My first shout out to Randizzle14! Welcome to the RX! I wanted to wish you the best of luck! I've heard a lot of good things about you and will be watching you. Keep up the good work and the winning!
GL CPAW!
RANDIZZLE14:
Tuesday Game
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BALL ST (9 - 0) at MIAMI OHIO (2 - 7)
Week 12 Tuesday, 11/11/2008 7:00 PM
Ball St. is coming off probably their most impressive victory of the season beating up on N. Illinois 45-14(Giving up a meaningless score in the final 2 minutes of the 4th qtr.) When I first saw the line to this game, I took a double take. -16?? It was obvious, Ball St. was undervalued by the linesmakers in this game. Ball St. is undefeated this season and thrashing EVERY opponent they face(Granted its weak competition, but so is Miami (OH)). Ball St. have an underrated Qb in Nate Davis who completed an impressive 18-22 for 300 yards and 4TDs last week vs N. Illinois. Everyone knows they have an explosive offense this season, but I have been impressed with their Defense of late. I can only assume the linesmakers were thinking this could be a look ahead situation for Ball St. when releasing this line as they face C. Michigan next week for what could determine the outcome of the MAC. In regards to this situation, Ball State coach Brady Hoke said, "No question, you are always worried and concerned," "That is where the leadership of our seniors and guys that have played a lot of football comes in." Miami, which is coming off a 37-17 loss at Buffalo, also will have to contend with Ball State running back MiQuale Lewis, the fifth-leading rusher in the FBS with 1,108 yards and 15 touchdowns. The Cardinals will be aimed for revenge as the Red Hawks edged out Ball State, 14 to 13, in Muncie last season on Brandon Murphy's 6-yard TD run with 17 seconds remaining. Ball St. takes care of the football giving up just 8 turnovers all season and managing 17 Takeaways. Miami has 20 Giveaways, and just 10 Takeaways. Fact is Ball St. dominates every aspect of this game. All these key catergories are not only in Ball St. favor, but absolutely dominated by the Cardinals: YPR,YPA, TO Ratio, and Turnovers. I can only imagaine a 21+ point victory, but that is just speculation.
Trends:
BALL ST is 11-2 ATS in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 10-2 ATS off 1 or more straight overs over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 6-0 ATS in road games after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
Hoke is 14-2 ATS off 1 or more straight overs as the coach of BALL ST.
Montgomery is 4-13 ATS off 1 or more straight overs as the coach of MIAMI OHIO.
Trends Pertaining to the Line:
Ball State Cardinals are 6-1-0 ATS As Favorite (14 -> 16.5)
Ball State Cardinals are 9-2-0 ATS After 1 Overs (All Lines)
Ball State Cardinals are 12-4-0 ATS After 2 Home (All Lines)
My Power Rankings:
Ball St.: 27th
Miami (OH): 117th
My Effiency Ratings:
Ball St.: 26th
Miami (OH): 118th
I am Taking Ball St. -16 (3 Units) [1 Unit up to -20] :toast:
GL,
Dizz
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