Wednesday 3/22/17 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 22


Edmonton @ Anaheim

Game 55-56
March 22, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
12.155
Anaheim
9.623
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 2 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Anaheim
-125
5
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(+105); Under

NY Islanders @ NY Rangers

Game 53-54
March 22, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
12.969
NY Rangers
11.741
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
N/A

Toronto @ Columbus

Game 51-52
March 22, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
10.361
Columbus
11.741
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbus
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Columbus
-150
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Columbus
(-150); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 22

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TORONTO (33-23-0-15, 81 pts.) at COLUMBUS (47-18-0-6, 100 pts.) - 3/22/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 27-60 ATS (+109.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 41-85 ATS (+146.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 1-9 ATS (-8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
COLUMBUS is 47-24 ATS (+21.1 Units) in all games this season.
COLUMBUS is 12-2 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
COLUMBUS is 17-8 ATS (+5.9 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
COLUMBUS is 17-7 ATS (+8.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
COLUMBUS is 15-4 ATS (+10.2 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak this season.
COLUMBUS is 26-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 4-3 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 4-3-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.5 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (33-26-0-12, 78 pts.) at NY RANGERS (45-24-0-4, 94 pts.) - 3/22/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 9-3 (+6.4 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 9-3-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.7 Units)

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EDMONTON (39-24-0-9, 87 pts.) at ANAHEIM (38-23-0-11, 87 pts.) - 3/22/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 513-416 ATS (-99.8 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 240-182 ATS (+41.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 246-223 ATS (+507.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 9-3 (+4.8 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 9-3-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.5 Units)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Steve Janus
Mar 22 '17, 8:05 PM in 3h
NBA | 76ers vs Thunder
Play on: 76ers +10½ -110 at Bovada

10* 76ers/Thunder NBA Free Pick

Play Against - Favorites (OKLAHOMA CITY) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half. This system is 34-11 (76%) against the spread since 1996. BET THE 76ERS!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Martin
Mar 22 '17, 7:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Hornets vs Magic
Play on: Hornets -5 -115 at BMaker

1 Unit Bonus Play on Charlotte Hornets -5

The Charlotte Hornets are coming off back-to-back wins over the Wizards and Hawks, two fellow playoff teams. They are trying to stay alive in the playoff race. Now they'll be playing just their 3rd game in 7 days here tonight. The Magic are 26-45 on the season and simply playing out the string. The Hornets thumped the Magic 121-81 earlier this month to continue their domination in this series. Charlotte is 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last six meetings with Orlando, winning by 40, 19, 21, 14, 8 and 4 points, respectively.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brandon Lee
Mar 22 '17, 8:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Pistons vs Bulls
Play on: Pistons -1½ -105 at Bovada

10* Free NBA Pick (Pistons -1.5)

The public is on the Bulls at home in this one, but I think Detroit has the clear edge here. Both of these teams will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, but Chicago had to play OT in their heartbreaking 2-point loss to the Raptors, which saw them blow a 15-point lead going into the 4th quarter. Detroit's loss was even worse, losing to the lowly Raptors. The extra 5-minutes on no rest is huge and the Bulls are going to be short-handed. Starting center Robin Lopez is expected to be suspended after last night's ejection for fighting and backup center Cristiano Felicio is questionable with a back injury. The Bulls are going to get abused inside and that should be more than enough for Detroit to get the win here. Give me the Pistons -1.5!

 

[snyder28]

Anyone interested in splitting real animal with his modified consensus for today-sun? Pm me lmk

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Andrew Gold
Mar 22 '17, 7:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Hornets vs Magic
Play on: Hornets -5 -107 at 5Dimes

With the Magic winning back to back games it has created some value here with the Hornets. The Hornets are a desperate team right now fighting for the playoffs. They have had no problems whatsoever with this Magic team this season winning every game by double digits in fact all over 20 point blowouts.

Magic are 1-5 ATS L6 games following a SU win. Hornets are 10-2 ATS L12 meetings in Orlando.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Frank Sawyer
Mar 22 '17, 8:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Hawks vs Wizards
Play on: Hawks +7½ -115 at Bovada

Take the Atlanta Hawks plus the points versus the Washington Wizards. Atlanta (37-33) has lost four straight games after their 105-90 loss in Charlotte on Monday. The Hawks have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 road games following a game against a Southeast Division rival. Atlanta has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Washington (42-28) has dropped four of their last five games after their 110-102 loss in Boston on Monday. The Wizards have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games on their home court. Take Atlanta plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bobby Conn
Mar 22 '17, 7:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Hornets vs Magic
Play on: Hornets -5 -115 at BMaker

1* Bonus Play on Hornets -5 -115

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Boyd
Mar 22 '17, 8:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Hawks vs Wizards
Play on: Wizards -7 -105 at 5Dimes

Free Pick on the Wizards -

I know Washington has failed to cover their last 5 games, but I like them to cash in tonight at home against the Hawks. The Wizards are now 2.5 games back games back of the Celtics for the No. 2 seed in the east and just 1/2-game ahead of the Raptors. They can't afford to lose at home and I look for them to come out with a chip on their shoulder here after losing to the Celtics last time out.

