StatSystems Sports NBA Report, Wednesday 3/2/11
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••• NBA TOP 5: BEST REFEREE BETS •••
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Referee's can be a forgotten factor when handicapping the National Basketball Association odds. When placing an NBA bet, don’t overlook an under-the-radar component: Who is officiating! The outcome of games can be affected by a number of variables, but taking note of the referees can be a useful tip in spotting winners. For example, these five officials represent the friendliest plays depending what type of bet you’re looking to place.
• MARK LINDSAY (Home team 27-15 ATS) - Lindsay’s name isn’t a household one, but bettors would be wise to keep a close eye on him. Lindsay is a relative newbie, in just his fourth season, and is the most favorable official when betting on home teams. This season, 52.5 percent of his calls have come against the road team, giving the home side some added trips to the stripe. In the 42 games he has officiated, the home team holds a 6.1-point scoring differential, which ranks among the upper echelon of all officials. Sunday’s Charlotte-Orlando matchup served as a prime example, with the Magic winning by 14 as 11-point home chalk.
• DERRICK COLLINS (Road team 29-16-3 ATS) - Collins is the guy to key in on when looking for roads teams that cover. The visiting side has done so 29 times in the 48 games he has officiated. Teams at home not only struggle to cover, but they have won outright a mere 56 percent of the time when Collins is blowing the whistle. And when he does make a call, 51.5 percent of the time it’s on the road team – going against this ATS trend. Collins backed up his reputation during Sunday’s tilt between New Orleans and Houston. The Rockets were 6-point underdogs in a tough test on the road and, not only did they easily cover, they pulled out a 91-89 victory.
• SEAN WRIGHT (28-20 over/under) - When Wright is on the court, chances are that a high-scoring affair is in order. Teams are combining for an average 200.4 points when he’s running up and down the sidelines. Wright is the league’s friendliest ref when it comes to taking the over, reaching the mark at a 28-20 clip. Another hint: If the total is at least 205 points, he is eight for 11 in topping it to this point. However, Wright isn’t a whistle happy ref, which would help over bettors by stopping the clock and producing more free throws. He’s tied at 31st among NBA officials in fouls called per game with 42. Friday’s Denver-Portland matchup is an example of his over trend, in which the total was set at 203 points. The number was easily exceeded as the teams scored 213 points with Wright’s crew on the scene.
• RODNEY MOTT (15-36 over/under) - While Wright tends to help produce hefty scoring numbers, Mott is the exact opposite. If he’s on the court, teams are averaging only 196.5 points, which is in the bottom 15 of referees this season. Fifty-eight percent of Mott’s 51 games have finished below the total. He’s tied for 21st in fouls called per game, whistling 46 a night. Even Mott had to be surprised that Thursday’s anticipated high-scoring affair between Boston and Denver underwhelmed as much as it did. Despite the total being 204.5 points, the Celtics and Nuggets came up 40.5 points short, aided by the fact that a Melo-less Denver scored 16 points below its league-high 107.5 average.
• JAMES CAPERS (26-14 ATS, 21-19 over/under) - Capers presents are intriguing option for those looking to parlay the side and total for a given game, leaning towards the home side and the over. Under Caper’s watch, teams are combining for 203.2 points - a mark that sits in the Top 10 of all refs and has been kind to favored host squads. Capers makes 50.3 percent of his calls against the road side and averages 38.9 fouls per game, which is the lowest average among NBA officials this season. Pay particular attention when a sizable spread is in play. Capers is especially kind when teams are favored in the 5-to-9.5-point range, as they are 10-4 ATS in those spots. Conversely, home underdogs have gone just 3-5 in that same range.
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***** WEDNESDAY, MARCH 2ND NBA INFORMATION *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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• HOT TEAMS
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-- Cavaliers are 6-0-1 vs spread in last seven home games.
-- Chicago won.covered seven of its last eight games.
-- Knicks won four of last six games, covered two of last six at home.
-- Celtics won five of their last six games, covered three of last four at home. Suns are 11-3 in last 14 games, winning last two in OT.
-- Pacers are 6-4 vs spread in last ten games as road underdog.
-- Nuggets won four of last five games (5-0 vs spread).
-- Rockets won their last five games (4-1 vs spread).
• COLD TEAMS
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-- Washington lost its last six games (1-5 vs spread). Warriors lost last four games, by 22-16-3-9 points.
-- Spurs are 0-5 vs spread in last five games; they missed injured Parker.
-- Hawks lost six of their last nine games.
-- New Orleans lost nine of its last twelve games.
-- Minnesota lost eight of its last nine games. Pistons lost seven of last nine games, covered three of last four.
-- Oklahoma City is 3-4 in its last seven games.
-- Bobcats lost five of last seven road games.
-- Portland lost three of its last four games. Kings lost five of seven.
-- Clippers lost four in row, 11 of last 13 games.
• BACK-TO-BACK
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-- Golden State is 5-3 vs spread on road if it played the night before.
-- Spurs are 4-1-1 vs spread playing second night in row on road.
-- New York is 8-2-2 vs spread if it played night before. Hornets are 1-4 vs spread if they lost the night before.
-- Minnesota is 5-3 vs spread on road if it played night before. Pistons ae 1-4 vs spread at home if they played night before.
-- Indiana is 2-7 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- Rockets are 7-4 vs spread on road if they played night before.
• TOTALS
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-- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Golden State games.
-- Five of last seven Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Five of Hornets' last six games stayed under the total.
-- Last six Detroit games went over the total. Under is 7-1 in last eight Minnesota games.
-- Four of last five Phoenix games went over the total. Last four Boston home games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Thunder games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Charlotte games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Sacramento games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Houston games.
• KEY TRENDS
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-- The San Antonio Spurs have dropped four straight games against the spread after covering in six of seven prior to that.
-- Chicago has covered in seven of its last eight games, but has dropped six of its last seven meetings with the Atlanta Hawks heading into Wednesday’s contest.
-- Denver has won four of its last five, covering in all five of those games.
• QUICK HITS
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-- GOLDEN STATE @ WASHINGTON, 7:00 PM ET GOLDEN STATE: 13-3 Under playing their 2nd road game in 2 days. WASHINGTON: 9-19 ATS as favorite.
-- SAN ANTONIO @ CLEVELAND, 7:00 PM ET SAN ANTONIO: 17-4 ATS Away off 4+ ATS losses. CLEVELAND: 12-23 ATS at home off ATS win.
-- CHICAGO @ ATLANTA, 7:00 PM ET CHICAGO: 6-1 Over vs. Atlanta. ATLANTA: 6-1 ATS vs. Chicago.
-- NEW ORLEANS @ NEW YORK, 7:30 PM ET NBA NEW ORLEANS: 18-2 Under if favored L4 games. NEW YORK: 20-6 ATS when the total is 200 to 209.5.
-- MINNESOTA @ DETROIT, 7:30 PM ET MINNESOTA: 8-2 Under off home loss by 10+. DETROIT: 10-33 ATS off division game.
