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Northfield: Wednesday 2/10 Analysis + Pick Four ticket
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

2,7,9 / 3,5,9 / 2,3,6 / 5 = $27


Best Bet: BOOYAH TJ (7th)

Spot Play: RUST BELT (8th)


Race 1

(4) HANGIN JUDGE six-year-old trotter should be primed for a better effort making his third start back off a layoff. (5) NED PEPPER put in a decent qualifier last week but probably needs a start. (2) UP CHUCKIE well bred mare has just been racing evenly; use underneath.

Race 2

(2) MYSTICAL BAY owns a win at this level and could get an easy early lead. (3) TOYS LEGACY pacing mare is 0 for her career but has been knocking on the door at this level. (4) FLUKY'S GIRL should be closer turning for home this week at a big price.

Race 3

(9) SURE THING benefits from the top driver and owns some back class. (1) FREEDOM RIDGE takes a huge drop in class with a top driver, however the pacer has just been racing evenly and looks to offer low value. (8) CAROLINA JACOB needs a good setup to get carried into the race; use underneath.

Race 4

(1) DO IT DOC'S WAY veteran pacer has room to improve in his second start for new connections. (3) REDBUD raced well last week even needing the start; threat. (6) RICKY KAY is capable against this bunch with some racing luck.

Race 5

(3) VERDICT trotting gelding has been very consistent in most of his recent starts; threat. (1) CEANA'S STAR gets the best post and is fast enough to hit the ticket at a price with a good effort. (6) ERISTER HANOVER is a huge threat should the 4-year-old stay trotting.

Race 6

(2) MAC'S DEVIL burned cash last week at this level but is in very soft. (9) BET ON ART has been competitive against better on the year; threat. (1) WOW POWER gets the best post second start back off a layoff; use underneath.

Race 7

(8) BOOYAH TJ trotter will look to make it two straight wins off a layoff and just needs to mind his manners. (7) DARTMOUTH HALL has been facing much tougher but will need to find a way into the race. (4) ZORGWIJK HEAVENLY just needs to be closer turning for home down in class.

Race 8

(2) RUST BELT has just been racing evenly but finds a weak field full of question marks. (7) MORELAND FLASH was an easy winner down in class last week; threat. (9) PAPA GRANDE picks up the top driver and should be closer turning for home.

Race 9

(5) TSUNAMI DREAM owns multiple wins at this level; fires early. (9) QUANTUM CASHMAN well bred trotter finds a suspect bunch to do some damage. (3) ROJAN'S LAST SHOT five-year-old gelding has made breaks in three straight starts after an easy win from off the pace. If he stays trotting he might be the horse to beat.

Race 10

In one of the toughest races to gauge on the card, (2) FOX RIVER MARK gets a much better starting post and will offer a big price. (3) BLOOMING GENIUS pacer makes his first start for a new barn with the top pilot. (6) BOUND TO SCORE made the most money in the field last year and showed a good burst of speed last week.

Race 11

(5) DREAMY FELLA four-year-old stallion was finally done in last week by a tough post. His main rival won't make it easy on him early but if he gets the lead he will be tough to beat. (2) BUPA BRUISER has a bunch of positives including second time lasix; threat. (6) BOSSY AUSSIE owns a win at the track against weaker; use underneath.

Race 12

(9) CAMCRUISER HANOVER pacer makes his first start in the top barn; big chance. (1) SJ'S BLISSFUL GUY has been facing tougher at the Meadows and gets the best post. (3) STATUS QUO well bred pacer drops in class but doesn't have a good winning history; use underneath.

Race 13

In another tough race to handicap, (2) SUNBURED VERN is one of few in the race that shows a win at this level. (1) DANNYS MAN gets the best post and looks to be in line for a nice trip up close. (3) IMPRESSIVE JET has not won a race in close to two years; use underneath.

Race 14

(5) DUSTY DUNES drops in class and picks up the top driver. (1) EARLYMORNINARRIVAL rarely wins but can hit the ticket with the best post. (6) LIMA THUNDER is very inconsistent from week to week but a good effort puts him in the mix.

Race 15

(4) ELECTRIFY picks up a huge driver change down in class. (5) BOLD SECRET the top driver opted elsewhere but the pacer has shown a good burst when timed right. (8) LIGHT UP THE SKY will offer a big price taking a double drop in class; threat.
 
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SPOT PLAYS

For Wednesday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Delta Downs (3rd) It's Time to B, 6-1
(4th) Saintly Dip, 9-2

Gulfstream Park (2nd) Elnath, 9-2
(3rd) Over the Limit, 7-2

Mahoning Valley (5th) Angelofthemorning, 8-1
(8th) Preachintothechoir, 8-1


Penn National (2nd) Proud Reward, 3-1
(7th) Glady's Ring, 6-1


Tampa Bay Downs (3rd) Greenfield, 3-1
(4th) I Heart Junior, 8-1


Turf Paradise (3rd) Stolen Rio, 9-2
(7th) Neat Lady, 4-1
 
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Wednesday's six-pack

Six of the best minor league prospects for the Chicago Cubs

1) Gleyber Torres, SS-- Cubs have lot of middle infielders; could be traded.

2) Willson Contreras C-3B-- Hit .333 in Southern League LY.

3) Ian Happ, 2B-OF-- Of Cubs' top 10 prospects, only one who went to college.

6) Albert Almora, OF- Hasn't shown much power for an outfielder.

7) Billy McKinney, OF-- Acquired from Oakland in Samardzija trade.

12) Pierce Johnson, P-- Went 6-2, 2.08 in AA last year (16 starts).
 
