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StatSystems Sports NBA Report, Wednesday 12/29/10
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 12/29
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
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***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NBA *****
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When you are ready to step up an into the challenge of advanced sports handicapping, be sure to check out Stan 'The Man's ALL NEW Stat/Systems Sheets. They are loaded with power ratings, computer predictions, matchups, betting trends, systems, statistics, schedules and results. Once you have sampled my Stat/Systems Sheets, you will no longer need free picks, consensus plays, or other professional handicapping services!
Each day here in our Stat/Systems Report we will list the Top - Angles, Stats and Situational Trends for up-coming games, including all the Key - ATS, Over/Unders, Money-Line, First Half ATS Top Trends including Over/Unders, Coaches ATS & Over/Unders and Teaser Line Trends, along with all your high percentage Super Situation Systems.
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••• PIT STOP! •••
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Times are tough in D.C., with the Washington Wizards struggling to pick up wins at home and on the road. However, there is one way to bet the Wiz that is having a ton of success. The Wizards are terrible on the road this season, making Wednesday’s home stand against the Pacers a much-needed pit stop. Washington dropped back-to-back road tilts in Texas, falling to San Antonio and Houston this past week.
The Wizards have only one win in their last 10 games, while scoring just under 93 points per game in that span, cracking the century mark only twice. That inability to find the basket has helped Washington post a 3-7 over/under record in those 10 outings, with the past seven games staying below the number. Washington has a 4-10 over/under count inside the Verizon Center this season and has played under the total in three of its last three games with Indiana.
Make Sure you have the Advantage you need to win this Season! Did you know that the Stat/Systems Report is the #1 rated sports betting publication in the country today. Offering complete analysis and predictions for every game on the board including game logs, betting trends, key injuries, vital statistics, lines and odds, and more the daily publication is everything that you need to win each and every day!
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NOTE: All New Website Coming Soon!
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***** WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 29TH NBA INFORMATION *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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• HOT TEAMS
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-- Hawks won three of their last four games. Golden State won last three games, covered four of last five.
-- Celtics won 15 of last 16 games; they're 6-4 as a road favorite. Pistons covered five of their last six games.
-- Thunder is 7-4 in last eleven games as a home favorite.
-- Hornets won their last four home games.
-- Minnesota won its last two games, covered six of last seven.
-- Miami is 15-1 in its last 16 games; they covered six of last seven as a road favorite. Rockets won last five games; they covered four of last six as an underdog.
-- 76ers are 7-3 vs spread in last ten games as road underdog.
-- Grizzlies won last two games, covered 11 of last 14.
-- Clippers won five of their last six games. Utah won three of four.
• COLD TEAMS
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-- Pacers lost six of their last eight games (0-7-1 vs spread). Wizards lost three in row, 10 of last 11 games.
-- Cleveland lost its last four games, by 11-14-1-15 points. Bobcats lost four of their last five games.
-- Nets covered once in last eight games as road underdog.
-- Lakers lost last three games, scoring 79-80-82 points.
-- Nuggets lost three of their last four games.
-- Suns lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Sacramento lost its last eight games (1-7 vs spread).
• BACK-TO-BACK
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-- Pacers are 2-3 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Cavaliers are 1-3 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Celtics are 2-3 vs spread if they won the night before.
-- Lakers are 2-2 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Nuggets are 2-4 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Miami is 3-4 vs spread if it played night before.
• TOTALS
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-- Last eight Washington games stayed under the total.
-- Last six Atlanta games stayed under the total. Warriors' last four games all went over.
-- Five of last seven Charlotte games stayed under total.
-- Last four Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Last three New Jersey games went over the total. Under is 8-3 in last eleven Oklahoma City games.
-- Seven of last nine Laker games stayed under the total.
-- Armadillosports.com is America's favorite website.
-- Three of last four Denver games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Memphis games.
-- Under is 7-0-1 in Clippers' last eight home games.
• QUICK HITS
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--INDIANA @ WASHINGTON, 7:00 PM ET INDIANA: 21-7 Under playing on back-to-back days. WASHINGTON: 4-16 ATS as home favorite of 3pts or less.
--GOLDEN STATE @ ATLANTA, 7:00 PM ET GOLDEN STATE: 11-2 Over at Atlanta. ATLANTA: 2-7 ATS vs. Western Conference.
--CLEVELAND @ CHARLOTTE, 7:00 PM ET CLEVELAND: 1-8 ATS if home dog last game. CHARLOTTE: 14-3 ATS off ATS loss.
--BOSTON @ DETROIT, 7:30 PM ET BOSTON: 10-1 Under Away if won 20 of L25 games. DETROIT: 9-19 ATS revenging home loss.
--NEW JERSEY @ OKLAHOMA CITY, 8:00 PM ET NEW JERSEY: 11-25 ATS off BB double digit losses. OKLAHOMA CITY: 30-15 ATS off home loss.
--LA LAKERS @ NEW ORLEANS, 8:00 PM ET LA LAKERS: 11-2 Under after scoring 85 pts or less. NEW ORLEANS: 13-1 Under off ATS loss.
--DENVER @ MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET DENVER: 1-9 ATS off ATS win. MINNESOTA: 5-1 Under playing with same season revenge.
--MIAMI @ HOUSTON, 8:30 PM ET MIAMI: 30-14 Under off BB SU wins. HOUSTON: 10-1 Under at home vs. Southeast Division.
--PHILADELPHIA @ PHOENIX, 9:00 PM ET PHILADELPHIA: 7-0 Under after allowing 105+ pts. PHOENIX: 1-5 ATS off BB SU losses.
--MEMPHIS @ SACRAMENTO, 10:00 PM ET MEMPHIS: 12-3 ATS off an Under. SACRAMENTO: 0-7 ATS if home dog last game.
--UTAH @ LA CLIPPERS, 10:30 PM ET NBA UTAH: 29-14 ATS off BB SU losses. LA CLIPPERS: 2-7 ATS vs. Utah.
• NOTES & TIPS
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--Gerald Wallace (ankle), Charlotte Bobcats – Wallace has missed the last five games with a sprained ankle but coach Paul Silas expects him back for Wednesday’s game against Cleveland. Wallace wasn’t quite as eager, saying that he would see how it feels during shootaround, though he was able to practice Tuesday. The 6-foot-7 forward averages 16.7 points and 8.1 rebounds per game.
--The Washington Wizards are said to be shopping both Andray Blatche and JaVale McGee after the two got into a fight and were handed one-game suspensions. The Wizards look to be getting ready to clean house following this latest incident. The club hosts Indiana Wednesday and currently set as a 1-point favorite.
--The Utah Jazz have won four straight road games, but could be shorthanded Wednesday night when they visit the L.A. Clippers. Andrei Kirilenko isn’t expected to play after leaving Monday’s game with back spasms. If Kirilenko can’t go, C.J. Miles and Mehmet Okur will see increased minutes. Utah had won three straight before losing to Portland in their last contest.
--The Denver Nuggets announced Tuesday night that star forward Carmelo Anthony will return to the team Thursday after leaving to grieve the death of his sister. Anthony already has missed four games following the Dec. 21 death of sister, Michelle Anthony, due to a pre-existing medical condition. He won't be with the team Wednesday at Minnesota, meaning he will have missed five games. Anthony's first game back is expected to be Saturday at home against Sacramento. Michelle Anthony's funeral was Monday in Baltimore. In a statement released by the team, Anthony said he appreciates the outpouring of support since her death. The Nuggets lost their first three games without Anthony before beating Portland 95-77 Tuesday night.
--Losing an eighth straight game wasn't the focus immediately after they fell, 100-99, to the Clippers on Monday night, as the Kings' spirits were raised from the depths based solely on the outing of second-year guard Tyreke Evans. He scored a season-high 32 points in retro fashion, finally looking like the player who won the Rookie of the Year award last season just one game after a loss to Milwaukee marked a new low for the league's worst team. But Evans, who has dealt with a mild case of plantar fasciitis for much of the season in which his production has drastically declined, revealed afterward that he is considering having a procedure done on his left foot to alleviate the condition that would sideline him for "three to four months."
"Hopefully (the plantar fasciitis) will go away soon," said Evans, whose 30-point outing against Memphis on Nov. 6 was his only other 30-plus point scoring game of the season. "I talked to my agent (Bob Myers) today, and I was thinking about (the procedure)... He's going to let me know and we'll see what's up. I'll just keep that in mind, whether I want to just keep playing through it or get (the procedure) over with." A source close to Evans said he had already decided to do the procedure which involves laser treatment soon, but the sudden rediscovery of his game and swagger might mean he delays the procedure until after the All-Star break or perhaps the offseason. Evans said Kings coach Paul Westphal indicated that he would be supportive of his player no matter the final decision.
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• NOTE: NBA betting is becoming more popular each year. This is known as one of the sports where a smart bettor who practiced proper money management can make some really huge profits. Once a bettor begins to study and understand NBA Odds, he or she can gain a better understanding of how the bookies set their numbers. The bookies set a lot of these NBA Odds with the public in mind. They know the public is going to bet the Lakers and Bulls (and other public teams) every week so there are some great situations to get good numbers by going against teams like that.
It is always best to shop around when looking for the best NBA Odds. Many different books release different numbers and NBA Odds always tend to differ at each sportsbook. If you are truly interested in finding the best NBA Odds, it is always best to have funded accounts at - at least five sportsbooks.
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*** INDIANA @ WASHINGTON (-2.5, O/U 195) ***
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A pair of struggling clubs clash tonight in the nation's capital, as the Washington Wizards play host to the Indiana Pacers from the Verizon Center. The Wizards have lost three in a row and 10 of 11 games, and are coming off Monday's 100-93 loss in Houston. Kirk Hinrich led the way with 19 points and Andray Blatche ended with 17 points and 14 rebounds for the Wizards, who remained winless on the road (0-15) this season.
"It's a tough loss. We felt like we gave it away. We had control until the last five minutes of the fourth quarter," said Wizards new forward Rashard Lewis, who had 12 points, nine boards and five assists. Nick Young scored 18 points and rookie John Wall chipped in 13 points and six assists off the bench in defeat. The Wizards are just 7-7 in DC this season and Young is averaging 20.6 ppg in his last six games. Hinrich is averaging 16.8 points, 7.8 assists and 4.8 rebounds in his last five games.
Meanwhile, the Pacers will try to put the brakes on a six-game road losing streak when they head to Washington tonight. The Pacers are 5-8 away from Conseco Fieldhouse, where they dropped a 95-83 decision to the Boston Celtics on Tuesday. Brandon Rush led the Pacers with 17 points and seven rebounds, while Danny Granger finished with 15 points for Indiana, which has lost two straight and six of eight games. Darren Collison chipped in 10 points and Mike Dunleavy scored nine off the bench in defeat.
"We just lost," said Pacers forward Josh McRoberts. "We played well with them for three quarters. They made a run. We didn't respond well, didn't make good plays and lost the ball game." Indiana made 37 percent of its shots and committed 15 turnovers. The Pacers and Wizards are meeting for the first time since Indiana took three of four meetings a season ago. Indiana has won six of the previous nine encounters with Washington, winners in six of the past nine matchups at home.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Indiana by 2; O/U 197
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Washington -1
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Indiana -3.18
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--WASHINGTON is 64-91 ATS (-36.1 Units) in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was WASHINGTON 98.4, OPPONENT 98.1 - (Rating = 5*)
--WASHINGTON is 34-52 ATS (-23.2 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 95.8, OPPONENT 103.5 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--WASHINGTON is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) after having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games this season.
The average score was WASHINGTON 91.0, OPPONENT 94.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.
The average score was WASHINGTON 91.3, OPPONENT 92.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 21-7 UNDER (+13.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 96.9, OPPONENT 101.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--WASHINGTON is 16-31 against the 1rst half line (-18.1 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 45.1, OPPONENT 51.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 55-30 against the 1rst half line (+22.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 54.8, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--WASHINGTON is 53-32 UNDER (+17.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 47.6, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 66-44 UNDER (+17.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 47.7, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
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--PLAY ON - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days.
(49-24 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.1%, +22.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (45-29 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.3
The average score in these games was: Team 100.9, Opponent 97.8 (Average point differential = +3.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 30 (41.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-15).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (102-64).
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Saturday, Stan 'The Man released (to all that called and signed-up for his 2010 College Bowl Bonanza) his Hugh *4-Star Selection with Arizona (+7.5). Stan said - "While Christmas Day finds a couple of interesting NBA scuffles, Christmas night finds a meaningless NFL contest. Thankfully, there’s a silver lining to every cloud as this stocking is stuffed with our 'INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK!"
"Though the ‘Boys are a solid 15-4 SU and ATS in this series off an ATS loss, we want no part of their ugly 1-16-1 ATS stat as non-division favorites from Game Thirteen out"... "We’re also not thrilled with their money-burning 1-6 ATS mark when they line up as favorites this season or their 1-4 ATS log on Saturdays during the regular season when they arrive off a SU win."
The Man went on to say - "We just asked you to go with the Panthers two days ago and now we’re suggesting a play on the Cardinals... "It may be a case of too much eggnog but it just may be that the Redbirds are a perfect 6-0 ATS at home on Saturdays during the regular season off a SU loss... “It also may be a case of ‘Zona owning a 4-2 SU and 6-0 ATS mark in Last Home Games off a loss since 2000... “Whatever the case, we’ll have another as Cardinals’ HC Ken Whisenhunt improves to 10-3 SU and ATS at home as pick or a dog!"
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*** GOLDEN STATE @ ATLANTA (-7, O/U 203) ***
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The Golden State Warriors will hit the road for five games, starting with tonight's showdown against the Atlanta Hawks at Philips Arena. The Warriors will also visit the Bobcats, Heat, Magic and Hornets on the road swing and are just 4-12 outside of Oakland this season. Golden State is coming off its third straight win, a 110-95 decision over the visiting Philadelphia 76ers at Oracle Arena.
Dorell Wright had a game-high 28 points, Monta Ellis collected 22 points and 12 assists and David Lee tallied 21 points and 16 rebounds in a winning cause. "I have to be a little more aggressive," Wright said. "When I start making a few shots guys start going for my head fakes so I just got to start utilizing that. It's an ability I have to get to the basket and have to start doing it more." Stephen Curry got into the scoring act with 17 points. The Warriors have not won four in a row since February 26 - March 4, 2008.
Atlanta is aiming to extend its eight-game home winning streak Wednesday and is 11-5 as the host this season. The Hawks won for the fourth time in six tries overall with Monday's 95-80 road decision over the Milwaukee Bucks, as Al Horford pumped in 18 points and 12 rebounds to lead the charge. Joe Johnson scored 15 points and both Jamal Crawford and Marvin Williams ended the night with 14 off the bench.
"We play our best when we're sharing the ball. We're just consistent and solid throughout, and that's what we did tonight," Horford said after the Hawks snapped a five-game road skid. Golden State and Atlanta have split the previous 20 meetings in this series, while the Hawks have won six of the past 10 games as the host.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Atlanta by 7.5; O/U 202
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Atlanta -9
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Atlanta -7.6
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--ATLANTA is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 104.7, OPPONENT 90.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 55-81 ATS (-34.1 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 94.6, OPPONENT 104.0 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--GOLDEN STATE is 38-19 UNDER (+17.1 Units) in road games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 96.7, OPPONENT 102.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 53-34 UNDER (+15.6 Units) as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 103.7, OPPONENT 111.9 - (Rating = 3*)
-GOLDEN STATE is 21-5 UNDER (+15.5 Units) in road games after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 99.6, OPPONENT 111.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--ATLANTA is 68-101 against the 1rst half line (-43.1 Units) vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 46.8, OPPONENT 48.0 - (Rating = 6*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 28-10 against the 1rst half line (+16.8 Units) after 3 straight games where opponent grabbed 55 or more rebounds over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 55.4, OPPONENT 55.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--GOLDEN STATE is 13-3 UNDER (+9.7 Units) the 1rst half total vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 48.3, OPPONENT 53.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 46.3, OPPONENT 54.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 45.5, OPPONENT 54.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) the 1rst half total versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 45.1, OPPONENT 52.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (GOLDEN STATE) - in non-conference games, after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite.
(34-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.1%, +24.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.8, Opponent 50 (Average first half point differential = +0.9)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (61-45).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season.
(48-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.6%, +26 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 209.5
The average score in these games was: Team 97.6, Opponent 103.4 (Total points scored = 201)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 42 (60.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-14).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (80-44).
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Stan 'The Man Continued to Sizzle with his 'RED~HOT' Roll in NBA Action on Sunday! Fresh off cashing his Top *4-Star winner on Saturday with the Knicks/Bulls Under (205.5), Stan dished out his *5-Star 'Totally Amazing Super Situational System' with Washington/San Antonio (Under 101.5, 1rst Half) - PLAY UNDER: All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 101.5 points - after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games. W-L Record, 30-6 (83.3%, +23.4 units) since 1996. With the win, it extended 'The Man's season record on the NBA hardwood to 22-5, (81.5%) with his last twenty-seven top rated selections.
--Result: Tony Parker had a stellar all-around game, finishing with 20 points, 14 assists and six rebounds, as San Antonio dropped the road-weary Wizards, 94-80, at AT&T Center. The Wizards, the only team in the NBA without a road victory (0-14), played without forwards Andray Blatche and JaVale McGee, who were both suspended for actions detrimental to the team. Rashard Lewis stepped up with 21 points and 12 rebounds in defeat. Washington was within striking distance in the first half, staying within 27-23 at the end of one quarter while trailing, 48-42, at the break.
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*** CLEVELAND @ CHARLOTTE (-8, O/U 201) ***
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The Cleveland Cavaliers hope to solve their road woes when they try to stop a 12-game losing streak as the guest tonight against the Charlotte Bobcats at Time Warner Cable Arena. The Cavs are 3-13 as the visitor this season and lost their fourth straight overall with Tuesday's 110-95 setback versus the Orlando Magic at Quicken Loans Arena. Antawn Jamison finished with 21 points and Daniel Gibson had 15 points and six boards for Cleveland, which has just one win in its last 15 contests overall and was outscored, 35-21, in the fourth quarter.
"Thirty-six good minutes of basketball. That's basically what we played. We didn't play very well in the fourth quarter," Cavs head coach Byron Scott said. Mo Williams and Anderson Varejao both had 14 points in defeat. Cleveland will also make a stop in Chicago on the quick trek. Charlotte, meanwhile, began the Paul Silas era on a positive note with Monday's 105-100 triumph over the Detroit Pistons at home.
D.J. Augustin scored 27 points and Stephen Jackson added 23 for the Bobcats, who snapped a four-game slide and won for only the second time in its last eight overall. The 67-year-old Silas took over for Larry Brown, who resigned from his post on Wednesday after the Bobcats got off to a 9-19 start this season. Silas returned to the NBA coaching ranks for the first time since he was fired by the Cleveland Cavaliers near the end of the 2004-05 season.
"It was great," Silas said about returning to coaching. "It brought back old memories; it just comes back to you. You just want to win. You tell the players what they're doing, and I've got great assistant coaches that are helping me. It's going to take some time but I liked the effort tonight. If we continue to play with this kind of effort then it's unbelievable what we can do."
In injury news for the Bobcats, Tyrus Thomas, who had 14 points off the bench in the win, is probable for tonight with a sore right wrist. Forward Gerald Wallace (ankle) is listed as questionable and has missed five straight games. The Bobcats will also host Golden State and Miami on their current five-game residency is 7-7 at home this season. They won three of four matchups with Cleveland last year, but the Cavs are 16-6 in the previous 22 contests in this series.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Charlotte by 6; O/U 187
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Charlotte -6
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Charlotte -5.81
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--CHARLOTTE is 36-18 ATS (+15.9 Units) versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 97.9, OPPONENT 93.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) in road games versus slow-down teams averaging 76 or less shots/game since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 83.8, OPPONENT 92.4 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--CHARLOTTE is 31-12 OVER (+17.6 Units) versus poor shooting teams - making <=43% of their shots since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 94.2, OPPONENT 98.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 7 days since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 101.6, OPPONENT 101.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 21-4 OVER (+16.5 Units) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 103.3, OPPONENT 98.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--CHARLOTTE is 72-48 against the 1rst half line (+19.1 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 47.6, OPPONENT 47.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 58-36 against the 1rst half line (+18.3 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 48.2, OPPONENT 47.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--CHARLOTTE is 39-21 UNDER (+15.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 46.7, OPPONENT 46.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 56-33 UNDER (+19.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus slow-down teams averaging 76 or less shots/game since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 43.1, OPPONENT 44.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY OVER - Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHARLOTTE) - after a game where they failed to cover the spread, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days.
(25-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.6%, +18.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 204.6
The average score in these games was: Team 109.8, Opponent 103.4 (Total points scored = 213.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 16 (51.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (46-28).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (CHARLOTTE) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games against opponent after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.
(59-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.8%, +34.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 105.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.7, Opponent 50.1 (Total first half points scored = 101.8)
The situation's record this season is: (6-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (37-17).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (83-48).
__________________________________
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*** BOSTON (-6.5, O/U 188.5) @ DETROIT ***
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The Boston Celtics look to put together another lengthy winning streak when they close out a three-game road trip tonight against the Detroit Pistons at The Palace of Auburn Hills. Boston had a 14-game winning streak stopped on Christmas Day in Orlando, but was able to bounce back with last night's 95-83 victory at Indiana behind a game-best 21 points and seven assists from Paul Pierce. Ray Allen scored 17 points and Kevin Garnett recorded 11 points and 13 rebounds for the Celtics, who are 11-4 away from Beantown this season.
Glen Davis netted 14 points and Shaquille O'Neal added nine before fouling out for the second game in a row. "This was a tough game. This is just a tough place to play," said Boston coach Doc Rivers, who is four wins shy of tying K.C. Jones for third on the franchise's all-time wins list. "You knew this would be a tough game. For us to grind it out was huge." The Celtics held Indiana to just 36 points and 31.6% shooting in the second half and got 12 points, five boards, four assists, a steal and two blocks from Marquis Daniels.
Detroit has dropped two straight and seven of its last 10 games, including Monday's 105-100 setback to the Charlotte Bobcats. D.J. Augustin scored 27 points and Stephen Jackson added 23, as the Bobcats opened the Paul Silas era on a winning note. Charlie Villanueva finished with a team-high 25 points, while Tayshaun Prince and Ben Gordon each netted 17 points for the Pistons, who outscored Charlotte by a 31-20 margin in the fourth quarter and will try to even their 7-8 home record Wednesday night.
"I thought the energy of the second group that we put in for the second half was great," Pistons head coach John Kuester said. "They did a good job of getting us back into the game." Boston handed Detroit a 109-86 loss back on Nov. 2 this season at The Palace and has won eight of the past 10 games in this series. The Celtics, however, have lost 11 of their previous 17 contests at the Pistons.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Boston 8; O/U 191
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Boston -7
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Boston -10.46
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--DETROIT is 86-110 ATS (-35.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 94.1, OPPONENT 97.4 - (Rating = 6*)
--DETROIT is 46-73 ATS (-34.3 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 93.0, OPPONENT 98.2 - (Rating = 6*)
--DETROIT is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 94.7, OPPONENT 96.5 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--DETROIT is 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) in home games after playing a game as an underdog this season.
The average score was DETROIT 100.0, OPPONENT 104.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 61-38 OVER (+19.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 105.1, OPPONENT 97.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--DETROIT is 10-1 against the 1rst half line (+8.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
The average score was DETROIT 52.7, OPPONENT 44.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 31-47 against the 1rst half line (-20.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 48.8, OPPONENT 46.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--BOSTON is 25-9 OVER (+15.1 Units) the 1rst half total as a road favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 53.3, OPPONENT 47.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 16-2 OVER (+13.8 Units) the 1rst half total as a road favorite of 2 to 3 points vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 54.2, OPPONENT 49.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a top-level team (>= 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%).
(26-5 since 1996.) (83.9%, +20.5 units. Rating = 5*)
The average total posted in these games was: 184.9
The average score in these games was: Team 104.1, Opponent 91.4 (Total points scored = 195.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 17 (56.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (9-1).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (BOSTON) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team.
(47-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +26.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.4, Opponent 48.7 (Average first half point differential = +1.7)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-11).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (85-60).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DETROIT) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, with a losing record.
(52-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.3%, +27.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (65-10 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.3
The average score in these games was: Team 102.4, Opponent 92.3 (Average point differential = +10.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 29 (39.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (35-17).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (108-73).
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*** NEW JERSEY @ OKLAHOMA CITY (-10, O/U 197) ***
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The New Jersey Nets kick off a three-game road trip in Oklahoma City tonight against Kevin Durant and the Thunder. The Nets, who will also visit Chicago and Minnesota on this trip, lost their second straight game on Monday in snowy Newark. A severe winter storm left as much as two feet of snow in the area Sunday, enough to delay the Orlando team bus as it became stuck in a snowbank on the way to the arena but that didn't stop the Magic from topping New Jersey, 104-88.
Devin Harris led the Nets with 24 points and Brook Lopez finished with 20 points and seven rebounds for New Jersey, which hasn't beaten the Magic since April 2009. Travis Outlaw and Jordan Farmar both accounted for 10 points in the loss. "On a night like tonight when our defense is not as good as it's been recently we've got to score the ball," Nets coach Avery Johnson said. "This is another night when we didn't score and that's a problem."
The Nets are just 3-13 on the road this season and will be hoping to snap a four-game skid against Oklahoma City, a stretch that included a 123-120 triple overtime win by the Thunder in north Jersey back on Dec. 1. Oklahoma City was able to outlast the Nets in that one despite playing without Durant, who sat out that contest with a sprained left knee. Russell Westbrook was the star in his absence, just missing a triple-double with 38 points, a career-best 15 rebounds and nine assists.
Most recently the Thunder fell to 1-1 on a four-game homestand Monday when Jason Terry scored 11 of his 13 points in the fourth quarter and the Mavericks, despite playing most of the game without Dirk Nowitzki, shut down Oklahoma City in the final period and posted a 103-93 victory. Nowitzki departed the game just 2:50 into the second quarter with a sore right knee. He came down awkwardly on his ankle after hitting a jumper, and he left the game after completing the three-point play. He finished with 13 points.
Durant scored 28 points, while James Harden ended with 18 for the Thunder, who were coming off an eight-point home win over the Nuggets on Christmas Day and are 11-6 in Okie City. Westbrook scored 15 points and Jeff Green 12 for Oklahoma City, which was held to 4-of-18 shooting from the field in the last quarter. "We just picked a bad time to miss shots," Thunder coach Scott Brooks said. "I thought the fourth quarter, when they went to the zone, we just couldn't buy any baskets." Oklahoma City will finish its residency against Atlanta on New Year's Eve.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Oklahoma City by 9.5; O/U 198
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Oklahoma City -9
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Oklahoma City -9.63
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-12 ATS (+19.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 102.8, OPPONENT 97.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 48-64 ATS (-22.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 92.5, OPPONENT 100.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW JERSEY is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 93.7, OPPONENT 102.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-13 OVER (+17.7 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 104.0, OPPONENT 102.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 110.4, OPPONENT 104.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 33-12 OVER (+19.6 Units) after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 97.0, OPPONENT 103.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 51-29 against the 1rst half line (+19.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 53.1, OPPONENT 50.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 64-41 against the 1rst half line (+18.7 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 51.2, OPPONENT 50.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--NEW JERSEY is 56-33 UNDER (+19.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 48.1, OPPONENT 51.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 41-20 UNDER (+18.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus excellent foul drawing teams - attempting >=30 free throws/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 47.6, OPPONENT 48.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more.
(74-42 since 1996.) (63.8%, +27.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.1, Opponent 47.8 (Total first half points scored = 95.9)
The situation's record this season is: (0-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-16).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (34-20).
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*** LA LAKERS (-3, O/U 190) @ NEW ORLEANS ***
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The two-time defending NBA champion Los Angeles Lakers hope to put an end to some uncharacteristic struggles when they finish up a tough two-day road trip in the Big Easy tonight by taking on Chris Paul and the New Orleans Hornets. The Lakers lost their third straight game, all by over 15 points, in San Antonio last night when Tony Parker scored 23 points, DeJuan Blair added 17 points and 15 rebounds and the Spurs turned up the defensive pressure in the second half to overpower LA, 97-82.
Kobe Bryant was harassed into an 8-for-27 shooting night, as the Lakers made just 35.4 percent of their shots and 8-of-23 three-pointers. Bryant scored 21 points, while Ron Artest and Andrew Bynum added 10 points apiece as Los Angeles fell to 11-6 on the road this season. The champs have been flat out uncompetitive in matching their season-high skid, losing by an average of 16.7 points. "I've been playing mad as long as you've been writing mad," Bryant said to the media after last night's game. "I got good looks, I just didn't make them."
The Hornets, meanwhile, are coming off their seventh straight road loss on Monday in Minneapolis when Michael Beasley scored 30 points and rookie Wesley Johnson added 24 as the Minnesota Timberwolves topped New Orleans, 113-98. David West scored 23 points and Paul had 22 with 13 assists for the Hornets, who had won two in a row coming in. "They just beat us. The second half was embarrassing the way they scored," said Paul. "Every time down if it wasn't a three (pointer) it was a drive or an offensive rebound. I don't remember a game like that in a long time."
New Orleans, however, has been very impressive in the Big Easy, winning four straight to move to 13-3 on its home floor in the 2010-11 campaign. The Lakers took two of three meetings with the Hornets last season but New Orleans won the lone contest in the Big Easy, snapping a three-game skid in the series.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - New Orleans by 1; O/U 198
*STAN'S POWER LINE - New Orleans -2
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - New Orleans -0.47
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 40-65 ATS (-31.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.5, OPPONENT 101.5 - (Rating = 6*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 44-62 ATS (-24.2 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.7, OPPONENT 99.5 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 47-24 UNDER (+20.4 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 89.4, OPPONENT 97.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 52-29 UNDER (+19.9 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 94.6, OPPONENT 99.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 40-64 against the 1rst half line (-30.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.6, OPPONENT 51.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 39-63 against the 1rst half line (-30.3 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.6, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--LA LAKERS are 8-0 against the 1rst half line (+8.0 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was LA LAKERS 53.6, OPPONENT 46.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 52-29 UNDER (+20.1 Units) the 1rst half total versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 47.1, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 64-42 UNDER (+17.8 Units) the 1rst half total in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 45.9, OPPONENT 47.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA LAKERS are 47-27 UNDER (+17.3 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 50.9, OPPONENT 47.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more.
(27-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.1%, +18.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.4, Opponent 44.1 (Total first half points scored = 93.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (57-30).
--PLAY ON - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (LA LAKERS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more.
(31-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.6%, +20 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 55.8, Opponent 50.9 (Average first half point differential = +4.9)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (38-20).
--PLAY ON - Road favorites (LA LAKERS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more.
(48-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.8%, +29.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (54-12 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5
The average score in these games was: Team 102.3, Opponent 93.5 (Average point differential = +8.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 24 (38.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (36-12).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (81-57).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (LA LAKERS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%).
(48-19 since 1996.) (71.6%, +27.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 194
The average score in these games was: Team 94.5, Opponent 93.9 (Total points scored = 188.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 32 (49.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-7).
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*** DENVER @ MINNESOTA (-1.5, O/U 221.5) ***
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The Denver Nuggets must enjoy seeing the Minnesota Timberwolves on the schedule as evidenced by their lopsided advantage over the past few years in this series. The two Northwest Division inhabitants will renew the rivalry tonight from the Target Center in the Twin Cities. Denver defeated the Timberwolves, 115-113, on Dec. 18 this season and has won 20 of the past 26 matchups. It's also unbeaten in the past six contests in Minneapolis.
The Nuggets were able to end a three-game slide with Tuesday's 95-77 victory over the Portland Trail Blazers, as Chauncey Billups finished with 18 points and nine assists in the finale of a brief two-game homestand at the Pepsi Center. Nene and J.R. Smith both finished with 17 points for Denver, which played without superstar Carmelo Anthony for a fourth straight game. Anthony is dealing with the recent death of his sister. The team expect to have Anthony back on Thursday following their game in Minnesota.
Arron Afflalo had 15 points in last night's win. "We played really good defense and then we executed in the third quarter," Afflalo said postgame. "That was really it, playing good defense and executing on offense." Denver will try to stop a three-game road losing streak Wednesday and is only 4-10 away from the Rockies this season. It is 13-3 at home and could also be without forward Al Harrington tonight because of a thumb injury.
Minnesota hopes to extend its winning streak to a season-high three straight games this evening and opened a three-game homestand with Monday's 113-98 triumph over the New Orleans Hornets. Michael Beasley compiled 30 points, nine rebounds and seven assists, while rookie Wesley Johnson scored a season-best 24 points thanks to six threes for the Timberwolves, who have won two straight following a seven-game slide and opened the third quarter with a 24-10 surge.