-- PHOENIX @ BOSTON, 7:30 PM ET PHOENIX: 47-27 ATS off an Over. BOSTON: 2-12 ATS at home revenging SU loss as home favorite.
-- INDIANA @ OKLAHOMA CITY, 8:00 PM ET INDIANA: 8-0 ATS after allowing 100+ pts BB Games. OKLAHOMA CITY: 28-12 Over as favorite.
-- CHARLOTTE @ DENVER, 9:00 PM ET CHARLOTTE: 15-3 Under off road loss. DENVER: 5-1 ATS at home vs. Charlotte.
-- PORTLAND @ SACRAMENTO, 10:00 PM ET PORTLAND: 14-2 Over Away off SU loss by 15+ as favorite. SACRAMENTO: 19-37 ATS as home underdog of 6 pts or less.
-- HOUSTON @ LA CLIPPERS, 10:30 PM ET NBA HOUSTON: 19-8 ATS at Clippers. LA CLIPPERS: 1-8 ATS off loss by 6 pts or less.
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Stan 'The Man Szumera continues to make history as one of the Nation's Top Sports Gaming Analysts of all time. The Man's reputation as the ultimate Sports Insider expands by the year. His coveted early NCAA College Basketball, along with his National Basketball Association Selections have literally move the number as soon as they're released and there are few analysts in this business today who can equal his big play record over the years.
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••• NBA ATS COUNTDOWN VOL. II •••
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Welcome to the second installment of our National Basketball Association ATS Countdown for the 2010-11 campaign. In each issue, we look at the league’s top five teams against the spread as well as key against the spread situations that should help with your own handicapping process. In addition, we provide a bonus NBA league-wide system from our powerful NBA database. (Note: All results though 2/28). Enough talk here is the league’s top five teams when it comes to covering the spread.
• PHILADELPHIA 76ERS continue to hold onto the top spot in our ATS Countdown with an overall record of 37-21-1 ATS for 63.8 percent winners. They used a 13-9 ATS run since our last installment and this was enough to hold off the hard charging Memphis Grizzlies. The 76ers came back down to earth on their home floor where in our first issue they had a record of 12-4 ATS for 75 percent winners but their recent 6-6 ATS mark gives them a still respectable 18-10 ATS record for 64.3 percent winners. The road is where Philadelphia improved they were ranked ninth with a record of 12-8-1 ATS in our first issue but they have posted a record of 7-3 ATS over their last ten road games to give them an overall road record of 19-11-1 ATS for 63.3 percent and a solid fifth place ranking. KEY ANGLE: The Philadelphia 76ers are 11-0 ATS (+13.7 ppg) since January 16, 1996 with two or more days of rest after a home loss in which their field goal attempt per turnover ratio was less than four.
• MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES take over the number two spot in our countdown using a 16-8 against the spread run to leap from third place in our last issue to second place in Issue II. The Grizzlies are 38-22-1 ATS overall on the season for a superb 63.3 percent winners. The reason for their recent surge can easily be identified when looking at their home-road dichotomy where they turned a number eight ranking on the highway into a number three ranking this time around. Memphis has posted a record of 21-12 ATS on the road this season for 63.6 percent winners. They continued to hold the number three spot when playing at home with a record of 17-10-1 ATS for 63 percent winners. In fact, Memphis improved their ATS win percentage at home and on the road which certainly helps move you up the Countdown leader board. Will the oddsmakers catch up or is there still some value left with this Grizzlies team? KEY ANGLE: The Grizzlies are 9-0 ATS (+8.8 ppg) since January 17, 2004 when they are coming off a win as a home favorite and their opponent is coming off an overtime game.
• NEW YORK KNICKS have fallen one place from number two to number three in our ATS Countdown. This is a bit surprising because the Knicks continued their solid play on the road posting a 6-3 ATS mark since our last countdown for an overall mark on the highway of 20-8-1 ATS (71.4%) which is still good enough for the top spot. New York’s play at the Garden really improved with a 9-3 ATS record since our last issue and an overall record of 18-10 ATS for 64.3 percent winners, which is good enough for second place when playing at home. Even though the lineup has changed in Gotham in recent days there should still be situations presented that will allow us to make a profit. KEY ANGLE: The New York Knicks are 10-0 ATS (+6.7 ppg) since April 06, 2000 with two or more days rest after a double-digit road loss in which they scored less than 15 percent of their points from the free throw line.
• CHICAGO BULLS enter the Countdown for the first time this season and they check in at number four with an overall ATS record of 34-22-1 ATS for 60.7 percent winners. The ATS strength of the Bulls comes in the Second City where they hold the number one ranking with a record of 19-10-1 ATS for 65.5 percent winners. It’s when they hit the highway that they struggle checking in with a record of 15-12 ATS for 55.6 percent, which is only good enough for a ninth place ranking away from home. Chicago will have to improve on the highway if they hope to move up in the Countdown as we see the top three teams all play well both at home and on the road when it comes to covering the spread. KEY ANGLE: The Chicago Bulls are 10-0 ATS (8.9 ppg) since January 16, 2008 as an underdog when playing the last game of at least a three game road trip.
• SAN ANTONIO SPURS are the second newcomer in this issue of the Countdown and they hold the number five spot with an overall record of 34-23-2 ATS for 59.6 percent winners. The Spurs claim to fame so far this season is the fact they hold the best record in the league when it comes to just winning games. They are 49-10 SU for 83.1 percent winners almost a full ten percentage points ahead of their nearest competitor who is Boston at 42-15 SU and 73.7 percent winners. However, we are not here to pine over the Spurs straight up accomplishments, our sole purpose is to locate spread winners and the teams that will most likely help us achieve our master plan. In looking at the Spurs we note they have been overvalued at home posting a record of 15-14-1 ATS (51.7%) which is only good enough for tenth place in the league. San Antonio’s strength comes when they take to the road where they are number two in the league against the spread with a record of 19-9-1 ATS for 67.9 percent winners. KEY ANGLE: The San Antonio Spurs are 13-0 ATS (+6.7 ppg) since January 30, 1998 as a road favorite with at most one day of rest after a win in which they controlled at least sixty percent of the available rebounds.
• NBA COUNTDOWN BONUS SYSTEM: PLAY AGAINST NBA teams with less than two days rest, off a straight up loss in which they missed more free throws than their opponent attempted in that game. Playing against these teams has produced a record of 1-23-1 ATS since 1999 failing to cover the spread by an average of 8.1 points per game.
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Stan 'The Man Szumera has been a Hugely Successful Sports Handicapper for over 30 years. 'The Man has learned to see the value in examining historical and recent trends, situational matchups, injuries, travel, weather and the psychological aspect of the mindset of coaches and players, etc. Researching these and understanding their value gives Stan winning angles for his clients and is the key to his success. He maximizes the earning potential for his clients while minimizing risks!
'The Man's ability to WIN and WIN BIG has earned him a reputation as one of the sharpest of the sharps in the industry today. Szumera's Stat/Systems Sports Investment Company has served a large client base on the East Coast for over 30 years. Stan has helped create wealth for his private clients, many of them uninformed sports enthusiasts that needed help to win, while growing his business into the Sports Information Network it is today!
