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Wednesday's six-pack

Random notes on college football bowl games........

-- Sugar Bowl last three years was won SU by underdogs of 8-15-14 points.

-- UL-Lafayette won New Orleans Bowl last four years; they were underdogs in three of the four games.

-- Favorite won/covered the last four Heart of Dallas Bowls.

-- Same thing for the Belk Bowl in Charlotte; favorites won/covered last four.

-- Underdogs won SU in four of last five Quick Lane Bowls (Detroit).

-- Michigan State won its last four bowls, all by 4 or less points; they were the dog in all four games.
 
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Dave Cokin

Bonus Play

49ERS @ BRONCOS

Take: BRONCOS -5

The 49ers and Broncos should be quote familiar with one another by the time this game kicks of on Saturday evening. The two teams will be practicing together for a couple days, and this brings up an interesting point that coupled come into play this weekend.

I have to think there’s a built in advantage for the Broncos as lengthier than normal stays in that Mile High altitude are not generally the best thing for visiting teams. I’m not sure exactly wheat that’s worth, but I don’t think it can hurt my case for the Broncos.

This will be the first home game for Gary Kubiak as the head coach of the Broncos. So far this pre-season, the new coaches are a perfect 5-0 both straight up and against the line in those home debuts.

Peyton Manning quarterbacked four series last game for the Broncos and Denver ended up punting the ball away each time. This game might not count for anything that matters, but I don’t mind the idea of backing Manning off an outing that wasn’t very good, particularly;y by his lofty standards.

The 49ers scored a relatively easy 23-6 win over Dallas, but the result was really more a case of the Cowboys not caring at all about the game and flooding the field with third and fourth team personnel while still in the first quarter. This was not unexpected, as head honcho Jerry Jones had expressed concern about the turf condition, and Dallas played the game with zero intensity and from what I could tell, very little in the way of a game plan.

It’s also worth mentioning that even with what appeared to be little real prep work by the Cowboys, San Francisco was still unable to get into the end zone with their popgun offense. The 49ers have looked pretty good on the defensive side of the ball, but the offense has been very ragged and it’s not mere speculation to suggest this unit is going to be less than stellar once the games start to count.

I generally don’t like to give up more than a field goal with any pre-season favorites. But the check marks here keep showing up on the Denver side and at this point, I’ll be surprised if this is a close game. I’m looking to lay the points on Saturday night with the Broncos.
 
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Mike Lundin

St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Mike's *Best of the Rest*

Free 8* Play: Arizona Diamondbacks

The St. Louis Cardinals have once again established their dominance in the MLB after going through a somewhat rocky patch. They're off three wins on the bounce and can complete the sweep of a three-game set at Chase Field in Phoenix Wednesday night. I don't think they will though. Their starter of the night, 36 year old John Lackey, is just 2-5 with a 4.40 ERA in 12 road starts for the year compared to an 8-3 record behind a 1.91 ERA home at St. Louis. He was knocked around for five runs, four earned, on nine hits through six innings of a 9-3 loss at Petco Park his most recent outing and the Cards have lost each of his four road starts. The D'backs will turn to left-hander Patrick Corbin who'll make his 10th start of the year since recovering from Tommy John surgery. He's posted a respectable 3.13 ERA through four home starts and Jason Heyward is the only Cardinals batter with experience against Corbin with one at bat, which he struck out. St Louis' .237 team batting average against southpaws on the year ranks among the worst marks in the majors.

Note that:
- St. Louis is 3-13 in Lackey's last 16 road starts and 1-6 in his last seven starts as a road underdog.
- Arizona is 15-5 in Corbin's last 20 starts as a home favorite and 9-3 in his last 12 starts with five days of rest.
- Lackey has served up four homers over his last three outings and Arizona has won 16 of its last 18 games when hitting a home run.
 

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Haven't indulged the past 3 months at all and just curious if anyone knows how Sports Insights MLB Best Bets has been doing for 2015. Thanx
 

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