Kevin Love had 16 points and 11 rebounds in a winning cause. "It feels good to win two in a row," Love said. "The biggest thing was everyone contributed. All the way down the line -- it was pretty good." The Wolves will also host New Jersey and are 6-7 at home in 2010-11.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Denver by 4.5; O/U 220
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Denver -1
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Denver -5.62
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 14-34 ATS (-23.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 95.9, OPPONENT 105.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 99.3, OPPONENT 106.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--DENVER is 40-21 UNDER (+16.9 Units) as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 99.8, OPPONENT 102.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 35-17 UNDER (+16.3 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 102.7, OPPONENT 104.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) in road games off a home win this season.
The average score was DENVER 97.4, OPPONENT 96.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 66-40 against the 1rst half line (+21.8 Units) in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1996.
The average score was MINNESOTA 49.5, OPPONENT 46.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--DENVER is 19-36 against the 1rst half line (-20.4 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 52.1, OPPONENT 52.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 24-6 OVER (+16.9 Units) the 1rst half total after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 50.2, OPPONENT 57.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 147-101 OVER (+35.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 52.3, OPPONENT 52.9 - (Rating = 6*)
--DENVER is 129-93 OVER (+26.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 48.9, OPPONENT 51.5 - (Rating = 5*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (DENVER) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, vs. division opponents.
(25-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.3%, +19.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 108.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 58.9, Opponent 56.2 (Total first half points scored = 115.1)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (35-18).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (DENVER) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (25 to 40%).
(38-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (76%, +24.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.7, Opponent 48.3 (Average first half point differential = +2.4)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-10).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (67-41).
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Stan 'The Man Szumera has been a Hugely Successful Sports Handicapper for over 30 years. 'The Man has learned to see the value in examining historical and recent trends, situational matchups, injuries, travel, weather and the psychological aspect of the mindset of coaches and players, etc. Researching these and understanding their value gives Stan winning angles for his clients and is the key to his success. He maximizes the earning potential for his clients while minimizing risks!
'The Man's ability to WIN and WIN BIG has earned him a reputation as one of the sharpest of the sharps in the industry today. Szumera's Stat/Systems Sports Investment Company has served a large client base on the East Coast for over 30 years. Stan has helped create wealth for his private clients, many of them uninformed sports enthusiasts that needed help to win, while growing his business into the Sports Information Network it is today!
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*** MIAMI (-5, O/U 198) @ HOUSTON ***
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It's strength versus strength tonight in south Texas as a pair of streaking teams meet when Kevin Martin and the Houston Rockets entertain LeBron James' Miami Heat. The Rockets won their fifth straight game on Monday when Martin finished with 20 points and Aaron Brooks scored 13 of his 15 in the fourth quarter as Houston downed the hapless Washington Wizards, 100-93, in the opener of a three-game homestand.
Shane Battier also scored 15 points and Luis Scola contributed 14 for the Rockets, who reached .500 for the season (15-15) with their eighth straight win at home. "As a team we played well in the fourth quarter. It started at the defensive end and then we all hit big shots," Brooks said. Actually it all starts with the high-scoring Martin in Houston. The Rockets are a solid 14-8 when the shooting guard scores 20 points or more and just 1-7 when he doesn't
The Heat, meanwhile, improved to a gaudy 14-1 in December on Tuesday in South Beach when Dwyane Wade poured in a season-high 40 points and pulled down nine rebounds, as Miami held off the New York Knicks, 106-98. James and Chris Bosh each tallied 18 points and 10 rebounds for the Heat, who have won three in a row and 15 of 16 overall. Zydrunas Ilgauskas donated 14 points and 10 boards. "I was just mixing it up," Wade said. "I was being aggressive and going to the basket but also looking for my outside shot."
"I think my teammates did a good job especially in the fourth of looking for me." With a win tonight, Miami will set a franchise record for victories in any month and give the team its first 10-game run away from home since an 11-game winning streak from Feb. 4-March 7, 1998. The sizzling Heat have won their last nine on the road by an average of 16.1 points. Miami swept the home-and-home series a year ago after Houston did the same thing in 2008-09.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Miami by 4; O/U 202
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Miami -3
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Miami -5.33
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 63-40 ATS (+16.8 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 101.1, OPPONENT 97.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 41-63 ATS (-17.9 Units) in road games after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 90.1, OPPONENT 94.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 3-13 ATS (-11.2 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was MIAMI 98.4, OPPONENT 96.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 95.6, OPPONENT 93.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--HOUSTON is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
The average score was HOUSTON 98.9, OPPONENT 98.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 46-23 UNDER (+20.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 97.7, OPPONENT 91.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 54-27 against the 1rst half line (+24.3 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 51.3, OPPONENT 49.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--HOUSTON is 60-36 against the 1rst half line (+20.4 Units) in a home game where the first half total is 98 to 100.5 since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 51.7, OPPONENT 47.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--HOUSTON is 36-15 against the 1rst half line (+19.5 Units) versus excellent teams - shooting >=46% with a defense of <=43% since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 46.6, OPPONENT 45.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--HOUSTON is 60-37 against the 1rst half line (+19.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 50.5, OPPONENT 49.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 71-48 UNDER (+18.2 Units) the 1rst half total as a home underdog vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 46.4, OPPONENT 46.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 85-51 UNDER (+28.9 Units) the 1rst half total after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 47.3, OPPONENT 45.7 - (Rating = 5*)
--MIAMI is 97-62 UNDER (+28.8 Units) the 1rst half total as a road favorite of 3 points or less vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 47.3, OPPONENT 45.2 - (Rating = 5*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Home underdogs of 2 to 3.5 points vs. the first half line (HOUSTON) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games.
(27-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (84.4%, +21.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.7, Opponent 48.1 (Average first half point differential = +1.6)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-3).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (44-30).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in non-conference games.
(47-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.3%, +27.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (33-32 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 5.2
The average score in these games was: Team 97.3, Opponent 97.8 (Average point differential = -0.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 31 (47.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-12).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (82-51).
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*** PHILADELPHIA @ PHOENIX (-5, O/U 207.5) ***
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The Phoenix Suns hope to halt a three-game skid when they open a stretch of five of six games at the US Airways Center by welcoming the road-weary Philadelphia 76ers to the desert. Clippers rookie star Blake Griffin posted his 18th straight double-double with 28 points and 12 rebounds before fouling out on Sunday, as Los Angeles snapped a nine-game losing streak to the Suns with a 108-103 victory at Staples Center. Mickael Pietrus netted a team-high 25 points for Phoenix, which has lost seven of its last nine contests overall.
Steve Nash registered a double-double with 21 points and 15 assists, and Grant Hill poured in 19 points in defeat. "They did a good job defensively against us," Suns head coach Alvin Gentry said about the Clippers. "They're getting better. We're just not getting quality play." Phoenix, which is 7-6 at home on the year, hopes to get a boost tonight with the debut of Vince Carter. The former All-Star has missed all four games with a sore knee since being acquired by the Suns in a six-player trade with Orlando on Dec. 18
The Sixers, meanwhile, fell to 2-3 on their season-long eight-game trek Monday in Oakland when Dorell Wright led a balanced Golden State attack with 28 points, as the Warriors used precise long-distance shooting to beat Philadelphia, 110-95, at Oracle Arena. Wright went 5-of-7 from three-point range, part of a 15-of-23 effort for the Warriors. Jrue Holiday scored 23 to go with 11 assists for the Sixers, who were without swingman Andre Iguodala and sixth man Lou Williams.
Iguodala sat out due to tendinitis in his right Achilles, an injury that caused him to miss several games earlier in the season, while Williams was excused to witness the birth of his daughter. Jodie Meeks had 19 points and Elton Brand finished with 16 points and 16 rebounds in defeat. Spencer Hawes pulled down 12 rebounds. Iguodala and Williams both could be back for tonight's contest. The Suns swept the home-and-home series between the two clubs a year ago and have traditionally dominated the Sixers in Phoenix, winning 20 of the last 23 games in the series on their home floor.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Phoenix by 4; O/U 206
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Phoenix -2
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Phoenix -3.27
_____________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 41-20 ATS (+18.8 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 106.7, OPPONENT 103.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 43-22 ATS (+18.5 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 109.2, OPPONENT 104.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 73-95 ATS (-19.9 Units) vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 94.8, OPPONENT 99.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 85-57 OVER (+22.3 Units) in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 106.0, OPPONENT 100.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHOENIX is 110-81 OVER (+20.9 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 105.3, OPPONENT 98.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHOENIX is 53-32 OVER (+17.8 Units) in home games off a loss against a division rival since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 102.5, OPPONENT 96.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 83-58 against the 1rst half line (+19.7 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 47.2, OPPONENT 48.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 48-26 against the 1rst half line (+19.2 Units) in road games after allowing 110 points or more since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 49.3, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 27-8 UNDER (+17.9 Units) the 1rst half total when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 54.5, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 28-10 UNDER (+16.9 Units) the 1rst half total after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 55.4, OPPONENT 52.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Favorites (PHOENIX) - excellent shooting team (>=47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots.
(48-22 since 1996.) (68.6%, +23.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (59-12)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 7
The average score in these games was: Team 106.1, Opponent 95.6 (Average point differential = +10.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 31 (44.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-11).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (36-16).
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (PHILADELPHIA) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season.
(73-39 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.2%, +30.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.9, Opponent 51.5 (Average first half point differential = -2.6)
The situation's record this season is: (6-6).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (53-34).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (129-99).
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*** MEMPHIS (-4, O/U 195) @ SACRAMENTO ***
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The Memphis Grizzlies will kick off a three-game road trip tonight in California's capital against a lowly Sacramento Kings team hoping to avoid a ninth consecutive loss. The Grizzlies won their second straight game on Monday in Memphis when Zach Randolph led a balanced attack with 21 points and the Grizz topped the Toronto Raptors, 96-85. Rudy Gay finished off his night with 18 points, six assists, five steals and five rebounds and both Mike Conley and O.J. Mayo contributed 12 points for Memphis, which has won two straight since a three-game skid. Tony Allen finished with 14 points and eight rebounds and Randolph added eight boards in the win.
"We have to keep focused after a high," Mayo said. "We get a little relaxed when we win a couple of games in a row." Memphis, which is 5-11 on the road this year, will also visit Utah and the LA Lakers on its trek. The Kings, meanwhile, lost their eighth straight game and fell to 0-4 on a five-game homestand, losing a heartbreaker to the LA Clippers. Eric Gordon scored 31 points and Blake Griffin added 24 points and 14 rebounds, as the Clippers escaped ARCO Arena with a 100-99 victory over the Kings despite a late lapse in judgment by Ryan Gomes.
The Clippers were holding a 100-97 lead following Griffin's fastbreak dunk with 5.1 seconds left in regulation. A timeout moved the ball past midcourt, and the Kings put it in the hands of Tyreke Evans. Gomes was closely guarding the reigning Rookie of the Year and was whistled for a foul outside the three-point line. The referees awarded Evans three free throws with 1.9 ticks remaining, and the first two went down. The third, however, rattled off the rim. DeMarcus Cousins nearly tipped in the miss, and Evans had a second try just before the buzzer, but his rushed attempt from just inside the foul line rimmed out to seal the crushing defeat.
"On the last play, shot the last free throw shot and it felt good, but it rolled in and out," Evans said. "DeMarcus had a chance to put it back in, but it looked like he got grabbed. I had a chance to put it back in, but it didn't fall. It's a tough one." Three of the Clippers' 10 wins this season have come against the Kings, who have dropped five straight at home overall and fell to an NBA-worst 5-23. Evans ended with a game-high 32 points, including five straight during a late 8-0 run that brought Sacramento within 96-95 with 1:23 to play.
Omri Casspi and Beno Udrih netted 16 and 14 points, respectively, for the Kings, who shot 13-of-26 from three-point range. Sacramento hasn't dropped nine straight games since March 31-April 13, 2009 and hasn't lost six in a row at home since an eight-game hiccup from Nov. 11- Dec. 6, 2008. The Memphis franchise lost 25 of its first 26 games in Sacramento but has rebounded to win three of its last four in the capital city, including a 100-91 triumph back on Nov. 6.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Memphis by 5; O/U 193
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Memphis -6
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Memphis -4.69
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 1-15 ATS (-15.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 94.1, OPPONENT 103.4 - (Rating = 5*)
--SACRAMENTO is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 91.4, OPPONENT 104.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--MEMPHIS is 82-56 ATS (+20.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 96.4, OPPONENT 95.5 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 57-36 UNDER (+17.4 Units) in home games off a loss against a division rival since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 100.9, OPPONENT 95.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--MEMPHIS is 55-26 UNDER (+26.4 Units) after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 92.0, OPPONENT 90.8 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 84-54 against the 1rst half line (+24.6 Units) in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 54.6, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--SACRAMENTO is 69-42 against the 1rst half line (+22.8 Units) in home games versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing >=16 turnovers/game since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 53.0, OPPONENT 47.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--SACRAMENTO is 43-22 against the 1rst half line (+18.8 Units) in home games versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 53.0, OPPONENT 47.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 10-1 against the 1rst half line (+8.9 Units) in a home game where the first half total is 95.5 to 98 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 50.8, OPPONENT 48.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 42-23 UNDER (+16.7 Units) the 1rst half total after 5 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 47.8, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--MEMPHIS is 73-41 UNDER (+27.9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 46.9, OPPONENT 49.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--MEMPHIS is 52-29 UNDER (+20.1 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 46.2, OPPONENT 45.9 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (MEMPHIS) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (98-102 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more.
(22-4 since 1996.) (84.6%, +17.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.5, Opponent 47.3 (Average first half point differential = +2.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-3).
--PLAY ON - Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season.
(24-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.8%, +18.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (24-5 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 4.8
The average score in these games was: Team 102.4, Opponent 93.2 (Average point differential = +9.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 12 (41.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-2).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (57-49).
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*** UTAH (-2.5, O/U 194) @ LA CLIPPERS ***
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The resurgent Los Angeles Clippers open up a five-game homestand tonight when they entertain the Utah Jazz at Staples Center. The Clippers won for the fifth time in six games Monday when Eric Gordon scored 31 points and Blake Griffin recorded his 19th straight double-double with 24 points and 14 rebounds, as Los Angeles escaped ARCO Arena with a 100-99 victory over the Kings despite a late lapse in judgment by Ryan Gomes.
The Clippers were holding a 100-97 lead following Griffin's fastbreak dunk with 5.1 seconds left in regulation. A timeout moved the ball past midcourt, and the Kings put it in the hands of Tyreke Evans. Gomes was closely guarding the reigning Rookie of the Year and was whistled for a foul outside the three-point line. The referees awarded Evans three free throws with 1.9 ticks remaining, and the first two went down.
The third, however, rattled off the rim. DeMarcus Cousins nearly tipped in the miss, and Evans had a second try just before the buzzer, but his rushed attempt from just inside the foul line rimmed out to seal the crushing defeat. "We would have lost this game earlier this year," Gordon said. Three of the Clippers' 10 wins this season have come against the Kings, who have dropped eight straight and fell to an NBA-worst 5-23.
LA, which is 7-11 at home, will also entertain Atlanta, Denver, Golden State and Miami on its residency. The Jazz, meanwhile, lost for the first time in four games Monday when LaMarcus Aldridge scored 18 of his 26 points in the second half, powering the Portland Trail Blazers to a 96-91 win over Utah in Salt Lake City. Deron Williams went 6-of-8 from beyond the arc in leading the way with 31 points for the Jazz. Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap both scored 11, while C.J. Miles added 10 in defeat.
"They came out and got after us and made it tough for us to get what we wanted on the offensive end of the floor most of the time," Jazz coach Jerry Sloan said. "They took the life out of us and busted us in the mouth and everything else. We fell out like flies. When you play games at home like this in your building, you've got to be a little bit tougher than what we were." Forward Andrei Kirilenko didn't play in the fourth quarter Monday after straining his lower back and is listed as doubtful for tonight as Utah aims to improve on its solid 10-4 road record. The Jazz have won nine of their last 10 against the Clippers, including a pair of games last month.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Utah by 4; O/U 200
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Utah -2.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Utah -3.77
__________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 66-86 ATS (-28.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 94.9, OPPONENT 103.6 - (Rating = 5*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 93.4, OPPONENT 100.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 43-20 ATS (+20.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 104.0, OPPONENT 98.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 33-14 ATS (+17.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 105.1, OPPONENT 95.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 51-26 UNDER (+22.4 Units) in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1996.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 96.2, OPPONENT 96.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 72-48 UNDER (+19.2 Units) off a loss against a division rival since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 95.8, OPPONENT 92.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 37-17 against the 1rst half line (+17.9 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 49.9, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 23-42 against the 1rst half line (-23.2 Units) in road games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 47.8, OPPONENT 51.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 18-34 against the 1rst half line (-19.4 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 47.2, OPPONENT 51.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 82-32 UNDER (+46.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 42.0, OPPONENT 45.4 - (Rating = 6*)
--UTAH is 43-20 UNDER (+20.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 52.1, OPPONENT 47.9 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Home underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season, after a close win by 3 points or less.
(47-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +26.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (51-16 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 4.4
The average score in these games was: Team 105.8, Opponent 98.3 (Average point differential = +7.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 26 (40.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-14).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (74-42).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (UTAH) - average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a loss by 6 points or less.
(68-31 since 1996.) (68.7%, +33.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.9, Opponent 47.7 (Average first half point differential = +2.2)
The situation's record this season is: (3-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-8).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (36-17).
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Each day here in our Stat/Systems Report we will list the Top - Angles, Stats and Situational Trends for up-coming games, including all the Key - ATS, Over/Unders, Money-Line, First Half ATS Top Trends including Over/Unders, Coaches ATS & Over/Unders and Teaser Line Trends, along with all your high percentage Super Situation Systems.
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••• PIT STOP! •••
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Times are tough in D.C., with the Washington Wizards struggling to pick up wins at home and on the road. However, there is one way to bet the Wiz that is having a ton of success. The Wizards are terrible on the road this season, making Wednesday’s home stand against the Pacers a much-needed pit stop. Washington dropped back-to-back road tilts in Texas, falling to San Antonio and Houston this past week.
The Wizards have only one win in their last 10 games, while scoring just under 93 points per game in that span, cracking the century mark only twice. That inability to find the basket has helped Washington post a 3-7 over/under record in those 10 outings, with the past seven games staying below the number. Washington has a 4-10 over/under count inside the Verizon Center this season and has played under the total in three of its last three games with Indiana.
Make Sure you have the Advantage you need to win this Season! Did you know that the Stat/Systems Report is the #1 rated sports betting publication in the country today. Offering complete analysis and predictions for every game on the board including game logs, betting trends, key injuries, vital statistics, lines and odds, and more the daily publication is everything that you need to win each and every day!
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***** WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 29TH NBA INFORMATION *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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• HOT TEAMS
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-- Hawks won three of their last four games. Golden State won last three games, covered four of last five.
-- Celtics won 15 of last 16 games; they're 6-4 as a road favorite. Pistons covered five of their last six games.
-- Thunder is 7-4 in last eleven games as a home favorite.
-- Hornets won their last four home games.
-- Minnesota won its last two games, covered six of last seven.
-- Miami is 15-1 in its last 16 games; they covered six of last seven as a road favorite. Rockets won last five games; they covered four of last six as an underdog.
-- 76ers are 7-3 vs spread in last ten games as road underdog.
-- Grizzlies won last two games, covered 11 of last 14.
-- Clippers won five of their last six games. Utah won three of four.
• COLD TEAMS
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-- Pacers lost six of their last eight games (0-7-1 vs spread). Wizards lost three in row, 10 of last 11 games.
-- Cleveland lost its last four games, by 11-14-1-15 points. Bobcats lost four of their last five games.
-- Nets covered once in last eight games as road underdog.
-- Lakers lost last three games, scoring 79-80-82 points.
-- Nuggets lost three of their last four games.
-- Suns lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Sacramento lost its last eight games (1-7 vs spread).
• BACK-TO-BACK
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-- Pacers are 2-3 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Cavaliers are 1-3 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Celtics are 2-3 vs spread if they won the night before.
-- Lakers are 2-2 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Nuggets are 2-4 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Miami is 3-4 vs spread if it played night before.
• TOTALS
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-- Last eight Washington games stayed under the total.
-- Last six Atlanta games stayed under the total. Warriors' last four games all went over.
-- Five of last seven Charlotte games stayed under total.
-- Last four Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Last three New Jersey games went over the total. Under is 8-3 in last eleven Oklahoma City games.
-- Seven of last nine Laker games stayed under the total.
-- Armadillosports.com is America's favorite website.
-- Three of last four Denver games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Memphis games.
-- Under is 7-0-1 in Clippers' last eight home games.
• QUICK HITS
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--INDIANA @ WASHINGTON, 7:00 PM ET INDIANA: 21-7 Under playing on back-to-back days. WASHINGTON: 4-16 ATS as home favorite of 3pts or less.
--GOLDEN STATE @ ATLANTA, 7:00 PM ET GOLDEN STATE: 11-2 Over at Atlanta. ATLANTA: 2-7 ATS vs. Western Conference.
--CLEVELAND @ CHARLOTTE, 7:00 PM ET CLEVELAND: 1-8 ATS if home dog last game. CHARLOTTE: 14-3 ATS off ATS loss.
--BOSTON @ DETROIT, 7:30 PM ET BOSTON: 10-1 Under Away if won 20 of L25 games. DETROIT: 9-19 ATS revenging home loss.
--NEW JERSEY @ OKLAHOMA CITY, 8:00 PM ET NEW JERSEY: 11-25 ATS off BB double digit losses. OKLAHOMA CITY: 30-15 ATS off home loss.
--LA LAKERS @ NEW ORLEANS, 8:00 PM ET LA LAKERS: 11-2 Under after scoring 85 pts or less. NEW ORLEANS: 13-1 Under off ATS loss.
--DENVER @ MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET DENVER: 1-9 ATS off ATS win. MINNESOTA: 5-1 Under playing with same season revenge.
--MIAMI @ HOUSTON, 8:30 PM ET MIAMI: 30-14 Under off BB SU wins. HOUSTON: 10-1 Under at home vs. Southeast Division.
--PHILADELPHIA @ PHOENIX, 9:00 PM ET PHILADELPHIA: 7-0 Under after allowing 105+ pts. PHOENIX: 1-5 ATS off BB SU losses.
--MEMPHIS @ SACRAMENTO, 10:00 PM ET MEMPHIS: 12-3 ATS off an Under. SACRAMENTO: 0-7 ATS if home dog last game.
--UTAH @ LA CLIPPERS, 10:30 PM ET NBA UTAH: 29-14 ATS off BB SU losses. LA CLIPPERS: 2-7 ATS vs. Utah.
• NOTES & TIPS
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--Gerald Wallace (ankle), Charlotte Bobcats – Wallace has missed the last five games with a sprained ankle but coach Paul Silas expects him back for Wednesday’s game against Cleveland. Wallace wasn’t quite as eager, saying that he would see how it feels during shootaround, though he was able to practice Tuesday. The 6-foot-7 forward averages 16.7 points and 8.1 rebounds per game.
--The Washington Wizards are said to be shopping both Andray Blatche and JaVale McGee after the two got into a fight and were handed one-game suspensions. The Wizards look to be getting ready to clean house following this latest incident. The club hosts Indiana Wednesday and currently set as a 1-point favorite.
--The Utah Jazz have won four straight road games, but could be shorthanded Wednesday night when they visit the L.A. Clippers. Andrei Kirilenko isn’t expected to play after leaving Monday’s game with back spasms. If Kirilenko can’t go, C.J. Miles and Mehmet Okur will see increased minutes. Utah had won three straight before losing to Portland in their last contest.
--The Denver Nuggets announced Tuesday night that star forward Carmelo Anthony will return to the team Thursday after leaving to grieve the death of his sister. Anthony already has missed four games following the Dec. 21 death of sister, Michelle Anthony, due to a pre-existing medical condition. He won't be with the team Wednesday at Minnesota, meaning he will have missed five games. Anthony's first game back is expected to be Saturday at home against Sacramento. Michelle Anthony's funeral was Monday in Baltimore. In a statement released by the team, Anthony said he appreciates the outpouring of support since her death. The Nuggets lost their first three games without Anthony before beating Portland 95-77 Tuesday night.
--Losing an eighth straight game wasn't the focus immediately after they fell, 100-99, to the Clippers on Monday night, as the Kings' spirits were raised from the depths based solely on the outing of second-year guard Tyreke Evans. He scored a season-high 32 points in retro fashion, finally looking like the player who won the Rookie of the Year award last season just one game after a loss to Milwaukee marked a new low for the league's worst team. But Evans, who has dealt with a mild case of plantar fasciitis for much of the season in which his production has drastically declined, revealed afterward that he is considering having a procedure done on his left foot to alleviate the condition that would sideline him for "three to four months."
"Hopefully (the plantar fasciitis) will go away soon," said Evans, whose 30-point outing against Memphis on Nov. 6 was his only other 30-plus point scoring game of the season. "I talked to my agent (Bob Myers) today, and I was thinking about (the procedure)... He's going to let me know and we'll see what's up. I'll just keep that in mind, whether I want to just keep playing through it or get (the procedure) over with." A source close to Evans said he had already decided to do the procedure which involves laser treatment soon, but the sudden rediscovery of his game and swagger might mean he delays the procedure until after the All-Star break or perhaps the offseason. Evans said Kings coach Paul Westphal indicated that he would be supportive of his player no matter the final decision.
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• NOTE: NBA betting is becoming more popular each year. This is known as one of the sports where a smart bettor who practiced proper money management can make some really huge profits. Once a bettor begins to study and understand NBA Odds, he or she can gain a better understanding of how the bookies set their numbers. The bookies set a lot of these NBA Odds with the public in mind. They know the public is going to bet the Lakers and Bulls (and other public teams) every week so there are some great situations to get good numbers by going against teams like that.
It is always best to shop around when looking for the best NBA Odds. Many different books release different numbers and NBA Odds always tend to differ at each sportsbook. If you are truly interested in finding the best NBA Odds, it is always best to have funded accounts at - at least five sportsbooks.
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*** INDIANA @ WASHINGTON (-2.5, O/U 195) ***
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A pair of struggling clubs clash tonight in the nation's capital, as the Washington Wizards play host to the Indiana Pacers from the Verizon Center. The Wizards have lost three in a row and 10 of 11 games, and are coming off Monday's 100-93 loss in Houston. Kirk Hinrich led the way with 19 points and Andray Blatche ended with 17 points and 14 rebounds for the Wizards, who remained winless on the road (0-15) this season.
"It's a tough loss. We felt like we gave it away. We had control until the last five minutes of the fourth quarter," said Wizards new forward Rashard Lewis, who had 12 points, nine boards and five assists. Nick Young scored 18 points and rookie John Wall chipped in 13 points and six assists off the bench in defeat. The Wizards are just 7-7 in DC this season and Young is averaging 20.6 ppg in his last six games. Hinrich is averaging 16.8 points, 7.8 assists and 4.8 rebounds in his last five games.
Meanwhile, the Pacers will try to put the brakes on a six-game road losing streak when they head to Washington tonight. The Pacers are 5-8 away from Conseco Fieldhouse, where they dropped a 95-83 decision to the Boston Celtics on Tuesday. Brandon Rush led the Pacers with 17 points and seven rebounds, while Danny Granger finished with 15 points for Indiana, which has lost two straight and six of eight games. Darren Collison chipped in 10 points and Mike Dunleavy scored nine off the bench in defeat.
"We just lost," said Pacers forward Josh McRoberts. "We played well with them for three quarters. They made a run. We didn't respond well, didn't make good plays and lost the ball game." Indiana made 37 percent of its shots and committed 15 turnovers. The Pacers and Wizards are meeting for the first time since Indiana took three of four meetings a season ago. Indiana has won six of the previous nine encounters with Washington, winners in six of the past nine matchups at home.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Indiana by 2; O/U 197
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Washington -1
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Indiana -3.18
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--WASHINGTON is 64-91 ATS (-36.1 Units) in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was WASHINGTON 98.4, OPPONENT 98.1 - (Rating = 5*)
--WASHINGTON is 34-52 ATS (-23.2 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 95.8, OPPONENT 103.5 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--WASHINGTON is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) after having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games this season.
The average score was WASHINGTON 91.0, OPPONENT 94.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.
The average score was WASHINGTON 91.3, OPPONENT 92.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 21-7 UNDER (+13.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 96.9, OPPONENT 101.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--WASHINGTON is 16-31 against the 1rst half line (-18.1 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 45.1, OPPONENT 51.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 55-30 against the 1rst half line (+22.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 54.8, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--WASHINGTON is 53-32 UNDER (+17.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 47.6, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 66-44 UNDER (+17.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 47.7, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
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--PLAY ON - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days.
(49-24 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.1%, +22.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (45-29 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.3
The average score in these games was: Team 100.9, Opponent 97.8 (Average point differential = +3.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 30 (41.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-15).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (102-64).
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Saturday, Stan 'The Man released (to all that called and signed-up for his 2010 College Bowl Bonanza) his Hugh *4-Star Selection with Arizona (+7.5). Stan said - "While Christmas Day finds a couple of interesting NBA scuffles, Christmas night finds a meaningless NFL contest. Thankfully, there’s a silver lining to every cloud as this stocking is stuffed with our 'INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK!"
"Though the ‘Boys are a solid 15-4 SU and ATS in this series off an ATS loss, we want no part of their ugly 1-16-1 ATS stat as non-division favorites from Game Thirteen out"... "We’re also not thrilled with their money-burning 1-6 ATS mark when they line up as favorites this season or their 1-4 ATS log on Saturdays during the regular season when they arrive off a SU win."
The Man went on to say - "We just asked you to go with the Panthers two days ago and now we’re suggesting a play on the Cardinals... "It may be a case of too much eggnog but it just may be that the Redbirds are a perfect 6-0 ATS at home on Saturdays during the regular season off a SU loss... “It also may be a case of ‘Zona owning a 4-2 SU and 6-0 ATS mark in Last Home Games off a loss since 2000... “Whatever the case, we’ll have another as Cardinals’ HC Ken Whisenhunt improves to 10-3 SU and ATS at home as pick or a dog!"
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*** GOLDEN STATE @ ATLANTA (-7, O/U 203) ***
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The Golden State Warriors will hit the road for five games, starting with tonight's showdown against the Atlanta Hawks at Philips Arena. The Warriors will also visit the Bobcats, Heat, Magic and Hornets on the road swing and are just 4-12 outside of Oakland this season. Golden State is coming off its third straight win, a 110-95 decision over the visiting Philadelphia 76ers at Oracle Arena.
Dorell Wright had a game-high 28 points, Monta Ellis collected 22 points and 12 assists and David Lee tallied 21 points and 16 rebounds in a winning cause. "I have to be a little more aggressive," Wright said. "When I start making a few shots guys start going for my head fakes so I just got to start utilizing that. It's an ability I have to get to the basket and have to start doing it more." Stephen Curry got into the scoring act with 17 points. The Warriors have not won four in a row since February 26 - March 4, 2008.
Atlanta is aiming to extend its eight-game home winning streak Wednesday and is 11-5 as the host this season. The Hawks won for the fourth time in six tries overall with Monday's 95-80 road decision over the Milwaukee Bucks, as Al Horford pumped in 18 points and 12 rebounds to lead the charge. Joe Johnson scored 15 points and both Jamal Crawford and Marvin Williams ended the night with 14 off the bench.
"We play our best when we're sharing the ball. We're just consistent and solid throughout, and that's what we did tonight," Horford said after the Hawks snapped a five-game road skid. Golden State and Atlanta have split the previous 20 meetings in this series, while the Hawks have won six of the past 10 games as the host.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Atlanta by 7.5; O/U 202
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Atlanta -9
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Atlanta -7.6
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--ATLANTA is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 104.7, OPPONENT 90.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 55-81 ATS (-34.1 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 94.6, OPPONENT 104.0 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--GOLDEN STATE is 38-19 UNDER (+17.1 Units) in road games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 96.7, OPPONENT 102.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 53-34 UNDER (+15.6 Units) as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 103.7, OPPONENT 111.9 - (Rating = 3*)
-GOLDEN STATE is 21-5 UNDER (+15.5 Units) in road games after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 99.6, OPPONENT 111.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--ATLANTA is 68-101 against the 1rst half line (-43.1 Units) vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 46.8, OPPONENT 48.0 - (Rating = 6*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 28-10 against the 1rst half line (+16.8 Units) after 3 straight games where opponent grabbed 55 or more rebounds over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 55.4, OPPONENT 55.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--GOLDEN STATE is 13-3 UNDER (+9.7 Units) the 1rst half total vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 48.3, OPPONENT 53.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 46.3, OPPONENT 54.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 45.5, OPPONENT 54.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) the 1rst half total versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 45.1, OPPONENT 52.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (GOLDEN STATE) - in non-conference games, after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite.
