. Under the new postseason structure, the eight teams with the highest winning percentages regardless of conference qualify for the playoffs and are seeded based on their record.

Additional features of the reconfigured playoff structure are as follows:

The number of playoff rounds increased from three to four. The top two seeds receive a bye to the semifinals (third round), and the third and fourth seeds receive a bye to the second round.

Teams will be re-seeded after each postseason round.

The first and second rounds are single elimination. In the first round, the No. 5 seed hosts the No. 8 seed and the No. 6 seed hosts the No. 7 seed. In the second round, the No. 3 seed hosts the lowest-seeded first-round winner and the No. 4 seed hosts the other first-round winner.

The semifinals feature a best-of-five format, with the No. 1 overall seed playing the lowest remaining seed and the No. 2 overall seed meeting the remaining team. The Nos. 1 and 2 seeds will host Games 1, 2 and 5, and the lower-seeded teams will host Games 3 and 4 in their respective series. The WNBA Finals remain best-of-five and follow the same 2-2-1 format.
 

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Cheat Sheet - First Round

No. 7 Dallas at No. 6 Washington (ESPN2, 8:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Wings went 2-1 both straight up and against the spread versus the Mystics this season.

-- The road team went 3-0 in the three regular season encounters and the visitor has win eight straight meetings in this head-to-head series.

-- The ‘under’ went 2-1 in the three meetings this season and the low side cashed in both matchups from D.C.

-- Dallas went 6-11 SU as a visitor this season but managed to produce a winning record (9-8) at the betting counter.

-- The Wings saw the ‘over’ go 12-5 in their away games.

-- Washington went 11-6 SU and 9-8 ATS at home while the ‘over’ went 9-8.

-- The Mystics closed the season with a 2-5 (1-6 ATS) record and one of the losses came versus Dallas.

-- The Wings finished 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS in the final two weeks of the season and the two losses came by a combined seven points.

-- Dallas went 9-9 versus the Eastern Conference this season while Washington was just 6-12 against the West.

-- Washington hasn’t had much success in the playoffs, going 4-16 overall since the 2002 postseason. They are a combined 1-4 in their most recent trips (2014, 2015) and bettors should note that the ‘over’ has gone 10-2 in the last 12 playoff battles.

-- This will be the first playoff game for the Wings since they moved the franchise to Dallas.

_____________________________________________________________________________________

No. 8 Seattle at No. 5 Phoenix (ESPN2, 10:00 p.m. ET)
-- Phoenix won and covered two of its three meetings against Seattle this season.

-- The Mercury won both of those games on the road, but the Storm earned a 98-89 win at Phoenix on Aug. 12 as a five-point road underdog.

-- Including those results, Phoenix is 7-3 in the last 10 encounters versus Seattle and the ‘over’ has gone 6-4 during this stretch.

-- Among the eight playoff teams, Seattle owns the worst road mark at 5-12 SU and 7-9-1 ATS.

-- The Storm did close the season with a 3-2 mark both SU and ATS as visitors and the offense helped that cause by averaging 95 points per game.

-- Phoenix went 9-8 SU and 8-10 ATS at Talking Stick Resort Arena this season.

-- After mired in a 2-7 slump, the Mercury ended the regular season with three straight wins and covers. The defense only allowed 69 PPG during this stretch, which helped the ‘under’ go 3-0.

-- Seattle stopped Chicago 85-50 last Sunday in their road finale, which snapped a three-game losing skid.

-- Phoenix went 2-0 in last year’s playoffs, winning both single-elimination games before getting swept by Minnesota in the semifinals.

-- Seattle dropped a 94-85 decision at Atlanta in the first round of last year’s playoffs.
 

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MLB Umpire Assignments

951 Milwaukee Brewers +145 Over 9½ -105
952 Cincinnati Reds -155 Under 9½ -115
Mike Winters 2017: 14-12, 13-11 o/u (2016: 12-16, 15-12 o/u)
Over is 4-1-2 in Winters' last 7 games behind home plate.
Under is 6-1 in Winters' last 7 Brewers games behind home plate.

965 Minnesota Twins +156 Over 9 +105
966 Tampa Bay Rays -166 Under 9 -125
Adrian Johnson 2017: 18-9, 13-13 o/u (2016: 16-12, 18-7 o/u)

Double-header Game #1
981 Texas Rangers
982 Atlanta Braves
Carlos Torres 2017: 12-11, 11-12 o/u (2016: 19-16, 16-17 o/u)

967 Los Angeles Angels -126 Over 9½ -115
968 Oakland Athletics +116 Under 9½ -105
Mike Everitt 2017: 14-14, 15-13 o/u (2016: 21-13, 10-24 o/u)
Road team is 4-1 in Everitts last 5 games behind home plate.
Angels are 22-8 in their last 30 games with Everitt behind home plate.
Athletics are 4-10 in their last 14 games with Everitt behind home plate.

