indiancowboy
4 Unit Play. #535. Take NC Wilmington +8.5 over William and Mary (Wednesday @ 7pm est).
7 Straight winning NBA Weeks.
February: 63% Currently and +20 Units.
January Overall: 38-21 (64%) = +66 Units (Personal High).
17-8 Last 25 CBB Selections (17 of 25 winning days)
Congrats on Central Michigan +8 Outright over Miami of Ohio yesterday. We are now on pace to continue our 17-8 run over the last 25 days in College Ball as we look to go 2-0-1 on the week after tonight. If our basketball teams actually had a "look" they would be the ugliest puppies you can find. Don't get me wrong, I love favorites in the right spot - but, I certainly love some dogs. Heck, at one point last week, we took 5 straight dogs and they all cashed with 4 cashing outright. We took St. Peter +11.5 over Siena, we took San Diego State +4.5 Outright over UNLV, Indiana +3.5 Outright over Iowa, the Citadel +4 Outright over App. State and Dartmouth +1 Outright over Brown. Such is the case today as we gear up for the Seahawks to be competitive on the road against William and Mary. Do not underestimate NC Wilmington simply because they are 6-19 SU. Heck, if that was the case, we certainly wouldn't have cashed all the dogs we have as I promise you the combined total of St. Peter + San Diego State + Indiana + Citadel and Dartmouth's SU win total is not that high. But, this is the same NC Wilmington team that has showed enough bite to cover 5 straight. These are the teams that you look for at this time of year. The teams that have horrible SU records, but ATS covers. Too often, the public just looks at the SU record and assumes that means a cover for the team with a better record. If that was the case, Vegas would be out of business and we would all be rich. But, NC Wilmington is similar to OKC of the NBA who manages to cover at a ridiculous pace yet with a struggling SU overall record. The Seahawks are the same team that beat top 75 VCU at home by 9 points. This is the same team that lost to James Madison by just 6 points at home and lost to Hofstra by 2 points which ODU can tell you how difficult that was as they lost to Hofstra just last night. I want to take you to the game VCU game that NC Wilmington played in. This team went on the road to VCU and got thumped 59-88 - basically by 29 points. Then, this team came back home to play this team on February 4th and beat them 81-72. I mention that to say that this team certainly has the capability of beating any team within conference with revenge. And, what has NC Wilmington done against William and Mary? Well, these two teams hooked up earlier this year and NC Wilmington actually led this team Outright at the end of the first half prior to collapsing in the second half. I like this Seahawk team to remain focused today to get the cover on the road with the 8.5 as they are a much improved team as compared to the team that played William and Mary back on January 7th. For a team that just 1 just more SU win in W & M they certainly should not be laying this type of number with NC Wilmington having revenge and playing better in my opinion. Seahawks likely stay inside the number today as they are 5-0 ATS overall while W&M is 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games Overall.
4 Unit Play. #503. Take Denver Nuggets +7.5 against the Orlando Magic (Wednesday @ 7pm est). George Karl and Denver are a proud team. You don't think this team remembers the 88-106 thumping they took on their home floor to this Orlando team back on January 17th - less than a month ago? You better believe they have that in the back of their minds as they come off a rout in Miami. The difference in this game will be the point guard play. After all, you have an Orlando team that will continue to rout "so-so" teams at home such as New Jersey and a healthy a Clipper team (who did beat the Hawks on the road) - but when this team plays competitive teams at home and on the road their lack of point guard play will stand out like a bad sore. I'm sorry, J.J. Reddick, bless is heart and the fact that he bleeds is blue and white, but he is no Jameer Nelson. Nor, is J.J. Reddick Chauncey Billups. Given that Billups is very familiar with the Magic from the simple fact the Pistons and Magic played each other constantly with Detroit constantly getting the better end of the team (including in the playoffs a few years back), there is no reason to believe that Chauncey doesn't dictate the pace, the game in this revenge effort. If Orlando thought that Indiana was a tough play on the road when they lost SU, there is no reason to think Denver is not going to give them a handful this evening as they look to exact such revenge. What makes this play nice is the fact that Orlando comes off a big win over NJ after their loss at Indiana and consequently are not on a bounce-back. Let's ride the Nuggets who are playing great basketball right now behind Billups, Melo and Martin and who have a bench that I believe is stronger than the Magic's given that Nelson is out. Why not take a team + the 7.5 points when I believe that team has a 48% chance of winning SU. This is a typical type of play that I like to roll with as we look to go 2-1 on the week and repeat last weeks 5-2 (5-2 the week before) as well as we cruise on to winning week #8 in a row in the NBA this week.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.