(34-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.1%, +24.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.8, Opponent 50 (Average first half point differential = +0.9)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (61-45).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season.
(48-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.6%, +26 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 209.5
The average score in these games was: Team 97.6, Opponent 103.4 (Total points scored = 201)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 42 (60.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-14).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (80-44).
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Stan 'The Man Continued to Sizzle with his 'RED~HOT' Roll in NBA Action on Sunday! Fresh off cashing his Top *4-Star winner on Saturday with the Knicks/Bulls Under (205.5), Stan dished out his *5-Star 'Totally Amazing Super Situational System' with Washington/San Antonio (Under 101.5, 1rst Half) - PLAY UNDER: All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 101.5 points - after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games. W-L Record, 30-6 (83.3%, +23.4 units) since 1996. With the win, it extended 'The Man's season record on the NBA hardwood to 22-5, (81.5%) with his last twenty-seven top rated selections.
--Result: Tony Parker had a stellar all-around game, finishing with 20 points, 14 assists and six rebounds, as San Antonio dropped the road-weary Wizards, 94-80, at AT&T Center. The Wizards, the only team in the NBA without a road victory (0-14), played without forwards Andray Blatche and JaVale McGee, who were both suspended for actions detrimental to the team. Rashard Lewis stepped up with 21 points and 12 rebounds in defeat. Washington was within striking distance in the first half, staying within 27-23 at the end of one quarter while trailing, 48-42, at the break.
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*** CLEVELAND @ CHARLOTTE (-8, O/U 201) ***
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The Cleveland Cavaliers hope to solve their road woes when they try to stop a 12-game losing streak as the guest tonight against the Charlotte Bobcats at Time Warner Cable Arena. The Cavs are 3-13 as the visitor this season and lost their fourth straight overall with Tuesday's 110-95 setback versus the Orlando Magic at Quicken Loans Arena. Antawn Jamison finished with 21 points and Daniel Gibson had 15 points and six boards for Cleveland, which has just one win in its last 15 contests overall and was outscored, 35-21, in the fourth quarter.
"Thirty-six good minutes of basketball. That's basically what we played. We didn't play very well in the fourth quarter," Cavs head coach Byron Scott said. Mo Williams and Anderson Varejao both had 14 points in defeat. Cleveland will also make a stop in Chicago on the quick trek. Charlotte, meanwhile, began the Paul Silas era on a positive note with Monday's 105-100 triumph over the Detroit Pistons at home.
D.J. Augustin scored 27 points and Stephen Jackson added 23 for the Bobcats, who snapped a four-game slide and won for only the second time in its last eight overall. The 67-year-old Silas took over for Larry Brown, who resigned from his post on Wednesday after the Bobcats got off to a 9-19 start this season. Silas returned to the NBA coaching ranks for the first time since he was fired by the Cleveland Cavaliers near the end of the 2004-05 season.
"It was great," Silas said about returning to coaching. "It brought back old memories; it just comes back to you. You just want to win. You tell the players what they're doing, and I've got great assistant coaches that are helping me. It's going to take some time but I liked the effort tonight. If we continue to play with this kind of effort then it's unbelievable what we can do."
In injury news for the Bobcats, Tyrus Thomas, who had 14 points off the bench in the win, is probable for tonight with a sore right wrist. Forward Gerald Wallace (ankle) is listed as questionable and has missed five straight games. The Bobcats will also host Golden State and Miami on their current five-game residency is 7-7 at home this season. They won three of four matchups with Cleveland last year, but the Cavs are 16-6 in the previous 22 contests in this series.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Charlotte by 6; O/U 187
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Charlotte -6
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Charlotte -5.81
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--CHARLOTTE is 36-18 ATS (+15.9 Units) versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 97.9, OPPONENT 93.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) in road games versus slow-down teams averaging 76 or less shots/game since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 83.8, OPPONENT 92.4 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--CHARLOTTE is 31-12 OVER (+17.6 Units) versus poor shooting teams - making <=43% of their shots since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 94.2, OPPONENT 98.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 7 days since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 101.6, OPPONENT 101.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 21-4 OVER (+16.5 Units) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 103.3, OPPONENT 98.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--CHARLOTTE is 72-48 against the 1rst half line (+19.1 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 47.6, OPPONENT 47.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 58-36 against the 1rst half line (+18.3 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 48.2, OPPONENT 47.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--CHARLOTTE is 39-21 UNDER (+15.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 46.7, OPPONENT 46.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 56-33 UNDER (+19.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus slow-down teams averaging 76 or less shots/game since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 43.1, OPPONENT 44.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY OVER - Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHARLOTTE) - after a game where they failed to cover the spread, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days.
(25-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.6%, +18.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 204.6
The average score in these games was: Team 109.8, Opponent 103.4 (Total points scored = 213.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 16 (51.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (46-28).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (CHARLOTTE) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games against opponent after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.
(59-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.8%, +34.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 105.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.7, Opponent 50.1 (Total first half points scored = 101.8)
The situation's record this season is: (6-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (37-17).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (83-48).
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*** BOSTON (-6.5, O/U 188.5) @ DETROIT ***
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The Boston Celtics look to put together another lengthy winning streak when they close out a three-game road trip tonight against the Detroit Pistons at The Palace of Auburn Hills. Boston had a 14-game winning streak stopped on Christmas Day in Orlando, but was able to bounce back with last night's 95-83 victory at Indiana behind a game-best 21 points and seven assists from Paul Pierce. Ray Allen scored 17 points and Kevin Garnett recorded 11 points and 13 rebounds for the Celtics, who are 11-4 away from Beantown this season.
Glen Davis netted 14 points and Shaquille O'Neal added nine before fouling out for the second game in a row. "This was a tough game. This is just a tough place to play," said Boston coach Doc Rivers, who is four wins shy of tying K.C. Jones for third on the franchise's all-time wins list. "You knew this would be a tough game. For us to grind it out was huge." The Celtics held Indiana to just 36 points and 31.6% shooting in the second half and got 12 points, five boards, four assists, a steal and two blocks from Marquis Daniels.
Detroit has dropped two straight and seven of its last 10 games, including Monday's 105-100 setback to the Charlotte Bobcats. D.J. Augustin scored 27 points and Stephen Jackson added 23, as the Bobcats opened the Paul Silas era on a winning note. Charlie Villanueva finished with a team-high 25 points, while Tayshaun Prince and Ben Gordon each netted 17 points for the Pistons, who outscored Charlotte by a 31-20 margin in the fourth quarter and will try to even their 7-8 home record Wednesday night.
"I thought the energy of the second group that we put in for the second half was great," Pistons head coach John Kuester said. "They did a good job of getting us back into the game." Boston handed Detroit a 109-86 loss back on Nov. 2 this season at The Palace and has won eight of the past 10 games in this series. The Celtics, however, have lost 11 of their previous 17 contests at the Pistons.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Boston 8; O/U 191
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Boston -7
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Boston -10.46
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--DETROIT is 86-110 ATS (-35.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 94.1, OPPONENT 97.4 - (Rating = 6*)
--DETROIT is 46-73 ATS (-34.3 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 93.0, OPPONENT 98.2 - (Rating = 6*)
--DETROIT is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 94.7, OPPONENT 96.5 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--DETROIT is 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) in home games after playing a game as an underdog this season.
The average score was DETROIT 100.0, OPPONENT 104.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 61-38 OVER (+19.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 105.1, OPPONENT 97.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--DETROIT is 10-1 against the 1rst half line (+8.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
The average score was DETROIT 52.7, OPPONENT 44.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 31-47 against the 1rst half line (-20.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 48.8, OPPONENT 46.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--BOSTON is 25-9 OVER (+15.1 Units) the 1rst half total as a road favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 53.3, OPPONENT 47.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 16-2 OVER (+13.8 Units) the 1rst half total as a road favorite of 2 to 3 points vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 54.2, OPPONENT 49.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a top-level team (>= 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%).
(26-5 since 1996.) (83.9%, +20.5 units. Rating = 5*)
The average total posted in these games was: 184.9
The average score in these games was: Team 104.1, Opponent 91.4 (Total points scored = 195.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 17 (56.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (9-1).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (BOSTON) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team.
(47-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +26.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.4, Opponent 48.7 (Average first half point differential = +1.7)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-11).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (85-60).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DETROIT) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, with a losing record.
(52-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.3%, +27.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (65-10 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.3
The average score in these games was: Team 102.4, Opponent 92.3 (Average point differential = +10.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 29 (39.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (35-17).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (108-73).
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*** NEW JERSEY @ OKLAHOMA CITY (-10, O/U 197) ***
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The New Jersey Nets kick off a three-game road trip in Oklahoma City tonight against Kevin Durant and the Thunder. The Nets, who will also visit Chicago and Minnesota on this trip, lost their second straight game on Monday in snowy Newark. A severe winter storm left as much as two feet of snow in the area Sunday, enough to delay the Orlando team bus as it became stuck in a snowbank on the way to the arena but that didn't stop the Magic from topping New Jersey, 104-88.
Devin Harris led the Nets with 24 points and Brook Lopez finished with 20 points and seven rebounds for New Jersey, which hasn't beaten the Magic since April 2009. Travis Outlaw and Jordan Farmar both accounted for 10 points in the loss. "On a night like tonight when our defense is not as good as it's been recently we've got to score the ball," Nets coach Avery Johnson said. "This is another night when we didn't score and that's a problem."
The Nets are just 3-13 on the road this season and will be hoping to snap a four-game skid against Oklahoma City, a stretch that included a 123-120 triple overtime win by the Thunder in north Jersey back on Dec. 1. Oklahoma City was able to outlast the Nets in that one despite playing without Durant, who sat out that contest with a sprained left knee. Russell Westbrook was the star in his absence, just missing a triple-double with 38 points, a career-best 15 rebounds and nine assists.
Most recently the Thunder fell to 1-1 on a four-game homestand Monday when Jason Terry scored 11 of his 13 points in the fourth quarter and the Mavericks, despite playing most of the game without Dirk Nowitzki, shut down Oklahoma City in the final period and posted a 103-93 victory. Nowitzki departed the game just 2:50 into the second quarter with a sore right knee. He came down awkwardly on his ankle after hitting a jumper, and he left the game after completing the three-point play. He finished with 13 points.
Durant scored 28 points, while James Harden ended with 18 for the Thunder, who were coming off an eight-point home win over the Nuggets on Christmas Day and are 11-6 in Okie City. Westbrook scored 15 points and Jeff Green 12 for Oklahoma City, which was held to 4-of-18 shooting from the field in the last quarter. "We just picked a bad time to miss shots," Thunder coach Scott Brooks said. "I thought the fourth quarter, when they went to the zone, we just couldn't buy any baskets." Oklahoma City will finish its residency against Atlanta on New Year's Eve.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Oklahoma City by 9.5; O/U 198
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Oklahoma City -9
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Oklahoma City -9.63
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-12 ATS (+19.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 102.8, OPPONENT 97.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 48-64 ATS (-22.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 92.5, OPPONENT 100.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW JERSEY is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 93.7, OPPONENT 102.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-13 OVER (+17.7 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 104.0, OPPONENT 102.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 110.4, OPPONENT 104.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 33-12 OVER (+19.6 Units) after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 97.0, OPPONENT 103.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 51-29 against the 1rst half line (+19.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 53.1, OPPONENT 50.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 64-41 against the 1rst half line (+18.7 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 51.2, OPPONENT 50.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--NEW JERSEY is 56-33 UNDER (+19.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 48.1, OPPONENT 51.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 41-20 UNDER (+18.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus excellent foul drawing teams - attempting >=30 free throws/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 47.6, OPPONENT 48.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more.
(74-42 since 1996.) (63.8%, +27.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.1, Opponent 47.8 (Total first half points scored = 95.9)
The situation's record this season is: (0-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-16).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (34-20).
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*** LA LAKERS (-3, O/U 190) @ NEW ORLEANS ***
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The two-time defending NBA champion Los Angeles Lakers hope to put an end to some uncharacteristic struggles when they finish up a tough two-day road trip in the Big Easy tonight by taking on Chris Paul and the New Orleans Hornets. The Lakers lost their third straight game, all by over 15 points, in San Antonio last night when Tony Parker scored 23 points, DeJuan Blair added 17 points and 15 rebounds and the Spurs turned up the defensive pressure in the second half to overpower LA, 97-82.
Kobe Bryant was harassed into an 8-for-27 shooting night, as the Lakers made just 35.4 percent of their shots and 8-of-23 three-pointers. Bryant scored 21 points, while Ron Artest and Andrew Bynum added 10 points apiece as Los Angeles fell to 11-6 on the road this season. The champs have been flat out uncompetitive in matching their season-high skid, losing by an average of 16.7 points. "I've been playing mad as long as you've been writing mad," Bryant said to the media after last night's game. "I got good looks, I just didn't make them."
The Hornets, meanwhile, are coming off their seventh straight road loss on Monday in Minneapolis when Michael Beasley scored 30 points and rookie Wesley Johnson added 24 as the Minnesota Timberwolves topped New Orleans, 113-98. David West scored 23 points and Paul had 22 with 13 assists for the Hornets, who had won two in a row coming in. "They just beat us. The second half was embarrassing the way they scored," said Paul. "Every time down if it wasn't a three (pointer) it was a drive or an offensive rebound. I don't remember a game like that in a long time."
New Orleans, however, has been very impressive in the Big Easy, winning four straight to move to 13-3 on its home floor in the 2010-11 campaign. The Lakers took two of three meetings with the Hornets last season but New Orleans won the lone contest in the Big Easy, snapping a three-game skid in the series.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - New Orleans by 1; O/U 198
*STAN'S POWER LINE - New Orleans -2
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - New Orleans -0.47
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 40-65 ATS (-31.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.5, OPPONENT 101.5 - (Rating = 6*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 44-62 ATS (-24.2 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.7, OPPONENT 99.5 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 47-24 UNDER (+20.4 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 89.4, OPPONENT 97.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 52-29 UNDER (+19.9 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 94.6, OPPONENT 99.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 40-64 against the 1rst half line (-30.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.6, OPPONENT 51.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 39-63 against the 1rst half line (-30.3 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.6, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--LA LAKERS are 8-0 against the 1rst half line (+8.0 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was LA LAKERS 53.6, OPPONENT 46.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 52-29 UNDER (+20.1 Units) the 1rst half total versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 47.1, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 64-42 UNDER (+17.8 Units) the 1rst half total in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 45.9, OPPONENT 47.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA LAKERS are 47-27 UNDER (+17.3 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 50.9, OPPONENT 47.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more.
(27-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.1%, +18.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.4, Opponent 44.1 (Total first half points scored = 93.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (57-30).
--PLAY ON - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (LA LAKERS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more.
(31-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.6%, +20 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 55.8, Opponent 50.9 (Average first half point differential = +4.9)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (38-20).
--PLAY ON - Road favorites (LA LAKERS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more.
(48-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.8%, +29.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (54-12 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5
The average score in these games was: Team 102.3, Opponent 93.5 (Average point differential = +8.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 24 (38.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (36-12).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (81-57).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (LA LAKERS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%).
(48-19 since 1996.) (71.6%, +27.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 194
The average score in these games was: Team 94.5, Opponent 93.9 (Total points scored = 188.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 32 (49.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-7).
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*** DENVER @ MINNESOTA (-1.5, O/U 221.5) ***
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The Denver Nuggets must enjoy seeing the Minnesota Timberwolves on the schedule as evidenced by their lopsided advantage over the past few years in this series. The two Northwest Division inhabitants will renew the rivalry tonight from the Target Center in the Twin Cities. Denver defeated the Timberwolves, 115-113, on Dec. 18 this season and has won 20 of the past 26 matchups. It's also unbeaten in the past six contests in Minneapolis.
The Nuggets were able to end a three-game slide with Tuesday's 95-77 victory over the Portland Trail Blazers, as Chauncey Billups finished with 18 points and nine assists in the finale of a brief two-game homestand at the Pepsi Center. Nene and J.R. Smith both finished with 17 points for Denver, which played without superstar Carmelo Anthony for a fourth straight game. Anthony is dealing with the recent death of his sister. The team expect to have Anthony back on Thursday following their game in Minnesota.
Arron Afflalo had 15 points in last night's win. "We played really good defense and then we executed in the third quarter," Afflalo said postgame. "That was really it, playing good defense and executing on offense." Denver will try to stop a three-game road losing streak Wednesday and is only 4-10 away from the Rockies this season. It is 13-3 at home and could also be without forward Al Harrington tonight because of a thumb injury.
Minnesota hopes to extend its winning streak to a season-high three straight games this evening and opened a three-game homestand with Monday's 113-98 triumph over the New Orleans Hornets. Michael Beasley compiled 30 points, nine rebounds and seven assists, while rookie Wesley Johnson scored a season-best 24 points thanks to six threes for the Timberwolves, who have won two straight following a seven-game slide and opened the third quarter with a 24-10 surge.
Kevin Love had 16 points and 11 rebounds in a winning cause. "It feels good to win two in a row," Love said. "The biggest thing was everyone contributed. All the way down the line -- it was pretty good." The Wolves will also host New Jersey and are 6-7 at home in 2010-11.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Denver by 4.5; O/U 220
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Denver -1
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Denver -5.62
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 14-34 ATS (-23.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 95.9, OPPONENT 105.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 99.3, OPPONENT 106.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--DENVER is 40-21 UNDER (+16.9 Units) as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 99.8, OPPONENT 102.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 35-17 UNDER (+16.3 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 102.7, OPPONENT 104.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) in road games off a home win this season.
The average score was DENVER 97.4, OPPONENT 96.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 66-40 against the 1rst half line (+21.8 Units) in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1996.
The average score was MINNESOTA 49.5, OPPONENT 46.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--DENVER is 19-36 against the 1rst half line (-20.4 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 52.1, OPPONENT 52.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 24-6 OVER (+16.9 Units) the 1rst half total after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 50.2, OPPONENT 57.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 147-101 OVER (+35.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 52.3, OPPONENT 52.9 - (Rating = 6*)
--DENVER is 129-93 OVER (+26.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 48.9, OPPONENT 51.5 - (Rating = 5*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (DENVER) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, vs. division opponents.
(25-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.3%, +19.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 108.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 58.9, Opponent 56.2 (Total first half points scored = 115.1)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (35-18).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (DENVER) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (25 to 40%).
(38-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (76%, +24.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.7, Opponent 48.3 (Average first half point differential = +2.4)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-10).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (67-41).
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Stan 'The Man Szumera has been a Hugely Successful Sports Handicapper for over 30 years. 'The Man has learned to see the value in examining historical and recent trends, situational matchups, injuries, travel, weather and the psychological aspect of the mindset of coaches and players, etc. Researching these and understanding their value gives Stan winning angles for his clients and is the key to his success. He maximizes the earning potential for his clients while minimizing risks!
'The Man's ability to WIN and WIN BIG has earned him a reputation as one of the sharpest of the sharps in the industry today. Szumera's Stat/Systems Sports Investment Company has served a large client base on the East Coast for over 30 years. Stan has helped create wealth for his private clients, many of them uninformed sports enthusiasts that needed help to win, while growing his business into the Sports Information Network it is today!
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*** MIAMI (-5, O/U 198) @ HOUSTON ***
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It's strength versus strength tonight in south Texas as a pair of streaking teams meet when Kevin Martin and the Houston Rockets entertain LeBron James' Miami Heat. The Rockets won their fifth straight game on Monday when Martin finished with 20 points and Aaron Brooks scored 13 of his 15 in the fourth quarter as Houston downed the hapless Washington Wizards, 100-93, in the opener of a three-game homestand.
Shane Battier also scored 15 points and Luis Scola contributed 14 for the Rockets, who reached .500 for the season (15-15) with their eighth straight win at home. "As a team we played well in the fourth quarter. It started at the defensive end and then we all hit big shots," Brooks said. Actually it all starts with the high-scoring Martin in Houston. The Rockets are a solid 14-8 when the shooting guard scores 20 points or more and just 1-7 when he doesn't
The Heat, meanwhile, improved to a gaudy 14-1 in December on Tuesday in South Beach when Dwyane Wade poured in a season-high 40 points and pulled down nine rebounds, as Miami held off the New York Knicks, 106-98. James and Chris Bosh each tallied 18 points and 10 rebounds for the Heat, who have won three in a row and 15 of 16 overall. Zydrunas Ilgauskas donated 14 points and 10 boards. "I was just mixing it up," Wade said. "I was being aggressive and going to the basket but also looking for my outside shot."
"I think my teammates did a good job especially in the fourth of looking for me." With a win tonight, Miami will set a franchise record for victories in any month and give the team its first 10-game run away from home since an 11-game winning streak from Feb. 4-March 7, 1998. The sizzling Heat have won their last nine on the road by an average of 16.1 points. Miami swept the home-and-home series a year ago after Houston did the same thing in 2008-09.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Miami by 4; O/U 202
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Miami -3
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Miami -5.33
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 63-40 ATS (+16.8 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 101.1, OPPONENT 97.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 41-63 ATS (-17.9 Units) in road games after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 90.1, OPPONENT 94.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 3-13 ATS (-11.2 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was MIAMI 98.4, OPPONENT 96.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 95.6, OPPONENT 93.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--HOUSTON is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
The average score was HOUSTON 98.9, OPPONENT 98.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 46-23 UNDER (+20.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 97.7, OPPONENT 91.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 54-27 against the 1rst half line (+24.3 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 51.3, OPPONENT 49.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--HOUSTON is 60-36 against the 1rst half line (+20.4 Units) in a home game where the first half total is 98 to 100.5 since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 51.7, OPPONENT 47.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--HOUSTON is 36-15 against the 1rst half line (+19.5 Units) versus excellent teams - shooting >=46% with a defense of <=43% since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 46.6, OPPONENT 45.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--HOUSTON is 60-37 against the 1rst half line (+19.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 50.5, OPPONENT 49.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 71-48 UNDER (+18.2 Units) the 1rst half total as a home underdog vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 46.4, OPPONENT 46.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 85-51 UNDER (+28.9 Units) the 1rst half total after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 47.3, OPPONENT 45.7 - (Rating = 5*)
--MIAMI is 97-62 UNDER (+28.8 Units) the 1rst half total as a road favorite of 3 points or less vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 47.3, OPPONENT 45.2 - (Rating = 5*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Home underdogs of 2 to 3.5 points vs. the first half line (HOUSTON) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games.
(27-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (84.4%, +21.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.7, Opponent 48.1 (Average first half point differential = +1.6)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-3).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (44-30).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in non-conference games.
(47-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.3%, +27.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (33-32 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 5.2
The average score in these games was: Team 97.3, Opponent 97.8 (Average point differential = -0.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 31 (47.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-12).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (82-51).
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*** PHILADELPHIA @ PHOENIX (-5, O/U 207.5) ***
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The Phoenix Suns hope to halt a three-game skid when they open a stretch of five of six games at the US Airways Center by welcoming the road-weary Philadelphia 76ers to the desert. Clippers rookie star Blake Griffin posted his 18th straight double-double with 28 points and 12 rebounds before fouling out on Sunday, as Los Angeles snapped a nine-game losing streak to the Suns with a 108-103 victory at Staples Center. Mickael Pietrus netted a team-high 25 points for Phoenix, which has lost seven of its last nine contests overall.
Steve Nash registered a double-double with 21 points and 15 assists, and Grant Hill poured in 19 points in defeat. "They did a good job defensively against us," Suns head coach Alvin Gentry said about the Clippers. "They're getting better. We're just not getting quality play." Phoenix, which is 7-6 at home on the year, hopes to get a boost tonight with the debut of Vince Carter. The former All-Star has missed all four games with a sore knee since being acquired by the Suns in a six-player trade with Orlando on Dec. 18
The Sixers, meanwhile, fell to 2-3 on their season-long eight-game trek Monday in Oakland when Dorell Wright led a balanced Golden State attack with 28 points, as the Warriors used precise long-distance shooting to beat Philadelphia, 110-95, at Oracle Arena. Wright went 5-of-7 from three-point range, part of a 15-of-23 effort for the Warriors. Jrue Holiday scored 23 to go with 11 assists for the Sixers, who were without swingman Andre Iguodala and sixth man Lou Williams.
Iguodala sat out due to tendinitis in his right Achilles, an injury that caused him to miss several games earlier in the season, while Williams was excused to witness the birth of his daughter. Jodie Meeks had 19 points and Elton Brand finished with 16 points and 16 rebounds in defeat. Spencer Hawes pulled down 12 rebounds. Iguodala and Williams both could be back for tonight's contest. The Suns swept the home-and-home series between the two clubs a year ago and have traditionally dominated the Sixers in Phoenix, winning 20 of the last 23 games in the series on their home floor.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Phoenix by 4; O/U 206
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Phoenix -2
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Phoenix -3.27
_____________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 41-20 ATS (+18.8 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 106.7, OPPONENT 103.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 43-22 ATS (+18.5 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 109.2, OPPONENT 104.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 73-95 ATS (-19.9 Units) vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 94.8, OPPONENT 99.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 85-57 OVER (+22.3 Units) in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 106.0, OPPONENT 100.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHOENIX is 110-81 OVER (+20.9 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 105.3, OPPONENT 98.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHOENIX is 53-32 OVER (+17.8 Units) in home games off a loss against a division rival since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 102.5, OPPONENT 96.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 83-58 against the 1rst half line (+19.7 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 47.2, OPPONENT 48.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 48-26 against the 1rst half line (+19.2 Units) in road games after allowing 110 points or more since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 49.3, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 27-8 UNDER (+17.9 Units) the 1rst half total when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 54.5, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 28-10 UNDER (+16.9 Units) the 1rst half total after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 55.4, OPPONENT 52.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Favorites (PHOENIX) - excellent shooting team (>=47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots.
(48-22 since 1996.) (68.6%, +23.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (59-12)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 7
The average score in these games was: Team 106.1, Opponent 95.6 (Average point differential = +10.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 31 (44.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-11).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (36-16).
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (PHILADELPHIA) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season.
(73-39 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.2%, +30.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.9, Opponent 51.5 (Average first half point differential = -2.6)
The situation's record this season is: (6-6).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (53-34).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (129-99).
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*** MEMPHIS (-4, O/U 195) @ SACRAMENTO ***
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The Memphis Grizzlies will kick off a three-game road trip tonight in California's capital against a lowly Sacramento Kings team hoping to avoid a ninth consecutive loss. The Grizzlies won their second straight game on Monday in Memphis when Zach Randolph led a balanced attack with 21 points and the Grizz topped the Toronto Raptors, 96-85. Rudy Gay finished off his night with 18 points, six assists, five steals and five rebounds and both Mike Conley and O.J. Mayo contributed 12 points for Memphis, which has won two straight since a three-game skid. Tony Allen finished with 14 points and eight rebounds and Randolph added eight boards in the win.
"We have to keep focused after a high," Mayo said. "We get a little relaxed when we win a couple of games in a row." Memphis, which is 5-11 on the road this year, will also visit Utah and the LA Lakers on its trek. The Kings, meanwhile, lost their eighth straight game and fell to 0-4 on a five-game homestand, losing a heartbreaker to the LA Clippers. Eric Gordon scored 31 points and Blake Griffin added 24 points and 14 rebounds, as the Clippers escaped ARCO Arena with a 100-99 victory over the Kings despite a late lapse in judgment by Ryan Gomes.
The Clippers were holding a 100-97 lead following Griffin's fastbreak dunk with 5.1 seconds left in regulation. A timeout moved the ball past midcourt, and the Kings put it in the hands of Tyreke Evans. Gomes was closely guarding the reigning Rookie of the Year and was whistled for a foul outside the three-point line. The referees awarded Evans three free throws with 1.9 ticks remaining, and the first two went down. The third, however, rattled off the rim. DeMarcus Cousins nearly tipped in the miss, and Evans had a second try just before the buzzer, but his rushed attempt from just inside the foul line rimmed out to seal the crushing defeat.
"On the last play, shot the last free throw shot and it felt good, but it rolled in and out," Evans said. "DeMarcus had a chance to put it back in, but it looked like he got grabbed. I had a chance to put it back in, but it didn't fall. It's a tough one." Three of the Clippers' 10 wins this season have come against the Kings, who have dropped five straight at home overall and fell to an NBA-worst 5-23. Evans ended with a game-high 32 points, including five straight during a late 8-0 run that brought Sacramento within 96-95 with 1:23 to play.
Omri Casspi and Beno Udrih netted 16 and 14 points, respectively, for the Kings, who shot 13-of-26 from three-point range. Sacramento hasn't dropped nine straight games since March 31-April 13, 2009 and hasn't lost six in a row at home since an eight-game hiccup from Nov. 11- Dec. 6, 2008. The Memphis franchise lost 25 of its first 26 games in Sacramento but has rebounded to win three of its last four in the capital city, including a 100-91 triumph back on Nov. 6.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Memphis by 5; O/U 193
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Memphis -6
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Memphis -4.69
_____________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 1-15 ATS (-15.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 94.1, OPPONENT 103.4 - (Rating = 5*)
--SACRAMENTO is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 91.4, OPPONENT 104.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--MEMPHIS is 82-56 ATS (+20.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 96.4, OPPONENT 95.5 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 57-36 UNDER (+17.4 Units) in home games off a loss against a division rival since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 100.9, OPPONENT 95.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--MEMPHIS is 55-26 UNDER (+26.4 Units) after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 92.0, OPPONENT 90.8 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 84-54 against the 1rst half line (+24.6 Units) in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 54.6, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--SACRAMENTO is 69-42 against the 1rst half line (+22.8 Units) in home games versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing >=16 turnovers/game since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 53.0, OPPONENT 47.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--SACRAMENTO is 43-22 against the 1rst half line (+18.8 Units) in home games versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 53.0, OPPONENT 47.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 10-1 against the 1rst half line (+8.9 Units) in a home game where the first half total is 95.5 to 98 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 50.8, OPPONENT 48.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 42-23 UNDER (+16.7 Units) the 1rst half total after 5 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 47.8, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--MEMPHIS is 73-41 UNDER (+27.9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 46.9, OPPONENT 49.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--MEMPHIS is 52-29 UNDER (+20.1 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 46.2, OPPONENT 45.9 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (MEMPHIS) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (98-102 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more.
(22-4 since 1996.) (84.6%, +17.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.5, Opponent 47.3 (Average first half point differential = +2.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-3).
--PLAY ON - Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season.
(24-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.8%, +18.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (24-5 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 4.8
The average score in these games was: Team 102.4, Opponent 93.2 (Average point differential = +9.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 12 (41.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-2).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (57-49).
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*** UTAH (-2.5, O/U 194) @ LA CLIPPERS ***
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The resurgent Los Angeles Clippers open up a five-game homestand tonight when they entertain the Utah Jazz at Staples Center. The Clippers won for the fifth time in six games Monday when Eric Gordon scored 31 points and Blake Griffin recorded his 19th straight double-double with 24 points and 14 rebounds, as Los Angeles escaped ARCO Arena with a 100-99 victory over the Kings despite a late lapse in judgment by Ryan Gomes.
The Clippers were holding a 100-97 lead following Griffin's fastbreak dunk with 5.1 seconds left in regulation. A timeout moved the ball past midcourt, and the Kings put it in the hands of Tyreke Evans. Gomes was closely guarding the reigning Rookie of the Year and was whistled for a foul outside the three-point line. The referees awarded Evans three free throws with 1.9 ticks remaining, and the first two went down.
The third, however, rattled off the rim. DeMarcus Cousins nearly tipped in the miss, and Evans had a second try just before the buzzer, but his rushed attempt from just inside the foul line rimmed out to seal the crushing defeat. "We would have lost this game earlier this year," Gordon said. Three of the Clippers' 10 wins this season have come against the Kings, who have dropped eight straight and fell to an NBA-worst 5-23.
LA, which is 7-11 at home, will also entertain Atlanta, Denver, Golden State and Miami on its residency. The Jazz, meanwhile, lost for the first time in four games Monday when LaMarcus Aldridge scored 18 of his 26 points in the second half, powering the Portland Trail Blazers to a 96-91 win over Utah in Salt Lake City. Deron Williams went 6-of-8 from beyond the arc in leading the way with 31 points for the Jazz. Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap both scored 11, while C.J. Miles added 10 in defeat.
