People are also on Tulsa b/c:
1) The public is all over the dog ball st and the under
2) The bubble burst scenario. Ball St, Like Bama, was undefeated and lost their conf championship. That was enough to get alot of ppl on the Utes. Those same bettors will be on Tulsa. We all know "bubble burst" teams fair not so well in bowls usually (See Bama, Texas). Difference here, Ball St had their bubble burst against a SHITTY Buffalo team that UConn showed to be a true fraud. Tulsa runs all day and wins.
1) The public is all over the dog ball st and the under
2) The bubble burst scenario. Ball St, Like Bama, was undefeated and lost their conf championship. That was enough to get alot of ppl on the Utes. Those same bettors will be on Tulsa. We all know "bubble burst" teams fair not so well in bowls usually (See Bama, Texas). Difference here, Ball St had their bubble burst against a SHITTY Buffalo team that UConn showed to be a true fraud. Tulsa runs all day and wins.
Toc.. one other thing.. everyone is on the "no coach" bandwagon.. keep in mind what West Virg. did without a coach last season. My money is on Ball State tonight ML.. Either they win outright or get blown the hell out.. But one thing ive learned this bowl season, dont bet on teams that cant play defense!! not saying Ball St has an overpowering D, but its a ton better than Tulsa's.. Keep one other thing in mind, Tulsa has played noone this year, thus those stats can be slightly misleading.. Regardless, good luck whoever you have.
http://insider.espn.go.com/ncf/bowls08/projections?page=jan1-8
This is the best thing to show public perception, whether they are betting or not.
This is the best thing to show public perception, whether they are betting or not.
Guys.. not it pertains to this game but a eye popping stat.. go to wagerline, ncaaf home, public money and check it out.. where the money has gone the last 30 days (beings the season was over this was money on bowl game).. I think out of the top 15 teams, the public money was 2-13... just food for though
Good luck with your play. Tulsa is getting way too much love in this game. If Ball St doesn't lose against Buffalo, what is the spread in this game? In my eyes, that game against Buffalo was a fluke.
Tulsa has played 8 games against teams with a final record of 4-8 OR WORSE. Their record in these games is an impressive 8-0. Good teams beat bad teams, and they have done it with HUGE scores. In their 4 games against teams with record of 5-7 or better, they are 1-3. Their lone win against a "quality opponent" came against Rice, but against Arkansas, Houston, and East Carolina, they did not muster nearly the same offensive output.
Tulsa is -3, but ML is short on this game. Ball St. is the play in this one. They are the better team.
do remember Tulsa opened as a 2.5 pt dog. A half pt swing still shows significant line movement in the favor of Tulsa. I will most likely not be playing this game. I just don't have faith in either team. Regards, and good luck watching the game.
The 55% is right across the street, front page.
The 55% is right across the street, front page.
What he said. Here;s two services awhile ago that I use. Not so overwhelming really, where Texas was in the upper 70's and 80's on these last nite. THAT is a no brainer at those levels.
CFB
Date Team Open Spread ML Total Bet# Spread% ML% Total% Exotics%
01/06/09 Ball St. -2½ +3-115 +120 o72.5-110 65852 48% 56% 51% 46%
8:00PM Tulsa 75 -3-105 -140 u72.5-110 52% 44% 49% 54%
09-01-06 BALL -2.5 72.5 41% 83% 33%
20:00 EST TULSA 77.0 -3.0 59% 17% 67%
The game against Buffalo was a fluke.. If my memory serves me correct Ball State had a touchdown that was reviewed, and taken back (although the replay showed the f'ing ball crossed by a foot, but hey), the next play fumbled and Buffalo ran it back 96 yards, instead of a 10 point lead, where trailing by 4. Major momentum shifter..
Everyone talks how the MAC sucks so bad, Conference USA isnt exactly a football powerhouse by no means..regardless Ball State tonight.
Everyone talks how the MAC sucks so bad, Conference USA isnt exactly a football powerhouse by no means..regardless Ball State tonight.
I personally like Ball St here and this is why.
1. The OC of ball st. understands the Tulsa offense. He's studied it for 1.5 years.
2. Tulsa is very turnover prone. They have 21 INT' s this season compared to Ball St. 7.
3. Wind factor in Mobile. Winds are 13-20mph. There will be some TO's in this game. I think the wind factor will allow the under to prevail.
4. Ball St. Defense allows a shade over 18pts per game while Tulsa allows 29 ppg.
Anyways, I going against the grain on both. Ball St. and under here.
GL
Leonard Washington......and if you want my roll.....you have to shoot me for it.
Where I'm from.....A little town called none of your go**am business.
1. The OC of ball st. understands the Tulsa offense. He's studied it for 1.5 years.
2. Tulsa is very turnover prone. They have 21 INT' s this season compared to Ball St. 7.
3. Wind factor in Mobile. Winds are 13-20mph. There will be some TO's in this game. I think the wind factor will allow the under to prevail.
4. Ball St. Defense allows a shade over 18pts per game while Tulsa allows 29 ppg.
Anyways, I going against the grain on both. Ball St. and under here.
GL
Leonard Washington......and if you want my roll.....you have to shoot me for it.
Where I'm from.....A little town called none of your go**am business.