953 Chicago Cubs -137 Over 8 +100
954 Pittsburgh Pirates +127 Under 8 -120
Paul Nauert 2017: 18-6, 8-14 o/u (2016: 17-14, 19-11 o/u)
Under is 10-2 in Nauerts last 12 Pirates games behind home plate.
Under is 9-2 in Nauerts last 11 Cubs games behind home plate.
Home team is 21-6 in Nauerts last 27 games behind home plate.
Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games with Nauert behind home plate.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games with Nauert behind home plate.

969 New York Yankees -105 Over 9 -120
970 Baltimore Orioles -105 Under 9 +100
Sean Barber 2017: 7-4, 7-4 o/u (2016: 10-7, 7-10 o/u)
Home team is 6-2 in Barbers last 8 games behind home plate.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games with Barber behind home plate.

955 Washington Nationals -120 Over 9 -105
956 Miami Marlins +110 Under 9 -115
Nic Lentz 2017: 10-13, 10-12 o/u (2016: 12-12, 11-12 o/u)
Road team is 4-1 in Lentzs last 5 games behind home plate.

957 Philadelphia Phillies
958 New York Mets
Ramon De Jesus 2017: 8-5, 5-6 o/u (2016: 12-13, 12-12 o/u)
Under is 16-6-3 in De Jesus' last 25 games behind home plate.

971 Toronto Blue Jays +154 Over 10 -110
972 Boston Red Sox -164 Under 10 -110
Shane Livensparger 2017: 4-0, 1-3 o/u (2016: 0-0, 0-0 o/u)

973 Kansas City Royals -147 Over 9½ -110

974 Detroit Tigers +137 Under 9½ -110
Laz Diaz 2017: 13-13, 13-13 o/u (2016: 18-13, 12-14 o/u)
Royals are 10-2 in their last 12 games with Diaz behind home plate.
Tigers are 2-7 in their last 9 games with Diaz behind home plate.
Over is 8-1-3 in Diazs last 12 Royals games behind home plate.
Over is 6-2-1 in Diazs last 9 Tigers games behind home plate.

Double-header Game #2
979 Texas Rangers -104 Over 9 -120
980 Atlanta Braves -106 Under 9 +100
Ryan Blakney 2017: 10-14, 6-16 o/u (2016: 15-22, 15-21 o/u)

975 Cleveland Indians -275 Over 9 +105
976 Chicago White Sox +250 Under 9 -125
Manny Gonzalez 2017: 13-11, 17-5 o/u (2016: 15-15, 19-10 o/u)

Over is 43-15-3 in Gonzalezs last 61 games behind home plate.
Over is 8-0-1 in Gonzalezs last 9 Indians games behind home plate.

959 San Francisco Giants +135 Over 12 +100
960 Colorado Rockies -145 Under 12 -120
Alan Porter 2017: 12-12, 12-12 o/u (2016: 17-12, 13-15 o/u)
Home team is 12-4 in Porters last 16 games behind home plate.
Rockies are 7-1 in their last 8 games with Porter behind home plate.

961 Arizona Diamondbacks +157 Over 8½ +100
962 Los Angeles Dodgers -167 Under 8½ -120
Chad Fairchild 2017: 14-13, 12-15 o/u (2016: 16-15, 15-15 o/u)
Home team is 5-1 in Fairchilds last 6 games behind home plate.
Dodgers are 11-5 in their last 16 games with Fairchild behind home plate.
Under is 13-6 in Fairchilds last 19 games behind home plate.
Under is 5-1 in Fairchilds last 6 Dodgers games behind home plate.

963 St. Louis Cardinals -113 Over 8 -110
964 San Diego Padres +103 Under 8 -110
Ryan Additon 2017: 6-2, 3-4 o/u (2016: no record)

977 Houston Astros

978 Seattle Mariners
Mark Wegner 2017: 15-10, 13-10 o/u (2016: 14-16, 20-9 o/u)
Over is 10-4-2 in Wegners last 16 games behind home plate.
Over is 5-0-1 in Wegners last 6 Astros games behind home plate.
Over is 15-5-1 in Wegners last 21 Mariners games behind home plate.
Astros are 4-10 in their last 14 games with Wegner behind home plate.
 

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WNBA Playoffs Prediction: Dallas Wings at Washington Mystics

In the first of the two round one games of the 2017 WNBA Playoffs, the sixth-seeded Washington Mystics (18-16), are hosting the seventh-seeded Dallas Wings (16-18 ), in a knock-out game that will determine who will advance to the quarterfinals to face the New York Liberty.