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••• NOTES & TIPS •••
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--The new-look Boston Celtics will play their first home game since last week's big trade when they host the Phoenix Suns on Wednesday night. The Celtics (43-15 straight-up, 28-28-2 against the spread) are still one of the favorites in the Eastern Conference, but have gotten national rebuke for last Thursday’s trade that sent Kendrick Perkins and Nate Robinson to Oklahoma City for Jeff Green and Nenad Krstic. NBA futures have Boston at plus 230 to win the East. That’s solidly behind Miami (plus 145), with Chicago (plus 250) right on its heels. The trade of Perkins was shocking as he’s a solid defender and needed in the trenches in the playoffs to match up with the likes of Dwight Howard. Perkins was scheduled to become an unrestricted free agent and couldn’t come to terms. He just signed a four-year extension with Oklahoma City. Boston fans are not happy with this trade, even getting a proven scorer like Green (14.8 PPG). The players are reportedly still upset as well. The team did get a commitment from 6-foot-11 Troy Murphy on Tuesday, but that won’t soften the blow.
--As he hobbled about the New York Knicks' locker room Tuesday night, wincing from the pain in his bruised left thigh, Chauncey Billups did not look or sound like a man who would be ready to play against New Orleans Wednesday night in the Garden. Billups managed to make 18 of 20 free throws and score 30 points before Howard's knee put him out of commission with 2:13 to go. The Knicks point guard called the injury a "pretty deep contusion," and said he would decide whether he could play against the Hornets after testing the leg Wednesday. As soundly as Billups has played in the four games since being dealt by Denver in the Carmelo Anthony trade, his absence would amount to a devastating blow to the Knicks' lineup. Asked Tuesday night if he needed to feel much better in 21 hours to suit up in the Garden, Billups said, "Yeah, sure. For me to come out at that stage of the game is rare."
--The Miami Heat cleared room on their roster Tuesday for the expected addition of free-agent point guard Mike Bibby by releasing seldom-used guard Carlos Arroyo. Miami's roster now stands at 14 players, freeing up a spot to sign Bibby, who was released by the Washington Wizards after reaching a buyout agreement in which he gave up next year's $6.2 million salary. "This was a very difficult decision to make because Carlos has done a great job for this team and this organization," Heat President Pat Riley said. "He is truly a first class individual and professional. We wish him nothing but the best." But the Heat's players were already in a welcoming mood for Bibby, who officially clears waivers at 6 p.m. ET Wednesday. Heat forward LeBron James said he was on the verge of becoming teammates with Bibby in Cleveland several years ago before the veteran guard was traded from Sacramento to Atlanta. This time James won't miss out on sharing a perimeter role with Bibby.
--Dallas center Tyson Chandler left late in the first half of the Mavericks' 101-93 win against the 76ers on Tuesday night with a sprained right ankle. Chandler grabbed his right ankle after he collapsed to the court trying to block a shot. He briefly stood and grabbed his knee before going back down. Chandler limped off the court and headed straight to the locker room. Dallas coach Rick Carlisle had no update on Chandler's injury following the game. After the win, Chandler tweeted: "Thank you everyone for the Get Wells I'm ok just a sprain." He is averaging 10.5 points and 9.5 rebounds this season.
--Milwaukee Bucks center Andrew Bogut will miss at least a week with a muscle strain in his ribcage area, coach Scott Skiles said Tuesday. Bogut was injured in the final minutes of the Bucks' 83-75 loss to the Chicago Bulls on Saturday night. The injury is another blow to the team, which is already missing Ersan Ilyasova after suffering a concussion in practice on Friday. Skiles also said Luc Richard Mbah a Moute was ill and might not play against the Detroit Pistons on Tuesday night. Jon Brockman and rookie Larry Sanders will get more playing time, Skiles said. In addition, the team signed center Earl Barron to a 10-day contract and Skiles said he could play Tuesday night.
--Baron Davis, Cleveland Cavaliers: Davis’ wonky knee will reportedly keep him out of Wednesday’s home date with the San Antonio Spurs and coach Byron Scott is now hoping Davis will be able to make his debut with the Cavs by this weekend. Scott insists that Davis will likely be his starter at the point once he’s ready to go. The 31-year-old was putting up 12.8 points and seven assists per game with the Los Angeles Clippers before last week’s trade.
--Pistons bench boss John Kuester is wiping the slate clean following a falling out with his club over the weekend that resulted in a number of the team's regulars riding the pine. After a rotten first half of the season, he says all positions on the club are now up for grabs, which may actually provide a bit of healthy competition within the Pistons. Detroit had won just twice in the last 10 games heading into Tuesday’s date with the Bucks but continue to cash in for supporters sitting at 33-28 ATS. That trend held true against Milwaukee as the Pistons dropped a 92-90 decision but covered as a 3.5-point underdog.
--The Portland Trail Blazers continue to handle Brandon Roy’s delicate knee situation very carefully. He is expected to be in the lineup Tuesday night, but will then sit out the second half of Portland’s back-to-back Wednesday at Sacramento. Even when Roy’s able to suit up, he’s playing on a strict minute count at this point, while the Trail Blazers had dropped three straight against the number heading into Tuesday’s date at home to Houston.
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• NOTE: NBA betting is becoming more popular each year. This is known as one of the sports where a smart bettor who practiced proper money management can make some really huge profits. Once a bettor begins to study and understand NBA Odds, he or she can gain a better understanding of how the bookies set their numbers. The bookies set a lot of these NBA Odds with the public in mind. They know the public is going to bet the Lakers and Bulls (and other public teams) every week so there are some great situations to get good numbers by going against teams like that.
It is always best to shop around when looking for the best NBA Odds. Many different books release different numbers and NBA Odds always tend to differ at each sportsbook. If you are truly interested in finding the best NBA Odds, it is always best to have funded accounts at - at least five sportsbooks.
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*** #701 GOLDEN STATE @ #702 WASHINGTON (-1, O/U 214) ***
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Golden State is off to a poor start on its longest road trip of the season. Even a matchup with the lowly Washington Wizards might not guarantee things will get better for the struggling Warriors. The Warriors look to avoid a fifth consecutive loss overall Wednesday night to the Wizards, who have dropped six in a row themselves. After losing to Boston and Atlanta on a brief homestand, Golden State (26-33) has dropped the first two stops on its seven-game trip. The Warriors opened the stretch with a 126-123 loss at struggling Minnesota on Sunday, then followed with a 109-100 defeat at Indiana on Tuesday.
The four-game skid likely drained any momentum the Warriors built up by winning seven of the previous nine contests. Golden State is 12th in the Western Conference, 6 1/2 games out of the eighth and final playoff spot. While Golden State ranks near the bottom of the NBA allowing 105.9 points per game, it has given up 111.3 per contest the last four games. The Warriors allowed Indiana to shoot 51.2 percent from the field in the second half Tuesday. “I think we’re focused on what we’re trying to do,” guard Stephen Curry said of the Warriors’ defense. “We have a lot of effort. We have to look at film and see what teams are doing. I’m trying to find an answer. I don’t really have one.”