"They came out and got after us and made it tough for us to get what we wanted on the offensive end of the floor most of the time," Jazz coach Jerry Sloan said. "They took the life out of us and busted us in the mouth and everything else. We fell out like flies. When you play games at home like this in your building, you've got to be a little bit tougher than what we were." Forward Andrei Kirilenko didn't play in the fourth quarter Monday after straining his lower back and is listed as doubtful for tonight as Utah aims to improve on its solid 10-4 road record. The Jazz have won nine of their last 10 against the Clippers, including a pair of games last month.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Utah by 4; O/U 200
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Utah -2.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Utah -3.77
__________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 66-86 ATS (-28.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 94.9, OPPONENT 103.6 - (Rating = 5*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 93.4, OPPONENT 100.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 43-20 ATS (+20.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 104.0, OPPONENT 98.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 33-14 ATS (+17.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 105.1, OPPONENT 95.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 51-26 UNDER (+22.4 Units) in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1996.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 96.2, OPPONENT 96.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 72-48 UNDER (+19.2 Units) off a loss against a division rival since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 95.8, OPPONENT 92.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 37-17 against the 1rst half line (+17.9 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 49.9, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 23-42 against the 1rst half line (-23.2 Units) in road games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 47.8, OPPONENT 51.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 18-34 against the 1rst half line (-19.4 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 47.2, OPPONENT 51.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 82-32 UNDER (+46.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 42.0, OPPONENT 45.4 - (Rating = 6*)
--UTAH is 43-20 UNDER (+20.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 52.1, OPPONENT 47.9 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Home underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season, after a close win by 3 points or less.
(47-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +26.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (51-16 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 4.4
The average score in these games was: Team 105.8, Opponent 98.3 (Average point differential = +7.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 26 (40.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-14).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (74-42).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (UTAH) - average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a loss by 6 points or less.
(68-31 since 1996.) (68.7%, +33.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.9, Opponent 47.7 (Average first half point differential = +2.2)
The situation's record this season is: (3-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-8).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (36-17).
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••• SIDELINE SHUFFLE! •••
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A confusing season for Maryland HC Ralph Friedgen as his career with the Terrapins, will conclude in this game. After turning the program from 2-10 last year to 8-4 and a bowl this year, Friedgen resigned but will coach this last game. Friedgen had his detractors along the way and did things his way all the time, so it’s not hard to see why the two parties will go their separate ways. But this is a coach who took Maryland to a BCS game, territory it’s not familiar with.
He won a lot of games, put a lot of players in the pros and one would have to think that this final group will play hard for him one final time. It will also help that East Carolina is not one of your better defensive bowl teams out there. Maryland should be able to move the ball up and down the field on these Pirates. The only question then would be this: Are the Terrapins strong enough to carry Big Ralph on their shoulders!
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*** EAGLE BANK BOWL ***
E CAROLINA (6-6) VS. MARYLAND (8-4)
RFK Stadium - Washington, DC
Kickoff: 2:30 p.m. EDT Line: Maryland -7.5 O/U 67.5
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The Maryland Terrapins will make the short trip to RFK Stadium in the nation's capital to take on the East Carolina Pirates in the 2010 Military Bowl. Maryland is making its seventh bowl appearance in the last 10 years under Ralph Friedgen, the reigning ACC Coach of the Year. However, it will be the last Friedgen coaches with the team, as it was announced earlier this month that the final year of his contract will be bought out and he will not be returning to as head coach in 2011. The Terps have won four of their last five bowl games, and they figure to have plenty of fan support in the house at nearby RFK Stadium. "We are looking forward to playing in another bowl game," Friedgen said. "Our kids have worked really hard this season and it's a tribute to them that we've reached the postseason again. We hope to represent the ACC well in the Military Bowl."
East Carolina will be making its fifth straight bowl appearance, and the Pirates own an 8-8 record all-time in the postseason. They lost to ACC foes Virginia Tech and North Carolina on the road earlier this season, before topping NC State in overtime on October 16th. ECU sputtered down the stretch, dropping four of its final five games after a 5-2 start. "Preparation is the biggest thing right now," ECU first-year head coach Ruffin McNeill said at the Military Bowl press conference. "We are dealing with finals and traveling. It's in the backyard of the Terrapin fans. For us, this is a ride up I-95." Maryland finished 5-3 in the ACC, while ECU also had a 5-3 league mark in Conference USA. This bout marks the first-ever meeting between these two schools on the gridiron.
The Pirates' strength is their explosive passing attack, which ranks seventh nationally (319.3 ypg). Quarterback Dominique Davis has thrown for 36 touchdowns while completing nearly 65 percent of his passes. His 3,699 passing yards are the fourth-most in the nation. Behind Davis and the passing game, ECU ranks 12th in the nation in scoring offense (38.2 ppg). The Pirates have a pair of top-notch receivers in Lance Lewis and Dwayne Harris, a First Team All-Conference USA pick as both a wideout and punt returner. Lewis has caught 78 passes for 979 yards and a team-high 13 touchdowns, while Harris set single-season school records with 93 catches and 1,055 yards to go along with 10 TDs. Harris ranks seventh nationally with 7.75 receptions per game. In the backfield, Jon Williams has rushed for 846 yards and 10 scores while averaging 5.5 yards per tote.
The defense has been an entirely different story for the Pirates, who have found themselves in shootouts on a weekly basis this season. They rank dead- last out of 120 FBS schools in total defense (478.8 ypg) and also rank 118th in scoring defense (43.4 ppg). Opposing rushing attacks have gashed ECU for 220.8 ypg on the ground, while the Pirates' pass rush has been virtually invisible, ranking 105th nationally in sacks (1.17 per game). The aptly named Dustin Lineback paces the unit with 111 tackles from his spot in the middle of the field, while Bradley Jacobs headlines the secondary with a team-high three interceptions and nine passes defensed. The Pirates have allowed 40-plus points in each of their last five games, including 76 to Navy on November 6th and 62 at Rice two weeks later. With more than a month between the regular- season finale and this bowl game, coach McNeill and his staff will need to go back to the drawing board to try and tighten things up defensively.
Maryland posted a six-win increase from a year ago, marking the second-best turnaround in the FBS this season. However, the Terps suffered a pair of late- season losses to division leaders Florida State and Miami to finish one game shy of qualifying for the ACC title game. Now, they must be careful to avoid any kind of emotional letdown. The Terps' offense has been anything but dynamic, as they rank 85th nationally in total offense (342.4 ypg) and have had virtually no running game (124.9 ypg). However, in their last three wins the Terps have averaged an impressive 47 points against the likes of Wake Forest, Virginia and NC State. Maryland's regular season ended with a 38-31 win over the 21st-ranked Wolfpack, in which Danny O'Brien threw for a career-high 417 yards and four TDs. Torrey Smith caught all four of those touchdowns and finished with 224 yards on 14 catches. Most impressive was the fact that Maryland's offense was able to impose its will against an NC State squad that need a victory to secure a spot in the ACC title game.
After the game, coach Friedgen spoke glowingly about his signal-caller. "I was really impressed with the poise and accuracy which (O'Brien) had," Friedgen said. "It was one of the better performances I've seen by a quarterback. I was very impressed with him." On the season, O'Brien has completed only 56.8 percent of his passes while averaging a rather ordinary 188.1 passing yards per tilt. However, he has thrown 21 touchdowns against only six interceptions, and if he can build off his last performance, it would certainly be a huge boost for the Terps' chances. Smith has caught 65 passes for 1,045 yards and 12 TDs, and he'll no doubt be eager to work his magic against ECU's leaky secondary.
Maryland's Tony Logan ranks third in the nation in punt return average (18.8) and has returned two for touchdowns this season. His abilities in the return game have been a major factor in the field position game for Maryland. Defensively, the Terps match up well with ECU's vaunted passing attack, as they rank ninth nationally in pass efficiency defense. Five different players have notched multiple interceptions, led by Adrian Moten's four picks and 10 passes defensed. Senior linebacker Alex Wujciak has a team-high 112 tackles, while defensive tackle Joe Vellano leads the way with five sacks. In their most recent outing, the Terps yielded 32 first downs and 434 total yards to NC State, but O'Brien and Smith were able to atone for that. Despite allowing the yards to pile up, the defense did manage four sacks and three forced fumbles for the game. Antwine Perez led the way with 11 tackles, a forced fumble and fumble recovery in the win.
• PREGAME NOTES
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Apparently, ACC Coach of the Year is an award in name only. Maryland head coach Ralph Friedgen, this year’s recipient, was shockingly told this week that he would not return for season Number 11, the last on his contract. Athletic director Kevin Anderson announced Monday that Friedgen would receive a $2 million buyout, a decision that was triggered when James Franklin left for Vanderbilt earlier this month. However, the bombshell decision has caused little movement on the number for today’s game, currently Maryland -7.5 after opening at -8. But you know what? We were all set to go against Big Ralphie (who WILL be on the sideline this afternoon) before his head landed on the chopping block. Led by ACC Rookie of the Year, QB Danny O’Brien, the 8-4 Terps must be profoundly disappointed that their season-ending win over NC State failed to land them in a mid-tier, warm weather bowl. Instead, Maryland will be playing its bowl game a subway ride away from the College Park campus.
They also show up as a squad that won just two games in 2009 and now finds themselves laying a TD with a team that allows more yards than they gain – a scenario that will never attract our attention as investors. Yes, Mary may have fought its way to a 4-1 SU and ATS mark in its last five bowls but our database warns us that bowl favorites that won 3 or less games the previous year are just 7-19 ATS in postseason play. Additional cause for concern comes with the Terps’ sloppy mark as chalk against nonlosing teams: 1-10 ATS as favorites versus .500 or greater opposition. ECU doesn’t look like much of a bargain, losing four of its final five games as the defense faltered, but the Pirates should be ready to set sail on a voyage of redemption here. Amazingly, 6-6 bowl dogs are 18-9 ATS, including 7-1 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS losses, and CUSA squads have fashioned a superb 11-3 ATS record as dogs of 7 or more points.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Maryland by 11; O/U 72
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Maryland -13
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Maryland -9.53
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--MARYLAND is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=5.9 yards/play since 1992.
The average score was MARYLAND 35.1, OPPONENT 16.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--MARYLAND is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) versus poor rushing defenses - allowing >=200 rushing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was MARYLAND 35.6, OPPONENT 19.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--MARYLAND is 36-15 UNDER (+19.5 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers since 1992.
The average score was MARYLAND 23.0, OPPONENT 23.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--MARYLAND is 25-6 UNDER (+18.4 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored since 1992.
The average score was MARYLAND 24.2, OPPONENT 26.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--MARYLAND is 21-5 UNDER (+15.5 Units) after scoring 37 points or more last game since 1992.
The average score was MARYLAND 25.0, OPPONENT 23.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--MARYLAND is 9-27 against the 1rst half line (-20.7 Units) in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse since 1992.
The average score was MARYLAND 10.9, OPPONENT 14.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--MARYLAND is 1-11 against the 1rst half line (-11.1 Units) off a home win over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MARYLAND 9.3, OPPONENT 17.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--E CAROLINA is 7-1 against the 1rst half line (+5.9 Units) as an underdog vs. the 1rst half line this season.
The average score was E CAROLINA 18.5, OPPONENT 18.9 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--MARYLAND is 37-20 UNDER (+15.0 Units) the 1rst half total after playing a game at home since 1992.
The average score was MARYLAND 11.5, OPPONENT 12.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--MARYLAND is 22-8 UNDER (+13.2 Units) the 1rst half total after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored since 1992.
The average score was MARYLAND 12.0, OPPONENT 13.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY UNDER - Any team against the total (E CAROLINA) - after allowing 42 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 37 points or more last game.
(51-21 over the last 10 seasons.) (70.8%, +27.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 61.2
The average score in these games was: Team 21.3, Opponent 36.3 (Total points scored = 57.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 36 (51.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (8-8).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-10).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (35-15).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (54-23).
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*** TEXAS BOWL ***
ILLINOIS (6-6) VS. BAYLOR (7-5)
Reliant Stadium - Houston, TX
Kickoff: 6:00 p.m. EDT Line: Baylor -1 O/U 62
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The Illinois Fighting Illini and Baylor Bears have made it back to the postseason, as they are set to square off in the fifth annual Texas Bowl at Reliant Stadium. This will be just the second bowl game Illinois has played since 2002, with the most recent being a 49-17 loss to USC in the Rose Bowl following the 2007-08 season. The Fighting Illini had an up-and-down season, winning consecutive games only once and finishing the regular season with a 6-6 record. Illinois is known for having a widespread alumni base, but Baylor is playing within a three-hour drive of its campus.
"Our guys," Illinois head coach Ron Zook said at the Texas Bowl press conference, "they like being the underdog, they like being the opponent, they like to be in the visitors' (locker room). We're going to really find out what that means now because I know that we're kind of in hostile territory. But we are excited." On the other sideline, Baylor is going bowling for the first time since 1994.
"It's been 16 years since we've been in a bowl game and our people are pumped," Baylor head coach Art Briles said, "and rightfully so, because when you've looked on from the outside for a long time and you finally get a chance to step in the door, it's a good feeling." Still, the Bears faded down the stretch, dropping each of their final three games after a 7-2 start. They haven't had much success against Big Ten teams, posting a 2-9-1 mark all-time. Baylor won the only previous meeting between these two schools, a 34-19 decision back in 1976. In last year's Texas Bowl, Navy thumped Missouri 35-13.
Illinois' offense is predicated on the running game, as the team enters this contest ranked 13th nationally in rushing with 242.3 yards per game. Against Northwestern in the Big Ten finale at Wrigley Field last month, Mikel Leshoure ran for a school-record 330 yards and two touchdowns en route to a 48-27 win. His 330 yards were also a single-game high in the nation this season, as the Illini rumbled for 519 rushing yards combined.
On the season, Leshoure has averaged 126.1 rushing yards per game and has scored 17 touchdowns. He is the straw that stirs the drink for the Illinois offense. Quarterback Nathan Scheelhaase is also a threat with his legs, as he ranks second on the team with 815 rushing yards (67.9 ypg) to go along with four TDs. In the passing game, Scheelhaase averages just 131.9 yards per game, though he has thrown 17 touchdowns against only eight interceptions. A.J. Jenkins heads up the receiving corps with 694 yards and seven TDs on 50 catches.
Defensively, Illinois has proven very tough to run against, ranking 29th nationally and fourth in the Big Ten with 131.3 rushing yards per game allowed. Overall, the team ranks 38th in the country in total defense (344.2 ypg) and 53rd in scoring defense (24.2 ppg). The unit started to leak a bit down the stretch, allowing an average of nearly 40 points over its final four games, three of which were losses. Junior linebacker Martez Wilson is a wrecking ball, having notched a team-high 105 tackles, which also ranks third in the conference. Wilson also leads the team with four sacks and three forced fumbles this year. Junior defensive back Trulon Henry has a team-best three interceptions under his belt in his first year at Illinois since transferring from junior college.
Baylor's offense is capable of picking up yardage in huge chunks, as the Bears rank No. 12 in the nation in total offense (478.5 ypg). They have a potent air-ground combo to keep defenses off balance in quarterback Robert Griffin and running back Jay Finley. Griffin is completing 66.3 percent of his passes on the year and has thrown 21 touchdowns and only eight interceptions. He averages 266.2 passing yards per game and has also been an asset on the ground with eight rushing touchdowns and a shade under 50 rushing yards per game.
Finley averages 6.3 yards per carry and 96.2 yards per game on the ground, and he has scored 11 times. Kendall Wright paces the receiving corps with 66 catches for 825 yards and six TDs. Defensive lapses forced the Bears into catchup mode during their final three games, but when they are balanced, their offense has proven hard to stop. Griffin tossed an uncharacteristic two interceptions in the regular-season finale against Oklahoma, which really took the Bears out of their rhythm.
When asked to evaluate Illinois, coach Briles spoke about the importance of slowing the Illini ground game. "They're a dangerous football team, very dangerous," Briles said. "They're third in the nation in time of possession. That tells you something there. It means they're making first downs and running the football. It's a big concern from us on both sides of the ball, actually."
Similar to how Illinois struggled down the stretch, Baylor's defense yielded an average of 50 ppg during that three-game skid to close out the regular season. With plenty of time to prepare for this matchup, coach Briles is hoping his defense can rediscover its early-season swagger. In their first four victories of the season, the Bears had allowed an average of 7.25 ppg. But once they got into their Big 12 schedule, the Bears had trouble stopping opponents. Senior safety Byron Landor ranked fourth in the conference with 115 tackles, while defensive end Tevin Elliott posted a team-high five sacks and nine tackles for loss.
• PREGAME NOTES
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Baylor QB Robert Griffin III and company may have had their long-awaited breakout season in 2010 but the Bears have been bad news in games versus fellow bowlers this year, stumbling to a 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS mark. Enter Illinois from the much-maligned Big Ten – a conference that’s more than held its own when facing off with teams from the Big 12. Big Ten bowlers are a respectable 15-8 ATS versus Big 12 foes of late and Big 12 bowlers are just 5-12 ATS as favorites versus Big Ten opponents. The Fighting Illini have not advanced to postseason play since their 49-17 thumping at the hands of USC in the ’07 Rose Bowl and, quite frankly, didn’t expect to make it back this year following the departure of QB Juice Williams. Surprisingly, however, this year’s edition actually improved by 8 PPG since Williams was squeezed out of the picture.
The defense also played better in 2010, allowing 59 YPG less while holding three bowlers to season-low yardage. Both squads arrive off season-ending swoons: Baylor lost its final three games while 6-6 Illinois shows up as losers in three of its last four contests. But even though today’s Houston venue is just a three-hour drive from Waco, bowl virgin favorites that won four or less games the previous year are a money-burning 6-16 ATS. Baylor head coach Art Briles owns a nifty 8-2-2 ATS log as chalk off BB SU and ATS losses but Baylor has had little success against the Big Ten, going 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS. Briles’ opponent today, Ron Zook, barely retained his job this season but the addition of six new assistant coaches seems to have paid dividends. Zook boasts a solid 7-3 ATS mark as a dog of 3 points or less and his Illini follow suit with a 4-1 ATS record as bowlers versus less than .666 foes.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Baylor by 1; O/U 64
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Illinois -1
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Illinois -5.81
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--BAYLOR is 37-63 ATS (-32.3 Units) in the second half of the season since 1992.
The average score was BAYLOR 19.0, OPPONENT 36.1 - (Rating = 5*)
--BAYLOR is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival since 1992.
The average score was BAYLOR 17.8, OPPONENT 36.5 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--BAYLOR is 7-1 OVER (+5.9 Units) after the first month of the season this season.
The average score was BAYLOR 35.4, OPPONENT 36.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--ILLINOIS is 30-12 OVER (+16.6 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders since 1992.
The average score was ILLINOIS 25.7, OPPONENT 28.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--BAYLOR is 25-42 against the 1rst half line (-21.2 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
The average score was BAYLOR 7.5, OPPONENT 19.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--BAYLOR is 15-30 against the 1rst half line (-18.0 Units) off a home loss against a conference rival since 1992.
The average score was BAYLOR 6.5, OPPONENT 22.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--BAYLOR is 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) the 1rst half total after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BAYLOR 15.6, OPPONENT 17.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--BAYLOR is 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) the 1rst half total after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BAYLOR 14.7, OPPONENT 16.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--ILLINOIS is 30-11 OVER (+17.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games off 1 or more consecutive unders since 1992.
The average score was ILLINOIS 14.6, OPPONENT 16.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is 28.5 to 31.5 (BAYLOR) - in a game involving two excellent rushing teams (>=4.8 YPR), in non-conference games.
(30-4 since 1992.) (88.2%, +25.6 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 29.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 18.2, Opponent 18.2 (Total first half points scored = 36.5)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (24-4).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (BAYLOR) - off 1 or more straight overs, in a game involving two good offensive teams (28-34 PPG).
(32-9 since 1992.) (78.0%, +22.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 58.8
The average score in these games was: Team 34.3, Opponent 32.9 (Total points scored = 67.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 19 (47.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (29-8).
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Stan Knows Football and Basketball! Check out the huge winning run “The Man is enjoying and prepare to get all of his football and basketball selections with a discounted monthly or seasonal package.” Do it now and Save Big! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 begin_of_the_skype_highlighting 1-800-351-4640 end_of_the_skype_highlighting - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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*** ALAMO BOWL ***
ARIZONA (7-5) VS. OKLAHOMA ST (10-2)
Alamodome - San Antonio, TX
Kickoff: 9:15 p.m. EDT Line: Okl. St -5 O/U 66
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A pair of explosive offenses will be on display in San Antonio when the Oklahoma State Cowboys and Arizona Wildcats face off in the 18th installment of the Alamo Bowl. Oklahoma State finished the regular season with an outstanding 10-2 record, but managed to finish in a three-way tie atop the Big 12 South at 6-2 and lost out on a chance to play for the Big 12 Championship by way of a tiebreaker through the BCS standings. The Cowboys controlled their own destiny heading into the regular-season finale against bitter rival Oklahoma but came out on the short end of a 47-41 final in a Bedlam Battle classic in Stillwater November 27th.
The Cowboys had the nation's No. 1 ranked offense this season, averaging an eye-popping 537.6 yards per game, and boast the country's top-ranked passing offense as well. OSU's offense set single-season school records for points (539), total offensive yards (6,451), passing yards (4,256) and touchdown passes (34) in 2010. Oklahoma State's other loss came to Nebraska back on October 23 in another shootout, losing 51-41 in Stillwater. This will be the Cowboys' third appearance in the Alamo Bowl having lost both previous matchups with Ohio State in 2004 and to Purdue in 1997. OSU has also lost in its last two bowl appearances overall. Big 12 Coach of the Year Mike Gundy saw his Cowboys beaten by Ole Miss in the Cotton Bowl at the end of last season and Oregon in the 2008 Holiday Bowl. Oklahoma State's overall bowl record stands at 12-8.
Arizona will be making its third straight bowl appearance under head coach Mike Stoops after a 7-5 regular season. The Wildcats were ranked 13th in the nation following an impressive 7-1 start to the year before a deflating 42-17 loss to then No. 10 Stanford on November 6th triggered a four-game losing streak to end their schedule. The 'Cats wound up 4-5 in the Pac-10 standings, tied for fifth place. The regular season ended on an especially heart-breaking note, falling to rival Arizona State in Tucson when Alex Zendejas' extra point was blocked in double overtime to hand the Sun Devils a 30-29 win. Arizona was blanked in a 33-0 shellacking by Nebraska in last year's Holiday Bowl and will be making its first-ever appearance at the Alamo Bowl. The Wildcats' overall bowl record stands at 6-8-1.
This will be the first meeting between Oklahoma State and Arizona on the gridiron since 1942. The all-time series is even at 3-3 with Arizona having won three of the last four games. The matchup will also serve as a preview to a home-and-home series between the two schools starting in Stillwater next season. This is the first year the Alamo Bowl will feature both the Pac-10 and Big 12 Conferences. For the past 15 years, the game has pitted the Big 12 against Big Ten competition. "It's great to be the first league team to play in this first year of the new Alamo Bowl affiliation with the conference. Our players are excited to be playing in an outstanding bowl against a quality opponent like Oklahoma State," Stoops said in anticipation of the matchup.
At the head of OSU's offensive juggernaut is junior quarterback Brandon Weeden and 2010 Biletnikoff Award winner and unanimous All-American sophomore Justin Blackmon. Blackmon caught 102 passes for 1,665 yards and 18 touchdowns in just 11 games en route to being named the nation's top wide receiver. The Big 12 Offensive Player of the Year also added a pair of scores with a 69-yard run and a blocked punt return and ranked first in the country in receiving yards per game (151.36), receptions per game (9.27) and finished ninth in all- purpose yards per game (159). Blackmon tied the NCAA record with his 11th consecutive game of at least 100 receiving yards and a score versus Oklahoma and needs only eight yards to break Larry Fitzgerald's NCAA record for receiving yards by a sophomore.
Weeden broke OSU's single-season record for passing touchdowns with 32 and became the first Cowboy quarterback to pass for over 4,000 yards in a season (4,037). He completed 67.4 percent of his passes, had 13 interceptions and ended the year with a 105.2 passer rating. In addition to Blackmon, Weeden developed a nice rapport with junior wideout Josh Cooper, who caught 61 passes for 683 yards and five touchdowns. "I think before the year started, we knew we had a chance to be special. We knew we had guys that could make some plays, but to be at this magnitude, maybe not. But we knew we had a chance to be here. We fulfilled our expectation, but we also exceeded it as well," Weeden said of OSU's chance to post an 11-win season.
Not to be forgotten is an effective ground game led by senior Kendall Hunter, who racked up 1,516 rushing yards to lead the Big 12 and tied for the conference lead with 16 touchdowns this season. He averaged 5.8 yards per carry and 126.3 yards per game on 261 totes. Dan Bailey, the 2010 Lou Groza Award winner as the nation's top placekicker, could be the x-factor in a tight game. Oklahoma State's all-time leading scorer was 24-for-28 on field goals this year including a pair of strikes from 52 yards.
The category where the Cowboys lack when compared to Arizona is defense. The squad finished ranked 91st in the nation and eighth in their own conference. OSU's moniker is usually to outscore the opponent, not stop them, as was evidenced by its giving up an average of 412.8 yards and 27.8 points per game. A startling number is the 110 fourth-quarter points allowed this season, although, the Cowboys do feature a handful of players capable of making a difference. Senior cornerback Andrew McGee had five of the team's 16 interceptions, a total which had OSU tied for 21st in the country. Standout senior linebacker Orie Lemon led the team with 119 tackles. His nine tackles for a loss also paced the Cowboys and 93 of his stops were of the solo variety. Linebacker Shaun Lewis was named the Big 12 Co-Defensive Freshman of the Year for 2010, racking up 55 tackles, including seven for a loss, three interceptions, three forced fumbles and two fumble recoveries. Junior defensive end Jamie Blatnick led OSU with five sacks on the year.
Like Oklahoma State, Arizona is led by a high-powered passing attack that finished ninth in the nation and first in Pac-10 play and will counter with its own 1-2 punch in juniors quarterback Nick Foles and wide receiver Juron Criner. Foles completed 67.6 percent of his passes for 2,911 yards with 19 touchdowns against seven interceptions in just 10 games this season. The passing game averaged 310 yards per game with a bulk of that yardage credited to the first-team All-Pac 10 selection and second-team All-American Criner, who totaled 1,186 yards and 10 touchdowns on 73 receptions while averaging 16.2 yards per reception. Criner's yardage and reception totals were both tops in the conference.
Fellow juniors David Douglas and David Roberts provide depth as secondary options in the 'Cats air attack. Douglas was second on the team with 46 catches and five touchdowns while racking up 424 yards. Roberts finished second to Criner with 468 receiving yards on 42 grabs with a pair of scores. The Wildcats ended the regular season with the nation's 24th-ranked offense overall, and the rushing game features a pair of capable backs in junior Keola Antolin and senior Nic Grigsby. While neither player stood out in terms of yardage, the two combined for 15 of the team's 20 rushing scores. Antolin led the team with 667 rushing yards and his 4.7 yards per carry, while Grigsby averaged an equally solid 4.6 yards per tote with 474 yards and a team-high eight scores.
A strong defensive unit for Arizona was overshadowed by its disappointing end to the year. It ranked 36th in the nation in total defense and 32nd in scoring defense, allowing 21.6 points per game. Junior linebacker Paul Vassallo was the team's leading tackler and finished seventh in the Pac-10 with 94 stops, 73 of those solo. Senior defensive end Ricky Elmore gave opposing quarterbacks fits all season with his 11 sacks to lead the Pac-10. His 13 tackles for a loss also paced the Wildcats and was good for fourth in league play. Arizona ended second in the conference with 33 sacks with fellow senior end Brooks Reed getting 6 1/2 of those and standout redshirt freshman tackle Justin Washington six. Washington was second on the team with 10 1/2 tackles for a loss.
"I think they do a good job of putting pressure on the quarterback. The quarterback is a very good player and the receiver and two running backs make some plays. They played very well the first two or three months of the season and didn't play as well as they wanted to in the last month," Gundy said of matching up with the Wildcats.
• PREGAME NOTES
-------------------------
Oklahoma State swaggers into San Antonio boasting a nation’s-best offense (538 YPG) high on star power. The 10-2 Cowboys are led by QB Brandon Weeden, the first in team history to throw for 4,000 yards in a season, the Big 12 Offensive Player of the Year in WR Justin Blackmon and the league’s leading rusher in RB Kendall Hunter. But even with such a star-studded cast, Mike Gundy’s Pokes once again failed to reach their season goal when another loss to rival Oklahoma kept them out of the Big 12 Championship game and a possible BCS Bowl appearance. Still, an OSU team averaging 45 PPG and 538 yards per outing would seem like the obvious pick over an Arizona bunch that wilted like a lost traveler in the desert at season’s end, losing its final four games, including a 1-point defeat to hated Arizona State on a blocked PAT.
Obvious, that is, until you get a closer look at the Oklahoma State defense. Not only did the Cowboys stop unit get ripped for 413 YPG, in the showdown they wanted the most against the Sooners, OSU’s ‘D’ was stampeded for a whopping 588 total yards, including 468 passing, numbers that should have Arizona QB Nick Foles licking his chops. Further ‘chop-licking’ comes courtesy of our powerful database that tells us Arizona stands 11-2 ATS as an underdog off a loss and coach Stoops is 4-0 ATS off a SU favorite loss versus a foe off a SU and ATS loss. No such luck for the chalk: Big 12 bowl favorites of 6 or more points are 0-6 ATS against a Pac-10 opponent and the favorite in OSU bowl games is a jaw-dropping 2-13 ATS. Wait, it gets worse. Cowboys’ coach Gundy is 0-5 SU and ATS versus a greater than .500 foe off a SU favorite loss and Oklahoma State is just 1-5 SU and ATS as a bowler with a winning record playing off a loss. Note: Arizona’s five losses this season came by just 6 points combined!
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Oklahoma St by 4; O/U 64.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Oklahoma St -3
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Oklahoma St -3.02
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA ST is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA ST 36.2, OPPONENT 17.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--OKLAHOMA ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA ST 47.0, OPPONENT 25.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games this season.
The average score was OKLAHOMA ST 41.3, OPPONENT 19.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--OKLAHOMA ST is 24-5 OVER (+17.8 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 59% or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA ST 38.7, OPPONENT 31.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA ST is 24-7 OVER (+16.2 Units) after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992.
The average score was OKLAHOMA ST 36.7, OPPONENT 28.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--ARIZONA is 24-44 against the 1rst half line (-24.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
The average score was ARIZONA 12.1, OPPONENT 10.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--ARIZONA is 28-46 against the 1rst half line (-22.6 Units) off 1 or more straight overs since 1992.
The average score was ARIZONA 12.5, OPPONENT 13.7 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--OKLAHOMA ST is 16-6 OVER (+9.4 Units) the 1rst half total after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992.
The average score was OKLAHOMA ST 16.1, OPPONENT 13.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--OKLAHOMA ST is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) the 1rst half total after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA ST 13.9, OPPONENT 7.2 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY OVER - Neutral field teams where the total is between 63.5 and 70 (ARIZONA) - with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, in minor bowl games (played in December).
(34-10 since 1992.) (77.3%, +23 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 66.1
The average score in these games was: Team 36.5, Opponent 36.5 (Total points scored = 73)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 18 (40.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-6).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (24-10).
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Stan 'The Man has Turned-Up the Heat on the Gridiron with his RED~HOT 69-25-4, (73.4%) ATS Run, along with his impressive 132-56-2 (70.2%) mark for the season, in MLB action! But most Importantly, Yours Truly has delivered the cash in Forty-Two of the last Forty-Six, and in Seventy-Six of the last Eighty-One Weeks, Dating back to Last Season!
After taking most of the week off, “The Man Continued to Roll with his 'ROCK~SOLID' Record (40-13-2, 75.5%) in CFB Action on Friday, dishing out yet another Huge Top *5-Star Winner (Tulsa +10.5) that was back by this ‘Incredible Super Situational System' - PLAY ON: A Conference Championship/Bowl team (not a favorite of 4+ points or underdog of more than 14 points) off allowing 22+ points in each of its last 5 games vs. a non-Independent opponent.
This Stat/Systems Sports Super Situational System has a record of 17-0 ATS, 100% (with the Tulsa Golden Hurricane forcing six turnovers to upend #24 Hawaii, 62-35, in the Hawaii Bowl) covering the spread by an average of 27.4 points per game since 1999. The straight up record for this system is a solid 14-3 winning by an average of 17.3 points per game.
NCAA COLLEGE FOOTBALL
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
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Each day here in our Stat/Systems Report we will list the Top - Angles, Stats and Situational Trends for up-coming games, including all the Key - ATS, Over/Unders, Money-Line, First Half ATS Top Trends including Over/Unders, Coaches ATS & Over/Unders and Teaser Line Trends, along with all your high percentage Super Situation Systems.
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••• SIDELINE SHUFFLE! •••
-----------------------------------
A confusing season for Maryland HC Ralph Friedgen as his career with the Terrapins, will conclude in this game. After turning the program from 2-10 last year to 8-4 and a bowl this year, Friedgen resigned but will coach this last game. Friedgen had his detractors along the way and did things his way all the time, so it’s not hard to see why the two parties will go their separate ways. But this is a coach who took Maryland to a BCS game, territory it’s not familiar with.