Washington Mystics finished the regular season with an 18-16 record (15-19 ATS) and were placed in the 6th place of the league. They have lost four of their last five matches (2-6 in their last 8 ) and in their last game they lost on the road against Minnesota with a 72-86 score. Elena Delle Donne leads the team in scoring with 19.7 ppg, 6.8 rebounds and 1.4 blocks. Emma Messeman adds 14.1 ppg and 5.7 rpg, while Kristi Toliver adds 11.9 ppg and a team high 3.4 assists per game.

Dallas Wings finished the regular season with a 16-18 record (18-16 ATS) and were placed in the 7th place of the league. In their last game they saw a two-game winning streak getting snapped by losing at home against New York with an 81-82 score. Skylar Diggins-Smith leads the team in scoring with 18.5 ppg, adding a team high 5.8 assists. She is followed by Glory Johnson with 14.9 ppg and a team high 9.1 rebounds per game.

This will be the fourth meeting between those two teams this season, with Dallas leading 2-1 wins and each team having won on the road. Washington are 11-6 at home, while Dallas are 6-11 on the road. Dallas are better offensively, scoring a league-best 86.1 ppg to Washington’s 81.7, while Washington are better defensively, allowing 81 ppg to Dallas’ league-low of 88.8. Washington have a better field goal percentage, shooting with a third-worse of 41.6% to Dallas’ league-low of 40.6%, while Dallas have a better 3-point percentage, shooting with 31.9% to Washington’s third-worse of 31.7%. Mystics are better in rebounding, grabbing a third-best 36.3 to Dallas’ 34.5, in assists made, with a third-worse of 16.4 to Dallas’ second-worse of 15.7, and commit the fewest turnovers in the league with 12.1 to Dallas’ 13.8. Dallas have won twice on the road against Washington already so expect a closer game than 6 points in favor of Mystics. Pick Dallas in this one.

Prediction: Dallas Wings +5


WNBA Playoffs Prediction: Seattle Storm at Phoenix Mercury
In the second of the two round one games of the 2017 WNBA Playoffs, the fifth-seeded Phoenix Mercury (18-16), are hosting the eighth-seeded Seattle Storm (15-19), in a knock-out game that will determine who will advance to the quarterfinals to face the Connecticut Sun.

Phoenix Mercury finished the regular season with an 18-16 record and were placed in the 5th place of the league. They have three consecutive wins and in their last game they won at home against Atlanta with an 84-70 score. Brittney Griner leads the team in scoring with 21.9 ppg, adding team highs both in rebounding with 7.6 per game and in blocks with 2.5 per game. Diana Taurasi follows with 17.9 ppg, while Monique Currie adds 10.2 ppg.

Seattle Storm finished the regular season with a 15-19 record and were placed in the 8th and final playoff spot of the league. In their last game they snapped a three-game losing streak with a road victory against Chicago with an 85-80 score. Breanna Stewart leads the team in scoring with 19.9 ppg, adding a team high 8.7 rebounds per game. She is followed by Jewell Loyd with 17.7 ppg, 3.2 rpg and 3.4 assists, while Crystal Langhorne adds 12.4 ppg and 6.1 rpg.

This will be the fourth meeting between those two teams this season, with Phoenix leading 2-1 wins and each team having won on the road. Phoenix are 9-8 at home, while Seattle are 5-12 on the road. Seattle are better offensively, scoring 82.6 ppg to Phoenix’s 81.9, while Phoenix are better defensively, allowing 81.9 ppg to Seattle’s 82.6. Seattle have better percentages both in field goals, shooting with a third-best 47.3% to Phoenix’s 44% and in 3-pointers, shooting with a 36.3% to Phoenix’s 33.9%. Seattle also dish a third-best 20.2 assists per game, to Phoenix’s 17.6, while Phoenix are better in rebounding (32.1 to 31) and both teams commit almost the same number of turnovers (14.3 and 14.1). It is going to be a close game and Seattle have won on the road once already, so expect a closer game than 5 points. Pick Seattle in this one.

Prediction: Seattle Storm +4.5
 

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DALLAS (16 - 18 ) at WASHINGTON (18 - 16) - 9/6/2017, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 21-32 ATS (-14.2 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
WASHINGTON is 309-369 ATS (-96.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) against Western conference opponents this season.
WASHINGTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
WASHINGTON is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

___________________________________________________________________________

SEATTLE (15 - 19) at PHOENIX (18 - 16) - 9/6/2017, 10:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games on Wednesday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 38-62 ATS (-30.2 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.
SEATTLE is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
SEATTLE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-4 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-3 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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DALLAS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Dallas's last 23 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Washington is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

SEATTLE vs. PHOENIX
Seattle is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Seattle is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
Phoenix is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Seattle
 