Though it would seem Golden State has a good chance to get back on track versus a Washington team that has lost 17 of 20, the Warriors have lost three of four overall and two straight on the road against the Wizards. Washington averaged 115.0 points on 51.1 percent shooting to sweep the two-game season series versus Golden State in 2009-10. The Wizards (15-44), however, have averaged 92.5 points during their current six-game skid. Washington has lost four of the last eight games by 20 or more points. It shot 35.6 percent in Monday’s 105-77 home loss to Chicago.
“Our fans were trying to fight back for us,” said Washington forward Andray Blatche who has totaled 46 points and 18 rebounds the last two home games versus Golden State. “But it came to the point where we didn’t give them no reason to fight back after we were down by 20-something.” Though Washington has struggled, rookie point guard John Wall is playing better. Despite being held to nine points against Chicago, Wall has averaged 19.9 the last seven games. He’ll matchup for the first time against Curry, who has totaled 53 points the last two games. The second-year point guard scored 27 points in each of the two losses to Washington last season.
Curry had 20 points while Reggie Williams scored 25 off the bench Tuesday as the Warriors, who could not hold a nine-point first-half lead. Among the NBA scoring leaders averaging 24.7 points, Golden State’s Monta Ellis was held to 13 at Indiana. He’s averaged 16.0 points during the four-game skid. A day after Washington bought out the contract of veteran Mike Bibby who played just two games since being traded to the Wizards last week, the club did the same with forward Al Thornton on Tuesday. The Warriors are reportedly interested in the forward, who averaged 8.0 points and 3.2 rebounds in 49 games for the Wizards.
--WASHINGTON is 3-14 against the 1rst half line (-12.4 Units) vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 45.8, OPPONENT 53.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 13-1 UNDER (+11.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.
The average score was WASHINGTON 96.1, OPPONENT 94.2 - (Rating = 4*)
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Golden St by 1; O/U 209.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Washington -1
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Golden St -0.57
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY AGAINST - Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (WASHINGTON) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 85 points or less.
(26-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.8%, +19.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +100.6
The average score in these games was: Team 106.8, Opponent 100.7 (Average point differential = +6.1)
The situation's record this season is: (5-1, +3.5 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-5, +18.1 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (28-11, +16.7 units).
--PLAY AGAINST - Underdogs (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against an average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games.
(50-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.5%, +29.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (56-13 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.2
The average score in these games was: Team 105.3, Opponent 96.6 (Average point differential = +8.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 31 (47% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (41-19).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (127-89).
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Experience is what this business is all about, and good money can be made if one has the right connections. Stan 'The Man' prides himself on uncovering the edge that gives his customers the ability to beat the sports books on a consistent basis. Stan is a full time Expert Handicapper that can help you consistently beat the books. With any package that you purchase it is fully guaranteed that you show a profit, or he'll extend your service at no charge. If you have any questions about our services call us toll-free in the office at 1-800 -351-4640, “You’ll be real glad you did!” –Stan ‘The Man
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*** #703 SAN ANTONIO (-9, O/U 201) @ #704 CLEVELAND ***
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The San Antonio Spurs' defense suffered in their first game without Tony Parker, but plenty of those struggles could be attributed to their carelessness with the basketball. San Antonio might be able to get away with a few mistakes against the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Spurs look to avoid consecutive losses for just the second time this season in Wednesday night's visit with the Cavaliers, who begin life without Antawn Jamison in a matchup of the league's best and worst teams. Parker strained his left calf in Sunday's 95-88 win over Memphis, and is expected to miss two to four weeks.
It's the first significant injury for San Antonio (49-11), and the absence of the three-time All-Star was felt immediately in the back end of a home-and-home with the Grizzlies. The Spurs' 21 turnovers Tuesday at FedEx Forum led to 30 Memphis points, and the Grizzlies shot 52.8 percent in dealing San Antonio a 109-93 loss. "It wasn't just the turnovers, it was the offensive boards along with the lack of focus," coach Gregg Popovich said. "It was a disappointing night, and that's not something to be proud of." The loss to Memphis marked just the second time all season the Spurs didn't have their regular starting five of Parker, Manu Ginobili, Richard Jefferson, Tim Duncan and DeJuan Blair.
"He is our leader on the court," Ginobili said of Parker. "He's the one that makes the decisions and calls the plays. He handles the pressure and creates for us, so he's a pretty big part of who we are." George Hill, who averaged 15.5 points while Parker was out with a broken finger from March 8-April 4, had six points and six turnovers Tuesday. Meanwhile, Cleveland (11-48) has played with plenty of different lineups during its forgettable season, and it's about to try another one. Jamison who leads the Cavaliers with 18.0 points per game broke his left pinky finger in Sunday's 95-91 loss to Philadelphia and likely won't play again in 2010-11.
"That's a tough one on us," coach Byron Scott said. "He's one of our leaders, one of our better communicators out there on the floor. It hurts us big time." Undrafted rookie Samardo Samuels will start in Jamison's place alongside forward J.J. Hickson. Cleveland will unveil another new lineup when Baron Davis is ready to go, but it doesn't look like that'll happen Wednesday. Davis, who came over from the Los Angeles Clippers last week, has been bothered by a sore knee and isn't expected to make his Cavaliers debut until Friday at the earliest. Forward Luke Harangody, another trade deadline pickup, will play Wednesday.
Parker had a team-high 19 points when the Spurs beat the Cavaliers 116-92 on Nov. 20 in San Antonio, but Tiago Splitter also came up big with a season-high 18 points off the bench. Splitter scored seven points Tuesday after missing seven games with a strained left hamstring. Hill struggled in Parker's place against the Grizzlies, but shined March 8 at Cleveland in the first game Parker missed with his broken finger. Hill had 23 points and Ginobili scored 38, but the Cavaliers won 97-95 despite playing without LeBron James. Ginobili had 46 points in a 112-105 win at Cleveland on Feb. 13, 2008 -- the Spurs' only victory there in their last five visits. San Antonio's lone back-to-back losses came Jan. 4-5 at Boston and New York, respectively.
--CLEVELAND is 8-24 against the 1rst half line (-18.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 49.5, OPPONENT 58.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 95.3, OPPONENT 109.8 - (Rating = 3*)
*STAN'S FORECASTER - San Antonio by 11; O/U 201
*STAN'S POWER LINE - San Antonio -7
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - San Antonio -12.84
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY ON - Road favorites vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - good FT shooting team (76-79%) against an average FT shooting team (72-76%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 42+ games.
(62-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.7%, +39.9 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -170
The average score in these games was: Team 105.2, Opponent 97.3 (Average point differential = +7.9)
The situation's record this season is: (17-5, +8.8 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (56-9, +40 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (107-40, +38.1 units).
--PLAY ON - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (SAN ANTONIO) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more.