He won a lot of games, put a lot of players in the pros and one would have to think that this final group will play hard for him one final time. It will also help that East Carolina is not one of your better defensive bowl teams out there. Maryland should be able to move the ball up and down the field on these Pirates. The only question then would be this: Are the Terrapins strong enough to carry Big Ralph on their shoulders!
Make Sure you have the Advantage you need to win this Season! Did you know that the Stat/Systems Report is the #1 rated sports betting publication in the country today. Offering complete analysis and predictions for every game on the board including game logs, betting trends, key injuries, vital statistics, lines and odds, and more the daily publication is everything that you need to win each and every day!
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*** EAGLE BANK BOWL ***
E CAROLINA (6-6) VS. MARYLAND (8-4)
RFK Stadium - Washington, DC
Kickoff: 2:30 p.m. EDT Line: Maryland -7.5 O/U 67.5
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The Maryland Terrapins will make the short trip to RFK Stadium in the nation's capital to take on the East Carolina Pirates in the 2010 Military Bowl. Maryland is making its seventh bowl appearance in the last 10 years under Ralph Friedgen, the reigning ACC Coach of the Year. However, it will be the last Friedgen coaches with the team, as it was announced earlier this month that the final year of his contract will be bought out and he will not be returning to as head coach in 2011. The Terps have won four of their last five bowl games, and they figure to have plenty of fan support in the house at nearby RFK Stadium. "We are looking forward to playing in another bowl game," Friedgen said. "Our kids have worked really hard this season and it's a tribute to them that we've reached the postseason again. We hope to represent the ACC well in the Military Bowl."
East Carolina will be making its fifth straight bowl appearance, and the Pirates own an 8-8 record all-time in the postseason. They lost to ACC foes Virginia Tech and North Carolina on the road earlier this season, before topping NC State in overtime on October 16th. ECU sputtered down the stretch, dropping four of its final five games after a 5-2 start. "Preparation is the biggest thing right now," ECU first-year head coach Ruffin McNeill said at the Military Bowl press conference. "We are dealing with finals and traveling. It's in the backyard of the Terrapin fans. For us, this is a ride up I-95." Maryland finished 5-3 in the ACC, while ECU also had a 5-3 league mark in Conference USA. This bout marks the first-ever meeting between these two schools on the gridiron.
The Pirates' strength is their explosive passing attack, which ranks seventh nationally (319.3 ypg). Quarterback Dominique Davis has thrown for 36 touchdowns while completing nearly 65 percent of his passes. His 3,699 passing yards are the fourth-most in the nation. Behind Davis and the passing game, ECU ranks 12th in the nation in scoring offense (38.2 ppg). The Pirates have a pair of top-notch receivers in Lance Lewis and Dwayne Harris, a First Team All-Conference USA pick as both a wideout and punt returner. Lewis has caught 78 passes for 979 yards and a team-high 13 touchdowns, while Harris set single-season school records with 93 catches and 1,055 yards to go along with 10 TDs. Harris ranks seventh nationally with 7.75 receptions per game. In the backfield, Jon Williams has rushed for 846 yards and 10 scores while averaging 5.5 yards per tote.
The defense has been an entirely different story for the Pirates, who have found themselves in shootouts on a weekly basis this season. They rank dead- last out of 120 FBS schools in total defense (478.8 ypg) and also rank 118th in scoring defense (43.4 ppg). Opposing rushing attacks have gashed ECU for 220.8 ypg on the ground, while the Pirates' pass rush has been virtually invisible, ranking 105th nationally in sacks (1.17 per game). The aptly named Dustin Lineback paces the unit with 111 tackles from his spot in the middle of the field, while Bradley Jacobs headlines the secondary with a team-high three interceptions and nine passes defensed. The Pirates have allowed 40-plus points in each of their last five games, including 76 to Navy on November 6th and 62 at Rice two weeks later. With more than a month between the regular- season finale and this bowl game, coach McNeill and his staff will need to go back to the drawing board to try and tighten things up defensively.
Maryland posted a six-win increase from a year ago, marking the second-best turnaround in the FBS this season. However, the Terps suffered a pair of late- season losses to division leaders Florida State and Miami to finish one game shy of qualifying for the ACC title game. Now, they must be careful to avoid any kind of emotional letdown. The Terps' offense has been anything but dynamic, as they rank 85th nationally in total offense (342.4 ypg) and have had virtually no running game (124.9 ypg). However, in their last three wins the Terps have averaged an impressive 47 points against the likes of Wake Forest, Virginia and NC State. Maryland's regular season ended with a 38-31 win over the 21st-ranked Wolfpack, in which Danny O'Brien threw for a career-high 417 yards and four TDs. Torrey Smith caught all four of those touchdowns and finished with 224 yards on 14 catches. Most impressive was the fact that Maryland's offense was able to impose its will against an NC State squad that need a victory to secure a spot in the ACC title game.
After the game, coach Friedgen spoke glowingly about his signal-caller. "I was really impressed with the poise and accuracy which (O'Brien) had," Friedgen said. "It was one of the better performances I've seen by a quarterback. I was very impressed with him." On the season, O'Brien has completed only 56.8 percent of his passes while averaging a rather ordinary 188.1 passing yards per tilt. However, he has thrown 21 touchdowns against only six interceptions, and if he can build off his last performance, it would certainly be a huge boost for the Terps' chances. Smith has caught 65 passes for 1,045 yards and 12 TDs, and he'll no doubt be eager to work his magic against ECU's leaky secondary.
Maryland's Tony Logan ranks third in the nation in punt return average (18.8) and has returned two for touchdowns this season. His abilities in the return game have been a major factor in the field position game for Maryland. Defensively, the Terps match up well with ECU's vaunted passing attack, as they rank ninth nationally in pass efficiency defense. Five different players have notched multiple interceptions, led by Adrian Moten's four picks and 10 passes defensed. Senior linebacker Alex Wujciak has a team-high 112 tackles, while defensive tackle Joe Vellano leads the way with five sacks. In their most recent outing, the Terps yielded 32 first downs and 434 total yards to NC State, but O'Brien and Smith were able to atone for that. Despite allowing the yards to pile up, the defense did manage four sacks and three forced fumbles for the game. Antwine Perez led the way with 11 tackles, a forced fumble and fumble recovery in the win.
• PREGAME NOTES
-------------------------
Apparently, ACC Coach of the Year is an award in name only. Maryland head coach Ralph Friedgen, this year’s recipient, was shockingly told this week that he would not return for season Number 11, the last on his contract. Athletic director Kevin Anderson announced Monday that Friedgen would receive a $2 million buyout, a decision that was triggered when James Franklin left for Vanderbilt earlier this month. However, the bombshell decision has caused little movement on the number for today’s game, currently Maryland -7.5 after opening at -8. But you know what? We were all set to go against Big Ralphie (who WILL be on the sideline this afternoon) before his head landed on the chopping block. Led by ACC Rookie of the Year, QB Danny O’Brien, the 8-4 Terps must be profoundly disappointed that their season-ending win over NC State failed to land them in a mid-tier, warm weather bowl. Instead, Maryland will be playing its bowl game a subway ride away from the College Park campus.
They also show up as a squad that won just two games in 2009 and now finds themselves laying a TD with a team that allows more yards than they gain – a scenario that will never attract our attention as investors. Yes, Mary may have fought its way to a 4-1 SU and ATS mark in its last five bowls but our database warns us that bowl favorites that won 3 or less games the previous year are just 7-19 ATS in postseason play. Additional cause for concern comes with the Terps’ sloppy mark as chalk against nonlosing teams: 1-10 ATS as favorites versus .500 or greater opposition. ECU doesn’t look like much of a bargain, losing four of its final five games as the defense faltered, but the Pirates should be ready to set sail on a voyage of redemption here. Amazingly, 6-6 bowl dogs are 18-9 ATS, including 7-1 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS losses, and CUSA squads have fashioned a superb 11-3 ATS record as dogs of 7 or more points.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Maryland by 11; O/U 72
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Maryland -13
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Maryland -9.53
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MARYLAND is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=5.9 yards/play since 1992.
The average score was MARYLAND 35.1, OPPONENT 16.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--MARYLAND is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) versus poor rushing defenses - allowing >=200 rushing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was MARYLAND 35.6, OPPONENT 19.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--MARYLAND is 36-15 UNDER (+19.5 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers since 1992.
The average score was MARYLAND 23.0, OPPONENT 23.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--MARYLAND is 25-6 UNDER (+18.4 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored since 1992.
The average score was MARYLAND 24.2, OPPONENT 26.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--MARYLAND is 21-5 UNDER (+15.5 Units) after scoring 37 points or more last game since 1992.
The average score was MARYLAND 25.0, OPPONENT 23.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--MARYLAND is 9-27 against the 1rst half line (-20.7 Units) in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse since 1992.
The average score was MARYLAND 10.9, OPPONENT 14.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--MARYLAND is 1-11 against the 1rst half line (-11.1 Units) off a home win over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MARYLAND 9.3, OPPONENT 17.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--E CAROLINA is 7-1 against the 1rst half line (+5.9 Units) as an underdog vs. the 1rst half line this season.
The average score was E CAROLINA 18.5, OPPONENT 18.9 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--MARYLAND is 37-20 UNDER (+15.0 Units) the 1rst half total after playing a game at home since 1992.
The average score was MARYLAND 11.5, OPPONENT 12.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--MARYLAND is 22-8 UNDER (+13.2 Units) the 1rst half total after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored since 1992.
The average score was MARYLAND 12.0, OPPONENT 13.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY UNDER - Any team against the total (E CAROLINA) - after allowing 42 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 37 points or more last game.
(51-21 over the last 10 seasons.) (70.8%, +27.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 61.2
The average score in these games was: Team 21.3, Opponent 36.3 (Total points scored = 57.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 36 (51.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (8-8).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-10).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (35-15).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (54-23).
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Experience is what this business is all about, and good money can be made if one has the right connections. Stan 'The Man' prides himself on uncovering the edge that gives his customers the ability to beat the sports books on a consistent basis. Stan is a full time Expert Handicapper that can help you consistently beat the books. With any package that you purchase it is fully guaranteed that you show a profit, or he'll extend your service at no charge. If you have any questions about our services call 1-800 -351-4640 begin_of_the_skype_highlighting 1-800 -351-4640 end_of_the_skype_highlighting, “You’ll be real glad you did!” -Stan
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*** TEXAS BOWL ***
ILLINOIS (6-6) VS. BAYLOR (7-5)
Reliant Stadium - Houston, TX
Kickoff: 6:00 p.m. EDT Line: Baylor -1 O/U 62
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The Illinois Fighting Illini and Baylor Bears have made it back to the postseason, as they are set to square off in the fifth annual Texas Bowl at Reliant Stadium. This will be just the second bowl game Illinois has played since 2002, with the most recent being a 49-17 loss to USC in the Rose Bowl following the 2007-08 season. The Fighting Illini had an up-and-down season, winning consecutive games only once and finishing the regular season with a 6-6 record. Illinois is known for having a widespread alumni base, but Baylor is playing within a three-hour drive of its campus.
"Our guys," Illinois head coach Ron Zook said at the Texas Bowl press conference, "they like being the underdog, they like being the opponent, they like to be in the visitors' (locker room). We're going to really find out what that means now because I know that we're kind of in hostile territory. But we are excited." On the other sideline, Baylor is going bowling for the first time since 1994.
"It's been 16 years since we've been in a bowl game and our people are pumped," Baylor head coach Art Briles said, "and rightfully so, because when you've looked on from the outside for a long time and you finally get a chance to step in the door, it's a good feeling." Still, the Bears faded down the stretch, dropping each of their final three games after a 7-2 start. They haven't had much success against Big Ten teams, posting a 2-9-1 mark all-time. Baylor won the only previous meeting between these two schools, a 34-19 decision back in 1976. In last year's Texas Bowl, Navy thumped Missouri 35-13.
Illinois' offense is predicated on the running game, as the team enters this contest ranked 13th nationally in rushing with 242.3 yards per game. Against Northwestern in the Big Ten finale at Wrigley Field last month, Mikel Leshoure ran for a school-record 330 yards and two touchdowns en route to a 48-27 win. His 330 yards were also a single-game high in the nation this season, as the Illini rumbled for 519 rushing yards combined.
On the season, Leshoure has averaged 126.1 rushing yards per game and has scored 17 touchdowns. He is the straw that stirs the drink for the Illinois offense. Quarterback Nathan Scheelhaase is also a threat with his legs, as he ranks second on the team with 815 rushing yards (67.9 ypg) to go along with four TDs. In the passing game, Scheelhaase averages just 131.9 yards per game, though he has thrown 17 touchdowns against only eight interceptions. A.J. Jenkins heads up the receiving corps with 694 yards and seven TDs on 50 catches.
Defensively, Illinois has proven very tough to run against, ranking 29th nationally and fourth in the Big Ten with 131.3 rushing yards per game allowed. Overall, the team ranks 38th in the country in total defense (344.2 ypg) and 53rd in scoring defense (24.2 ppg). The unit started to leak a bit down the stretch, allowing an average of nearly 40 points over its final four games, three of which were losses. Junior linebacker Martez Wilson is a wrecking ball, having notched a team-high 105 tackles, which also ranks third in the conference. Wilson also leads the team with four sacks and three forced fumbles this year. Junior defensive back Trulon Henry has a team-best three interceptions under his belt in his first year at Illinois since transferring from junior college.
Baylor's offense is capable of picking up yardage in huge chunks, as the Bears rank No. 12 in the nation in total offense (478.5 ypg). They have a potent air-ground combo to keep defenses off balance in quarterback Robert Griffin and running back Jay Finley. Griffin is completing 66.3 percent of his passes on the year and has thrown 21 touchdowns and only eight interceptions. He averages 266.2 passing yards per game and has also been an asset on the ground with eight rushing touchdowns and a shade under 50 rushing yards per game.
Finley averages 6.3 yards per carry and 96.2 yards per game on the ground, and he has scored 11 times. Kendall Wright paces the receiving corps with 66 catches for 825 yards and six TDs. Defensive lapses forced the Bears into catchup mode during their final three games, but when they are balanced, their offense has proven hard to stop. Griffin tossed an uncharacteristic two interceptions in the regular-season finale against Oklahoma, which really took the Bears out of their rhythm.
When asked to evaluate Illinois, coach Briles spoke about the importance of slowing the Illini ground game. "They're a dangerous football team, very dangerous," Briles said. "They're third in the nation in time of possession. That tells you something there. It means they're making first downs and running the football. It's a big concern from us on both sides of the ball, actually."
Similar to how Illinois struggled down the stretch, Baylor's defense yielded an average of 50 ppg during that three-game skid to close out the regular season. With plenty of time to prepare for this matchup, coach Briles is hoping his defense can rediscover its early-season swagger. In their first four victories of the season, the Bears had allowed an average of 7.25 ppg. But once they got into their Big 12 schedule, the Bears had trouble stopping opponents. Senior safety Byron Landor ranked fourth in the conference with 115 tackles, while defensive end Tevin Elliott posted a team-high five sacks and nine tackles for loss.
• PREGAME NOTES
-------------------------
Baylor QB Robert Griffin III and company may have had their long-awaited breakout season in 2010 but the Bears have been bad news in games versus fellow bowlers this year, stumbling to a 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS mark. Enter Illinois from the much-maligned Big Ten – a conference that’s more than held its own when facing off with teams from the Big 12. Big Ten bowlers are a respectable 15-8 ATS versus Big 12 foes of late and Big 12 bowlers are just 5-12 ATS as favorites versus Big Ten opponents. The Fighting Illini have not advanced to postseason play since their 49-17 thumping at the hands of USC in the ’07 Rose Bowl and, quite frankly, didn’t expect to make it back this year following the departure of QB Juice Williams. Surprisingly, however, this year’s edition actually improved by 8 PPG since Williams was squeezed out of the picture.
The defense also played better in 2010, allowing 59 YPG less while holding three bowlers to season-low yardage. Both squads arrive off season-ending swoons: Baylor lost its final three games while 6-6 Illinois shows up as losers in three of its last four contests. But even though today’s Houston venue is just a three-hour drive from Waco, bowl virgin favorites that won four or less games the previous year are a money-burning 6-16 ATS. Baylor head coach Art Briles owns a nifty 8-2-2 ATS log as chalk off BB SU and ATS losses but Baylor has had little success against the Big Ten, going 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS. Briles’ opponent today, Ron Zook, barely retained his job this season but the addition of six new assistant coaches seems to have paid dividends. Zook boasts a solid 7-3 ATS mark as a dog of 3 points or less and his Illini follow suit with a 4-1 ATS record as bowlers versus less than .666 foes.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Baylor by 1; O/U 64
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Illinois -1
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Illinois -5.81
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--BAYLOR is 37-63 ATS (-32.3 Units) in the second half of the season since 1992.
The average score was BAYLOR 19.0, OPPONENT 36.1 - (Rating = 5*)
--BAYLOR is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival since 1992.
The average score was BAYLOR 17.8, OPPONENT 36.5 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--BAYLOR is 7-1 OVER (+5.9 Units) after the first month of the season this season.
The average score was BAYLOR 35.4, OPPONENT 36.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--ILLINOIS is 30-12 OVER (+16.6 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders since 1992.
The average score was ILLINOIS 25.7, OPPONENT 28.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--BAYLOR is 25-42 against the 1rst half line (-21.2 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
The average score was BAYLOR 7.5, OPPONENT 19.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--BAYLOR is 15-30 against the 1rst half line (-18.0 Units) off a home loss against a conference rival since 1992.
The average score was BAYLOR 6.5, OPPONENT 22.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--BAYLOR is 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) the 1rst half total after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BAYLOR 15.6, OPPONENT 17.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--BAYLOR is 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) the 1rst half total after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BAYLOR 14.7, OPPONENT 16.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--ILLINOIS is 30-11 OVER (+17.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games off 1 or more consecutive unders since 1992.
The average score was ILLINOIS 14.6, OPPONENT 16.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is 28.5 to 31.5 (BAYLOR) - in a game involving two excellent rushing teams (>=4.8 YPR), in non-conference games.
(30-4 since 1992.) (88.2%, +25.6 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 29.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 18.2, Opponent 18.2 (Total first half points scored = 36.5)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (24-4).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (BAYLOR) - off 1 or more straight overs, in a game involving two good offensive teams (28-34 PPG).
(32-9 since 1992.) (78.0%, +22.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 58.8
The average score in these games was: Team 34.3, Opponent 32.9 (Total points scored = 67.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 19 (47.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (29-8).
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Stan Knows Football and Basketball! Check out the huge winning run “The Man is enjoying and prepare to get all of his football and basketball selections with a discounted monthly or seasonal package.” Do it now and Save Big! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 begin_of_the_skype_highlighting 1-800-351-4640 end_of_the_skype_highlighting - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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*** ALAMO BOWL ***
ARIZONA (7-5) VS. OKLAHOMA ST (10-2)
Alamodome - San Antonio, TX
Kickoff: 9:15 p.m. EDT Line: Okl. St -5 O/U 66
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A pair of explosive offenses will be on display in San Antonio when the Oklahoma State Cowboys and Arizona Wildcats face off in the 18th installment of the Alamo Bowl. Oklahoma State finished the regular season with an outstanding 10-2 record, but managed to finish in a three-way tie atop the Big 12 South at 6-2 and lost out on a chance to play for the Big 12 Championship by way of a tiebreaker through the BCS standings. The Cowboys controlled their own destiny heading into the regular-season finale against bitter rival Oklahoma but came out on the short end of a 47-41 final in a Bedlam Battle classic in Stillwater November 27th.
The Cowboys had the nation's No. 1 ranked offense this season, averaging an eye-popping 537.6 yards per game, and boast the country's top-ranked passing offense as well. OSU's offense set single-season school records for points (539), total offensive yards (6,451), passing yards (4,256) and touchdown passes (34) in 2010. Oklahoma State's other loss came to Nebraska back on October 23 in another shootout, losing 51-41 in Stillwater. This will be the Cowboys' third appearance in the Alamo Bowl having lost both previous matchups with Ohio State in 2004 and to Purdue in 1997. OSU has also lost in its last two bowl appearances overall. Big 12 Coach of the Year Mike Gundy saw his Cowboys beaten by Ole Miss in the Cotton Bowl at the end of last season and Oregon in the 2008 Holiday Bowl. Oklahoma State's overall bowl record stands at 12-8.
Arizona will be making its third straight bowl appearance under head coach Mike Stoops after a 7-5 regular season. The Wildcats were ranked 13th in the nation following an impressive 7-1 start to the year before a deflating 42-17 loss to then No. 10 Stanford on November 6th triggered a four-game losing streak to end their schedule. The 'Cats wound up 4-5 in the Pac-10 standings, tied for fifth place. The regular season ended on an especially heart-breaking note, falling to rival Arizona State in Tucson when Alex Zendejas' extra point was blocked in double overtime to hand the Sun Devils a 30-29 win. Arizona was blanked in a 33-0 shellacking by Nebraska in last year's Holiday Bowl and will be making its first-ever appearance at the Alamo Bowl. The Wildcats' overall bowl record stands at 6-8-1.
This will be the first meeting between Oklahoma State and Arizona on the gridiron since 1942. The all-time series is even at 3-3 with Arizona having won three of the last four games. The matchup will also serve as a preview to a home-and-home series between the two schools starting in Stillwater next season. This is the first year the Alamo Bowl will feature both the Pac-10 and Big 12 Conferences. For the past 15 years, the game has pitted the Big 12 against Big Ten competition. "It's great to be the first league team to play in this first year of the new Alamo Bowl affiliation with the conference. Our players are excited to be playing in an outstanding bowl against a quality opponent like Oklahoma State," Stoops said in anticipation of the matchup.
At the head of OSU's offensive juggernaut is junior quarterback Brandon Weeden and 2010 Biletnikoff Award winner and unanimous All-American sophomore Justin Blackmon. Blackmon caught 102 passes for 1,665 yards and 18 touchdowns in just 11 games en route to being named the nation's top wide receiver. The Big 12 Offensive Player of the Year also added a pair of scores with a 69-yard run and a blocked punt return and ranked first in the country in receiving yards per game (151.36), receptions per game (9.27) and finished ninth in all- purpose yards per game (159). Blackmon tied the NCAA record with his 11th consecutive game of at least 100 receiving yards and a score versus Oklahoma and needs only eight yards to break Larry Fitzgerald's NCAA record for receiving yards by a sophomore.
Weeden broke OSU's single-season record for passing touchdowns with 32 and became the first Cowboy quarterback to pass for over 4,000 yards in a season (4,037). He completed 67.4 percent of his passes, had 13 interceptions and ended the year with a 105.2 passer rating. In addition to Blackmon, Weeden developed a nice rapport with junior wideout Josh Cooper, who caught 61 passes for 683 yards and five touchdowns. "I think before the year started, we knew we had a chance to be special. We knew we had guys that could make some plays, but to be at this magnitude, maybe not. But we knew we had a chance to be here. We fulfilled our expectation, but we also exceeded it as well," Weeden said of OSU's chance to post an 11-win season.
Not to be forgotten is an effective ground game led by senior Kendall Hunter, who racked up 1,516 rushing yards to lead the Big 12 and tied for the conference lead with 16 touchdowns this season. He averaged 5.8 yards per carry and 126.3 yards per game on 261 totes. Dan Bailey, the 2010 Lou Groza Award winner as the nation's top placekicker, could be the x-factor in a tight game. Oklahoma State's all-time leading scorer was 24-for-28 on field goals this year including a pair of strikes from 52 yards.
The category where the Cowboys lack when compared to Arizona is defense. The squad finished ranked 91st in the nation and eighth in their own conference. OSU's moniker is usually to outscore the opponent, not stop them, as was evidenced by its giving up an average of 412.8 yards and 27.8 points per game. A startling number is the 110 fourth-quarter points allowed this season, although, the Cowboys do feature a handful of players capable of making a difference. Senior cornerback Andrew McGee had five of the team's 16 interceptions, a total which had OSU tied for 21st in the country. Standout senior linebacker Orie Lemon led the team with 119 tackles. His nine tackles for a loss also paced the Cowboys and 93 of his stops were of the solo variety. Linebacker Shaun Lewis was named the Big 12 Co-Defensive Freshman of the Year for 2010, racking up 55 tackles, including seven for a loss, three interceptions, three forced fumbles and two fumble recoveries. Junior defensive end Jamie Blatnick led OSU with five sacks on the year.
Like Oklahoma State, Arizona is led by a high-powered passing attack that finished ninth in the nation and first in Pac-10 play and will counter with its own 1-2 punch in juniors quarterback Nick Foles and wide receiver Juron Criner. Foles completed 67.6 percent of his passes for 2,911 yards with 19 touchdowns against seven interceptions in just 10 games this season. The passing game averaged 310 yards per game with a bulk of that yardage credited to the first-team All-Pac 10 selection and second-team All-American Criner, who totaled 1,186 yards and 10 touchdowns on 73 receptions while averaging 16.2 yards per reception. Criner's yardage and reception totals were both tops in the conference.
Fellow juniors David Douglas and David Roberts provide depth as secondary options in the 'Cats air attack. Douglas was second on the team with 46 catches and five touchdowns while racking up 424 yards. Roberts finished second to Criner with 468 receiving yards on 42 grabs with a pair of scores. The Wildcats ended the regular season with the nation's 24th-ranked offense overall, and the rushing game features a pair of capable backs in junior Keola Antolin and senior Nic Grigsby. While neither player stood out in terms of yardage, the two combined for 15 of the team's 20 rushing scores. Antolin led the team with 667 rushing yards and his 4.7 yards per carry, while Grigsby averaged an equally solid 4.6 yards per tote with 474 yards and a team-high eight scores.
A strong defensive unit for Arizona was overshadowed by its disappointing end to the year. It ranked 36th in the nation in total defense and 32nd in scoring defense, allowing 21.6 points per game. Junior linebacker Paul Vassallo was the team's leading tackler and finished seventh in the Pac-10 with 94 stops, 73 of those solo. Senior defensive end Ricky Elmore gave opposing quarterbacks fits all season with his 11 sacks to lead the Pac-10. His 13 tackles for a loss also paced the Wildcats and was good for fourth in league play. Arizona ended second in the conference with 33 sacks with fellow senior end Brooks Reed getting 6 1/2 of those and standout redshirt freshman tackle Justin Washington six. Washington was second on the team with 10 1/2 tackles for a loss.
"I think they do a good job of putting pressure on the quarterback. The quarterback is a very good player and the receiver and two running backs make some plays. They played very well the first two or three months of the season and didn't play as well as they wanted to in the last month," Gundy said of matching up with the Wildcats.
• PREGAME NOTES
-------------------------
Oklahoma State swaggers into San Antonio boasting a nation’s-best offense (538 YPG) high on star power. The 10-2 Cowboys are led by QB Brandon Weeden, the first in team history to throw for 4,000 yards in a season, the Big 12 Offensive Player of the Year in WR Justin Blackmon and the league’s leading rusher in RB Kendall Hunter. But even with such a star-studded cast, Mike Gundy’s Pokes once again failed to reach their season goal when another loss to rival Oklahoma kept them out of the Big 12 Championship game and a possible BCS Bowl appearance. Still, an OSU team averaging 45 PPG and 538 yards per outing would seem like the obvious pick over an Arizona bunch that wilted like a lost traveler in the desert at season’s end, losing its final four games, including a 1-point defeat to hated Arizona State on a blocked PAT.
Obvious, that is, until you get a closer look at the Oklahoma State defense. Not only did the Cowboys stop unit get ripped for 413 YPG, in the showdown they wanted the most against the Sooners, OSU’s ‘D’ was stampeded for a whopping 588 total yards, including 468 passing, numbers that should have Arizona QB Nick Foles licking his chops. Further ‘chop-licking’ comes courtesy of our powerful database that tells us Arizona stands 11-2 ATS as an underdog off a loss and coach Stoops is 4-0 ATS off a SU favorite loss versus a foe off a SU and ATS loss. No such luck for the chalk: Big 12 bowl favorites of 6 or more points are 0-6 ATS against a Pac-10 opponent and the favorite in OSU bowl games is a jaw-dropping 2-13 ATS. Wait, it gets worse. Cowboys’ coach Gundy is 0-5 SU and ATS versus a greater than .500 foe off a SU favorite loss and Oklahoma State is just 1-5 SU and ATS as a bowler with a winning record playing off a loss. Note: Arizona’s five losses this season came by just 6 points combined!
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Oklahoma St by 4; O/U 64.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Oklahoma St -3
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Oklahoma St -3.02
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA ST is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA ST 36.2, OPPONENT 17.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--OKLAHOMA ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA ST 47.0, OPPONENT 25.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games this season.
The average score was OKLAHOMA ST 41.3, OPPONENT 19.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA ST is 24-5 OVER (+17.8 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 59% or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA ST 38.7, OPPONENT 31.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA ST is 24-7 OVER (+16.2 Units) after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992.
The average score was OKLAHOMA ST 36.7, OPPONENT 28.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--ARIZONA is 24-44 against the 1rst half line (-24.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
The average score was ARIZONA 12.1, OPPONENT 10.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--ARIZONA is 28-46 against the 1rst half line (-22.6 Units) off 1 or more straight overs since 1992.
The average score was ARIZONA 12.5, OPPONENT 13.7 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA ST is 16-6 OVER (+9.4 Units) the 1rst half total after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992.
The average score was OKLAHOMA ST 16.1, OPPONENT 13.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--OKLAHOMA ST is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) the 1rst half total after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA ST 13.9, OPPONENT 7.2 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Neutral field teams where the total is between 63.5 and 70 (ARIZONA) - with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, in minor bowl games (played in December).
(34-10 since 1992.) (77.3%, +23 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 66.1
The average score in these games was: Team 36.5, Opponent 36.5 (Total points scored = 73)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 18 (40.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-6).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (24-10).
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Stan 'The Man has Turned-Up the Heat on the Gridiron with his RED~HOT 69-25-4, (73.4%) ATS Run, along with his impressive 132-56-2 (70.2%) mark for the season, in MLB action! But most Importantly, Yours Truly has delivered the cash in Forty-Two of the last Forty-Six, and in Seventy-Six of the last Eighty-One Weeks, Dating back to Last Season!
After taking most of the week off, “The Man Continued to Roll with his 'ROCK~SOLID' Record (40-13-2, 75.5%) in CFB Action on Friday, dishing out yet another Huge Top *5-Star Winner (Tulsa +10.5) that was back by this ‘Incredible Super Situational System' - PLAY ON: A Conference Championship/Bowl team (not a favorite of 4+ points or underdog of more than 14 points) off allowing 22+ points in each of its last 5 games vs. a non-Independent opponent.
This Stat/Systems Sports Super Situational System has a record of 17-0 ATS, 100% (with the Tulsa Golden Hurricane forcing six turnovers to upend #24 Hawaii, 62-35, in the Hawaii Bowl) covering the spread by an average of 27.4 points per game since 1999. The straight up record for this system is a solid 14-3 winning by an average of 17.3 points per game.
StatSystems Sports NBA Report, Wednesday 12/29/10
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 12/29
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
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***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NBA *****
________________________________________________
When you are ready to step up an into the challenge of advanced sports handicapping, be sure to check out Stan 'The Man's ALL NEW Stat/Systems Sheets. They are loaded with power ratings, computer predictions, matchups, betting trends, systems, statistics, schedules and results. Once you have sampled my Stat/Systems Sheets, you will no longer need free picks, consensus plays, or other professional handicapping services!
Each day here in our Stat/Systems Report we will list the Top - Angles, Stats and Situational Trends for up-coming games, including all the Key - ATS, Over/Unders, Money-Line, First Half ATS Top Trends including Over/Unders, Coaches ATS & Over/Unders and Teaser Line Trends, along with all your high percentage Super Situation Systems.
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••• PIT STOP! •••
-----------------------
Times are tough in D.C., with the Washington Wizards struggling to pick up wins at home and on the road. However, there is one way to bet the Wiz that is having a ton of success. The Wizards are terrible on the road this season, making Wednesday’s home stand against the Pacers a much-needed pit stop. Washington dropped back-to-back road tilts in Texas, falling to San Antonio and Houston this past week.
The Wizards have only one win in their last 10 games, while scoring just under 93 points per game in that span, cracking the century mark only twice. That inability to find the basket has helped Washington post a 3-7 over/under record in those 10 outings, with the past seven games staying below the number. Washington has a 4-10 over/under count inside the Verizon Center this season and has played under the total in three of its last three games with Indiana.
Make Sure you have the Advantage you need to win this Season! Did you know that the Stat/Systems Report is the #1 rated sports betting publication in the country today. Offering complete analysis and predictions for every game on the board including game logs, betting trends, key injuries, vital statistics, lines and odds, and more the daily publication is everything that you need to win each and every day!
