Wednesday 3/25/09 service plays chatter / requests & gm strategy...

[TeddyTed]

i agree,it does feel like alot more then 12 loses!!

 

[Warchant]

70% of bets coming in on St. Mary's and the line went up to 3.5. Thebirds just wrote this, thanks.

Didn't it open at 3.5 most places?

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Didn't it open at 3.5 most places?

Yea, then went down to 2.5 then back up to 3.5

 

[TheBirds]

Sportsbookspy....It was 69% for St. Marys half hour ago there.

 

[smoke333]

70% of bets coming in on St. Mary's and the line went up to 3.5. Thebirds just wrote this, thanks.

Even though there is RLM, it doesn't mean st mary's won't cover. All it means is theres more money on San diego st even though theres less bets. still gotta go with my boy redd. thanks for the info though

 

[wags4]

Doing my best to come to the chatter thread for this.

VR 5* on SDST -3
Anthony Redd 20 Dime on St. Mary's +3.5

Redd has been on fire but I wonder how many of these public heavy bets can keep hitting. Especially with reverse line movement. I'm seeing the line up to -3.5 -4 even though 72% of public is on St. Mary's.

I really liked St. Mary's 2nite but just seems to easy, and I think i'm gonna go with the reverse line movement and VR.

Thoughts?

 

[donlauer]

DANCES OR LT. DAN: Any RAS update yet??? TY

 

[eastcoaster]

Even though there is RLM, it doesn't mean st mary's won't cover. All it means is theres more money on San diego st even though theres less bets. still gotta go with my boy redd. thanks for the info though

I'm not seeing more money on San Deigo St. I see 88% on St. Mary's

 

[uscmd]

Didn't it open at 3.5 most places?

yep

 

[Ol-G-Parker]

I'm not seeing more money on San Deigo St. I see 88% on St. Mary's

You won't ever SEEEEE money going on anybody. Vegas doesn't care how many bets it takes or how many people are on a particular side. What they do care about is the actual money on a side. So if you see 70-80% on one side, yet the line goes against it that usually means that more money is on the other side. The people usually betting the large amounts are the whales and sharps guys who hit high percentages. Hope that helps :toast:

 

[SteveMcQueen]

bigugly, if you see this you need to delete some PMs I can't respond to you, your mailbox is full.

 

[smoke333]

I'm not seeing more money on San Deigo St. I see 88% on St. Mary's

i'm not seeing 88% anywhere.. you must have the wrong info.. i'm more like 65% on st. marys and thats the # of bets not the amount of money

 

[smoke333]

You won't ever SEEEEE money going on anybody. Vegas doesn't care how many bets it takes or how many people are on a particular side. What they do care about is the actual money on a side. So if you see 70-80% on one side, yet the line goes against it that usually means that more money is on the other side. The people usually betting the large amounts are the whales and sharps guys who hit high percentages. Hope that helps :toast:

correct, this is what i've been tryin to tell people. The # of bets on one side means shit. It's all about the amount of money on a given side. money moves the line not the # of bets

 

[noteworthy66]

any ats lock club?

 

[TMaN2000]

Take your bet % shit to the chatter thread, either post plays here or go somewhere else you fucking idiots

 

[msmith2179]

Percent of Public Sports Bets with amt of total picks tallied...

Means Percent of Picks only, no $ value involved.....

# 683 7:00pm Kentucky vs Notre Dame (NIT Tournament - Quarterfinals)(ESPN2) Kentucky 36.89%
Notre Dame 63.11%
3296 Bets

# 685 9:00pm St Marys CA vs San Diego St (NIT Tournament - Quarterfinals)(ESPN2) San Diego St 32.08%
St Marys CA 67.92%
2768 Bets

# 691 8:00pm UTEP vs Richmond (CBI Tournament - Semifinals) UTEP 54.59%
Richmond 45.41%
872 Bets

# 693 10:00pm Stanford vs Oregon St (CBI Tournament - Semifinals) Stanford 85.79%
Oregon St 14.21%
1436 Bets

# 695 8:05pm Pacific vs Bradley (College Insider Tournament - Semifinals) Pacific 71.11%
Bradley 28.89%
1080 Bets

# 697 03/26 7:00pm James Madison vs Old Dominion (CBI Tournament - Semifinals) Old Dominion 42.86%
James Madison 57.14%
168 Bets

Where did these come from?

 

[Pawn]

Steve McQueen who you like tonight? would like to tail

 

[dettim]

Budins Wednesday play???

 

[jackedup339]

any sports unlimited? He has a tourney G.O.M. or should I buy it.

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Steve McQueen who you like tonight? would like to tail

http://therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=671260

Rough couple days though. I'm not sure I would tail.