(34-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.3%, +23.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 56.1, Opponent 50.8 (Average first half point differential = +5.3)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (27-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (41-20).
--PLAY ON - Road favorites (SAN ANTONIO) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more.
(50-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.5%, +30.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (56-13 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.1
The average score in these games was: Team 102.4, Opponent 93.7 (Average point differential = +8.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 25 (37.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (38-13).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (83-58).
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*** #705 CHICAGO @ #706 ATLANTA (NL) ***
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While many expected the teams currently ahead of Chicago to be fighting for the Eastern Conference's top seed, few predicted the Bulls would also be in the thick of the race. Looking to surpass their win total from last season, the surging Bulls continue their road trip Wednesday night against the Atlanta Hawks, who return home seeking an eighth win in nine games in the series. After beating Milwaukee 83-75 on Saturday, the Bulls (41-17) easily defeated Washington 105-77 on Monday night on the second stop of their five-game trek to move one game behind Miami and remain two behind East-leading Boston.
Chicago's trip is about to get more difficult, though, with matchups against Orlando and the Heat following their visit to Atlanta. The Bulls, who face the Hawks three times in the next three weeks, have lost five straight at Atlanta by an average of 16.2 points and seven of eight overall in the series. MVP candidate Derrick Rose scored 32 points on Dec. 19, 2009, leading his team to its only victory over that span, 101-98 in overtime. Chicago has won seven of eight overall and has limited opponents to 80.3 points on 38.0 percent shooting during a three-game winning streak, defense that could make things difficult on Atlanta.
The Hawks (36-24) are averaging just 89.4 points, 6.8 fewer than their season mark over their last nine games and return to Philips Arena after losing four of seven on their recent trip. "It's acceptable," coach Larry Drew said of the trip. "It could have been a lot worse. That's what I told the guys. We're still in a position where we can control our own destiny." The fifth-place Hawks had won 14 of 16 at home prior to back-to-back losses before the trip, and will probably need to slow down two of Chicago's best players if they hope to avoid matching their longest home skid of the season.
Rose had 21 points, nine assists and five rebounds against the Wizards while Joakim Noah recorded 19 points on 8-of-10 shooting and 11 boards for his first double-double in four games since missing 30 with a torn ligament in his right thumb. "He's back, almost to the point he was at before the injury," coach Tom Thibodeau told NBA.com. "His activity is off the charts. His defense is terrific, his rebounding is very good, and you can see he's starting to get a lot more comfortable offensively." While Chicago is getting used to having one of its stars back, the Hawks could be without one of theirs after Josh Smith suffered a knee injury in a 100-90 loss at Denver on Monday night.
Smith was averaging 22.0 points in his previous three games prior to scoring 10 before leaving in the second quarter. He was unable to return and his status for Wednesday remains in question. Joe Johnson scored 22 for the second consecutive night after averaging 11.4 points on 39.8 percent shooting in his previous seven games. Johnson is averaging 23.5 points in his last six meetings with Chicago, including two 40-point efforts. The Hawks acquired guard Kirk Hinrich, who spent his first seven years in the league with the Bulls, from Washington prior to Thursday's trade deadline, but he was held out Monday with a sore right calf and could miss this game.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Chicago by 1; O/U 186.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Chicago -5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Chicago -2.67
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games.
(32-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (84.2%, +25.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.2, Opponent 47.4 (Average first half point differential = +2.8)
The situation's record this season is: (6-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-3).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (55-28).
PLAY UNDER - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (CHICAGO) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%).
(85-40 since 1996.) (68.0%, +41.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 97.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.5, Opponent 45.8 (Total first half points scored = 94.2)
The situation's record this season is: (5-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-9).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (29-13).
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*** #707 NEW ORLEANS @ #708 NEW YORK (-3.5, O/U 201.5) ***
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Adding Carmelo Anthony and Chauncey Billups has certainly sparked the New York Knicks offensively. It's been their defensive play that's been the major problem. Potentially missing Billups may exacerbate those issues. The Knicks may need to overcome the absence of their point guard to show some improvement defensively, as they try to beat the sputtering New Orleans Hornets for the sixth consecutive time Wednesday night at Madison Square Garden. New York (30-28) has split four games since acquiring Anthony and Billups in a three-team, 13-player trade from Denver on Feb. 22. Anthony is averaging 27.0 points and 7.8 rebounds, while Billups has 23.3 points and 6.0 assists per game since the move.
That's helped the Knicks average 106.0 points in that stretch, but they're allowing 106.3. Those defensive troubles were evident during Tuesday's 116-110 loss at Orlando. New York squandered an 11-point halftime lead by getting outscored 69-52 in the second half while allowing the Magic to hit 13 of 19 shots in the fourth quarter. "I don't like to make excuses, but not being together on the defensive end, not practicing, not getting the repetitions... I think it gets confusing out there at times. That will come with time," Anthony said after making 8 of 24 shots for 25 points Tuesday.
Gaining some familiarity could be difficult since Billups is questionable after leaving in the fourth quarter Tuesday with a left thigh bruise. New York's lax defensive play has been a theme in three seasons under coach Mike D'Antoni. The team is allowing 106.6 points per game since he was hired, fewer than only Golden State's league-worst 110.7 over that stretch. "We'll have to tighten up a lot of things," D'Antoni said, also referring to the Knicks' shooting 38.0 percent, 25.0 from 3-point range over the last two games. "We'll have to get a little bit better without a doubt."
Anthony was limited to 3-for-11 shooting and eight points in a 96-87 loss to New Orleans with the Nuggets on Jan. 9. He had averaged 28.0 points and 12.8 boards over the previous four meetings. Amar'e Stoudemire, third in the NBA at 26.0 points per game, could make a major difference versus the Hornets (35-27). The forward-center is averaging 31.7 points and 11.3 rebounds over his last three games against them. Stoudemire scored 34 points with 10 boards to power a 100-92 win at New Orleans on Dec. 3, as the Knicks extended their winning streak in the series to five.
The Hornets have dropped 11 of 15 after their spiral continued with Tuesday's 96-90 loss at last-place Toronto. Chris Paul has struggled greatly over the last two games, both losses making 5 of 22 shots while missing all four 3-point attempts to total 13 points. He's hit just 4 of 23 from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, averaging 12.4 points. "I don't know, I don't know," Paul said. "I'm getting a lot of shots. A lot of shots are right there. I think I've got to find a rhythm or something like that, find a way to get some easy baskets." The All-Star point guard is averaging 25.6 points and 10.4 assists his last five visits to New York.
--NEW YORK is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season.
The average score was NEW YORK 107.6, OPPONENT 104.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% this season.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 95.3, OPPONENT 95.7 - (Rating = 3*)
*STAN'S FORECASTER - New York by 2; O/U 198.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - New York -4
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - New York -1.37
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (NEW ORLEANS) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days.
(29-4 since 1996.) (87.9%, +24.6 units. Rating = 5*)
The average total posted in these games was: 206.9
The average score in these games was: Team 98.8, Opponent 98 (Total points scored = 196.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 23 (69.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-1).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, tired team - playing their 2nd road game in 2 days.
