Wednesday 3/29/17 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL

Wednesday, March 29

Trend Report

9:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. PITTSBURGH
Chicago is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Pittsburgh is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games at home

10:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. CALGARY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 8 games when playing Calgary
Los Angeles is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games at home

11:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Washington's last 22 games when playing Colorado
Colorado is 3-6-1 SU in its last 10 games ,when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Colorado's last 22 games when playing Washington

11:30 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. ARIZONA
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Arizona is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 29


St. Louis @ Arizona

Game 7-8
March 29, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
13.125
Arizona
9.983
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-180
5
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-180); Over

Washington @ Colorado

Game 5-6
March 29, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
11.071
Colorado
12.286
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
N/A

Los Angeles @ Calgary

Game 3-4
March 29, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
9.156
Calgary
10.816
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 1 1/2
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-135
5
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-135); Under

Chicago @ Pittsburgh

Game 1-2
March 29, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
12.589
Pittsburgh
11.052
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-130
6
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+110); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 29

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CHICAGO (48-21-0-7, 103 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (46-18-0-11, 103 pts.) - 3/29/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 19-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
PITTSBURGH is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
CHICAGO is 48-28 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 13-6 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
CHICAGO is 42-18 ATS (+14.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-4 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
CHICAGO is 431-418 ATS (+870.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-0 (+5.1 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-0-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.5 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (35-33-0-7, 77 pts.) at CALGARY (43-29-0-4, 90 pts.) - 3/29/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 35-40 ATS (-18.5 Units) in all games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 11-20 ATS (-9.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
LOS ANGELES is 17-21 ATS (-14.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
LOS ANGELES is 9-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
LOS ANGELES is 29-33 ATS (-20.9 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 2-11 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
CALGARY is 43-33 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
CALGARY is 17-7 ATS (+24.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-6 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-6-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.8 Units)

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WASHINGTON (50-17-0-8, 108 pts.) at COLORADO (20-52-0-3, 43 pts.) - 3/29/2017, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-0 (+5.0 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-0-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.5 Units)

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ST LOUIS (41-28-0-6, 88 pts.) at ARIZONA (27-40-0-9, 63 pts.) - 3/29/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 38-29 ATS (+8.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 15-7 ATS (+22.5 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 20-5 ATS (+13.1 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 17-7 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 19-6 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 27-83 ATS (+160.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 8-0 (+8.0 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 8-0-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

Flames -135

Flames -1.5 +230

Edmonton was in position to clinch a playoff spot at home against the Kings on Tuesday night and did exactly that with a 2-1 win that really wasn't as close as the score indicated.

Now the very next night and the Kings are again on the road against a team that can clinch its playoff spot. This time it's Calgary.

I know the Kings are still talking the talk, but it seems pretty hollow at this point. If you watched the third period last night, LA was really dragging and I think it only gets worse tonight.

The Flames are very fired up to celebrate at home and I think Calgary has a legit shot to bury the Kings tonight. LA has lost five straight when playing with no rest and I really do believe they're a mentally defeated team at this juncture.

I'm going to play Calgary for one unit on the money line, and I will also gamble an additional half unit on the big payoff by spotting the -1.5 at a very healthy +230 return.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Rob Vinciletti

Hornets vs. Raptors
Play: Raptors -7

Toronto has covered 5 of 6 at home after scoring 120 or more at home last out. Charlotte has failed to cover 13 of 16 vs Atlantic Division teams and lost at home last night. Road teams with no rest in Toronto are 1-4 ats if off a home spread loss. Rested home favorites that covered the spread by 7 or more as a 5 or more points home favorite, scoring and allowing 110 or more like the Raptors have covered 88% long term vs an opponent off a home game. Look for Toronto to get the win and cover.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Power Sports

Wizards at Clippers
Pick: Under

Last night's Wizards game just snuck Over the total on a meaningless Kelly Oubre Jr jumper in the final 30 seconds. That capped an explosive 37-13 fourth quarter and the franchise's first division title of any kind since 1979! They stay in LA tonight, but rather than the Lakers, it's the Clippers who form the opposition tonight. This is a much better defensive foe here (Lakers are last in defensive efficiency) and I can see the Wiz being somewhat "out of gas" after last night's frantic finish.