The other big key here is the Hawks are slumping right now and it's because of injuries. Atlanta is minus it's best player in Paul Millsap and also without top reserve Kent Bazemore. Last time these two played the Wizards won 112-86 in Atlanta and Washington is a much better team at home (27-10). Wizards are 25-14 ATS in their last 39 home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread and 15-5 ATS in their last 20 home games with a total of 210 to 219.5. Hawks are just 3-11 ATS against division opponents. Take Washington!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Teddy Davis
Mar 22 '17, 7:35 PM in 2h
NBA | Pacers vs Celtics
Play on: Pacers +7½ -110 at Bovada

A lot of points to be laying here against a desperate team. The Pacers are still trying to hang on for a playoff spot so you don't have to worry about the effort here. The Celtics are coming off a big win over Washington to separate them in the race for the 2 spot. We all know the Celtics are by far the better team, but this time of the year doesn't always mean point spread covers when up against a team that need wins period.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Totals Guru
Mar 22 '17, 7:35 PM in 2h
NBA | Pacers vs Celtics
Play on: UNDER 206½ -103

Pacers vs Celtics under 206½ -103

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Ryan
Mar 22 '17, 8:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Hawks vs Wizards
Play on: Hawks +7½ -115 at Bovada

5* graded play on Atlanta (757) as they take on Washington in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot at winning the game.

Given the favorable projections we like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 4* play on the line and a 1* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 4* wager using the line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Atlanta is a nice 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) when they attempt 23 to 28 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Atlanta has been money burners for their backers for an extended stretch of games. However, they fall into a very positive a situation tonight. Many times too, struggling teams, do far better when they get away from the home court pressure and media constantly asking them what is wrong with the team. So, teams that have failed to cover in 12 or more of the last 15 games and allowed 50% or higher shooting in their last game and now playing on the road are 25-15 ATS since 1995. In 2016, these situations are a perfect 2-0 ATS with the Bucks favored by a single point blowing out Phoenix 137-112 on February 4 and then the Bucks again defeating the Pacers as 6-point road dogs 116-110 February 11. Over the last 3 seasons, this rare, but powerful situation is 4-1 ATS for 80% winners.

Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Hawks.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bobby Wing
Mar 22 '17, 7:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Hornets vs Magic
Play on: Hornets -5½ -105 at Bovada

1 Unit Free Pick: Hornets -5½ -105

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Black Widow
Mar 22 '17, 7:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Hornets vs Magic
Play on: Hornets -5½ -107 at 5Dimes

Widow's Free Pick: Charlotte Hornets -5.5

Bets against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Orlando) revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against an opponent that's off a home win by 10 points or more are 31-6 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Charlotte has won 6 straight meetings with Orlando, including a 40-point blowout earlier this month. Give me the Hornets.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jack Jones
Mar 22 '17, 9:05 PM in 4h
NBA | Cavs vs Nuggets
Play on: Cavs -2½ -110 at GTBets

Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Cleveland Cavaliers -2.5

The Cleveland Cavaliers are back healthy now with the trio of Lebron James, Kevin Love and Kyrie Irving. JR Smith also recently returned to the lineup. Now they've had two days off since beating the Lakers on Sunday, so they'll be well-rested and ready to go tonight against the Denver Nuggets.

The Nuggets are starting to feel the pressure of trying to make the playoffs, losing back-to-back heartbreakers to the Rockets by 4 at home and by 1 on the road. It will be tough for them to recover in time to face a team the caliber of the Cavaliers tonight.

The Cavs have had the Nuggets' number, going 6-1 SU & 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. They won 125-109 in their first meeting this season, and 124-91 in their final meeting last season as well. Cleveland is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five trips to Denver.

Denver is 18-34 ATS in its last 52 home games off a road game. The Cavaliers are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 2 days rest. The Nuggets are 1-8 ATS in their last nine Wednesday games. Bet the Cavaliers Wednesday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mike Wynn

Bonus Play: NBA Indiana +8 Over Boston

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jeff Allen Sports

Wednesday's Free Selection is on the Cavs/Nuggets Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR WEDNESDAY: Take DETROIT/CHICAGO OVER the total of 202

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Totals4U

Wednesday's Free Selection: Cleveland/Denver over 230