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Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Wednesday

551 MISSOURI STATE @ 552 NORTHERN IOWA 8:00 PM

Take: 552 NORTHERN IOWA -12.5

I really cannot pinpoint the reason, other than the fact they weren’t playing good basketball. But whatever was ailing Northern Iowa for the better part of this season seems to have been remedied. The Panthers are in their best form of the campaign and I like their chances of extending the current win streak tonight.

Missouri State was an upset winner over UNI in the earlier meeting, and that was a pretty bad game for the Panthers. They seemed to have the proceedings pretty well in hand midway through the second half. But Northern Iowa went ice cold down the stretch and Missouri State got the surprising 59-58 victory.

I’ll be very surprised if there’s anything resembling that suspense this evening. Northern Iowa is unlikely to take the Bears for granted, as they might well have done in the prior hookup. That’s bad news for the Bears, who are a gritty bunch but simply are not very talented.

Missouri State cannot shoot the basketball. The numbers are disturbingly bad. The Bears get points for adhering to Paul Lusk’s system and working hard to get higher percentage shots. But they’re just not very good at actually getting the ball to go into the basket.

That’s likely to be a problem here as Northern Iowa is starting to find its rhythm, and if the Panthers are sharp again tonight, I don’t see that there’s much chance Missouri State is going to be able to hang in.

I know I’ve mentioned this before, but as it applies here, I’ll do so again. I’m an advocate of backing superior teams in same season revenge if they have positive momentum on their side. UNI qualifies on that count, as they’ve rolled to four straight wins and covers. I like the chances for the Panthers to extend that run tonight, and I’m willing to lay the points with Northern Iowa in the process.
 
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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp NBA Pick, Wednesday, Feb 10, 2016 7:35 PM

(511) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS VS (512) BOSTON CELTICS

Take: UNDER THE TOTAL

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Wednesday, February 10, 2016 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the LA Clippers and the Celtics in Boston. The Boston Celtics have been very hot, anchored by a good defense, No. 10 in points allowed and No. 4 in field goal shooting defense. This is the second of a back to back spot and the under is 5-1 in the Celtics last six games playing on no days rest. The L.A. Clippers can do it all, No. 7 in the NBA in scoring, No. 8 in points allowed, No. 5 in field goal shooting defense. The under is 7-0 in the Clippers last seven road games and 8-2 under overall. The Under is also 7-1 when the Clippers face the Eastern Conference. And when these teams clash the under is 17-8 in the last 25 meetings. Play the LA Clippers/Boston Under the total.
 
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Scott Spreitzer

Hawks vs Bulls

Bonus Play Atlanta Hawks

I'm recommending a play on the Hawks minus the points on Wednesday. Ugly second half last time out for Atlanta, ending in their second loss to Orlando in as many games. The Hawks held an 11 point lead through three quarters, but got out-scored 45-27 in the fourth quarter and OT in the loss. The Hawks allowed the Magic to make nearly 50% of their shots, an anomaly, considering Atlanta ranks 8th in the NBA in FG percentage allowed. I expect the Hawks to play an intense brand of defense tonight and they're catching the Bulls at an opportune time. Not only is Chicago banged-up, but they're playing their first home game following a 7 game, 12 night road trip. This also marks their fourth game in six nights, and Chicago has been getting lit-up on the defensive end, allowing their last six opponents to average 110 ppg. The Bulls have dropped four straight ATS at home and they're 1-8 ATS in their last nine when playing on one day of rest. We'll back the Hawks. I'm recommending a play on Atlanta minus the points on Wednesday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
 
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Heath Mac

Hawks vs Bulls

Free Pick Atlanta Hawks

We don’t love the Hawks on the road this season, but we do like the small lay here against a lost Bulls side. It has certainly been confirmed that Jimmy Butler is the Bull’s most important player as although they weren’t playing well prior to his injury, they have looked woeful since. Although all games have been on the road, the Bulls have lost to the Nuggets, Timberwolves and Hornets in their last 3 – hardly a tough run. The Bulls are a poor 10-16 ATS at home this season, including 5-10 ATS against East conference opposition.

Although they have been inconsistent, the Hawks are still talented and will feature in the post season. They should be able to do enough to win and get the cover here.

The Hawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Bulls are 8-24 ATS in their last 32 vs. NBA Southeast and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

For our free pick, take the Hawks -2.5 points here.
 
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Bob Harvey

Raptors vs Wolves

Bonus Play Toronto Raptors

The Toronto Raptors look to continue their dominance of the Minnesota Timberwolves when the two teams meet tonight. Toronto is going for its ninth consecutive time and 21st in the past 22 meetings dating back to January 29, 2011.
The Raptors (35-16, 29-22 ATS) have won nine of their last games and are heading into the All-Star with a boatload of momentum with victories in 14 of their past 15 outings. The All-Star backcourt of DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry continues to lead the way. DeRozan had 17 in Monday's 103-89 victory over the Pistons while Lowry added 25 points and seven assists against Detroit.
The Timberwolves (16-37, 23-29 ATS) continue to get stellar play from Karl-Anthony Towns who leads all NBA rookies with 29 double-doubles. Towns has posted eight consecutive double-doubles and is averaging 21.8 points and 12.5 rebounds during the stretch. Andrew Wiggins has seven 30-point outings this season but tallied just 15 points in the loss to New Orleans after averaging 27.3 points over the previous three games.
Toronto is 16-10 SU and ATS on the road compared to Minnesota’s 8-19 SU home record (8-18-1 ATS). They've taken seven of eight on the road in their 14-1 span.
The Raptors are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Minnesota and 21-6 in the past 27 games.
The UNDER is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings while Minnesota is 4-0 to the OVER in its past four games.
 

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