(89-19 since 1996.) (82.4%, +45.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -228.2
The average score in these games was: Team 100.1, Opponent 91.3 (Average point differential = +8.8)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2, -0.1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-4, +15.5 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (41-5, +30.7 units).
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less.
(36-12 since 1996.) (75.0%, +22.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (23-25)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 5.5
The average score in these games was: Team 95.7, Opponent 96.1 (Average point differential = -0.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 21 (45.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
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*** #709 MINNESOTA @ #710 DETROIT (NL) ***
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Despite the drama surrounding the Detroit Pistons during the past week, they maintain a playoff berth remains a possibility in the weak Eastern Conference. One of the few positives remaining in the Minnesota Timberwolves' disappointing season is Kevin Love's double-double streak. Detroit looks to avenge an earlier defeat when it hosts Minnesota on Wednesday night. The return of Richard Hamilton, who reportedly attempted to organize a boycott of the pregame shootaround Friday in Philadelphia, couldn't help the Pistons (22-40) as they fell 92-90 to Milwaukee on Tuesday. Hamilton shot 4 of 17 and scored 10 points in 26 minutes in his first game since Feb. 5 as he clashed with coach John Kuester.
"My shot felt terrible," Hamilton said. "It felt terrible. The good thing is that I was able to get to where I wanted to get to on the floor, but every bread and butter shot that I pride myself on I missed. "I expect it," Hamilton added. "That was only my second game in almost two months. I didn't expect it was going to be great. I just told myself, talk to your legs." Kuester said now that he and Hamilton are on the same page, he expects his veteran guard to contribute. Hamilton scored 26 points Dec. 10 in a 109-99 loss at Minnesota. "He had some great looks," Kuester said.
"Normally, he'll knock those shots down so I was very pleased with his energy. His approach to the game was outstanding, so we'll get him going." Rodney Stuckey scored 25 points for Detroit, which has lost nine of 11 and is 6 1/2 games back of eighth-place Indiana in the East. Still, forward Charlie Villanueva said the Pistons' goal is to make the postseason. "We have to make a decision," Villanueva said. "Are we going to have a terrible season or are we all going to come together and make a push? The guys decided we're going to make a push."
A starting point would be a victory against Western Conference-worst Minnesota, which lost 90-79 to the Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday. Love extended his double-double streak to 47 with 13 points and 11 rebounds, but shot 2 for 10. The Wolves (14-47) were held to their lowest point total since a 106-78 loss to Portland on Nov. 21, 2009, and scored fewer than 100 points for the seventh time in eight games. Wes Johnson led Minnesota with 20 points and Michael Beasley added 14. Tuesday marked the fewest points the Wolves have allowed since a 103-87 win Jan. 29 against Toronto.
Minnesota ranks last in the NBA, giving up 107.7 points per game. "It's disheartening for our guys to do a good job on defense, scrambling, helping, doing everything, and then how many times did (the Lakers) take a difficult shot and make it?," coach Kurt Rambis told the league's official website. Minnesota has lost eight of nine, with the only victory in that stretch coming Sunday when Love had 37 points and 23 boards in a 126-123 win against Golden State. Minnesota lost last season's meeting in Detroit, 108-85 on Feb. 16, despite 22 points and 15 rebounds from Love.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Detroit by 4.5; O/U 201.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Detroit -6
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Detroit -4.93
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (DETROIT) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (<=25%).
(37-13 since 1996.) (74%, +22.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.8, Opponent 51.5 (Average first half point differential = -0.7)
The situation's record this season is: (3-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-6).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites (DETROIT) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record.
(46-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.8%, +25.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (36-30 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4.4
The average score in these games was: Team 97.8, Opponent 97.7 (Average point differential = +0)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 32 (48.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-13).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (82-51).
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*** #711 PHOENIX @ #712 BOSTON (-6.5, O/U 198) ***
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Channing Frye's second straight game-winning shot kept the Phoenix Suns surging toward playoff position in the Western Conference. Frye was also a major factor in the Suns' first meeting of the season with the Boston Celtics, but for an entirely different reason than timely offense. Frye and the Suns head to TD Garden for Wednesday night's rematch of their physical January victory over the Celtics, their third straight win in the series. After hitting a jumper as time expired to beat Indiana 110-108 in overtime Sunday, Frye stepped up again Monday in a thrilling 104-103 OT win over New Jersey. His 3-pointer with 6.6 seconds remaining in the extra period lifted Phoenix to its season-best fifth road victory in a row.
"This is extremely humbling," he said. "To be honest I'm not really nervous about the last-second shot. We got a win that we really needed. We just need to play better at the end of the games." Phoenix, though, has played well enough to win 11 of 14 and move into contention for a playoff berth. The Suns have won four in a row overall, one shy of tying their season high and extended their longest road win streak of the season to five Sunday. Phoenix is 3-0 on its six-game trip. Frye came in having averaged 20.0 points and 48.9 percent shooting from beyond the arc in his previous six games, but was held to seven against the Nets.
He also didn't produce much against Boston on Jan. 28, scoring five points and going 1 of 7 from the field, but he certainly made an impact. The Celtics' Kevin Garnett was involved in two confrontations with Suns players in the contest, the second coming when he reached out and struck Frye in the groin area late in the fourth quarter. After falling, Frye went back at Garnett and the two bumped faces and needed to be separated. Garnett was hit with two technical fouls and ejected, while Frye and now-former Celtics Nate Robinson and Kendrick Perkins also received technical’s.
Frye said afterward that Garnett's action wasn't "an appropriate play to make." Phoenix, however, was on its way to holding the Celtics to a season-low point total in an 88-71 victory, which began its 11-3 surge. The Suns took the last matchup at TD Garden 110-103 on Nov. 6, 2009. Boston (43-15) has also been hot of late, winning five of six. The Celtics defeated Utah 107-102 on Monday behind some clutch late-game play of their own, as Ray Allen made a key jumper with just under a minute left. "It's a privilege to be able to play with a guy like that," forward Paul Pierce said of Allen, who finished with 25 points.
"You watch him down the stretch, and it's something beautiful." Allen, though, has struggled during Boston's three-game skid to Phoenix, averaging 13.0 points. The Celtics, leading the league in scoring defense at 91.3 points allowed, will face a Suns team that averages 104.7 on the road, among the most in the NBA. Phoenix is 1-10 away from home when it scores fewer than 100 points. Boston reportedly added Troy Murphy on Tuesday after the 6-foot-11 forward was bought out by Golden State last week. His status for Wednesday's game is uncertain.
--BOSTON is 6-20 against the 1rst half line (-16.0 Units) after a game where they covered the spread this season.
The average score was BOSTON 47.9, OPPONENT 47.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 103.8, OPPONENT 96.4 - (Rating = 3*)
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Boston by 8; O/U 195.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Boston -5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Boston -9.23
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY AGAINST - Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots.