“Who will cash at the betting window on Wednesday, be sure to get all your winners each day... "Where the Winning Never Stops right here @ Stat/Systems Sports!" Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 "You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
NOTE: All New Website Coming Soon!
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***** WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 29TH NBA INFORMATION *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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• HOT TEAMS
-----------------
-- Hawks won three of their last four games. Golden State won last three games, covered four of last five.
-- Celtics won 15 of last 16 games; they're 6-4 as a road favorite. Pistons covered five of their last six games.
-- Thunder is 7-4 in last eleven games as a home favorite.
-- Hornets won their last four home games.
-- Minnesota won its last two games, covered six of last seven.
-- Miami is 15-1 in its last 16 games; they covered six of last seven as a road favorite. Rockets won last five games; they covered four of last six as an underdog.
-- 76ers are 7-3 vs spread in last ten games as road underdog.
-- Grizzlies won last two games, covered 11 of last 14.
-- Clippers won five of their last six games. Utah won three of four.
• COLD TEAMS
------------------
-- Pacers lost six of their last eight games (0-7-1 vs spread). Wizards lost three in row, 10 of last 11 games.
-- Cleveland lost its last four games, by 11-14-1-15 points. Bobcats lost four of their last five games.
-- Nets covered once in last eight games as road underdog.
-- Lakers lost last three games, scoring 79-80-82 points.
-- Nuggets lost three of their last four games.
-- Suns lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Sacramento lost its last eight games (1-7 vs spread).
• BACK-TO-BACK
---------------------
-- Pacers are 2-3 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Cavaliers are 1-3 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Celtics are 2-3 vs spread if they won the night before.
-- Lakers are 2-2 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Nuggets are 2-4 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Miami is 3-4 vs spread if it played night before.
• TOTALS
------------
-- Last eight Washington games stayed under the total.
-- Last six Atlanta games stayed under the total. Warriors' last four games all went over.
-- Five of last seven Charlotte games stayed under total.
-- Last four Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Last three New Jersey games went over the total. Under is 8-3 in last eleven Oklahoma City games.
-- Seven of last nine Laker games stayed under the total.
-- Armadillosports.com is America's favorite website.
-- Three of last four Denver games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Memphis games.
-- Under is 7-0-1 in Clippers' last eight home games.
• QUICK HITS
-----------------
--INDIANA @ WASHINGTON, 7:00 PM ET INDIANA: 21-7 Under playing on back-to-back days. WASHINGTON: 4-16 ATS as home favorite of 3pts or less.
--GOLDEN STATE @ ATLANTA, 7:00 PM ET GOLDEN STATE: 11-2 Over at Atlanta. ATLANTA: 2-7 ATS vs. Western Conference.
--CLEVELAND @ CHARLOTTE, 7:00 PM ET CLEVELAND: 1-8 ATS if home dog last game. CHARLOTTE: 14-3 ATS off ATS loss.
--BOSTON @ DETROIT, 7:30 PM ET BOSTON: 10-1 Under Away if won 20 of L25 games. DETROIT: 9-19 ATS revenging home loss.
--NEW JERSEY @ OKLAHOMA CITY, 8:00 PM ET NEW JERSEY: 11-25 ATS off BB double digit losses. OKLAHOMA CITY: 30-15 ATS off home loss.
--LA LAKERS @ NEW ORLEANS, 8:00 PM ET LA LAKERS: 11-2 Under after scoring 85 pts or less. NEW ORLEANS: 13-1 Under off ATS loss.
--DENVER @ MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET DENVER: 1-9 ATS off ATS win. MINNESOTA: 5-1 Under playing with same season revenge.
--MIAMI @ HOUSTON, 8:30 PM ET MIAMI: 30-14 Under off BB SU wins. HOUSTON: 10-1 Under at home vs. Southeast Division.
--PHILADELPHIA @ PHOENIX, 9:00 PM ET PHILADELPHIA: 7-0 Under after allowing 105+ pts. PHOENIX: 1-5 ATS off BB SU losses.
--MEMPHIS @ SACRAMENTO, 10:00 PM ET MEMPHIS: 12-3 ATS off an Under. SACRAMENTO: 0-7 ATS if home dog last game.
--UTAH @ LA CLIPPERS, 10:30 PM ET NBA UTAH: 29-14 ATS off BB SU losses. LA CLIPPERS: 2-7 ATS vs. Utah.
• NOTES & TIPS
--------------------
--Gerald Wallace (ankle), Charlotte Bobcats – Wallace has missed the last five games with a sprained ankle but coach Paul Silas expects him back for Wednesday’s game against Cleveland. Wallace wasn’t quite as eager, saying that he would see how it feels during shootaround, though he was able to practice Tuesday. The 6-foot-7 forward averages 16.7 points and 8.1 rebounds per game.
--The Washington Wizards are said to be shopping both Andray Blatche and JaVale McGee after the two got into a fight and were handed one-game suspensions. The Wizards look to be getting ready to clean house following this latest incident. The club hosts Indiana Wednesday and currently set as a 1-point favorite.
--The Utah Jazz have won four straight road games, but could be shorthanded Wednesday night when they visit the L.A. Clippers. Andrei Kirilenko isn’t expected to play after leaving Monday’s game with back spasms. If Kirilenko can’t go, C.J. Miles and Mehmet Okur will see increased minutes. Utah had won three straight before losing to Portland in their last contest.
--The Denver Nuggets announced Tuesday night that star forward Carmelo Anthony will return to the team Thursday after leaving to grieve the death of his sister. Anthony already has missed four games following the Dec. 21 death of sister, Michelle Anthony, due to a pre-existing medical condition. He won't be with the team Wednesday at Minnesota, meaning he will have missed five games. Anthony's first game back is expected to be Saturday at home against Sacramento. Michelle Anthony's funeral was Monday in Baltimore. In a statement released by the team, Anthony said he appreciates the outpouring of support since her death. The Nuggets lost their first three games without Anthony before beating Portland 95-77 Tuesday night.
--Losing an eighth straight game wasn't the focus immediately after they fell, 100-99, to the Clippers on Monday night, as the Kings' spirits were raised from the depths based solely on the outing of second-year guard Tyreke Evans. He scored a season-high 32 points in retro fashion, finally looking like the player who won the Rookie of the Year award last season just one game after a loss to Milwaukee marked a new low for the league's worst team. But Evans, who has dealt with a mild case of plantar fasciitis for much of the season in which his production has drastically declined, revealed afterward that he is considering having a procedure done on his left foot to alleviate the condition that would sideline him for "three to four months."
"Hopefully (the plantar fasciitis) will go away soon," said Evans, whose 30-point outing against Memphis on Nov. 6 was his only other 30-plus point scoring game of the season. "I talked to my agent (Bob Myers) today, and I was thinking about (the procedure)... He's going to let me know and we'll see what's up. I'll just keep that in mind, whether I want to just keep playing through it or get (the procedure) over with." A source close to Evans said he had already decided to do the procedure which involves laser treatment soon, but the sudden rediscovery of his game and swagger might mean he delays the procedure until after the All-Star break or perhaps the offseason. Evans said Kings coach Paul Westphal indicated that he would be supportive of his player no matter the final decision.
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• NOTE: NBA betting is becoming more popular each year. This is known as one of the sports where a smart bettor who practiced proper money management can make some really huge profits. Once a bettor begins to study and understand NBA Odds, he or she can gain a better understanding of how the bookies set their numbers. The bookies set a lot of these NBA Odds with the public in mind. They know the public is going to bet the Lakers and Bulls (and other public teams) every week so there are some great situations to get good numbers by going against teams like that.
It is always best to shop around when looking for the best NBA Odds. Many different books release different numbers and NBA Odds always tend to differ at each sportsbook. If you are truly interested in finding the best NBA Odds, it is always best to have funded accounts at - at least five sportsbooks.
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*** INDIANA @ WASHINGTON (-2.5, O/U 195) ***
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A pair of struggling clubs clash tonight in the nation's capital, as the Washington Wizards play host to the Indiana Pacers from the Verizon Center. The Wizards have lost three in a row and 10 of 11 games, and are coming off Monday's 100-93 loss in Houston. Kirk Hinrich led the way with 19 points and Andray Blatche ended with 17 points and 14 rebounds for the Wizards, who remained winless on the road (0-15) this season.
"It's a tough loss. We felt like we gave it away. We had control until the last five minutes of the fourth quarter," said Wizards new forward Rashard Lewis, who had 12 points, nine boards and five assists. Nick Young scored 18 points and rookie John Wall chipped in 13 points and six assists off the bench in defeat. The Wizards are just 7-7 in DC this season and Young is averaging 20.6 ppg in his last six games. Hinrich is averaging 16.8 points, 7.8 assists and 4.8 rebounds in his last five games.
Meanwhile, the Pacers will try to put the brakes on a six-game road losing streak when they head to Washington tonight. The Pacers are 5-8 away from Conseco Fieldhouse, where they dropped a 95-83 decision to the Boston Celtics on Tuesday. Brandon Rush led the Pacers with 17 points and seven rebounds, while Danny Granger finished with 15 points for Indiana, which has lost two straight and six of eight games. Darren Collison chipped in 10 points and Mike Dunleavy scored nine off the bench in defeat.
"We just lost," said Pacers forward Josh McRoberts. "We played well with them for three quarters. They made a run. We didn't respond well, didn't make good plays and lost the ball game." Indiana made 37 percent of its shots and committed 15 turnovers. The Pacers and Wizards are meeting for the first time since Indiana took three of four meetings a season ago. Indiana has won six of the previous nine encounters with Washington, winners in six of the past nine matchups at home.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Indiana by 2; O/U 197
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Washington -1
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Indiana -3.18
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 64-91 ATS (-36.1 Units) in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was WASHINGTON 98.4, OPPONENT 98.1 - (Rating = 5*)
--WASHINGTON is 34-52 ATS (-23.2 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 95.8, OPPONENT 103.5 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) after having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games this season.
The average score was WASHINGTON 91.0, OPPONENT 94.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.
The average score was WASHINGTON 91.3, OPPONENT 92.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 21-7 UNDER (+13.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 96.9, OPPONENT 101.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 16-31 against the 1rst half line (-18.1 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 45.1, OPPONENT 51.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 55-30 against the 1rst half line (+22.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 54.8, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 53-32 UNDER (+17.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 47.6, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 66-44 UNDER (+17.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 47.7, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days.
(49-24 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.1%, +22.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (45-29 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.3
The average score in these games was: Team 100.9, Opponent 97.8 (Average point differential = +3.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 30 (41.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-15).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (102-64).
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Saturday, Stan 'The Man released (to all that called and signed-up for his 2010 College Bowl Bonanza) his Hugh *4-Star Selection with Arizona (+7.5). Stan said - "While Christmas Day finds a couple of interesting NBA scuffles, Christmas night finds a meaningless NFL contest. Thankfully, there’s a silver lining to every cloud as this stocking is stuffed with our 'INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK!"
"Though the ‘Boys are a solid 15-4 SU and ATS in this series off an ATS loss, we want no part of their ugly 1-16-1 ATS stat as non-division favorites from Game Thirteen out"... "We’re also not thrilled with their money-burning 1-6 ATS mark when they line up as favorites this season or their 1-4 ATS log on Saturdays during the regular season when they arrive off a SU win."
The Man went on to say - "We just asked you to go with the Panthers two days ago and now we’re suggesting a play on the Cardinals... "It may be a case of too much eggnog but it just may be that the Redbirds are a perfect 6-0 ATS at home on Saturdays during the regular season off a SU loss... “It also may be a case of ‘Zona owning a 4-2 SU and 6-0 ATS mark in Last Home Games off a loss since 2000... “Whatever the case, we’ll have another as Cardinals’ HC Ken Whisenhunt improves to 10-3 SU and ATS at home as pick or a dog!"
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*** GOLDEN STATE @ ATLANTA (-7, O/U 203) ***
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The Golden State Warriors will hit the road for five games, starting with tonight's showdown against the Atlanta Hawks at Philips Arena. The Warriors will also visit the Bobcats, Heat, Magic and Hornets on the road swing and are just 4-12 outside of Oakland this season. Golden State is coming off its third straight win, a 110-95 decision over the visiting Philadelphia 76ers at Oracle Arena.
Dorell Wright had a game-high 28 points, Monta Ellis collected 22 points and 12 assists and David Lee tallied 21 points and 16 rebounds in a winning cause. "I have to be a little more aggressive," Wright said. "When I start making a few shots guys start going for my head fakes so I just got to start utilizing that. It's an ability I have to get to the basket and have to start doing it more." Stephen Curry got into the scoring act with 17 points. The Warriors have not won four in a row since February 26 - March 4, 2008.
Atlanta is aiming to extend its eight-game home winning streak Wednesday and is 11-5 as the host this season. The Hawks won for the fourth time in six tries overall with Monday's 95-80 road decision over the Milwaukee Bucks, as Al Horford pumped in 18 points and 12 rebounds to lead the charge. Joe Johnson scored 15 points and both Jamal Crawford and Marvin Williams ended the night with 14 off the bench.
"We play our best when we're sharing the ball. We're just consistent and solid throughout, and that's what we did tonight," Horford said after the Hawks snapped a five-game road skid. Golden State and Atlanta have split the previous 20 meetings in this series, while the Hawks have won six of the past 10 games as the host.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Atlanta by 7.5; O/U 202
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Atlanta -9
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Atlanta -7.6
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 104.7, OPPONENT 90.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 55-81 ATS (-34.1 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 94.6, OPPONENT 104.0 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 38-19 UNDER (+17.1 Units) in road games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 96.7, OPPONENT 102.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 53-34 UNDER (+15.6 Units) as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 103.7, OPPONENT 111.9 - (Rating = 3*)
-GOLDEN STATE is 21-5 UNDER (+15.5 Units) in road games after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 99.6, OPPONENT 111.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 68-101 against the 1rst half line (-43.1 Units) vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 46.8, OPPONENT 48.0 - (Rating = 6*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 28-10 against the 1rst half line (+16.8 Units) after 3 straight games where opponent grabbed 55 or more rebounds over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 55.4, OPPONENT 55.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 13-3 UNDER (+9.7 Units) the 1rst half total vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 48.3, OPPONENT 53.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 46.3, OPPONENT 54.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 45.5, OPPONENT 54.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) the 1rst half total versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 45.1, OPPONENT 52.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (GOLDEN STATE) - in non-conference games, after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite.
(34-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.1%, +24.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.8, Opponent 50 (Average first half point differential = +0.9)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (61-45).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season.
(48-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.6%, +26 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 209.5
The average score in these games was: Team 97.6, Opponent 103.4 (Total points scored = 201)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 42 (60.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-14).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (80-44).
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Stan 'The Man Continued to Sizzle with his 'RED~HOT' Roll in NBA Action on Sunday! Fresh off cashing his Top *4-Star winner on Saturday with the Knicks/Bulls Under (205.5), Stan dished out his *5-Star 'Totally Amazing Super Situational System' with Washington/San Antonio (Under 101.5, 1rst Half) - PLAY UNDER: All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 101.5 points - after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games. W-L Record, 30-6 (83.3%, +23.4 units) since 1996. With the win, it extended 'The Man's season record on the NBA hardwood to 22-5, (81.5%) with his last twenty-seven top rated selections.
--Result: Tony Parker had a stellar all-around game, finishing with 20 points, 14 assists and six rebounds, as San Antonio dropped the road-weary Wizards, 94-80, at AT&T Center. The Wizards, the only team in the NBA without a road victory (0-14), played without forwards Andray Blatche and JaVale McGee, who were both suspended for actions detrimental to the team. Rashard Lewis stepped up with 21 points and 12 rebounds in defeat. Washington was within striking distance in the first half, staying within 27-23 at the end of one quarter while trailing, 48-42, at the break.
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*** CLEVELAND @ CHARLOTTE (-8, O/U 201) ***
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The Cleveland Cavaliers hope to solve their road woes when they try to stop a 12-game losing streak as the guest tonight against the Charlotte Bobcats at Time Warner Cable Arena. The Cavs are 3-13 as the visitor this season and lost their fourth straight overall with Tuesday's 110-95 setback versus the Orlando Magic at Quicken Loans Arena. Antawn Jamison finished with 21 points and Daniel Gibson had 15 points and six boards for Cleveland, which has just one win in its last 15 contests overall and was outscored, 35-21, in the fourth quarter.
"Thirty-six good minutes of basketball. That's basically what we played. We didn't play very well in the fourth quarter," Cavs head coach Byron Scott said. Mo Williams and Anderson Varejao both had 14 points in defeat. Cleveland will also make a stop in Chicago on the quick trek. Charlotte, meanwhile, began the Paul Silas era on a positive note with Monday's 105-100 triumph over the Detroit Pistons at home.
D.J. Augustin scored 27 points and Stephen Jackson added 23 for the Bobcats, who snapped a four-game slide and won for only the second time in its last eight overall. The 67-year-old Silas took over for Larry Brown, who resigned from his post on Wednesday after the Bobcats got off to a 9-19 start this season. Silas returned to the NBA coaching ranks for the first time since he was fired by the Cleveland Cavaliers near the end of the 2004-05 season.
"It was great," Silas said about returning to coaching. "It brought back old memories; it just comes back to you. You just want to win. You tell the players what they're doing, and I've got great assistant coaches that are helping me. It's going to take some time but I liked the effort tonight. If we continue to play with this kind of effort then it's unbelievable what we can do."
In injury news for the Bobcats, Tyrus Thomas, who had 14 points off the bench in the win, is probable for tonight with a sore right wrist. Forward Gerald Wallace (ankle) is listed as questionable and has missed five straight games. The Bobcats will also host Golden State and Miami on their current five-game residency is 7-7 at home this season. They won three of four matchups with Cleveland last year, but the Cavs are 16-6 in the previous 22 contests in this series.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Charlotte by 6; O/U 187
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Charlotte -6
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Charlotte -5.81
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 36-18 ATS (+15.9 Units) versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 97.9, OPPONENT 93.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) in road games versus slow-down teams averaging 76 or less shots/game since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 83.8, OPPONENT 92.4 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 31-12 OVER (+17.6 Units) versus poor shooting teams - making <=43% of their shots since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 94.2, OPPONENT 98.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 7 days since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 101.6, OPPONENT 101.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 21-4 OVER (+16.5 Units) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 103.3, OPPONENT 98.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 72-48 against the 1rst half line (+19.1 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 47.6, OPPONENT 47.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 58-36 against the 1rst half line (+18.3 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 48.2, OPPONENT 47.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 39-21 UNDER (+15.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 46.7, OPPONENT 46.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 56-33 UNDER (+19.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus slow-down teams averaging 76 or less shots/game since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 43.1, OPPONENT 44.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHARLOTTE) - after a game where they failed to cover the spread, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days.
(25-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.6%, +18.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 204.6
The average score in these games was: Team 109.8, Opponent 103.4 (Total points scored = 213.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 16 (51.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (46-28).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (CHARLOTTE) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games against opponent after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.
(59-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.8%, +34.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 105.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.7, Opponent 50.1 (Total first half points scored = 101.8)
The situation's record this season is: (6-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (37-17).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (83-48).
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Most sports bettors are not aware that the College Basketball and NBA season is a very profitable time of the year. Stan 'The Man' has made more money for his clients during the basketball season than most Sports Services do, during the entire football, and baseball seasons combined!
If you are serious about making money all season long, I strongly suggest you purchase one of my Basketball Packages! Last season, a $100/game bettor made $6,790. A $500/game bettor made $33,950! "Don't try to do it on your own again this season. We both know how that turns out, so let our NBA and CBB Expert, Stan Szumera handle all of your basketball betting needs this season, and let him make you money week after week!"
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*** BOSTON (-6.5, O/U 188.5) @ DETROIT ***
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The Boston Celtics look to put together another lengthy winning streak when they close out a three-game road trip tonight against the Detroit Pistons at The Palace of Auburn Hills. Boston had a 14-game winning streak stopped on Christmas Day in Orlando, but was able to bounce back with last night's 95-83 victory at Indiana behind a game-best 21 points and seven assists from Paul Pierce. Ray Allen scored 17 points and Kevin Garnett recorded 11 points and 13 rebounds for the Celtics, who are 11-4 away from Beantown this season.
Glen Davis netted 14 points and Shaquille O'Neal added nine before fouling out for the second game in a row. "This was a tough game. This is just a tough place to play," said Boston coach Doc Rivers, who is four wins shy of tying K.C. Jones for third on the franchise's all-time wins list. "You knew this would be a tough game. For us to grind it out was huge." The Celtics held Indiana to just 36 points and 31.6% shooting in the second half and got 12 points, five boards, four assists, a steal and two blocks from Marquis Daniels.
Detroit has dropped two straight and seven of its last 10 games, including Monday's 105-100 setback to the Charlotte Bobcats. D.J. Augustin scored 27 points and Stephen Jackson added 23, as the Bobcats opened the Paul Silas era on a winning note. Charlie Villanueva finished with a team-high 25 points, while Tayshaun Prince and Ben Gordon each netted 17 points for the Pistons, who outscored Charlotte by a 31-20 margin in the fourth quarter and will try to even their 7-8 home record Wednesday night.
"I thought the energy of the second group that we put in for the second half was great," Pistons head coach John Kuester said. "They did a good job of getting us back into the game." Boston handed Detroit a 109-86 loss back on Nov. 2 this season at The Palace and has won eight of the past 10 games in this series. The Celtics, however, have lost 11 of their previous 17 contests at the Pistons.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Boston 8; O/U 191
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Boston -7
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Boston -10.46
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--DETROIT is 86-110 ATS (-35.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 94.1, OPPONENT 97.4 - (Rating = 6*)
--DETROIT is 46-73 ATS (-34.3 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 93.0, OPPONENT 98.2 - (Rating = 6*)
--DETROIT is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 94.7, OPPONENT 96.5 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--DETROIT is 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) in home games after playing a game as an underdog this season.
The average score was DETROIT 100.0, OPPONENT 104.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 61-38 OVER (+19.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 105.1, OPPONENT 97.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--DETROIT is 10-1 against the 1rst half line (+8.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
The average score was DETROIT 52.7, OPPONENT 44.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 31-47 against the 1rst half line (-20.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 48.8, OPPONENT 46.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--BOSTON is 25-9 OVER (+15.1 Units) the 1rst half total as a road favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 53.3, OPPONENT 47.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 16-2 OVER (+13.8 Units) the 1rst half total as a road favorite of 2 to 3 points vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 54.2, OPPONENT 49.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a top-level team (>= 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%).
(26-5 since 1996.) (83.9%, +20.5 units. Rating = 5*)
The average total posted in these games was: 184.9
The average score in these games was: Team 104.1, Opponent 91.4 (Total points scored = 195.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 17 (56.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (9-1).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (BOSTON) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team.
(47-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +26.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.4, Opponent 48.7 (Average first half point differential = +1.7)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-11).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (85-60).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DETROIT) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, with a losing record.
(52-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.3%, +27.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (65-10 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.3
The average score in these games was: Team 102.4, Opponent 92.3 (Average point differential = +10.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 29 (39.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (35-17).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (108-73).
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WHAT PEOPLE ARE SAYING ABOUT STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS! •We've been subscription holders to both Don Best and CSW Stats at the premium levels for the past 5 years. Their stats are good, but nowhere near the level you offer. ~ Fabian - Charlotte, NC
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*** NEW JERSEY @ OKLAHOMA CITY (-10, O/U 197) ***
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The New Jersey Nets kick off a three-game road trip in Oklahoma City tonight against Kevin Durant and the Thunder. The Nets, who will also visit Chicago and Minnesota on this trip, lost their second straight game on Monday in snowy Newark. A severe winter storm left as much as two feet of snow in the area Sunday, enough to delay the Orlando team bus as it became stuck in a snowbank on the way to the arena but that didn't stop the Magic from topping New Jersey, 104-88.
Devin Harris led the Nets with 24 points and Brook Lopez finished with 20 points and seven rebounds for New Jersey, which hasn't beaten the Magic since April 2009. Travis Outlaw and Jordan Farmar both accounted for 10 points in the loss. "On a night like tonight when our defense is not as good as it's been recently we've got to score the ball," Nets coach Avery Johnson said. "This is another night when we didn't score and that's a problem."
The Nets are just 3-13 on the road this season and will be hoping to snap a four-game skid against Oklahoma City, a stretch that included a 123-120 triple overtime win by the Thunder in north Jersey back on Dec. 1. Oklahoma City was able to outlast the Nets in that one despite playing without Durant, who sat out that contest with a sprained left knee. Russell Westbrook was the star in his absence, just missing a triple-double with 38 points, a career-best 15 rebounds and nine assists.
Most recently the Thunder fell to 1-1 on a four-game homestand Monday when Jason Terry scored 11 of his 13 points in the fourth quarter and the Mavericks, despite playing most of the game without Dirk Nowitzki, shut down Oklahoma City in the final period and posted a 103-93 victory. Nowitzki departed the game just 2:50 into the second quarter with a sore right knee. He came down awkwardly on his ankle after hitting a jumper, and he left the game after completing the three-point play. He finished with 13 points.
Durant scored 28 points, while James Harden ended with 18 for the Thunder, who were coming off an eight-point home win over the Nuggets on Christmas Day and are 11-6 in Okie City. Westbrook scored 15 points and Jeff Green 12 for Oklahoma City, which was held to 4-of-18 shooting from the field in the last quarter. "We just picked a bad time to miss shots," Thunder coach Scott Brooks said. "I thought the fourth quarter, when they went to the zone, we just couldn't buy any baskets." Oklahoma City will finish its residency against Atlanta on New Year's Eve.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Oklahoma City by 9.5; O/U 198
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Oklahoma City -9
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Oklahoma City -9.63
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-12 ATS (+19.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 102.8, OPPONENT 97.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 48-64 ATS (-22.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 92.5, OPPONENT 100.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW JERSEY is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 93.7, OPPONENT 102.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-13 OVER (+17.7 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 104.0, OPPONENT 102.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 110.4, OPPONENT 104.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 33-12 OVER (+19.6 Units) after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 97.0, OPPONENT 103.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 51-29 against the 1rst half line (+19.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 53.1, OPPONENT 50.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 64-41 against the 1rst half line (+18.7 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 51.2, OPPONENT 50.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--NEW JERSEY is 56-33 UNDER (+19.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 48.1, OPPONENT 51.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 41-20 UNDER (+18.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus excellent foul drawing teams - attempting >=30 free throws/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 47.6, OPPONENT 48.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more.
(74-42 since 1996.) (63.8%, +27.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.1, Opponent 47.8 (Total first half points scored = 95.9)
The situation's record this season is: (0-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-16).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (34-20).
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*** LA LAKERS (-3, O/U 190) @ NEW ORLEANS ***
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The two-time defending NBA champion Los Angeles Lakers hope to put an end to some uncharacteristic struggles when they finish up a tough two-day road trip in the Big Easy tonight by taking on Chris Paul and the New Orleans Hornets. The Lakers lost their third straight game, all by over 15 points, in San Antonio last night when Tony Parker scored 23 points, DeJuan Blair added 17 points and 15 rebounds and the Spurs turned up the defensive pressure in the second half to overpower LA, 97-82.
Kobe Bryant was harassed into an 8-for-27 shooting night, as the Lakers made just 35.4 percent of their shots and 8-of-23 three-pointers. Bryant scored 21 points, while Ron Artest and Andrew Bynum added 10 points apiece as Los Angeles fell to 11-6 on the road this season. The champs have been flat out uncompetitive in matching their season-high skid, losing by an average of 16.7 points. "I've been playing mad as long as you've been writing mad," Bryant said to the media after last night's game. "I got good looks, I just didn't make them."
The Hornets, meanwhile, are coming off their seventh straight road loss on Monday in Minneapolis when Michael Beasley scored 30 points and rookie Wesley Johnson added 24 as the Minnesota Timberwolves topped New Orleans, 113-98. David West scored 23 points and Paul had 22 with 13 assists for the Hornets, who had won two in a row coming in. "They just beat us. The second half was embarrassing the way they scored," said Paul. "Every time down if it wasn't a three (pointer) it was a drive or an offensive rebound. I don't remember a game like that in a long time."
New Orleans, however, has been very impressive in the Big Easy, winning four straight to move to 13-3 on its home floor in the 2010-11 campaign. The Lakers took two of three meetings with the Hornets last season but New Orleans won the lone contest in the Big Easy, snapping a three-game skid in the series.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - New Orleans by 1; O/U 198
*STAN'S POWER LINE - New Orleans -2
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - New Orleans -0.47
________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 40-65 ATS (-31.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.5, OPPONENT 101.5 - (Rating = 6*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 44-62 ATS (-24.2 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.7, OPPONENT 99.5 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 47-24 UNDER (+20.4 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 89.4, OPPONENT 97.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 52-29 UNDER (+19.9 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 94.6, OPPONENT 99.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 40-64 against the 1rst half line (-30.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.6, OPPONENT 51.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 39-63 against the 1rst half line (-30.3 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.6, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--LA LAKERS are 8-0 against the 1rst half line (+8.0 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was LA LAKERS 53.6, OPPONENT 46.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 52-29 UNDER (+20.1 Units) the 1rst half total versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 47.1, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 64-42 UNDER (+17.8 Units) the 1rst half total in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 45.9, OPPONENT 47.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA LAKERS are 47-27 UNDER (+17.3 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 50.9, OPPONENT 47.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more.
(27-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.1%, +18.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.4, Opponent 44.1 (Total first half points scored = 93.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (57-30).
--PLAY ON - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (LA LAKERS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more.
(31-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.6%, +20 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 55.8, Opponent 50.9 (Average first half point differential = +4.9)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (38-20).
--PLAY ON - Road favorites (LA LAKERS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more.
(48-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.8%, +29.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (54-12 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5
The average score in these games was: Team 102.3, Opponent 93.5 (Average point differential = +8.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 24 (38.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (36-12).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (81-57).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (LA LAKERS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%).
(48-19 since 1996.) (71.6%, +27.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 194
The average score in these games was: Team 94.5, Opponent 93.9 (Total points scored = 188.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 32 (49.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-7).
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*** DENVER @ MINNESOTA (-1.5, O/U 221.5) ***
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The Denver Nuggets must enjoy seeing the Minnesota Timberwolves on the schedule as evidenced by their lopsided advantage over the past few years in this series. The two Northwest Division inhabitants will renew the rivalry tonight from the Target Center in the Twin Cities. Denver defeated the Timberwolves, 115-113, on Dec. 18 this season and has won 20 of the past 26 matchups. It's also unbeaten in the past six contests in Minneapolis.
The Nuggets were able to end a three-game slide with Tuesday's 95-77 victory over the Portland Trail Blazers, as Chauncey Billups finished with 18 points and nine assists in the finale of a brief two-game homestand at the Pepsi Center. Nene and J.R. Smith both finished with 17 points for Denver, which played without superstar Carmelo Anthony for a fourth straight game. Anthony is dealing with the recent death of his sister. The team expect to have Anthony back on Thursday following their game in Minnesota.
Arron Afflalo had 15 points in last night's win. "We played really good defense and then we executed in the third quarter," Afflalo said postgame. "That was really it, playing good defense and executing on offense." Denver will try to stop a three-game road losing streak Wednesday and is only 4-10 away from the Rockies this season. It is 13-3 at home and could also be without forward Al Harrington tonight because of a thumb injury.
Minnesota hopes to extend its winning streak to a season-high three straight games this evening and opened a three-game homestand with Monday's 113-98 triumph over the New Orleans Hornets. Michael Beasley compiled 30 points, nine rebounds and seven assists, while rookie Wesley Johnson scored a season-best 24 points thanks to six threes for the Timberwolves, who have won two straight following a seven-game slide and opened the third quarter with a 24-10 surge.
Kevin Love had 16 points and 11 rebounds in a winning cause. "It feels good to win two in a row," Love said. "The biggest thing was everyone contributed. All the way down the line -- it was pretty good." The Wolves will also host New Jersey and are 6-7 at home in 2010-11.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Denver by 4.5; O/U 220
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Denver -1
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Denver -5.62
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 14-34 ATS (-23.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 95.9, OPPONENT 105.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 99.3, OPPONENT 106.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--DENVER is 40-21 UNDER (+16.9 Units) as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 99.8, OPPONENT 102.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 35-17 UNDER (+16.3 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 102.7, OPPONENT 104.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) in road games off a home win this season.
The average score was DENVER 97.4, OPPONENT 96.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 66-40 against the 1rst half line (+21.8 Units) in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1996.
The average score was MINNESOTA 49.5, OPPONENT 46.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--DENVER is 19-36 against the 1rst half line (-20.4 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 52.1, OPPONENT 52.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 24-6 OVER (+16.9 Units) the 1rst half total after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 50.2, OPPONENT 57.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 147-101 OVER (+35.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 52.3, OPPONENT 52.9 - (Rating = 6*)
--DENVER is 129-93 OVER (+26.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 48.9, OPPONENT 51.5 - (Rating = 5*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (DENVER) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, vs. division opponents.