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StatFox Super Situations

DALLAS at WASHINGTON
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 playing with 2 days rest, in August or September games 64-30 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.1% | 31.0 units ) 9-5 this year. ( 64.3% | 3.5 units )

DALLAS at WASHINGTON
Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after a loss by 10 points or more 132-45 since 1997. ( 74.6% | 0.0 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

DALLAS at WASHINGTON
Play On - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (DALLAS) off a close home loss by 3 points or less, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days 42-16 since 1997. ( 72.4% | 24.4 units ) 0-4 this year. ( 0.0% | -4.4 units )
 

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The Walker Group at Hastings Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 53

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 SEAGOLD 3/1

# 3 CHAMPAGNE WALTZ 5/1

# 8 PRETTY SOON 5/2

SEAGOLD looks to be a respectable contender. Should compete very well in the early pace battle which bodes well with this group of animals. Could beat this group of animals given the 51 Equibase Speed Fig put up in her last outing. The average Equibase class rating of 48 makes this horse tough to beat. CHAMPAGNE WALTZ - Don't let this filly slip past you. Could score at high odds. Must be carefully examined as she drops to compete against this easier lot. PRETTY SOON - She has been running admirably and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the most respectable in this group of animals. This filly is a solid contender based on her earnings per start in dirt sprint events.
 

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs

Indiana Downs - Race 7

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9)


Maiden Special • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 61 • Purse: $31,000 • Post: 4:53P
(PLUS UP TO 40% INDIANA STATE BRED SUPPLEMENT) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

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Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. BEHOLD is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BEHOLD: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. T oday is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
7
BEHOLD
5/1

6/5
 

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The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Louisiana Downs - Race #5 - Post: 5:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 55

Rating: 3

#6 FORT STEVENS (ML=3/2)


FORT STEVENS - I like to see fast morning drills. This gelding's last one was very good. Second fastest of the day. This gelding is in nice physical condition, having run a strong race on August 23rd, finishing second. This equine picks up a lot of money per start. Tops in this affair.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 HONEST BOND (ML=5/2), #5 PRO TRIBUTE (ML=5/1), #2 ZACTLY (ML=6/1),

HONEST BOND - Multiple chances for this pony at Louisiana Downs and still hasn't received his first victory here. PRO TRIBUTE - 5/1 is not pegged at the proper price for any horse in a sprint of 6 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a short distance race lately. Awfully hard to wager on this questionable contender when he hasn't been showing any indications of eagerness recently. ZACTLY - Tough to back any racer in a short distance affair if he hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last couple months.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - FORT STEVENS - I've checked and double checked my database. This horse is the only solid stalker in this group. Should make a big move at the top of the stretch on his way to the winner's circle.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 FORT STEVENS is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
6 with [2,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
 

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The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6300 Class Rating: 60

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 6, 2016. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 MELOVEDA 3/5

# 4 BUBBICIOUS 2/1

# 1 SUNDAY DINNER 6/1

MELOVEDA has a solid shot to take this race. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this animal look competitive in this contest. Will almost certainly go to the lead and might never look back. Has to be carefully examined in here if only for the solid Equibase Speed Figure put up in the last contest. BUBBICIOUS - This horse is ranked high in this group in earnings per start at the distance/surface. Always seems to be right there at the wire. SUNDAY DINNER - The speedy return to the races points to a sound effort this time around. Jurado has one of the best jockey ROI's on the grounds, returning to wagerers +2 percent.
 

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The Turf Club Analysts

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Presque Isle Downs - Race #7 - Post: 7:55pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 54

Rating: 4

#1 CLUB LEVEL (ML=8/1)
#6 FANTASTIC LADY (ML=2/1)


CLUB LEVEL - Another way to identify class is earnings per race entered. This entrant has the top in the field. I think she'll be close at the end. FANTASTIC LADY - Pino was aboard this filly last time out and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. This filly is back in a race very quick. This is a great angle - Sprint horses that come back in less than 10 days after a race. A good sign of a sharp and ready racehorse.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 TOGA DANCE (ML=5/2), #5 LACEE (ML=3/1), #3 SUMMATRIX (ML=6/1),

TOGA DANCE - A bit of a lackluster try when this mare finished sixth. LACEE - I find it hard to bet on any racer in a short distance contest at 3/1 when she hasn't shown any competitive efforts in sprints in the last sixty days. This filly hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last couple of outings. SUMMATRIX - Just don't think she is offering enough value at the expected odds.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #1 CLUB LEVEL to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
 

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Thistledown

Thistledown - Race 2

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)


Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 52 • Purse: $9,500 • Post: 2:10P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

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Odds


Race Type: Dominant Trailer. WINTERVELD is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * WINTERVELD: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Spe ed Figure at the distance/surface. AROMA BLUE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
5
WINTERVELD
6/1

5/2
6
AROMA BLUE
4/1

6/1
 

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