(52-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (86.7%, +34.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -220
The average score in these games was: Team 105.3, Opponent 96.7 (Average point differential = +8.7)
The situation's record this season is: (9-3, +1.6 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (36-7, +20.1 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (59-12, +32.6 units).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites vs. the 1rst half line (BOSTON) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 85 points against opponent off a road win.
(58-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.5%, +33.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.4, Opponent 49.4 (Average first half point differential = 0)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (32-14).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (144-119).
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*** #713 INDIANA @ #714 OKLAHOMA CITY (-7.5, O/U 210.5) ***
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Oklahoma City will have to wait a couple more weeks before the recently acquired Kendrick Perkins takes the floor. In the meantime, the Thunder may want to focus on the immediate task of ending their first three-game losing streak of the season. Oklahoma City looks for its first season-series sweep against Indiana in four years when the Thunder host the Pacers on Wednesday night. Not since the then-Seattle SuperSonics won both meetings against Indiana during the 2006-07 season has the franchise won a series between the teams. To accomplish the feat, the Thunder (36-22) also will have to avoid their first four-game skid since April 3-8, 2009.
Oklahoma City dropped three consecutive games to a trio of the NBA's best teams, capped by Sunday's 90-87 loss against the Los Angeles Lakers. The defeat followed losses to San Antonio last Wednesday and Orlando on Friday. The Thunder were held to fewer than 90 points in two straight games for the first time since Nov. 19-20, and scored a season-low 31 second-half points. Russell Westbrook led Oklahoma City with 22 points, and Kevin Durant added 21. "These last couple games, it's felt like nothing has gone our way, but we've got to keep pushing, keep fighting and stay positive," Durant said.
Good news came Tuesday when Oklahoma City agreed to a four-year, $36 million extension with Perkins, who was acquired along with Nate Robinson from Boston on Thursday for Jeff Green, Nenad Krstic and a future first-round pick. Perkins is still recovering from a sprained left knee and won't be available immediately. The stretch against tough competition should help prepare the Thunder for Indiana, which it beat 110-106 in overtime Nov. 26. Westbrook scored a career-high 43 points in helping lead Oklahoma City back from a 14-point deficit. Danny Granger scored 30 in that loss and netted 27 points, hitting 16 of 16 free throws on Tuesday in the Pacers' 109-100 win against Golden State.
The victory snapped a two-game skid for Indiana (27-32) as it moved a game ahead of ninth-place Charlotte for the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. "This was a good win, not necessarily a big win," said Tyler Hansbrough, who had 14 points. "We really needed (the victory) after those two losses." Indiana had lost four of its previous six games, including an 11-point defeat at home to struggling Utah on Friday followed by Sunday's 110-108 overtime loss to Phoenix when the Suns' Channing Frye hit a shot at the buzzer.
Indiana has averaged 105.9 points while going 10-5 since Jan. 31 under interim coach Frank Vogel -- a stark contrast to a 17-27 mark and 97.8 points-per game average under former coach Jim O'Brien. "That's a win that falls in line with the identity we want for this team," Vogel said. "Our tempo was great and carried us in the fourth quarter." The Thunder won last season's meeting in Oklahoma City, 108-102 on Jan. 9, 2010. Durant scored 40 points and Granger had 25.
--INDIANA is 20-6 OVER (+13.4 Units) the 1rst half total versus the 1rst half line in road games this season.
The average score was INDIANA 52.0, OPPONENT 52.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 13-1 OVER (+11.9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after a game where they made 85% of their free throws or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 54.6, OPPONENT 55.5 - (Rating = 3*)
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Oklahoma City by 8; O/U 208
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Oklahoma City -10
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Oklahoma City -5.78
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (INDIANA) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less.
(47-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +26.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 208.6
The average score in these games was: Team 98.3, Opponent 102.6 (Total points scored = 200.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 36 (54.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (5-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-14).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (69-46).
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*** #715 CHARLOTTE @ #716 DENVER (-7.5, O/U 201.5) ***
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The Denver Nuggets have fared well since trading All-Star forward Carmelo Anthony. The Charlotte Bobcats might need a little more time to get settled after dealing Gerald Wallace. The new-look Nuggets look to win their fifth straight at the Pepsi Center on Wednesday night when they face the Bobcats, whose only victory in Denver came four years ago. Since trading Anthony and Chauncey Billups to New York in a blockbuster three-team deal Feb. 22, Denver (35-26) has won three of four to move into a fifth-place tie with New Orleans in the Western Conference. Despite newcomer Danilo Gallinari sitting out with a fractured big toe that will likely keep him out at least a week, the Nuggets defeated Atlanta 100-90 on Monday with their fourth different lineup in as many games since the Anthony deal.
J.R. Smith scored a team-high 19 points off the bench, former Knick Wilson Chandler added 15 while Raymond Felton had 16 and seven assists in his best performance in three games since being acquired from New York. "A lot of lineups can work," said Felton, who spent his first five seasons with the Bobcats before signing with the Knicks in July. "We've got a deep team. It will take (coach George Karl) a while, but I know coach is a great coach... He'll figure it out." Bobcats coach Paul Silas is trying to do the same with his retooled lineup. With the team acquiring center Joel Przybilla, reserve forward Dante Cunningham and center Sean Marks from Portland on Thursday for Wallace, Charlotte (26-33) is looking to move on without its top rebounder and second-leading scorer.
Stephen Jackson has slid over to the forward spot in the two games since the trade, averaging 32.5 points, while Gerald Henderson has joined the starting backcourt alongside D.J. Augustin. After defeating Sacramento 110-98 on Friday in their first game without Wallace, the Bobcats lost 100-86 at Orlando on Sunday to open a four-game trip. They missed a chance to move past Indiana for the eighth and final playoff spot in the East. Przybilla, Cunningham and D.J. White, acquired Thursday in a deal that sent Nazr Mohammed to Oklahoma City, made their Bobcats debuts Sunday but combined for just six points off the bench.
"We missed a lot of personnel stuff," said Jackson, who had 35 points. "On defense (we) made a lot of mistakes. We've just got to come in tomorrow and get better. First game, can't take anything from it." Playing in Denver might not be the best place for the Bobcats to get better results. Charlotte has dropped three straight at the Pepsi Center by an average of 12.6 points and five of six all-time, with the only win coming Jan. 29, 2007. The Nuggets, who play seven of eight on the road following this matchup, last won five in a row at home during a season-best 10-game run from Nov. 5-Dec. 14. Denver had its season-high seven-game winning streak snapped with a 100-98 loss at Charlotte on Dec. 7 that also temporarily prevented Karl from earning his 1,000th NBA coaching victory.
--CHARLOTTE is 15-2 UNDER (+12.8 Units) the 1rst half total off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 44.7, OPPONENT 43.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 15-3 UNDER (+11.7 Units) off a road loss this season.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 88.9, OPPONENT 93.2 - (Rating = 3*)
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Denver by 8; O/U 204.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Denver -5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Denver -8.46
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY ON - Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (DENVER) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days.