(25-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.3%, +19.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 108.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 58.9, Opponent 56.2 (Total first half points scored = 115.1)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (35-18).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (DENVER) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (25 to 40%).
(38-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (76%, +24.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.7, Opponent 48.3 (Average first half point differential = +2.4)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-10).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (67-41).
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*** MIAMI (-5, O/U 198) @ HOUSTON ***
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It's strength versus strength tonight in south Texas as a pair of streaking teams meet when Kevin Martin and the Houston Rockets entertain LeBron James' Miami Heat. The Rockets won their fifth straight game on Monday when Martin finished with 20 points and Aaron Brooks scored 13 of his 15 in the fourth quarter as Houston downed the hapless Washington Wizards, 100-93, in the opener of a three-game homestand.
Shane Battier also scored 15 points and Luis Scola contributed 14 for the Rockets, who reached .500 for the season (15-15) with their eighth straight win at home. "As a team we played well in the fourth quarter. It started at the defensive end and then we all hit big shots," Brooks said. Actually it all starts with the high-scoring Martin in Houston. The Rockets are a solid 14-8 when the shooting guard scores 20 points or more and just 1-7 when he doesn't
The Heat, meanwhile, improved to a gaudy 14-1 in December on Tuesday in South Beach when Dwyane Wade poured in a season-high 40 points and pulled down nine rebounds, as Miami held off the New York Knicks, 106-98. James and Chris Bosh each tallied 18 points and 10 rebounds for the Heat, who have won three in a row and 15 of 16 overall. Zydrunas Ilgauskas donated 14 points and 10 boards. "I was just mixing it up," Wade said. "I was being aggressive and going to the basket but also looking for my outside shot."
"I think my teammates did a good job especially in the fourth of looking for me." With a win tonight, Miami will set a franchise record for victories in any month and give the team its first 10-game run away from home since an 11-game winning streak from Feb. 4-March 7, 1998. The sizzling Heat have won their last nine on the road by an average of 16.1 points. Miami swept the home-and-home series a year ago after Houston did the same thing in 2008-09.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Miami by 4; O/U 202
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Miami -3
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Miami -5.33
___________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 63-40 ATS (+16.8 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 101.1, OPPONENT 97.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 41-63 ATS (-17.9 Units) in road games after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 90.1, OPPONENT 94.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 3-13 ATS (-11.2 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was MIAMI 98.4, OPPONENT 96.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 95.6, OPPONENT 93.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--HOUSTON is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
The average score was HOUSTON 98.9, OPPONENT 98.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 46-23 UNDER (+20.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 97.7, OPPONENT 91.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 54-27 against the 1rst half line (+24.3 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 51.3, OPPONENT 49.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--HOUSTON is 60-36 against the 1rst half line (+20.4 Units) in a home game where the first half total is 98 to 100.5 since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 51.7, OPPONENT 47.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--HOUSTON is 36-15 against the 1rst half line (+19.5 Units) versus excellent teams - shooting >=46% with a defense of <=43% since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 46.6, OPPONENT 45.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--HOUSTON is 60-37 against the 1rst half line (+19.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 50.5, OPPONENT 49.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 71-48 UNDER (+18.2 Units) the 1rst half total as a home underdog vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 46.4, OPPONENT 46.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 85-51 UNDER (+28.9 Units) the 1rst half total after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 47.3, OPPONENT 45.7 - (Rating = 5*)
--MIAMI is 97-62 UNDER (+28.8 Units) the 1rst half total as a road favorite of 3 points or less vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 47.3, OPPONENT 45.2 - (Rating = 5*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Home underdogs of 2 to 3.5 points vs. the first half line (HOUSTON) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games.
(27-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (84.4%, +21.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.7, Opponent 48.1 (Average first half point differential = +1.6)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-3).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (44-30).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in non-conference games.
(47-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.3%, +27.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (33-32 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 5.2
The average score in these games was: Team 97.3, Opponent 97.8 (Average point differential = -0.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 31 (47.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-12).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (82-51).
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*** PHILADELPHIA @ PHOENIX (-5, O/U 207.5) ***
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The Phoenix Suns hope to halt a three-game skid when they open a stretch of five of six games at the US Airways Center by welcoming the road-weary Philadelphia 76ers to the desert. Clippers rookie star Blake Griffin posted his 18th straight double-double with 28 points and 12 rebounds before fouling out on Sunday, as Los Angeles snapped a nine-game losing streak to the Suns with a 108-103 victory at Staples Center. Mickael Pietrus netted a team-high 25 points for Phoenix, which has lost seven of its last nine contests overall.
Steve Nash registered a double-double with 21 points and 15 assists, and Grant Hill poured in 19 points in defeat. "They did a good job defensively against us," Suns head coach Alvin Gentry said about the Clippers. "They're getting better. We're just not getting quality play." Phoenix, which is 7-6 at home on the year, hopes to get a boost tonight with the debut of Vince Carter. The former All-Star has missed all four games with a sore knee since being acquired by the Suns in a six-player trade with Orlando on Dec. 18
The Sixers, meanwhile, fell to 2-3 on their season-long eight-game trek Monday in Oakland when Dorell Wright led a balanced Golden State attack with 28 points, as the Warriors used precise long-distance shooting to beat Philadelphia, 110-95, at Oracle Arena. Wright went 5-of-7 from three-point range, part of a 15-of-23 effort for the Warriors. Jrue Holiday scored 23 to go with 11 assists for the Sixers, who were without swingman Andre Iguodala and sixth man Lou Williams.
Iguodala sat out due to tendinitis in his right Achilles, an injury that caused him to miss several games earlier in the season, while Williams was excused to witness the birth of his daughter. Jodie Meeks had 19 points and Elton Brand finished with 16 points and 16 rebounds in defeat. Spencer Hawes pulled down 12 rebounds. Iguodala and Williams both could be back for tonight's contest. The Suns swept the home-and-home series between the two clubs a year ago and have traditionally dominated the Sixers in Phoenix, winning 20 of the last 23 games in the series on their home floor.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Phoenix by 4; O/U 206
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Phoenix -2
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Phoenix -3.27
_____________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 41-20 ATS (+18.8 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 106.7, OPPONENT 103.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 43-22 ATS (+18.5 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 109.2, OPPONENT 104.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 73-95 ATS (-19.9 Units) vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 94.8, OPPONENT 99.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 85-57 OVER (+22.3 Units) in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 106.0, OPPONENT 100.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHOENIX is 110-81 OVER (+20.9 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 105.3, OPPONENT 98.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHOENIX is 53-32 OVER (+17.8 Units) in home games off a loss against a division rival since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 102.5, OPPONENT 96.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 83-58 against the 1rst half line (+19.7 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 47.2, OPPONENT 48.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 48-26 against the 1rst half line (+19.2 Units) in road games after allowing 110 points or more since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 49.3, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 27-8 UNDER (+17.9 Units) the 1rst half total when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 54.5, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 28-10 UNDER (+16.9 Units) the 1rst half total after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 55.4, OPPONENT 52.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Favorites (PHOENIX) - excellent shooting team (>=47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots.
(48-22 since 1996.) (68.6%, +23.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (59-12)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 7
The average score in these games was: Team 106.1, Opponent 95.6 (Average point differential = +10.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 31 (44.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-11).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (36-16).
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (PHILADELPHIA) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season.
(73-39 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.2%, +30.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.9, Opponent 51.5 (Average first half point differential = -2.6)
The situation's record this season is: (6-6).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (53-34).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (129-99).
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*** MEMPHIS (-4, O/U 195) @ SACRAMENTO ***
--------------------------------------------------------------
The Memphis Grizzlies will kick off a three-game road trip tonight in California's capital against a lowly Sacramento Kings team hoping to avoid a ninth consecutive loss. The Grizzlies won their second straight game on Monday in Memphis when Zach Randolph led a balanced attack with 21 points and the Grizz topped the Toronto Raptors, 96-85. Rudy Gay finished off his night with 18 points, six assists, five steals and five rebounds and both Mike Conley and O.J. Mayo contributed 12 points for Memphis, which has won two straight since a three-game skid. Tony Allen finished with 14 points and eight rebounds and Randolph added eight boards in the win.
"We have to keep focused after a high," Mayo said. "We get a little relaxed when we win a couple of games in a row." Memphis, which is 5-11 on the road this year, will also visit Utah and the LA Lakers on its trek. The Kings, meanwhile, lost their eighth straight game and fell to 0-4 on a five-game homestand, losing a heartbreaker to the LA Clippers. Eric Gordon scored 31 points and Blake Griffin added 24 points and 14 rebounds, as the Clippers escaped ARCO Arena with a 100-99 victory over the Kings despite a late lapse in judgment by Ryan Gomes.
The Clippers were holding a 100-97 lead following Griffin's fastbreak dunk with 5.1 seconds left in regulation. A timeout moved the ball past midcourt, and the Kings put it in the hands of Tyreke Evans. Gomes was closely guarding the reigning Rookie of the Year and was whistled for a foul outside the three-point line. The referees awarded Evans three free throws with 1.9 ticks remaining, and the first two went down. The third, however, rattled off the rim. DeMarcus Cousins nearly tipped in the miss, and Evans had a second try just before the buzzer, but his rushed attempt from just inside the foul line rimmed out to seal the crushing defeat.
"On the last play, shot the last free throw shot and it felt good, but it rolled in and out," Evans said. "DeMarcus had a chance to put it back in, but it looked like he got grabbed. I had a chance to put it back in, but it didn't fall. It's a tough one." Three of the Clippers' 10 wins this season have come against the Kings, who have dropped five straight at home overall and fell to an NBA-worst 5-23. Evans ended with a game-high 32 points, including five straight during a late 8-0 run that brought Sacramento within 96-95 with 1:23 to play.
Omri Casspi and Beno Udrih netted 16 and 14 points, respectively, for the Kings, who shot 13-of-26 from three-point range. Sacramento hasn't dropped nine straight games since March 31-April 13, 2009 and hasn't lost six in a row at home since an eight-game hiccup from Nov. 11- Dec. 6, 2008. The Memphis franchise lost 25 of its first 26 games in Sacramento but has rebounded to win three of its last four in the capital city, including a 100-91 triumph back on Nov. 6.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Memphis by 5; O/U 193
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Memphis -6
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Memphis -4.69
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 1-15 ATS (-15.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 94.1, OPPONENT 103.4 - (Rating = 5*)
--SACRAMENTO is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 91.4, OPPONENT 104.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--MEMPHIS is 82-56 ATS (+20.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 96.4, OPPONENT 95.5 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 57-36 UNDER (+17.4 Units) in home games off a loss against a division rival since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 100.9, OPPONENT 95.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--MEMPHIS is 55-26 UNDER (+26.4 Units) after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 92.0, OPPONENT 90.8 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 84-54 against the 1rst half line (+24.6 Units) in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 54.6, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--SACRAMENTO is 69-42 against the 1rst half line (+22.8 Units) in home games versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing >=16 turnovers/game since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 53.0, OPPONENT 47.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--SACRAMENTO is 43-22 against the 1rst half line (+18.8 Units) in home games versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 53.0, OPPONENT 47.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 10-1 against the 1rst half line (+8.9 Units) in a home game where the first half total is 95.5 to 98 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 50.8, OPPONENT 48.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 42-23 UNDER (+16.7 Units) the 1rst half total after 5 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 47.8, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--MEMPHIS is 73-41 UNDER (+27.9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 46.9, OPPONENT 49.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--MEMPHIS is 52-29 UNDER (+20.1 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 46.2, OPPONENT 45.9 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (MEMPHIS) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (98-102 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more.
(22-4 since 1996.) (84.6%, +17.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.5, Opponent 47.3 (Average first half point differential = +2.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-3).
--PLAY ON - Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season.
(24-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.8%, +18.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (24-5 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 4.8
The average score in these games was: Team 102.4, Opponent 93.2 (Average point differential = +9.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 12 (41.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-2).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (57-49).
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As always, the best way to take advantage of Stan 'The Man's Sharp Information found each and every day right here in his Stat/Systems Report is to join for a Week or Month, so that you get every single one of his plays, including all of his Late Information releases. “Do it now and Save Big, subscribe today! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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*** UTAH (-2.5, O/U 194) @ LA CLIPPERS ***
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The resurgent Los Angeles Clippers open up a five-game homestand tonight when they entertain the Utah Jazz at Staples Center. The Clippers won for the fifth time in six games Monday when Eric Gordon scored 31 points and Blake Griffin recorded his 19th straight double-double with 24 points and 14 rebounds, as Los Angeles escaped ARCO Arena with a 100-99 victory over the Kings despite a late lapse in judgment by Ryan Gomes.
The Clippers were holding a 100-97 lead following Griffin's fastbreak dunk with 5.1 seconds left in regulation. A timeout moved the ball past midcourt, and the Kings put it in the hands of Tyreke Evans. Gomes was closely guarding the reigning Rookie of the Year and was whistled for a foul outside the three-point line. The referees awarded Evans three free throws with 1.9 ticks remaining, and the first two went down.
The third, however, rattled off the rim. DeMarcus Cousins nearly tipped in the miss, and Evans had a second try just before the buzzer, but his rushed attempt from just inside the foul line rimmed out to seal the crushing defeat. "We would have lost this game earlier this year," Gordon said. Three of the Clippers' 10 wins this season have come against the Kings, who have dropped eight straight and fell to an NBA-worst 5-23.
LA, which is 7-11 at home, will also entertain Atlanta, Denver, Golden State and Miami on its residency. The Jazz, meanwhile, lost for the first time in four games Monday when LaMarcus Aldridge scored 18 of his 26 points in the second half, powering the Portland Trail Blazers to a 96-91 win over Utah in Salt Lake City. Deron Williams went 6-of-8 from beyond the arc in leading the way with 31 points for the Jazz. Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap both scored 11, while C.J. Miles added 10 in defeat.
"They came out and got after us and made it tough for us to get what we wanted on the offensive end of the floor most of the time," Jazz coach Jerry Sloan said. "They took the life out of us and busted us in the mouth and everything else. We fell out like flies. When you play games at home like this in your building, you've got to be a little bit tougher than what we were." Forward Andrei Kirilenko didn't play in the fourth quarter Monday after straining his lower back and is listed as doubtful for tonight as Utah aims to improve on its solid 10-4 road record. The Jazz have won nine of their last 10 against the Clippers, including a pair of games last month.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Utah by 4; O/U 200
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Utah -2.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Utah -3.77
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 66-86 ATS (-28.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 94.9, OPPONENT 103.6 - (Rating = 5*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 93.4, OPPONENT 100.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 43-20 ATS (+20.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 104.0, OPPONENT 98.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 33-14 ATS (+17.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 105.1, OPPONENT 95.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 51-26 UNDER (+22.4 Units) in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1996.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 96.2, OPPONENT 96.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 72-48 UNDER (+19.2 Units) off a loss against a division rival since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 95.8, OPPONENT 92.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 37-17 against the 1rst half line (+17.9 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 49.9, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 23-42 against the 1rst half line (-23.2 Units) in road games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 47.8, OPPONENT 51.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 18-34 against the 1rst half line (-19.4 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 47.2, OPPONENT 51.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 82-32 UNDER (+46.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 42.0, OPPONENT 45.4 - (Rating = 6*)
--UTAH is 43-20 UNDER (+20.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 52.1, OPPONENT 47.9 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Home underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season, after a close win by 3 points or less.
(47-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +26.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (51-16 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 4.4
The average score in these games was: Team 105.8, Opponent 98.3 (Average point differential = +7.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 26 (40.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-14).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (74-42).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (UTAH) - average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a loss by 6 points or less.
(68-31 since 1996.) (68.7%, +33.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.9, Opponent 47.7 (Average first half point differential = +2.2)
The situation's record this season is: (3-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-8).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (36-17).
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Stan the Man Szumera a Professional Handicapper since 1977 offers you 33 years of experience. Stan is known for his strong work ethic and his commitment to delivering you the best analysis available. With regards to style, The Man likes to use the perfect blend of three decades of experience as well as emotional, statistical, and technical support to back up his selections.
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STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 12/29
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••• PIT STOP! •••
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Times are tough in D.C., with the Washington Wizards struggling to pick up wins at home and on the road. However, there is one way to bet the Wiz that is having a ton of success. The Wizards are terrible on the road this season, making Wednesday’s home stand against the Pacers a much-needed pit stop. Washington dropped back-to-back road tilts in Texas, falling to San Antonio and Houston this past week.
The Wizards have only one win in their last 10 games, while scoring just under 93 points per game in that span, cracking the century mark only twice. That inability to find the basket has helped Washington post a 3-7 over/under record in those 10 outings, with the past seven games staying below the number. Washington has a 4-10 over/under count inside the Verizon Center this season and has played under the total in three of its last three games with Indiana.
Make Sure you have the Advantage you need to win this Season! Did you know that the Stat/Systems Report is the #1 rated sports betting publication in the country today. Offering complete analysis and predictions for every game on the board including game logs, betting trends, key injuries, vital statistics, lines and odds, and more the daily publication is everything that you need to win each and every day!
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***** WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 29TH NBA INFORMATION *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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• HOT TEAMS
-----------------
-- Hawks won three of their last four games. Golden State won last three games, covered four of last five.
-- Celtics won 15 of last 16 games; they're 6-4 as a road favorite. Pistons covered five of their last six games.
-- Thunder is 7-4 in last eleven games as a home favorite.
-- Hornets won their last four home games.
-- Minnesota won its last two games, covered six of last seven.
-- Miami is 15-1 in its last 16 games; they covered six of last seven as a road favorite. Rockets won last five games; they covered four of last six as an underdog.
-- 76ers are 7-3 vs spread in last ten games as road underdog.
-- Grizzlies won last two games, covered 11 of last 14.
-- Clippers won five of their last six games. Utah won three of four.
• COLD TEAMS
------------------
-- Pacers lost six of their last eight games (0-7-1 vs spread). Wizards lost three in row, 10 of last 11 games.
-- Cleveland lost its last four games, by 11-14-1-15 points. Bobcats lost four of their last five games.
-- Nets covered once in last eight games as road underdog.
-- Lakers lost last three games, scoring 79-80-82 points.
-- Nuggets lost three of their last four games.
-- Suns lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Sacramento lost its last eight games (1-7 vs spread).
• BACK-TO-BACK
---------------------
-- Pacers are 2-3 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Cavaliers are 1-3 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Celtics are 2-3 vs spread if they won the night before.
-- Lakers are 2-2 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Nuggets are 2-4 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Miami is 3-4 vs spread if it played night before.
• TOTALS
------------
-- Last eight Washington games stayed under the total.
-- Last six Atlanta games stayed under the total. Warriors' last four games all went over.
-- Five of last seven Charlotte games stayed under total.
-- Last four Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Last three New Jersey games went over the total. Under is 8-3 in last eleven Oklahoma City games.
-- Seven of last nine Laker games stayed under the total.
-- Armadillosports.com is America's favorite website.
-- Three of last four Denver games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Memphis games.
-- Under is 7-0-1 in Clippers' last eight home games.
• QUICK HITS
-----------------
--INDIANA @ WASHINGTON, 7:00 PM ET INDIANA: 21-7 Under playing on back-to-back days. WASHINGTON: 4-16 ATS as home favorite of 3pts or less.
--GOLDEN STATE @ ATLANTA, 7:00 PM ET GOLDEN STATE: 11-2 Over at Atlanta. ATLANTA: 2-7 ATS vs. Western Conference.
--CLEVELAND @ CHARLOTTE, 7:00 PM ET CLEVELAND: 1-8 ATS if home dog last game. CHARLOTTE: 14-3 ATS off ATS loss.
--BOSTON @ DETROIT, 7:30 PM ET BOSTON: 10-1 Under Away if won 20 of L25 games. DETROIT: 9-19 ATS revenging home loss.
--NEW JERSEY @ OKLAHOMA CITY, 8:00 PM ET NEW JERSEY: 11-25 ATS off BB double digit losses. OKLAHOMA CITY: 30-15 ATS off home loss.
--LA LAKERS @ NEW ORLEANS, 8:00 PM ET LA LAKERS: 11-2 Under after scoring 85 pts or less. NEW ORLEANS: 13-1 Under off ATS loss.
--DENVER @ MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET DENVER: 1-9 ATS off ATS win. MINNESOTA: 5-1 Under playing with same season revenge.
--MIAMI @ HOUSTON, 8:30 PM ET MIAMI: 30-14 Under off BB SU wins. HOUSTON: 10-1 Under at home vs. Southeast Division.
--PHILADELPHIA @ PHOENIX, 9:00 PM ET PHILADELPHIA: 7-0 Under after allowing 105+ pts. PHOENIX: 1-5 ATS off BB SU losses.
--MEMPHIS @ SACRAMENTO, 10:00 PM ET MEMPHIS: 12-3 ATS off an Under. SACRAMENTO: 0-7 ATS if home dog last game.
--UTAH @ LA CLIPPERS, 10:30 PM ET NBA UTAH: 29-14 ATS off BB SU losses. LA CLIPPERS: 2-7 ATS vs. Utah.
• NOTES & TIPS
--------------------
--Gerald Wallace (ankle), Charlotte Bobcats – Wallace has missed the last five games with a sprained ankle but coach Paul Silas expects him back for Wednesday’s game against Cleveland. Wallace wasn’t quite as eager, saying that he would see how it feels during shootaround, though he was able to practice Tuesday. The 6-foot-7 forward averages 16.7 points and 8.1 rebounds per game.
--The Washington Wizards are said to be shopping both Andray Blatche and JaVale McGee after the two got into a fight and were handed one-game suspensions. The Wizards look to be getting ready to clean house following this latest incident. The club hosts Indiana Wednesday and currently set as a 1-point favorite.
--The Utah Jazz have won four straight road games, but could be shorthanded Wednesday night when they visit the L.A. Clippers. Andrei Kirilenko isn’t expected to play after leaving Monday’s game with back spasms. If Kirilenko can’t go, C.J. Miles and Mehmet Okur will see increased minutes. Utah had won three straight before losing to Portland in their last contest.
--The Denver Nuggets announced Tuesday night that star forward Carmelo Anthony will return to the team Thursday after leaving to grieve the death of his sister. Anthony already has missed four games following the Dec. 21 death of sister, Michelle Anthony, due to a pre-existing medical condition. He won't be with the team Wednesday at Minnesota, meaning he will have missed five games. Anthony's first game back is expected to be Saturday at home against Sacramento. Michelle Anthony's funeral was Monday in Baltimore. In a statement released by the team, Anthony said he appreciates the outpouring of support since her death. The Nuggets lost their first three games without Anthony before beating Portland 95-77 Tuesday night.
--Losing an eighth straight game wasn't the focus immediately after they fell, 100-99, to the Clippers on Monday night, as the Kings' spirits were raised from the depths based solely on the outing of second-year guard Tyreke Evans. He scored a season-high 32 points in retro fashion, finally looking like the player who won the Rookie of the Year award last season just one game after a loss to Milwaukee marked a new low for the league's worst team. But Evans, who has dealt with a mild case of plantar fasciitis for much of the season in which his production has drastically declined, revealed afterward that he is considering having a procedure done on his left foot to alleviate the condition that would sideline him for "three to four months."
"Hopefully (the plantar fasciitis) will go away soon," said Evans, whose 30-point outing against Memphis on Nov. 6 was his only other 30-plus point scoring game of the season. "I talked to my agent (Bob Myers) today, and I was thinking about (the procedure)... He's going to let me know and we'll see what's up. I'll just keep that in mind, whether I want to just keep playing through it or get (the procedure) over with." A source close to Evans said he had already decided to do the procedure which involves laser treatment soon, but the sudden rediscovery of his game and swagger might mean he delays the procedure until after the All-Star break or perhaps the offseason. Evans said Kings coach Paul Westphal indicated that he would be supportive of his player no matter the final decision.
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• NOTE: NBA betting is becoming more popular each year. This is known as one of the sports where a smart bettor who practiced proper money management can make some really huge profits. Once a bettor begins to study and understand NBA Odds, he or she can gain a better understanding of how the bookies set their numbers. The bookies set a lot of these NBA Odds with the public in mind. They know the public is going to bet the Lakers and Bulls (and other public teams) every week so there are some great situations to get good numbers by going against teams like that.
It is always best to shop around when looking for the best NBA Odds. Many different books release different numbers and NBA Odds always tend to differ at each sportsbook. If you are truly interested in finding the best NBA Odds, it is always best to have funded accounts at - at least five sportsbooks.
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*** INDIANA @ WASHINGTON (-2.5, O/U 195) ***
---------------------------------------------------------------
A pair of struggling clubs clash tonight in the nation's capital, as the Washington Wizards play host to the Indiana Pacers from the Verizon Center. The Wizards have lost three in a row and 10 of 11 games, and are coming off Monday's 100-93 loss in Houston. Kirk Hinrich led the way with 19 points and Andray Blatche ended with 17 points and 14 rebounds for the Wizards, who remained winless on the road (0-15) this season.
"It's a tough loss. We felt like we gave it away. We had control until the last five minutes of the fourth quarter," said Wizards new forward Rashard Lewis, who had 12 points, nine boards and five assists. Nick Young scored 18 points and rookie John Wall chipped in 13 points and six assists off the bench in defeat. The Wizards are just 7-7 in DC this season and Young is averaging 20.6 ppg in his last six games. Hinrich is averaging 16.8 points, 7.8 assists and 4.8 rebounds in his last five games.
Meanwhile, the Pacers will try to put the brakes on a six-game road losing streak when they head to Washington tonight. The Pacers are 5-8 away from Conseco Fieldhouse, where they dropped a 95-83 decision to the Boston Celtics on Tuesday. Brandon Rush led the Pacers with 17 points and seven rebounds, while Danny Granger finished with 15 points for Indiana, which has lost two straight and six of eight games. Darren Collison chipped in 10 points and Mike Dunleavy scored nine off the bench in defeat.
"We just lost," said Pacers forward Josh McRoberts. "We played well with them for three quarters. They made a run. We didn't respond well, didn't make good plays and lost the ball game." Indiana made 37 percent of its shots and committed 15 turnovers. The Pacers and Wizards are meeting for the first time since Indiana took three of four meetings a season ago. Indiana has won six of the previous nine encounters with Washington, winners in six of the past nine matchups at home.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Indiana by 2; O/U 197
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Washington -1
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Indiana -3.18
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 64-91 ATS (-36.1 Units) in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was WASHINGTON 98.4, OPPONENT 98.1 - (Rating = 5*)
--WASHINGTON is 34-52 ATS (-23.2 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 95.8, OPPONENT 103.5 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) after having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games this season.
The average score was WASHINGTON 91.0, OPPONENT 94.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.
The average score was WASHINGTON 91.3, OPPONENT 92.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 21-7 UNDER (+13.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 96.9, OPPONENT 101.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 16-31 against the 1rst half line (-18.1 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 45.1, OPPONENT 51.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 55-30 against the 1rst half line (+22.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 54.8, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 53-32 UNDER (+17.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 47.6, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 66-44 UNDER (+17.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 47.7, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days.
(49-24 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.1%, +22.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (45-29 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.3
The average score in these games was: Team 100.9, Opponent 97.8 (Average point differential = +3.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 30 (41.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-15).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (102-64).
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Saturday, Stan 'The Man released (to all that called and signed-up for his 2010 College Bowl Bonanza) his Hugh *4-Star Selection with Arizona (+7.5). Stan said - "While Christmas Day finds a couple of interesting NBA scuffles, Christmas night finds a meaningless NFL contest. Thankfully, there’s a silver lining to every cloud as this stocking is stuffed with our 'INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK!"
"Though the ‘Boys are a solid 15-4 SU and ATS in this series off an ATS loss, we want no part of their ugly 1-16-1 ATS stat as non-division favorites from Game Thirteen out"... "We’re also not thrilled with their money-burning 1-6 ATS mark when they line up as favorites this season or their 1-4 ATS log on Saturdays during the regular season when they arrive off a SU win."
The Man went on to say - "We just asked you to go with the Panthers two days ago and now we’re suggesting a play on the Cardinals... "It may be a case of too much eggnog but it just may be that the Redbirds are a perfect 6-0 ATS at home on Saturdays during the regular season off a SU loss... “It also may be a case of ‘Zona owning a 4-2 SU and 6-0 ATS mark in Last Home Games off a loss since 2000... “Whatever the case, we’ll have another as Cardinals’ HC Ken Whisenhunt improves to 10-3 SU and ATS at home as pick or a dog!"
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*** GOLDEN STATE @ ATLANTA (-7, O/U 203) ***
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The Golden State Warriors will hit the road for five games, starting with tonight's showdown against the Atlanta Hawks at Philips Arena. The Warriors will also visit the Bobcats, Heat, Magic and Hornets on the road swing and are just 4-12 outside of Oakland this season. Golden State is coming off its third straight win, a 110-95 decision over the visiting Philadelphia 76ers at Oracle Arena.
Dorell Wright had a game-high 28 points, Monta Ellis collected 22 points and 12 assists and David Lee tallied 21 points and 16 rebounds in a winning cause. "I have to be a little more aggressive," Wright said. "When I start making a few shots guys start going for my head fakes so I just got to start utilizing that. It's an ability I have to get to the basket and have to start doing it more." Stephen Curry got into the scoring act with 17 points. The Warriors have not won four in a row since February 26 - March 4, 2008.
Atlanta is aiming to extend its eight-game home winning streak Wednesday and is 11-5 as the host this season. The Hawks won for the fourth time in six tries overall with Monday's 95-80 road decision over the Milwaukee Bucks, as Al Horford pumped in 18 points and 12 rebounds to lead the charge. Joe Johnson scored 15 points and both Jamal Crawford and Marvin Williams ended the night with 14 off the bench.
"We play our best when we're sharing the ball. We're just consistent and solid throughout, and that's what we did tonight," Horford said after the Hawks snapped a five-game road skid. Golden State and Atlanta have split the previous 20 meetings in this series, while the Hawks have won six of the past 10 games as the host.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Atlanta by 7.5; O/U 202
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Atlanta -9
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Atlanta -7.6
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 104.7, OPPONENT 90.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 55-81 ATS (-34.1 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 94.6, OPPONENT 104.0 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 38-19 UNDER (+17.1 Units) in road games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 96.7, OPPONENT 102.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 53-34 UNDER (+15.6 Units) as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 103.7, OPPONENT 111.9 - (Rating = 3*)
-GOLDEN STATE is 21-5 UNDER (+15.5 Units) in road games after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 99.6, OPPONENT 111.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 68-101 against the 1rst half line (-43.1 Units) vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 46.8, OPPONENT 48.0 - (Rating = 6*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 28-10 against the 1rst half line (+16.8 Units) after 3 straight games where opponent grabbed 55 or more rebounds over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 55.4, OPPONENT 55.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 13-3 UNDER (+9.7 Units) the 1rst half total vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 48.3, OPPONENT 53.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 46.3, OPPONENT 54.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 45.5, OPPONENT 54.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) the 1rst half total versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 45.1, OPPONENT 52.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (GOLDEN STATE) - in non-conference games, after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite.
(34-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.1%, +24.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.8, Opponent 50 (Average first half point differential = +0.9)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (61-45).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season.
(48-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.6%, +26 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 209.5
The average score in these games was: Team 97.6, Opponent 103.4 (Total points scored = 201)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 42 (60.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-14).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (80-44).
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Stan 'The Man Continued to Sizzle with his 'RED~HOT' Roll in NBA Action on Sunday! Fresh off cashing his Top *4-Star winner on Saturday with the Knicks/Bulls Under (205.5), Stan dished out his *5-Star 'Totally Amazing Super Situational System' with Washington/San Antonio (Under 101.5, 1rst Half) - PLAY UNDER: All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 101.5 points - after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games. W-L Record, 30-6 (83.3%, +23.4 units) since 1996. With the win, it extended 'The Man's season record on the NBA hardwood to 22-5, (81.5%) with his last twenty-seven top rated selections.
--Result: Tony Parker had a stellar all-around game, finishing with 20 points, 14 assists and six rebounds, as San Antonio dropped the road-weary Wizards, 94-80, at AT&T Center. The Wizards, the only team in the NBA without a road victory (0-14), played without forwards Andray Blatche and JaVale McGee, who were both suspended for actions detrimental to the team. Rashard Lewis stepped up with 21 points and 12 rebounds in defeat. Washington was within striking distance in the first half, staying within 27-23 at the end of one quarter while trailing, 48-42, at the break.
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*** CLEVELAND @ CHARLOTTE (-8, O/U 201) ***
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The Cleveland Cavaliers hope to solve their road woes when they try to stop a 12-game losing streak as the guest tonight against the Charlotte Bobcats at Time Warner Cable Arena. The Cavs are 3-13 as the visitor this season and lost their fourth straight overall with Tuesday's 110-95 setback versus the Orlando Magic at Quicken Loans Arena. Antawn Jamison finished with 21 points and Daniel Gibson had 15 points and six boards for Cleveland, which has just one win in its last 15 contests overall and was outscored, 35-21, in the fourth quarter.