The Clippers have held their last three opponents all below 100 points. You don't see that too often anymore. Sadly though, they've lost two of the three games. Even worse is that the losses came to Dallas and Sacramento. Something I did not realize is that the Under is 77-48 in all Clippers' home games the past three seasons. Tonight's total is well above the total PPG average for the Clips this season. The same holds true for Washington as well.

Of course, I often make the claim that teams are undervalued in the second game of a back to back. What hurts the Wizards here, however, is they actually needed to come from behind in the fourth quarter to defeat the lowly Lakers. As a road dog, their scoring average dips down to 105.1 PPG. When these teams met in D.C. back in December, they shot lights out (including 10 of 19 from three-point range). I don't anticipate that happening here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Will Rogers

Golden St vs. San Antonio
Pick: Over 208.5

The set-up: The Warriors rested their key players the last time they were in San Antonio (Mar. 11) and caught 'hell.' However, after last night's 113-106 win at Houston, Golden State has gone 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS since losing badly that night in San Antonio. The Warriors will be back in San Antonio tonight and while they are 0-2 vs. the Spurs this season, they own a 60-14 record, 2 1/2 games better than San Antonio's 57-16 mark. The Spurs also come in playing well (so what else is new?), having won five in a row.

Golden State: Steve Kerr drew the ire of the league and ABC officials when he didn't play guards Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson, forward Draymond Green and swingman Andre Iguodala in Golden State's last trip to San Antonio but has said, "The guys are good to go," while revealing his plans to reporters after the win over Houston. Stephen Curry (24.9-4.5-6.5) had 32 points and 10 rebounds to lead the Warriors last night, while Klay Thompson (22,3) and Draymond Green (10.4-8.1-7.1) added 25 and 19 points. It was the 11th time this season that both Curry and Thompson scored at least 25 points in the same game. The Warriors never trailed on Tuesday, setting the pace by building a 17-point lead at the end of the first quarter and leading by as many as 22 points.

San Antonio: Let's not forget that San Antonio was without its two best players, Kawhi Leonard (26.0 & 5.9) and LaMarcus Aldridge (17.6 & 7.5) were out with injuries, in that Mar. 11 rout of the Warriors. San Antonio comes into this showdown with the Warriors on the heels of a dominating 103-74 victory over defending league champion Cleveland on Monday. Kawhi Leonard, surely a legitimate MVP candidate, had 25 points in the win despite sitting out all but the first minute of the fourth quarter.

The pick: San Antonio is 6-0 against the league's three other teams (Golden State, Boston and Cleveland) that can earn conference titles plus the Spurs have prevailed in 34 of their last 35 home games against the Warriors, with Golden State's win coming last season to end a 33-game slide. That said, I'm not comfortable going against the Warriors as an underdog. Here's something that may have slipped "under the radar." While the Warriors rank 1st in scoring (115.9 PPG) and 1st in shooting (49.4%), Golden State has gone "under" in 11 straight games. Enough is enough.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Teddy Davis

Hornets vs. Raptors
Play: Raptors -6

I lost last night backing the Hornets and that was a very disappointing game. To me their season was on the line and they failed in every aspect. They gave up open 3 after open 3 and let the Bucks shoot over 70% in the first half. They are 3 games out of the 8th spot with 8 games remaining practically eliminated if you ask me. The Raptors are cruising right now winning 6 straight and 7 of their last 8. They are still only one game back of the Wizards for the 3 seed. I see Toronto taking it to the Hornets tonight

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Andrew Gold

Thunder vs. Magic
Play: Thunder -6

I think people are forgetting the Thunder still have a lot to play for here. They are in a weird spot right now trying to get the 5 seed but also trying to avoid being the 7 seed. Their massive come back over the Mavs last game out is something I believe they will build on. The Magic are still getting some respect because of 3 recent wins, but those were against the Sixers, Suns and Pistons. The Thunder take care of business playing weaker teams, they are 12-3 ATS L15 games vs a team with a winning % below .400.