(61-13 since 1996.) (82.4%, +36.8 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -192.3
The average score in these games was: Team 100, Opponent 91.3 (Average point differential = +8.7)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4, +8.7 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (24-4, +15.6 units).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season.
(37-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.0%, +22.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 204.7
The average score in these games was: Team 101.5, Opponent 96.7 (Total points scored = 198.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 30 (58.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-9).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (64-37).
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*** #717 PORTLAND (-3, O/U 197) @ #718 SACRAMENTO ***
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The Sacramento Kings have a new name for their home arena, but it isn't clear if they'll play there after this season. While that relocation drama plays out over the next two months, the Kings will try to build on an emotional home victory and deny the Portland Trail Blazers a fifth consecutive road win Wednesday night. Sacramento (15-43) will play its first game at Power Balance Pavilion when it hosts Portland (33-27). That comes after the NBA gave the Kings until April 18 to decide if they plan to relocate before next season. The franchise is in talks with Anaheim, which is looking for an NBA team to share the Honda Center with the NHL's Ducks. In response, Sacramento fans organized a "Here We Stay" campaign and packed the former Arco Arena for Monday's 105-99 comeback win over the Los Angeles Clippers.
"We just wanted to go out there and play well and win the game for our fans," forward Omri Casspi said after the team's second sellout this season. "We talked about it with (coach Paul Westphal) and it was important for us to come and play aggressive and play well." Marcus Thornton had 16 of his season-best 29 points in the fourth quarter to lead his team to its third win in 13 games and snap a five-game home losing streak. The guard is averaging 19.3 points in three games since coming over from New Orleans in a trade. Thornton was averaging 7.8 points in 46 games with the Hornets.
"They got me the ball in spots where I can be effective," Thornton said. "This is a young team that likes to have fun. It's been easy for me to get acclimated real fast." It's unknown if the Kings' renamed arena will see another capacity crowd and the Kings could have a little trouble earning another win there against the Blazers. Portland enters this game tied for seventh in the Western Conference and is on its longest road win streak in one season since taking five in a row Nov. 1-14, 2009. The Blazers, though, have lost three of four overall and were handled 103-87 by visiting Houston on Tuesday night. Portland failed to top 88 points in the second straight game after averaging 104.1 over its previous eight.
"We've been a team that scrapped and had movement and energy and hustle," coach Nate McMillan said. "Our last two games, we haven't been close to that." The Blazers also struggled offensively in their previous meeting with the Kings, shooting 39.5 percent in a 96-81 loss Jan. 24. That defeat snapped Portland's eight-game win streak over Sacramento. Leading scorer LaMarcus Aldridge (22.3 ppg) registered only nine points in the loss and had one of his worst performances since that game Tuesday with 14 points. He's averaged 16.5 on 44.0 percent shooting in his last two games after averaging 31.9 on 59.3 percent shooting in his previous seven. Aldridge scored 23 points and Nicolas Batum had a season-high 24 in a 94-90 overtime win over the Kings on Jan. 19, Portland's fourth in a row in Sacramento.
--SACRAMENTO is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 50.7, OPPONENT 56.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--PORTLAND is 20-5 against the 1rst half line (+14.5 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game this season.
The average score was PORTLAND 52.9, OPPONENT 47.7 - (Rating = 4*)
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Portland by 2; O/U 195.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Sacramento -3
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Portland -2.77
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (PORTLAND) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7or more against opponent off a win against a division rival.
(28-8 since 1996.) (77.8%, +19.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 44.5, Opponent 46.9 (Total first half points scored = 91.4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-1).
--PLAY ON - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PORTLAND) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a upset loss as a favorite.
(38-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.7%, +21.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (38-17 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.4
The average score in these games was: Team 98.9, Opponent 97 (Average point differential = +1.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 24 (47.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-9).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (59-39).
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*** #719 HOUSTON (NL) @ #720 L.A. CLIPPERS ***
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The Houston Rockets emerged from the All-Star break with three straight wins, but it was easy to write those off as simply an easy stretch against some of the Eastern Conference's worst teams. Their past two wins have carried considerably more weight. Fresh off road victories over a pair of playoff contenders, the Rockets look for a season-high sixth consecutive victory when they wrap up a three-game road trip Wednesday night against a Los Angeles Clippers team eager to welcome back Eric Gordon. Houston (31-31) remains at the bottom of the outstanding Southwest Division, but it's looked nothing like a bottom feeder lately.
The Rockets came out of the break with wins at Detroit and Cleveland, but seemed to be admitting they weren't playoff material by trading away Shane Battier and Aaron Brooks prior to Thursday's trade deadline. If anything, they've looked like a postseason threat since making those deals. Houston's soft stretch ended with an easy victory over New Jersey on Saturday, but it kept rolling with a 91-89 win at New Orleans on Sunday and an impressive 103-87 rout at Portland on Tuesday. Kyle Lowry and Luis Scola had 21 points while Kevin Martin had 20 against the Trail Blazers.
"Talent-wise I think we took a step backward (with the trades), but guys like Chase (Budinger) and Courtney (Lee) are getting an opportunity to get more minutes now, and coach (Rick Adelman) gets an opportunity to leave his best players out on the court," Martin said. Though Houston sits in 11th place in the West, it's just three games behind seventh-place Portland and Memphis, currently in eighth. Starting with the Clippers (21-40), the Rockets' next three opponents are below .500. Houston, which hasn't won six straight since Feb. 11-26, 2009, is 17-6 against teams currently with losing records.
That includes two victories against Los Angeles in which it held the Clippers to 87.5 points, 17.0 beneath the average allowed by Adelman's club. Los Angeles scored just 31 points after halftime in a 96-83 loss at Houston on Jan. 26, the second game it played after Gordon went down with a small fracture in his right wrist. The Rockets won't avoid Gordon this time, though. The third-year guard is expected in the lineup Wednesday after the Clippers went 4-14 in his absence. Prior to the injury Gordon averaged 26.8 points and shot 51.5 percent in helping Los Angeles go 7-2 from Jan. 5-22.
The Clippers' latest skid hit five Monday. Los Angeles led by five after three quarters in Sacramento, but was outscored 27-16 in the fourth en route to a 105-99 defeat. Mo Williams had 16 points and five assists in his debut after coming over from Cleveland last week, and Blake Griffin named the Western Conference rookie of the month Tuesday for the fourth consecutive time was already looking forward to watching his new point guard share the backcourt with Gordon.
"It will be fun. (Mo) pushes the ball," Griffin said. "Eric is obviously young and athletic and wants to push the ball. I'm excited to see how we play when everybody is back and everybody is healthy." Griffin has been held to 19.0 points per game while shooting 36.1 percent against Houston. Martin had 28 points in the Rockets' road victory over the Clippers on Dec. 22. Houston is 13-6 when Martin scores at least 28.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Houston by 1.5; O/U 207.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Houston -2
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Houston -1.36
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (HOUSTON) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days.
(27-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.1%, +18.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.3, Opponent 48.9 (Average first half point differential = +0.4)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (55-34).