"Thirty-six good minutes of basketball. That's basically what we played. We didn't play very well in the fourth quarter," Cavs head coach Byron Scott said. Mo Williams and Anderson Varejao both had 14 points in defeat. Cleveland will also make a stop in Chicago on the quick trek. Charlotte, meanwhile, began the Paul Silas era on a positive note with Monday's 105-100 triumph over the Detroit Pistons at home.
D.J. Augustin scored 27 points and Stephen Jackson added 23 for the Bobcats, who snapped a four-game slide and won for only the second time in its last eight overall. The 67-year-old Silas took over for Larry Brown, who resigned from his post on Wednesday after the Bobcats got off to a 9-19 start this season. Silas returned to the NBA coaching ranks for the first time since he was fired by the Cleveland Cavaliers near the end of the 2004-05 season.
"It was great," Silas said about returning to coaching. "It brought back old memories; it just comes back to you. You just want to win. You tell the players what they're doing, and I've got great assistant coaches that are helping me. It's going to take some time but I liked the effort tonight. If we continue to play with this kind of effort then it's unbelievable what we can do."
In injury news for the Bobcats, Tyrus Thomas, who had 14 points off the bench in the win, is probable for tonight with a sore right wrist. Forward Gerald Wallace (ankle) is listed as questionable and has missed five straight games. The Bobcats will also host Golden State and Miami on their current five-game residency is 7-7 at home this season. They won three of four matchups with Cleveland last year, but the Cavs are 16-6 in the previous 22 contests in this series.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Charlotte by 6; O/U 187
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Charlotte -6
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Charlotte -5.81
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 36-18 ATS (+15.9 Units) versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 97.9, OPPONENT 93.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) in road games versus slow-down teams averaging 76 or less shots/game since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 83.8, OPPONENT 92.4 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 31-12 OVER (+17.6 Units) versus poor shooting teams - making <=43% of their shots since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 94.2, OPPONENT 98.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 7 days since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 101.6, OPPONENT 101.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 21-4 OVER (+16.5 Units) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 103.3, OPPONENT 98.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 72-48 against the 1rst half line (+19.1 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 47.6, OPPONENT 47.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 58-36 against the 1rst half line (+18.3 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 48.2, OPPONENT 47.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 39-21 UNDER (+15.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 46.7, OPPONENT 46.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 56-33 UNDER (+19.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus slow-down teams averaging 76 or less shots/game since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 43.1, OPPONENT 44.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHARLOTTE) - after a game where they failed to cover the spread, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days.
(25-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.6%, +18.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 204.6
The average score in these games was: Team 109.8, Opponent 103.4 (Total points scored = 213.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 16 (51.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (46-28).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (CHARLOTTE) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games against opponent after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.
(59-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.8%, +34.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 105.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.7, Opponent 50.1 (Total first half points scored = 101.8)
The situation's record this season is: (6-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (37-17).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (83-48).
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Most sports bettors are not aware that the College Basketball and NBA season is a very profitable time of the year. Stan 'The Man' has made more money for his clients during the basketball season than most Sports Services do, during the entire football, and baseball seasons combined!
If you are serious about making money all season long, I strongly suggest you purchase one of my Basketball Packages! Last season, a $100/game bettor made $6,790. A $500/game bettor made $33,950! "Don't try to do it on your own again this season. We both know how that turns out, so let our NBA and CBB Expert, Stan Szumera handle all of your basketball betting needs this season, and let him make you money week after week!"
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*** BOSTON (-6.5, O/U 188.5) @ DETROIT ***
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The Boston Celtics look to put together another lengthy winning streak when they close out a three-game road trip tonight against the Detroit Pistons at The Palace of Auburn Hills. Boston had a 14-game winning streak stopped on Christmas Day in Orlando, but was able to bounce back with last night's 95-83 victory at Indiana behind a game-best 21 points and seven assists from Paul Pierce. Ray Allen scored 17 points and Kevin Garnett recorded 11 points and 13 rebounds for the Celtics, who are 11-4 away from Beantown this season.
Glen Davis netted 14 points and Shaquille O'Neal added nine before fouling out for the second game in a row. "This was a tough game. This is just a tough place to play," said Boston coach Doc Rivers, who is four wins shy of tying K.C. Jones for third on the franchise's all-time wins list. "You knew this would be a tough game. For us to grind it out was huge." The Celtics held Indiana to just 36 points and 31.6% shooting in the second half and got 12 points, five boards, four assists, a steal and two blocks from Marquis Daniels.
Detroit has dropped two straight and seven of its last 10 games, including Monday's 105-100 setback to the Charlotte Bobcats. D.J. Augustin scored 27 points and Stephen Jackson added 23, as the Bobcats opened the Paul Silas era on a winning note. Charlie Villanueva finished with a team-high 25 points, while Tayshaun Prince and Ben Gordon each netted 17 points for the Pistons, who outscored Charlotte by a 31-20 margin in the fourth quarter and will try to even their 7-8 home record Wednesday night.
"I thought the energy of the second group that we put in for the second half was great," Pistons head coach John Kuester said. "They did a good job of getting us back into the game." Boston handed Detroit a 109-86 loss back on Nov. 2 this season at The Palace and has won eight of the past 10 games in this series. The Celtics, however, have lost 11 of their previous 17 contests at the Pistons.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Boston 8; O/U 191
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Boston -7
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Boston -10.46
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--DETROIT is 86-110 ATS (-35.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 94.1, OPPONENT 97.4 - (Rating = 6*)
--DETROIT is 46-73 ATS (-34.3 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 93.0, OPPONENT 98.2 - (Rating = 6*)
--DETROIT is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 94.7, OPPONENT 96.5 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--DETROIT is 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) in home games after playing a game as an underdog this season.
The average score was DETROIT 100.0, OPPONENT 104.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 61-38 OVER (+19.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 105.1, OPPONENT 97.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--DETROIT is 10-1 against the 1rst half line (+8.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
The average score was DETROIT 52.7, OPPONENT 44.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 31-47 against the 1rst half line (-20.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 48.8, OPPONENT 46.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--BOSTON is 25-9 OVER (+15.1 Units) the 1rst half total as a road favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 53.3, OPPONENT 47.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 16-2 OVER (+13.8 Units) the 1rst half total as a road favorite of 2 to 3 points vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 54.2, OPPONENT 49.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a top-level team (>= 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%).
(26-5 since 1996.) (83.9%, +20.5 units. Rating = 5*)
The average total posted in these games was: 184.9
The average score in these games was: Team 104.1, Opponent 91.4 (Total points scored = 195.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 17 (56.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (9-1).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (BOSTON) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team.
(47-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +26.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.4, Opponent 48.7 (Average first half point differential = +1.7)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-11).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (85-60).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DETROIT) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, with a losing record.
(52-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.3%, +27.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (65-10 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.3
The average score in these games was: Team 102.4, Opponent 92.3 (Average point differential = +10.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 29 (39.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (35-17).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (108-73).
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WHAT PEOPLE ARE SAYING ABOUT STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS! •We've been subscription holders to both Don Best and CSW Stats at the premium levels for the past 5 years. Their stats are good, but nowhere near the level you offer. ~ Fabian - Charlotte, NC
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*** NEW JERSEY @ OKLAHOMA CITY (-10, O/U 197) ***
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The New Jersey Nets kick off a three-game road trip in Oklahoma City tonight against Kevin Durant and the Thunder. The Nets, who will also visit Chicago and Minnesota on this trip, lost their second straight game on Monday in snowy Newark. A severe winter storm left as much as two feet of snow in the area Sunday, enough to delay the Orlando team bus as it became stuck in a snowbank on the way to the arena but that didn't stop the Magic from topping New Jersey, 104-88.
Devin Harris led the Nets with 24 points and Brook Lopez finished with 20 points and seven rebounds for New Jersey, which hasn't beaten the Magic since April 2009. Travis Outlaw and Jordan Farmar both accounted for 10 points in the loss. "On a night like tonight when our defense is not as good as it's been recently we've got to score the ball," Nets coach Avery Johnson said. "This is another night when we didn't score and that's a problem."
The Nets are just 3-13 on the road this season and will be hoping to snap a four-game skid against Oklahoma City, a stretch that included a 123-120 triple overtime win by the Thunder in north Jersey back on Dec. 1. Oklahoma City was able to outlast the Nets in that one despite playing without Durant, who sat out that contest with a sprained left knee. Russell Westbrook was the star in his absence, just missing a triple-double with 38 points, a career-best 15 rebounds and nine assists.
Most recently the Thunder fell to 1-1 on a four-game homestand Monday when Jason Terry scored 11 of his 13 points in the fourth quarter and the Mavericks, despite playing most of the game without Dirk Nowitzki, shut down Oklahoma City in the final period and posted a 103-93 victory. Nowitzki departed the game just 2:50 into the second quarter with a sore right knee. He came down awkwardly on his ankle after hitting a jumper, and he left the game after completing the three-point play. He finished with 13 points.
Durant scored 28 points, while James Harden ended with 18 for the Thunder, who were coming off an eight-point home win over the Nuggets on Christmas Day and are 11-6 in Okie City. Westbrook scored 15 points and Jeff Green 12 for Oklahoma City, which was held to 4-of-18 shooting from the field in the last quarter. "We just picked a bad time to miss shots," Thunder coach Scott Brooks said. "I thought the fourth quarter, when they went to the zone, we just couldn't buy any baskets." Oklahoma City will finish its residency against Atlanta on New Year's Eve.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Oklahoma City by 9.5; O/U 198
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Oklahoma City -9
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Oklahoma City -9.63
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-12 ATS (+19.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 102.8, OPPONENT 97.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 48-64 ATS (-22.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 92.5, OPPONENT 100.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW JERSEY is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 93.7, OPPONENT 102.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-13 OVER (+17.7 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 104.0, OPPONENT 102.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 110.4, OPPONENT 104.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 33-12 OVER (+19.6 Units) after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 97.0, OPPONENT 103.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 51-29 against the 1rst half line (+19.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 53.1, OPPONENT 50.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 64-41 against the 1rst half line (+18.7 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 51.2, OPPONENT 50.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--NEW JERSEY is 56-33 UNDER (+19.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 48.1, OPPONENT 51.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 41-20 UNDER (+18.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus excellent foul drawing teams - attempting >=30 free throws/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 47.6, OPPONENT 48.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more.
(74-42 since 1996.) (63.8%, +27.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.1, Opponent 47.8 (Total first half points scored = 95.9)
The situation's record this season is: (0-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-16).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (34-20).
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*** LA LAKERS (-3, O/U 190) @ NEW ORLEANS ***
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The two-time defending NBA champion Los Angeles Lakers hope to put an end to some uncharacteristic struggles when they finish up a tough two-day road trip in the Big Easy tonight by taking on Chris Paul and the New Orleans Hornets. The Lakers lost their third straight game, all by over 15 points, in San Antonio last night when Tony Parker scored 23 points, DeJuan Blair added 17 points and 15 rebounds and the Spurs turned up the defensive pressure in the second half to overpower LA, 97-82.
Kobe Bryant was harassed into an 8-for-27 shooting night, as the Lakers made just 35.4 percent of their shots and 8-of-23 three-pointers. Bryant scored 21 points, while Ron Artest and Andrew Bynum added 10 points apiece as Los Angeles fell to 11-6 on the road this season. The champs have been flat out uncompetitive in matching their season-high skid, losing by an average of 16.7 points. "I've been playing mad as long as you've been writing mad," Bryant said to the media after last night's game. "I got good looks, I just didn't make them."
The Hornets, meanwhile, are coming off their seventh straight road loss on Monday in Minneapolis when Michael Beasley scored 30 points and rookie Wesley Johnson added 24 as the Minnesota Timberwolves topped New Orleans, 113-98. David West scored 23 points and Paul had 22 with 13 assists for the Hornets, who had won two in a row coming in. "They just beat us. The second half was embarrassing the way they scored," said Paul. "Every time down if it wasn't a three (pointer) it was a drive or an offensive rebound. I don't remember a game like that in a long time."
New Orleans, however, has been very impressive in the Big Easy, winning four straight to move to 13-3 on its home floor in the 2010-11 campaign. The Lakers took two of three meetings with the Hornets last season but New Orleans won the lone contest in the Big Easy, snapping a three-game skid in the series.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - New Orleans by 1; O/U 198
*STAN'S POWER LINE - New Orleans -2
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - New Orleans -0.47
________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 40-65 ATS (-31.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.5, OPPONENT 101.5 - (Rating = 6*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 44-62 ATS (-24.2 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.7, OPPONENT 99.5 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 47-24 UNDER (+20.4 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 89.4, OPPONENT 97.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 52-29 UNDER (+19.9 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 94.6, OPPONENT 99.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 40-64 against the 1rst half line (-30.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.6, OPPONENT 51.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 39-63 against the 1rst half line (-30.3 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.6, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--LA LAKERS are 8-0 against the 1rst half line (+8.0 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was LA LAKERS 53.6, OPPONENT 46.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 52-29 UNDER (+20.1 Units) the 1rst half total versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 47.1, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 64-42 UNDER (+17.8 Units) the 1rst half total in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 45.9, OPPONENT 47.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA LAKERS are 47-27 UNDER (+17.3 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 50.9, OPPONENT 47.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more.
(27-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.1%, +18.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.4, Opponent 44.1 (Total first half points scored = 93.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (57-30).
--PLAY ON - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (LA LAKERS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more.
(31-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.6%, +20 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 55.8, Opponent 50.9 (Average first half point differential = +4.9)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (38-20).
--PLAY ON - Road favorites (LA LAKERS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more.
(48-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.8%, +29.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (54-12 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5
The average score in these games was: Team 102.3, Opponent 93.5 (Average point differential = +8.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 24 (38.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (36-12).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (81-57).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (LA LAKERS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%).
(48-19 since 1996.) (71.6%, +27.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 194
The average score in these games was: Team 94.5, Opponent 93.9 (Total points scored = 188.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 32 (49.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-7).
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*** DENVER @ MINNESOTA (-1.5, O/U 221.5) ***
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The Denver Nuggets must enjoy seeing the Minnesota Timberwolves on the schedule as evidenced by their lopsided advantage over the past few years in this series. The two Northwest Division inhabitants will renew the rivalry tonight from the Target Center in the Twin Cities. Denver defeated the Timberwolves, 115-113, on Dec. 18 this season and has won 20 of the past 26 matchups. It's also unbeaten in the past six contests in Minneapolis.
The Nuggets were able to end a three-game slide with Tuesday's 95-77 victory over the Portland Trail Blazers, as Chauncey Billups finished with 18 points and nine assists in the finale of a brief two-game homestand at the Pepsi Center. Nene and J.R. Smith both finished with 17 points for Denver, which played without superstar Carmelo Anthony for a fourth straight game. Anthony is dealing with the recent death of his sister. The team expect to have Anthony back on Thursday following their game in Minnesota.
Arron Afflalo had 15 points in last night's win. "We played really good defense and then we executed in the third quarter," Afflalo said postgame. "That was really it, playing good defense and executing on offense." Denver will try to stop a three-game road losing streak Wednesday and is only 4-10 away from the Rockies this season. It is 13-3 at home and could also be without forward Al Harrington tonight because of a thumb injury.
Minnesota hopes to extend its winning streak to a season-high three straight games this evening and opened a three-game homestand with Monday's 113-98 triumph over the New Orleans Hornets. Michael Beasley compiled 30 points, nine rebounds and seven assists, while rookie Wesley Johnson scored a season-best 24 points thanks to six threes for the Timberwolves, who have won two straight following a seven-game slide and opened the third quarter with a 24-10 surge.
Kevin Love had 16 points and 11 rebounds in a winning cause. "It feels good to win two in a row," Love said. "The biggest thing was everyone contributed. All the way down the line -- it was pretty good." The Wolves will also host New Jersey and are 6-7 at home in 2010-11.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Denver by 4.5; O/U 220
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Denver -1
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Denver -5.62
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 14-34 ATS (-23.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 95.9, OPPONENT 105.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 99.3, OPPONENT 106.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--DENVER is 40-21 UNDER (+16.9 Units) as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 99.8, OPPONENT 102.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 35-17 UNDER (+16.3 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 102.7, OPPONENT 104.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) in road games off a home win this season.
The average score was DENVER 97.4, OPPONENT 96.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 66-40 against the 1rst half line (+21.8 Units) in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1996.
The average score was MINNESOTA 49.5, OPPONENT 46.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--DENVER is 19-36 against the 1rst half line (-20.4 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 52.1, OPPONENT 52.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 24-6 OVER (+16.9 Units) the 1rst half total after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 50.2, OPPONENT 57.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 147-101 OVER (+35.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 52.3, OPPONENT 52.9 - (Rating = 6*)
--DENVER is 129-93 OVER (+26.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 48.9, OPPONENT 51.5 - (Rating = 5*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (DENVER) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, vs. division opponents.
(25-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.3%, +19.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 108.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 58.9, Opponent 56.2 (Total first half points scored = 115.1)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (35-18).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (DENVER) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (25 to 40%).
(38-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (76%, +24.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.7, Opponent 48.3 (Average first half point differential = +2.4)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-10).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (67-41).
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*** MIAMI (-5, O/U 198) @ HOUSTON ***
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It's strength versus strength tonight in south Texas as a pair of streaking teams meet when Kevin Martin and the Houston Rockets entertain LeBron James' Miami Heat. The Rockets won their fifth straight game on Monday when Martin finished with 20 points and Aaron Brooks scored 13 of his 15 in the fourth quarter as Houston downed the hapless Washington Wizards, 100-93, in the opener of a three-game homestand.
Shane Battier also scored 15 points and Luis Scola contributed 14 for the Rockets, who reached .500 for the season (15-15) with their eighth straight win at home. "As a team we played well in the fourth quarter. It started at the defensive end and then we all hit big shots," Brooks said. Actually it all starts with the high-scoring Martin in Houston. The Rockets are a solid 14-8 when the shooting guard scores 20 points or more and just 1-7 when he doesn't
The Heat, meanwhile, improved to a gaudy 14-1 in December on Tuesday in South Beach when Dwyane Wade poured in a season-high 40 points and pulled down nine rebounds, as Miami held off the New York Knicks, 106-98. James and Chris Bosh each tallied 18 points and 10 rebounds for the Heat, who have won three in a row and 15 of 16 overall. Zydrunas Ilgauskas donated 14 points and 10 boards. "I was just mixing it up," Wade said. "I was being aggressive and going to the basket but also looking for my outside shot."
"I think my teammates did a good job especially in the fourth of looking for me." With a win tonight, Miami will set a franchise record for victories in any month and give the team its first 10-game run away from home since an 11-game winning streak from Feb. 4-March 7, 1998. The sizzling Heat have won their last nine on the road by an average of 16.1 points. Miami swept the home-and-home series a year ago after Houston did the same thing in 2008-09.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Miami by 4; O/U 202
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Miami -3
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Miami -5.33
___________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 63-40 ATS (+16.8 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 101.1, OPPONENT 97.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 41-63 ATS (-17.9 Units) in road games after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 90.1, OPPONENT 94.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 3-13 ATS (-11.2 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was MIAMI 98.4, OPPONENT 96.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 95.6, OPPONENT 93.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--HOUSTON is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
The average score was HOUSTON 98.9, OPPONENT 98.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 46-23 UNDER (+20.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 97.7, OPPONENT 91.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 54-27 against the 1rst half line (+24.3 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 51.3, OPPONENT 49.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--HOUSTON is 60-36 against the 1rst half line (+20.4 Units) in a home game where the first half total is 98 to 100.5 since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 51.7, OPPONENT 47.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--HOUSTON is 36-15 against the 1rst half line (+19.5 Units) versus excellent teams - shooting >=46% with a defense of <=43% since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 46.6, OPPONENT 45.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--HOUSTON is 60-37 against the 1rst half line (+19.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 50.5, OPPONENT 49.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 71-48 UNDER (+18.2 Units) the 1rst half total as a home underdog vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 46.4, OPPONENT 46.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 85-51 UNDER (+28.9 Units) the 1rst half total after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 47.3, OPPONENT 45.7 - (Rating = 5*)
--MIAMI is 97-62 UNDER (+28.8 Units) the 1rst half total as a road favorite of 3 points or less vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 47.3, OPPONENT 45.2 - (Rating = 5*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Home underdogs of 2 to 3.5 points vs. the first half line (HOUSTON) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games.
(27-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (84.4%, +21.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.7, Opponent 48.1 (Average first half point differential = +1.6)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-3).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (44-30).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in non-conference games.
(47-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.3%, +27.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (33-32 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 5.2
The average score in these games was: Team 97.3, Opponent 97.8 (Average point differential = -0.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 31 (47.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-12).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (82-51).
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*** PHILADELPHIA @ PHOENIX (-5, O/U 207.5) ***
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The Phoenix Suns hope to halt a three-game skid when they open a stretch of five of six games at the US Airways Center by welcoming the road-weary Philadelphia 76ers to the desert. Clippers rookie star Blake Griffin posted his 18th straight double-double with 28 points and 12 rebounds before fouling out on Sunday, as Los Angeles snapped a nine-game losing streak to the Suns with a 108-103 victory at Staples Center. Mickael Pietrus netted a team-high 25 points for Phoenix, which has lost seven of its last nine contests overall.
Steve Nash registered a double-double with 21 points and 15 assists, and Grant Hill poured in 19 points in defeat. "They did a good job defensively against us," Suns head coach Alvin Gentry said about the Clippers. "They're getting better. We're just not getting quality play." Phoenix, which is 7-6 at home on the year, hopes to get a boost tonight with the debut of Vince Carter. The former All-Star has missed all four games with a sore knee since being acquired by the Suns in a six-player trade with Orlando on Dec. 18
The Sixers, meanwhile, fell to 2-3 on their season-long eight-game trek Monday in Oakland when Dorell Wright led a balanced Golden State attack with 28 points, as the Warriors used precise long-distance shooting to beat Philadelphia, 110-95, at Oracle Arena. Wright went 5-of-7 from three-point range, part of a 15-of-23 effort for the Warriors. Jrue Holiday scored 23 to go with 11 assists for the Sixers, who were without swingman Andre Iguodala and sixth man Lou Williams.
Iguodala sat out due to tendinitis in his right Achilles, an injury that caused him to miss several games earlier in the season, while Williams was excused to witness the birth of his daughter. Jodie Meeks had 19 points and Elton Brand finished with 16 points and 16 rebounds in defeat. Spencer Hawes pulled down 12 rebounds. Iguodala and Williams both could be back for tonight's contest. The Suns swept the home-and-home series between the two clubs a year ago and have traditionally dominated the Sixers in Phoenix, winning 20 of the last 23 games in the series on their home floor.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Phoenix by 4; O/U 206
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Phoenix -2
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Phoenix -3.27
_____________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 41-20 ATS (+18.8 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 106.7, OPPONENT 103.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 43-22 ATS (+18.5 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 109.2, OPPONENT 104.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 73-95 ATS (-19.9 Units) vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 94.8, OPPONENT 99.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 85-57 OVER (+22.3 Units) in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 106.0, OPPONENT 100.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHOENIX is 110-81 OVER (+20.9 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 105.3, OPPONENT 98.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHOENIX is 53-32 OVER (+17.8 Units) in home games off a loss against a division rival since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 102.5, OPPONENT 96.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 83-58 against the 1rst half line (+19.7 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 47.2, OPPONENT 48.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 48-26 against the 1rst half line (+19.2 Units) in road games after allowing 110 points or more since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 49.3, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--PHOENIX is 27-8 UNDER (+17.9 Units) the 1rst half total when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 54.5, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 28-10 UNDER (+16.9 Units) the 1rst half total after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 55.4, OPPONENT 52.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Favorites (PHOENIX) - excellent shooting team (>=47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots.
(48-22 since 1996.) (68.6%, +23.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (59-12)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 7
The average score in these games was: Team 106.1, Opponent 95.6 (Average point differential = +10.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 31 (44.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-11).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (36-16).
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (PHILADELPHIA) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season.
(73-39 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.2%, +30.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.9, Opponent 51.5 (Average first half point differential = -2.6)
The situation's record this season is: (6-6).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (53-34).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (129-99).
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*** MEMPHIS (-4, O/U 195) @ SACRAMENTO ***
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The Memphis Grizzlies will kick off a three-game road trip tonight in California's capital against a lowly Sacramento Kings team hoping to avoid a ninth consecutive loss. The Grizzlies won their second straight game on Monday in Memphis when Zach Randolph led a balanced attack with 21 points and the Grizz topped the Toronto Raptors, 96-85. Rudy Gay finished off his night with 18 points, six assists, five steals and five rebounds and both Mike Conley and O.J. Mayo contributed 12 points for Memphis, which has won two straight since a three-game skid. Tony Allen finished with 14 points and eight rebounds and Randolph added eight boards in the win.
"We have to keep focused after a high," Mayo said. "We get a little relaxed when we win a couple of games in a row." Memphis, which is 5-11 on the road this year, will also visit Utah and the LA Lakers on its trek. The Kings, meanwhile, lost their eighth straight game and fell to 0-4 on a five-game homestand, losing a heartbreaker to the LA Clippers. Eric Gordon scored 31 points and Blake Griffin added 24 points and 14 rebounds, as the Clippers escaped ARCO Arena with a 100-99 victory over the Kings despite a late lapse in judgment by Ryan Gomes.
The Clippers were holding a 100-97 lead following Griffin's fastbreak dunk with 5.1 seconds left in regulation. A timeout moved the ball past midcourt, and the Kings put it in the hands of Tyreke Evans. Gomes was closely guarding the reigning Rookie of the Year and was whistled for a foul outside the three-point line. The referees awarded Evans three free throws with 1.9 ticks remaining, and the first two went down. The third, however, rattled off the rim. DeMarcus Cousins nearly tipped in the miss, and Evans had a second try just before the buzzer, but his rushed attempt from just inside the foul line rimmed out to seal the crushing defeat.
"On the last play, shot the last free throw shot and it felt good, but it rolled in and out," Evans said. "DeMarcus had a chance to put it back in, but it looked like he got grabbed. I had a chance to put it back in, but it didn't fall. It's a tough one." Three of the Clippers' 10 wins this season have come against the Kings, who have dropped five straight at home overall and fell to an NBA-worst 5-23. Evans ended with a game-high 32 points, including five straight during a late 8-0 run that brought Sacramento within 96-95 with 1:23 to play.
Omri Casspi and Beno Udrih netted 16 and 14 points, respectively, for the Kings, who shot 13-of-26 from three-point range. Sacramento hasn't dropped nine straight games since March 31-April 13, 2009 and hasn't lost six in a row at home since an eight-game hiccup from Nov. 11- Dec. 6, 2008. The Memphis franchise lost 25 of its first 26 games in Sacramento but has rebounded to win three of its last four in the capital city, including a 100-91 triumph back on Nov. 6.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Memphis by 5; O/U 193
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Memphis -6
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Memphis -4.69
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--SACRAMENTO is 1-15 ATS (-15.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 94.1, OPPONENT 103.4 - (Rating = 5*)
--SACRAMENTO is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 91.4, OPPONENT 104.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--MEMPHIS is 82-56 ATS (+20.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 96.4, OPPONENT 95.5 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 57-36 UNDER (+17.4 Units) in home games off a loss against a division rival since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 100.9, OPPONENT 95.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--MEMPHIS is 55-26 UNDER (+26.4 Units) after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 92.0, OPPONENT 90.8 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--SACRAMENTO is 84-54 against the 1rst half line (+24.6 Units) in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 54.6, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--SACRAMENTO is 69-42 against the 1rst half line (+22.8 Units) in home games versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing >=16 turnovers/game since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 53.0, OPPONENT 47.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--SACRAMENTO is 43-22 against the 1rst half line (+18.8 Units) in home games versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 53.0, OPPONENT 47.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 10-1 against the 1rst half line (+8.9 Units) in a home game where the first half total is 95.5 to 98 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 50.8, OPPONENT 48.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--SACRAMENTO is 42-23 UNDER (+16.7 Units) the 1rst half total after 5 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 47.8, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--MEMPHIS is 73-41 UNDER (+27.9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 46.9, OPPONENT 49.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--MEMPHIS is 52-29 UNDER (+20.1 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 46.2, OPPONENT 45.9 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (MEMPHIS) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (98-102 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more.
(22-4 since 1996.) (84.6%, +17.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.5, Opponent 47.3 (Average first half point differential = +2.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-3).
--PLAY ON - Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season.
(24-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.8%, +18.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (24-5 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 4.8
The average score in these games was: Team 102.4, Opponent 93.2 (Average point differential = +9.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 12 (41.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-2).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (57-49).
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As always, the best way to take advantage of Stan 'The Man's Sharp Information found each and every day right here in his Stat/Systems Report is to join for a Week or Month, so that you get every single one of his plays, including all of his Late Information releases. “Do it now and Save Big, subscribe today! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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*** UTAH (-2.5, O/U 194) @ LA CLIPPERS ***
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The resurgent Los Angeles Clippers open up a five-game homestand tonight when they entertain the Utah Jazz at Staples Center. The Clippers won for the fifth time in six games Monday when Eric Gordon scored 31 points and Blake Griffin recorded his 19th straight double-double with 24 points and 14 rebounds, as Los Angeles escaped ARCO Arena with a 100-99 victory over the Kings despite a late lapse in judgment by Ryan Gomes.
The Clippers were holding a 100-97 lead following Griffin's fastbreak dunk with 5.1 seconds left in regulation. A timeout moved the ball past midcourt, and the Kings put it in the hands of Tyreke Evans. Gomes was closely guarding the reigning Rookie of the Year and was whistled for a foul outside the three-point line. The referees awarded Evans three free throws with 1.9 ticks remaining, and the first two went down.
The third, however, rattled off the rim. DeMarcus Cousins nearly tipped in the miss, and Evans had a second try just before the buzzer, but his rushed attempt from just inside the foul line rimmed out to seal the crushing defeat. "We would have lost this game earlier this year," Gordon said. Three of the Clippers' 10 wins this season have come against the Kings, who have dropped eight straight and fell to an NBA-worst 5-23.
LA, which is 7-11 at home, will also entertain Atlanta, Denver, Golden State and Miami on its residency. The Jazz, meanwhile, lost for the first time in four games Monday when LaMarcus Aldridge scored 18 of his 26 points in the second half, powering the Portland Trail Blazers to a 96-91 win over Utah in Salt Lake City. Deron Williams went 6-of-8 from beyond the arc in leading the way with 31 points for the Jazz. Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap both scored 11, while C.J. Miles added 10 in defeat.
"They came out and got after us and made it tough for us to get what we wanted on the offensive end of the floor most of the time," Jazz coach Jerry Sloan said. "They took the life out of us and busted us in the mouth and everything else. We fell out like flies. When you play games at home like this in your building, you've got to be a little bit tougher than what we were." Forward Andrei Kirilenko didn't play in the fourth quarter Monday after straining his lower back and is listed as doubtful for tonight as Utah aims to improve on its solid 10-4 road record. The Jazz have won nine of their last 10 against the Clippers, including a pair of games last month.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Utah by 4; O/U 200
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Utah -2.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Utah -3.77
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--LA CLIPPERS are 66-86 ATS (-28.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 94.9, OPPONENT 103.6 - (Rating = 5*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 93.4, OPPONENT 100.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 43-20 ATS (+20.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 104.0, OPPONENT 98.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 33-14 ATS (+17.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 105.1, OPPONENT 95.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--LA CLIPPERS are 51-26 UNDER (+22.4 Units) in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1996.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 96.2, OPPONENT 96.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 72-48 UNDER (+19.2 Units) off a loss against a division rival since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 95.8, OPPONENT 92.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--LA CLIPPERS are 37-17 against the 1rst half line (+17.9 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 49.9, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 23-42 against the 1rst half line (-23.2 Units) in road games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 47.8, OPPONENT 51.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 18-34 against the 1rst half line (-19.4 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 47.2, OPPONENT 51.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--UTAH is 82-32 UNDER (+46.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 42.0, OPPONENT 45.4 - (Rating = 6*)
--UTAH is 43-20 UNDER (+20.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 52.1, OPPONENT 47.9 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY AGAINST - Home underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season, after a close win by 3 points or less.
(47-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +26.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (51-16 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 4.4
The average score in these games was: Team 105.8, Opponent 98.3 (Average point differential = +7.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 26 (40.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-14).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (74-42).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (UTAH) - average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a loss by 6 points or less.
(68-31 since 1996.) (68.7%, +33.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.9, Opponent 47.7 (Average first half point differential = +2.2)
The situation's record this season is: (3-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-8).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (36-17).
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